keysersoze123 Posted May 14, 2019 Share Posted May 14, 2019 5 minutes ago, tawasal said: Make a TRoS over BP domestic club. I will support you all the way. Good Optimistic club for SW9 should be SW9 > Avatar. I think its possible with good reviews and JJ will make a fun movie for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Menor the Destroyer Posted May 15, 2019 Share Posted May 15, 2019 33 minutes ago, Porthos said: It would have been a lot crazier when I first wanted to do it last Dec. And, yeah I think it would be. Part of it is that we're still a little bit in the post-trailer glow. But I think enough people think it'll be TLJ +/-, never mind TROS < 600m that it'll be interesting. Like, I can't even in good conscience make a 750m club as I don't think it'll reach that without some luck/great reception. At the same time I think simply saying "TROS > TLJ" is far far faaaaaaaaaaaaaaar too wimpy of a call. Let's not forget, 700m is a LOT of simoleons. So, yeah. I think 700m is a good line, personally for it. I just feel like, even though I'd put it +/- TLJ (maybe slightly higher) myself, Star Wars' upside should not be underestimated with the incredible brand awareness it has in the US. That's why I think TROS over clubs should be really ambitious Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tawasal Posted May 15, 2019 Share Posted May 15, 2019 2 minutes ago, Porthos said: Ooooh, that's an interesting hook that I didn't think of. Only 60k more too. But some fans from both sides of the aisle in here might turn it to a lengthy exchange of angry or abusive messages between them. We can never have a tranquil discourse of MCU vs SW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tawasal Posted May 15, 2019 Share Posted May 15, 2019 5 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said: Good Optimistic club for SW9 should be SW9 > Avatar. I think its possible with good reviews and JJ will make a fun movie for sure. That’s just too risky and optimistic. But if you choose BP, the next target is of course Avatars 760m, but if you make the club about Avatars numbers then the next target is too far away to consider. Do I make any sense? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted May 15, 2019 Share Posted May 15, 2019 6 hours ago, Maxmoser3 said: It’s going to do profitable. So don’t assume just yet. Unlikely from just Theatrical revenue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
terrestrial Posted May 15, 2019 Share Posted May 15, 2019 7 hours ago, Moses said: What about international numbers? 6 hours ago, Captain Craig said: It only needs $300m more. I'm not ruling it out. ~ $280m, see beneath 4 hours ago, Moses said: Any data about international numbers??? Somehow no one mentioned A:EG reaching this milestone. I guess that was the reason they did give the OS for Monday, beside announcing to stop with the daily release of the OS datas. = ww incl Monday Total Lifetime Grosses Domestic: $728,447,735 29.1% + Foreign: $1,774,700,000 70.9% = Worldwide: $2,503,147,735 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted May 15, 2019 Share Posted May 15, 2019 Just now, tawasal said: That’s just too risky and optimistic. But if you choose BP, the next target is of course Avatars 760m, but if you make the club about Avatars numbers then the next target is too far away to consider. Do I make any sense? yes. Endgame is not an option 🙂 But Avatar is a possibility as Disney will market this as conclusion of this saga and JJ will have money shots for sure. That plus good reviews should help it have 250/770 run. We have more iMax/PLF than 2015 and ticket prices have increased as well. Clubs to be have to be gutsy. Otherwise we can discuss in the movie thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Menor the Destroyer Posted May 15, 2019 Share Posted May 15, 2019 Looking at MT and Fandango, I'm hoping Pikachu's Tuesday increase ends up great because otherwise we could be looking at yet another yikes Tuesday for Endgame (hoping for at least 5.9) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minnale101 Posted May 15, 2019 Share Posted May 15, 2019 Yesterday on movie tickets before final update at 8pm est it was 37.4% Endgame 27.2% Detective pikachu it was 4.7 million to 3.7 million Monday Today movie tickets last update at 8pm 30.7% endgame 26.2% detective Pikachu Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted May 15, 2019 Share Posted May 15, 2019 4 hours ago, TwoMisfits said: It is amazing that $100M 4 day seems to be the "I'll feel really, really good about that number" - if we go back to the Aladdin thread last year, before the 1st trailer and the lack of recent Disney live action success, I think the certainty of the movie breaking the Memorial Day record was strong...but now, here we are in our current expectations... Aladdin is the sacrifice Disney making to the box office gods this year so that other films do well. I hope we remember it. 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cappoedameron Posted May 15, 2019 Share Posted May 15, 2019 8 minutes ago, Minnale101 said: Yesterday on movie tickets before final update at 8pm est it was 37.4% Endgame 27.2% Detective pikachu it was 4.7 million to 3.7 million Monday Today movie tickets last update at 8pm 30.7% endgame 26.2% detective Pikachu On positive news for Pika Pika it rose from #3 all the way to #1 at Japan Box Office. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minnale101 Posted May 15, 2019 Share Posted May 15, 2019 Just now, Cappoedameron said: On positive news for Pika Pika it rose from #3 all the way to #1 at Japan Box Office. Yeah gonna be fun to follow movie and see the legs it has especially with summer holidays soon and exams im kinda looking forward to other movies releases. So detective Pikachu can follow be in shadow and not be emphasized. I can just look at numbers in peace without someone calling it a bomb every 2 secs lmao 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
