RamblinRed Posted May 7, 2019 Share Posted May 7, 2019 The-numbers is reporting 10.7 estimate so it looks like Charlie was dead on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doublejack Posted May 7, 2019 Share Posted May 7, 2019 45 minutes ago, Sue Denim said: That sounds reasonable. Still trying to get the hang of this. Maybe this would be a better projection: Mon 10.7 -76% Tue 13.9 +30% Wed 9.5 -32% Thu 9.0 -5% Weekdays: 43.1 Fri 18.4 +105% Sat 30.6 +66% Sun 20.2 -34% Weekend: 69.2 Total after 3rd WE: 733.5 Friday jump could be much bigger. IW jumped 131% on its third Friday. The weekend is looking in the 70-72M range on the conservative size. I'm hopeful it does a bit better. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZattMurdock Posted May 7, 2019 Share Posted May 7, 2019 43 minutes ago, Nakamura said: For what it's worth, the same "source" has updated it's estimates for $10.7m as well. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RamblinRed Posted May 7, 2019 Share Posted May 7, 2019 I don't think 67 or 87 is at all likely, though 67 is a much more likely number than 87. 67 would require a 55% drop, that is at least reasonable if Pika was to absolutely blow up this weekend - though I don't see it happening. 87 would require a 41% drop, that's not realistic unless it is a holiday weekend or there are no new openers - neither of which is the case this weekend. Anywhere between 70-75 is what i'm expecting. It will likely need a 75M+ weekend to stay in front of TFA in cumulative through day 17. I am expecting it to stay #1 this weekend. I'm really interested to see how much it goes up today. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cdsacken Posted May 7, 2019 Share Posted May 7, 2019 Ah k 10.7 is ok just not great Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sfran43 Posted May 7, 2019 Share Posted May 7, 2019 (edited) There's more Star Wars movie coming?!🤔 Edited May 7, 2019 by sfran43 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cdsacken Posted May 7, 2019 Share Posted May 7, 2019 (edited) Let's hope it's not in the vain of solo. No more massive flops please Edited May 7, 2019 by cdsacken Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Taruseth Posted May 7, 2019 Share Posted May 7, 2019 (edited) 6 minutes ago, sfran43 said: There's more Star Wars movie coming?!🤔 https://twitter.com/BORReport/status/1125804935818301440?s=19 I thought Avatar: 2020 2021 2024 2025 So 2022 okay, but 2024 makes absolutely no sense unless they change Avatar to 2023.... Also: I don't know if it's a good idea. Edited May 7, 2019 by Taruseth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
titanic2187 Posted May 7, 2019 Share Posted May 7, 2019 Is Pikachu a bigger competition to EG compared to Deadpool 2 to IW last year? DP2 and IW are both superhero genre but different rating while Pikachu being a different genre but similar rating(PG vs PG-13) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
druv10 Posted May 7, 2019 Share Posted May 7, 2019 Avengers Endgame: Countdowns Pass Avengers' Infinity War Domestic total $678,815,482-$46,915,483 Pass Avatar's Domestic total $760,507,625-$128,607,626 Pass Star Wars-Force Awakens' $936,662,225-$304,762,226 Pass Titanic Worldwide 2,187,463,944-$0 Pass Avatar's Worldwide total $2,787,965,087-$549,565,088 Pass Avatar's OS total $2,027,457,462-$420,957,463 Pass Avatar's in South Korea Admissions 13,624,328-1,868,182 Pass 80M USD in Brazil-$20.5M Pass 100M in Local Currency Australia- AUD 32.62M Pass 100M GBP in UK-£26.5M Pass $500M in China(First Hollywood movie)- $0 With 10.7M Monday, EG has surpassed TA1's 623M+ and becomes the 3rd highest grossing movie in the MCU history domestically and 8th highest of all time. It should surpass IW on Friday and BP some point on Saturday for the highest in MCU history. Domestic record is possible but it'll need to develop legs going forward, which is possible with the A+ CS! OS continued with a strong number of 34M aided by holidays in UK, SK and Japan but nonetheless a strong number. 1.6B OS, it needs a very good hold to have a chance to dethrone Avatar OS but it has a shot. WW all time record is the one most likely to happen out of the 3 and should happen within a month. It's already the 2nd biggest OS and actually just passed 1B OS-C meaning it has already surpassed IW OS gross minus China. Amazing ride and that continues to deliver. 3 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AndyK Posted May 7, 2019 Share Posted May 7, 2019 14 minutes ago, cdsacken said: Ah k 10.7 is ok just not great Somebody will be along shortly to tell us it's the 3rd best second Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
