sfran43 Posted July 23, 2019 Share Posted July 23, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cdsacken Posted July 23, 2019 Share Posted July 23, 2019 600+ is awesome. Anything above is a big bonus 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RamblinRed Posted July 23, 2019 Share Posted July 23, 2019 (edited) 21.6 would be a 59.1% drop. Higher than I was hoping but hardly out of line for this summer after checking previous movies. Here are the First Monday drops for movies released this summer - I did notice that Horror movies tend to have smaller Monday drops. (I've added Tuesday increases as well. Horror movies in general have smaller Tuesday increases and also larger Monday drops tend to lead to larger Tuesday increases) CP -56.1, +15.4 ACH -57.3, +6.9 FFH - 57.6 (Monday after a Holiday weekend), +39.2 Yday -58, +17.9 TS4 -58.3, +45.4 Anna -59.1, +47.6 JW3 - 60.7 (late Spring release), +13.5 Stuber -61.6, +69.9 SLOP2 -65.4, +55.6 Ma -66.2, +48.3 RM -67.3, +56.6 KOTM -68.3, +43.6 XDP -68.7, +56.1 MIB -72.4, +62.8 Shaft -75m, +70.1 Aladdin's first Monday was a Holiday so you can't use it. It's second Monday was -65.8 (+65.9), third Monday -59.8 (+47.1), fourth Monday - 59.6 (+61.6) If DHD's 21.6 holds, then FFH's First Tuesday gain (39.2) would get TLK to 30M on Tuesday. Edited July 23, 2019 by RamblinRed added Tuesday increases. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
narniadis Posted July 23, 2019 Share Posted July 23, 2019 (edited) 21 minutes ago, RamblinRed said: 21.6 would be a 59.1% drop. Higher than I was hoping but hardly out of line for this summer after checking previous movies. Here are the First Monday drops for movies released this summer - I did notice that Horror movies tend to have smaller Monday drops. CP - 56.1 ACH - 57.3 FFH - 57.6 (Monday after a Holiday weekend) Yday - 58 TS4 - 58.3 Anna - 59.1 JW3 - 60.7 (late Spring release) Stuber - 61.6 SLOP2 - 65.4 Ma - 66.2 RM - 67.3 KOTM - 68.3 XDP - 68.7 MIB - 72.4 Shaft - 75 Aladdin's first Monday was a Holiday so you can't use it. It's second Monday was -65.8, third Monday -59.8, fourth Monday - 59.6 Men in Black and Shaft also need aristics as their Mondays were the day after fathers day which overly inflates the % drop. Also thank you for pulling this all together, appreciate it. Edited July 23, 2019 by narniadis 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mekanos Posted July 23, 2019 Share Posted July 23, 2019 (edited) Gonna bug me so much if FFH barely misses 400. Maybe Spidey 3 can beat AOU. Edited July 23, 2019 by Mekanos 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brainbug Posted July 23, 2019 Share Posted July 23, 2019 Lion King can get to 600M, 620M, 640M, no problem. However it mustnt pass 652M. 1 7 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JohnnyGossamer Posted July 23, 2019 Share Posted July 23, 2019 16 minutes ago, RamblinRed said: 21.6 would be a 59.1% drop. Higher than I was hoping but hardly out of line for this summer after checking previous movies. Here are the First Monday drops for movies released this summer - I did notice that Horror movies tend to have smaller Monday drops. CP - 56.1 ACH - 57.3 FFH - 57.6 (Monday after a Holiday weekend) Yday - 58 TS4 - 58.3 Anna - 59.1 JW3 - 60.7 (late Spring release) Stuber - 61.6 SLOP2 - 65.4 Ma - 66.2 RM - 67.3 KOTM - 68.3 XDP - 68.7 MIB - 72.4 Shaft - 75 Aladdin's first Monday was a Holiday so you can't use it. It's second Monday was -65.8, third Monday -59.8, fourth Monday - 59.6 Excellent work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sfran43 Posted July 23, 2019 Share Posted July 23, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Permanent Magnet Posted July 23, 2019 Share Posted July 23, 2019 11 minutes ago, Brainbug said: Lion King can get to 600M, 620M, 640M, no problem. However it mustnt pass 652M. Live footage of brainbug stopping TLK from getting to 652M 2 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted July 23, 2019 Author Share Posted July 23, 2019 (edited) 16 minutes ago, Brainbug said: Lion King can get to 600M, 620M, 640M, no problem. However it mustnt pass 652M. *Insert "Oh shit. Here we go again" meme* Edited July 23, 2019 by Charlie Jatinder 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted July 23, 2019 Author Share Posted July 23, 2019 Fine @Brainbug I can let you have this one. Be happy. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brainbug Posted July 23, 2019 Share Posted July 23, 2019 2 minutes ago, Permanent Magnet said: Live footage of brainbug stopping TLK from getting to 652M Its no contest. What choice has the puny cat but to retreat? 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sfran43 Posted July 23, 2019 Share Posted July 23, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Permanent Magnet Posted July 23, 2019 Share Posted July 23, 2019 4 minutes ago, Brainbug said: Its no contest. What choice has the puny cat but to retreat? That's right, this is the land of the mighty T-REX 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cdsacken Posted July 23, 2019 Share Posted July 23, 2019 6 minutes ago, Brainbug said: Its no contest. What choice has the puny cat but to retreat? Lol think you're safe imo 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MrFanaticGuy34 Posted July 23, 2019 Share Posted July 23, 2019 Well, the animated 1994 TLK do have a higher DOM-gross than JP, though. 👩🏻 The Lion King (1994) = $422M Jurassic Park = $402M Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RamblinRed Posted July 23, 2019 Share Posted July 23, 2019 1 hour ago, john2000 said: https://deadline.com/2019/07/the-lion-king-box-office-records-monday-1202651407/ Disney’s The Lion King chalked up the best Monday in July that Disney has ever seen with $21.6M in early estimates This weekend, Lion King will definitely reign again with industry estimates expecting around a -50% decline for a second weekend of $95M Industry projections for Lion King‘s final domestic are between $650M-$700M. (all of this seem very optimistic to me with such minimal info and we all know that we should take this with a HUGE grain of salt, fingers crossed) That is probably slightly aggressive but i'm not expecting a huge drop given just one major release that shouldn't take much from it. I could see something like a -53% drop which would be 90M. I think anything above 90M would all but guarantee 600M+. it was almost 9.1M ahead of I2 after the weekend. Lost about 2M of that yesterday. But it could get that 2M back today. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sfran43 Posted July 23, 2019 Share Posted July 23, 2019 (edited) Edited July 23, 2019 by sfran43 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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