Thursday numbers I AM 14.5, MPR 10.2, BB/SMSV 5.8 I BY ASGUARD

[RichWS]

Poppins doing well after being buried? SHOCKING.

[reddevil19]

15 minutes ago, Nova said:

BOT last weekend told me that Mary Poppins Returns was a bomb though 

Honestly, the wild overreactions are the most frustratingly entertaining thing about this place. Or entertainingly frustrating? 

Whatever - they're awesome!

[Napoleon]

There was no overreaction, a lot of people were predicting Mary Poppins to make over $500 million domestic and even suggesting Aquaman should move out of its way. The opening numbers were indeed much lower than expected. And from what I see it's still not going to do the numbers people expected from it.

[sfran43]

 

[Krissykins]

 

45 minutes ago, MaxAggressor said:

Aquaman vs Jack Reacher comp:

 

1st Monday :-

 

Aquaman - 11m

Jack Reacher - 2.6m

 

1st Tuesday :-

 

Aquaman - 22.1m

Jack Reacher - 5.3m

 

1st Wednesday :-

 

Aquaman - 16.9m

Jack Reacher - 3.8m

 

1st Thursday :-

 

Aquaman - 14.5m

Jack Reacher - 3.6m

 

Aquaman's Wednesday was up by 53.6% w.r.t Monday. While JR's Wednesday was up by 46.2%. So Aquaman surged ahead quite a bit in the last couple of days. But after Thursday, Aquaman is up 31.8% on 1st Monday while JR is up 38.5%.  The Thu. figure is down 34.4% from CD in case Aquaman and 32% in case of JR. So the drop on Thu. has Aquaman falling slightly behind JR after 7 days.

 

JR's 1st Thu. was 26.5% of it's 2nd weekend. Using a similar method, Aquaman will end up with 54.7m. If we assume the percentage share to come closer to 28% and/or 30%, then Aquaman's 2nd weekend becomes 51.8m and 48.3m respectively. That's my range for the 2nd weekend (48.3-51.8)m atm.

Seems like it’s not a good comparison then, lol. Release date is the sole similarity. 

1 minute ago, Napoleon said:

There was no overreaction, a lot of people were predicting Mary Poppins to make over $500 million domestic and even suggesting Aquaman should move out of its way. The opening numbers were indeed much lower than expected. And from what I see it's still not going to do the numbers people expected from it.

Exactly. 

 

People were quick to say it flopped, but people are also just as quick to say that it’s all resolved.

 

I seen a high percentage of $300m+ predictions. 

[John Marston]

17 minutes ago, Napoleon said:

There was no overreaction, a lot of people were predicting Mary Poppins to make over $500 million domestic and even suggesting Aquaman should move out of its way. The opening numbers were indeed much lower than expected. And from what I see it's still not going to do the numbers people expected from it.

 

Exactly. I remember when MPR was supposed to crush the other openers make over 400m

[RealLyre]

glad to see Mary Poppins Returns recovering after that disappointing opening, the movie was so delightful and the songs were really charming. Emily Blunt was perfect and she deserve more success.

 

 

 

 

[RealLyre]

6 hours ago, a2k said:

Poppins could do 35m FSS for 106m cume.

24m on Mon and Tue combined could give it a 60m 5-day and 130m cume.

Has a realistic shot at 225m dom and 400-450 ww.

is it doing well outside of US & UK? maybe 500M is possible..

 

[MovieMan89]

Crisis officially averted for MPR. Not the massive juggernaut some of us thought, but it's got a great chance now at being only the second musical to cross 200 DOM, so it's a hit in the end. Interested to see how close it gets to AQM over the 5 day frame coming up since it keeps shrinking the gap.

[MovieMan89]

6 minutes ago, John Marston said:

 

Exactly. I remember when MPR was supposed to crush the other openers make over 400m

Who is trying to deny that there were plenty of 400+ predictions around here? Some of our over-predictions don't change the fact that 200-225 is still objectively a good number for it. It's not like Solo where it needed to make massive bank DOM just to breakeven.

[Ms Lady Hawk]

People did over predict MP. Disney had a heck of a year, so maybe it was justified to think that they would end the year with another 400+ domestic grosser. It seems to be doing well now after a disappointing start, but it likely won’t reach those lofty predictions.

 

Good thing Warner was not intimidated by Disney and left Aquaman alone in the 12/21 slot. No matter how things go from this point, (as it’s possible that MP legs out a higher domestic gross than Aquaman), Aquaman was the movie of the season. For many here, that was not the expectation. I guess that’s what makes the box office fun and keeps us all coming back here no matter how irritating it can be. 

[Plain Old Tele]

49 minutes ago, reddevil19 said:

Honestly, the wild overreactions are the most frustratingly entertaining thing about this place. Or entertainingly frustrating? 

Whatever - they're awesome!

 

Reddevil, is that you?

[sfran43]

 

 

Edited December 28, 2018 by sfran43

[sfran43]

 

[sfran43]

 

[MovieMan89]

MPR's success seems to establish the December live action musical hit as a new tradition. First La La Land in 2016, then TGS last year, now MPR this year. Bodes well for Cats next December.

[filmlover]

Mary Poppins will be at around $120M on New Year’s Day and will have no problem coming up with at least another $80M over the rest of its run to cross $200M so even if it won’t reach the highest of expectations, all that panic button pressing was for nothing (as usual). Everything seems to be rebounding now that the holiday legs are in full swing. Imagine that drops will be good for everything next weekend too given that there’s only one new release (and it’s a lame-looking PG-13 horror movie to boot).

[sfran43]

 

[reddevil19]

5 minutes ago, Telemachos said:

 

Reddevil, is that you?

What gave it away? 🙈

[ThomasNicole]

25 minutes ago, Napoleon said:

There was no overreaction, a lot of people were predicting Mary Poppins to make over $500 million domestic and even suggesting Aquaman should move out of its way. The opening numbers were indeed much lower than expected. And from what I see it's still not going to do the numbers people expected from it.

Those who claims it will be a smash (including me) definitely overpredict it but those who claims it’s a bomb because of the debut obviously overreact, deny this is nonsense. It’s not going to do the huge numbers people expect from it, but the movie will still be a success and this is obvious now, so it’s not going to be the disaster people say it will after the debut too.