American Pie is better Posted May 7, 2019 Share Posted May 7, 2019 My predictions: Monday: 10.7 Tuesday: 13.8 Wednesday: 9.2 Thursday: 9 Weekdays: 42.7 Friday: 19.3 Saturday: 31 Sunday: 20.7 Weekend: 71 I think those are very realistic and would put Endgame at 735mn on day 17, which is 7 million behind TFA's total on the corresponding day. After this day TFA legs started fading and it managed a 1.26 multiplier from its 17 day total for 936mn total. IW's 17th day put it at 548mn and with a 1.24 additional multiplier it finished with 678mn. So this is basically the point where Christmas magic wears out. A very, very reasonable 1.25 additional multiplier for EG puts it at 919mn. So if my 3rd week prediction is any accurate, a very realistic range for EG is 908-929mn. Maybe a great Spider-man boost manages to push it over TFA? Unlikely but I wouldn't say impossible. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tawasal Posted May 7, 2019 Share Posted May 7, 2019 37 minutes ago, doublejack said: Friday jump could be much bigger. IW jumped 131% on its third Friday. The weekend is looking in the 70-72M range on the conservative size. I'm hopeful it does a bit better. The same thing was said about this past weekend's friday and see what happened to that one. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cdsacken Posted May 7, 2019 Share Posted May 7, 2019 6 minutes ago, AndyK said: Somebody will be along shortly to tell us it's the 3rd best second Monday. Lol well yes of course nominally but I'm not gonna pretend a 77% drop is great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
terrestrial Posted May 7, 2019 Share Posted May 7, 2019 Exhibitor Relations Co. @ERCboxoffice 3m3 minutes ago More UNTITLED FOX MARVEL 6/26/20, 10/2/20, 3/5/21 have all been removed from Disney's schedule. Exhibitor Relations Co. @ERCboxoffice 12m12 minutes ago More Disney's THE ONE AND ONLY IVAN drops Aug. 14, 2020. Boxoffice @BoxOffice 23m23 minutes ago More DISNEY RELEASE SCHEDULE CHANGE: GAMBIT(Fox), originally scheduled for release on 3/13/20, has been removed from the schedule #Gambit #XMen #Disney #Boxoffice BoxOfficeReport.com @BORReport 25m25 minutes ago More Untitled Star Wars films have been scheduled by Disney for: Dec. 16, 2022 Dec. 20, 2024 Dec. 18, 2026 Exhibitor Relations Co. @ERCboxoffice 28m28 minutes ago More Go Big Blue. Disney's AVATAR updates: AVATAR 2 - 12/17/21 AVATAR 3 - 12/22/23 AVATAR 4 - 12/19/25 AVATAR 5 - 12/17/27 Boxoffice @BoxOffice 29m29 minutes ago More DISNEY RELEASE SCHEDULE CHANGE: NIMONA (Fox) is moving from 2/14/20 to 3/5/21 #Nimona #Disney Boxoffice @BoxOffice 29m29 minutes ago More DISNEY RELEASE SCHEDULE CHANGE: CRUELLA (Disney) will be released on 12/23/20 #Cruella #Disney Boxoffice @BoxOffice 30m30 minutes ago More DISNEY RELEASE SCHEDULE CHANGE: WEST SIDE STORY(Fox) will be released on 12/18/20 #WestSideStory BoxOfficeReport.com @BORReport 30m30 minutes ago More New release dates for Fox films distributed by Disney: Underwater - Jan. 10, 2020 Boxoffice @BoxOffice 31m31 minutes ago More DISNEY RELEASE SCHEDULE CHANGE: CALL OF THE WILD (Fox) is moving from 12/25/19 to 2/21/20 #CallOfTheWild Exhibitor Relations Co. @ERCboxoffice 31m31 minutes ago More Disney's ARTEMIS FOWL moves from August 2019 to next summer--May 29, 2020. xhibitor Relations Co. @ERCboxoffice 33m33 minutes ago More No joke. Fox's THE NEW MUTANTS has been pushed back again--now set to drop April 3, 2020, instead of Aug. 2, 2019. . Boxoffice @BoxOffice 33m33 minutes ago More DISNEY RELEASE SCHEDULE CHANGE: SPIES IN DISGUISE (Fox) is moving from 9/13/19 to 12/25/19 #SpiesInDisguise Exhibitor Relations Co. @ERCboxoffice 34m34 minutes ago More The FINALLY frontier. James Gray's AD ASTRA will launch Sept. 20, 2019. Boxoffice @BoxOffice 34m34 minutes ago More DISNEY RELEASE SCHEDULE CHANGE: THE ART OF RACING IN THE RAIN (Fox) is moving from 9/27/19 to 8/9/19 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tawasal Posted May 7, 2019 Share Posted May 7, 2019 19 minutes ago, Taruseth said: I thought Avatar: 2020 2021 2024 2025 So 2022 okay, but 2024 makes absolutely no sense unless they change Avatar to 2023.... Also: I don't know if it's a good idea. You need this to make a sense out of it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Posted May 7, 2019 Share Posted May 7, 2019 Now that the December 2020 slot is empty, might worth a try to finally get a Marvel movie in there just to see how it would do? 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tawasal Posted May 7, 2019 Share Posted May 7, 2019 Disney are going crazy with the release date changes all over the place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
terrestrial Posted May 7, 2019 Share Posted May 7, 2019 2 minutes ago, Sam said: Now that the December 2020 slot is empty, might worth a try to finally get a Marvel movie in there just to see how it would do? check the post 2 positions above yours 😉 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted May 7, 2019 Share Posted May 7, 2019 1 minute ago, Sam said: Now that the December 2020 slot is empty, might worth a try to finally get a Marvel movie in there just to see how it would do? May be a Marvel vs DC battle. Doctor Strange 2 vs Wonder Women 2. This forum will become poison and 1/3 of forum posters will be banned. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...