terrestrial Posted May 15, 2019 Share Posted May 15, 2019 Quote 8-Week Tracking Release Date Title 3-Day Wide Release Tracking % Chg from Last Week Domestic Total Forecast % Chg from Last Week Estimated Location Count Distributor 5/17/2019 A Dog’s Journey $13,000,000 $46,700,000 3,200 Universal 5/17/2019 John Wick: Chapter 3 – Parabellum $38,500,000 4% $110,000,000 4% 3,600 Lionsgate / Summit 5/17/2019 The Sun Is Also a Star $8,500,000 -15% $24,700,000 -15% 2,100 Warner Bros. 5/24/2019 Aladdin $67,000,000 2% $188,000,000 2% 4,000 Disney 5/24/2019 Booksmart n/a n/a n/a United Artists Releasing 5/24/2019 BrightBurn $10,000,000 $23,000,000 2,800 Sony / Columbia 5/31/2019 Godzilla: King of the Monsters $54,000,000 $144,000,000 Warner Bros. 5/31/2019 Ma $23,000,000 -4% $60,000,000 -5% Universal 5/31/2019 Rocketman $40,000,000 8% $165,000,000 Paramount 6/7/2019 Dark Phoenix $47,000,000 $113,000,000 Fox 6/7/2019 Late Night n/a n/a Amazon Studios 6/7/2019 The Secret Life of Pets 2 $80,000,000 $263,000,000 Universal 6/14/2019 Men In Black International $39,000,000 $107,000,000 Sony / Columbia 6/14/2019 Shaft (2019) $31,000,000 $100,000,000 Warner Bros. 6/21/2019 Anna n/a n/a Lionsgate / Summit 6/21/2019 Child’s Play (2019) $17,000,000 $42,500,000 Orion Pictures 6/21/2019 Toy Story 4 $113,000,000 $390,000,000 Disney / Pixar 6/26/2019 Annabelle Comes Home $31,000,000 -21% $101,000,000 Warner Bros. / New Line 6/28/2019 Yesterday n/a n/a Universal 7/2/2019 Spider-Man: Far from Home $90,000,000 – $120,000,000 NEW $405,000,000+ NEW Sony / Columbia / Marvel Studios reasonings... https://www.boxofficepro.com/long-range-tracking-spider-man-far-from-home-looks-to-web-200m-6-day-domestic-launch-in-july/ 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cdsacken Posted May 15, 2019 Share Posted May 15, 2019 (edited) 1 hour ago, Porthos said: It would have been a lot crazier when I first wanted to do it last Dec. And, yeah I think it would be. Part of it is that we're still a little bit in the post-trailer glow. But I think enough people think it'll be TLJ +/-, never mind TROS < 600m that it'll be interesting. Like, I can't even in good conscience make a 750m club as I don't think it'll reach that without some luck/great reception. At the same time I think simply saying "TROS > TLJ" is far far faaaaaaaaaaaaaaar too wimpy of a call. Let's not forget, 700m is a LOT of simoleons. So, yeah. I think 700m is a good line, personally for it. I'd love that club. I don't see it hitting 800+ because of the backlash from the last movie but there is still serious anticipation for this movie. It might surprise some naysayers. 700 seems challenging but possible. I say do it Edited May 15, 2019 by cdsacken 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ScoobyDoo21 Posted May 15, 2019 Share Posted May 15, 2019 Wait. didn't a dog's purpose sequel already been released earlier this year? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cdsacken Posted May 15, 2019 Share Posted May 15, 2019 33 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said: Movies benefit each other when they have drive-ins going for double show. Since Endgame would be 9 weeks into release and MIB would be just over 2 weeks into release, I see drive-ins go for Spidey/MIB double show. Also since endgame would be 8xx million at that point and summer is choke full of releases, I am not sure it will have enough screens to be big like CM did. I think this weekend Endgame will have good drop. I am thinking 35m. Hope so on the 35. That would be 6 million over IW and a really good hold coming the next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stealthyfrog Posted May 15, 2019 Share Posted May 15, 2019 1 minute ago, ScoobyDoo21 said: Wait. didn't a dog's purpose sequel already been released earlier this year? No, A Dog's Way Home was Sony's cheap dog movie. The real sequel to A Dog's Purpose comes out this week. The trailer seemed pretty heartwarming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tawasal Posted May 15, 2019 Share Posted May 15, 2019 18 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said: Aladdin is the sacrifice Disney making to the box office gods this year so that other films do well. I hope we remember it. I thought that was Dumbo? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cdsacken Posted May 15, 2019 Share Posted May 15, 2019 Just now, tawasal said: I thought that was Dumbo? Dumbo would have been so easy to be a success. Don't get a depressed director, make it 80 minutes (original is 64). Budget under $100 and it does 500+ WW. Hopefully Burton doesn't ruin any other films 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nero Posted May 15, 2019 Share Posted May 15, 2019 8 hours ago, Nero said: Are you sure you're not a alt account .... Cause I'm seriously getting Shivampa vibes from you... 3 hours ago, That One Guy said: lmao Shivampa/Manhunt/Matthew/MadmenEndgame/richtmancharles -(02/21/19)- Permanently Banned for trolling multiple threads and creating a duplicate account. I must be genius.. I already got a hunch that he was a possible alt account lmao Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
