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Eric Duncan

Weekend Thread - Actuals: H&S 25.3, Scary Stories 20.9, TLK 20.2, Dora 17.4, OUATIH 11.6, Racing in Rain 8.1, Kitchen 5.5

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12 minutes ago, Valonqar said:

What happened? 51M including almost 10M from Japan is a pretty sharp drop for TLK OS in comparison to last week no? Or maybe I mixed up numbers. I know that OS will jump with actuals but didn't it make over 100M last week? 

Not at all (i wonder why your insistence on saying week after week that TLK drops are sharp and bad).

 

Last week TLK made intl. 81M    (mon-thu) + 72M (fss).

This week TLK made intl. 42.5M (mon-thu) + 41.5M (fss ... excluding the 9.5M opening from Japan). 

That makes a -47.5% drop (mon-thu) and a -42.3% (fss ... but -29.2% if you include Japan ow numbers on the mix). 

 

So TLK overseas dropped -38.8% (week to week) and -29.2% (weekend to weekend). 

 

At this rate, 1B+ OS shouldn't be in danger. Adding 550M dom, i see it landing on 1.6B+ WW. 

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25 minutes ago, sfran43 said:

 

I think HS also opened in Japan so it has just Italy to come OS-China. Should add 125 more OS-China including Italy taking the tally to 460. 55 more Dom (163.5 total) will give it 515 WW-China.

 

185 from China for 700 WW.

 

Sounds low to be frank...

 

 

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2 minutes ago, meriodejaneiro said:

Not at all (i wonder why your insistence on saying week after week that TLK drops are sharp and bad).

 

Last week TLK made intl. 81M    (mon-thu) + 72M (fss).

This week TLK made intl. 42.5M (mon-thu) + 41.5M (fss ... excluding the 9.5M opening from Japan). 

That makes a -47.5% drop (mon-thu) and a -42.3% (fss ... but -29.2% if you include Japan ow numbers on the mix). 

 

So TLK overseas dropped -38.8% (week to week) and -29.2% (weekend to weekend). 

 

At this rate, 1B+ OS shouldn't be in danger. Adding 550M dom, i see it landing on 1.6B+ WW. 

I'm not insisting at all. I just thought it made over 100M last week but now I think I was mistaken. What I insist on is that OS WOM is better for foreign voices did far better job than critically panned American cast. 

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Rank* Title Friday
8/9

(Estimates)
Saturday
8/10

(Estimates)
Sunday
8/11

(Estimates)
Monday
8/12
1 FAST & FURIOUS PRESENTS: HOBBS & SHAW
Universal

4,344
$7,100,000

+76.2% / $1,634
$90,213,780 / 8
$10,500,000

+47.9% / $2,417
$100,713,780 / 9
$7,800,000

-25.7% / $1,796
$108,513,780 / 10

N/A
2 THE LION KING (2019)
Buena Vista

4,220
$5,717,000

+36.6% / $1,355
$458,820,826 / 22
$8,200,000

+43.4% / $1,943
$467,020,826 / 23
$6,083,000

-25.8% / $1,441
$473,103,826 / 24

N/A
3 SCARY STORIES TO TELL IN THE DARK
Lionsgate

3,135
$8,756,000

-- / $2,793
$8,756,000 / 1
$6,880,000

-21.4% / $2,195
$15,636,000 / 2
$5,164,000

-24.9% / $1,647
$20,800,000 / 3

N/A
4 DORA AND THE LOST CITY OF GOLD
Paramount

3,735
$6,500,000

-- / $1,740
$6,500,000 / 1
$6,030,000

-7.2% / $1,614
$12,530,000 / 2
$4,470,000

-25.9% / $1,197
$17,000,000 / 3

N/A
5 ONCE UPON A TIME IN HOLLYWOOD
Sony / Columbia

3,507
$3,255,000

+64.9% / $928
$91,986,370 / 15
$4,820,000

+48.1% / $1,374
$96,806,370 / 16
$3,525,000

-26.9% / $1,005
$100,331,370 / 17

N/A
6 THE ART OF RACING IN THE RAIN
Fox

2,765
$3,000,000

-- / $1,085
$3,000,000 / 1
$3,000,000

-- / $1,085
$6,000,000 / 2
$2,100,000

-30% / $759
$8,100,000 / 3

N/A
7 SPIDER-MAN: FAR FROM HOME
Sony / Columbia

2,678
$1,485,000

+44.8% / $555
$367,157,490 / 39
$2,155,000

+45.1% / $805
$369,312,490 / 40
$1,660,000

-23% / $620
$370,972,490 / 41

N/A
8 THE KITCHEN (2019)
Warner Bros. (New Line)

2,745
$1,770,000

-- / $645
$1,770,000 / 1
$2,200,000

+24.3% / $801
$3,970,000 / 2
$1,540,000

-30% / $561
$5,510,000 / 3

N/A
9 TOY STORY 4
Buena Vista

2,295
$1,275,000

+24.6% / $556
$416,453,368 / 50
$1,828,000

+43.4% / $797
$418,281,368 / 51
$1,297,000

-29% / $565
$419,578,368 / 52

N/A
10 THE FAREWELL 
A24

704
$633,600

+131.8% / $900
$8,738,031 / 29
$880,050

+38.9% / $1,250
$9,618,081 / 30
$704,040

-20% / $1,000
$10,322,121 / 31

N/A
11 BRING THE SOUL: THE MOVIE
Trafalgar Releasing

873
$711,634

-- / $815
$2,832,792 / 3
$990,536

+39.2% / $1,135
$3,823,328 / 4
$594,321

-40% / $681
$4,417,649 / 5

N/A
12 BRIAN BANKS
Bleecker Street

1,240
$762,922

-- / $615
$762,922 / 1
$803,507

+5.3% / $648
$1,566,429 / 2
$579,364

-27.9% / $467
$2,145,793 / 3

N/A
- YESTERDAY
Universal

866
$330,000

+23.3% / $381
$69,684,730 / 43
$470,000

+42.4% / $543
$70,154,730 / 44
$300,000

-36.2% / $346
$70,454,730 / 45

N/A
- ALADDIN (2019)
Buena Vista

615
$226,000

-19.4% / $367
$352,181,267 / 78
$343,000

+51.8% / $558
$352,524,267 / 79
$250,000

-27.1% / $407
$352,774,267 / 80

N/A
- CRAWL
Paramount

757
$220,000

+23.1% / $291
$37,590,074 / 29
$285,000

+29.5% / $376
$37,875,074 / 30
$195,000

-31.6% / $258
$38,070,074 / 31

N/A
- THE SECRET LIFE OF PETS 2
Universal

402
$120,000

-22% / $299
$156,288,455 / 64
$170,000

+41.7% / $423
$156,458,455 / 65
$120,000

-29.4% / $299
$156,578,455 / 66

N/A
- AVENGERS: ENDGAME
Buena Vista

237
$57,000

+17.8% / $241
$857,776,768 / 106
$87,000

+52.6% / $367
$857,863,768 / 107
$53,000

-39.1% / $224
$857,916,768 / 108

N/A
- LUCE
Neon

24
$44,032

+416.3% / $1,835
$217,440 / 8
$55,825

+26.8% / $2,326
$273,265 / 9
$44,500

-20.3% / $1,854
$317,765 / 10
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I think Hobbs and Shaw is a real thing now not just because there's big diva fights going on behind the scenes. I think that's only just part of it, really. I think producers and executives at Universal can see the decline already happening with the series, and Hobbs and Shaw was an attempt to prevent it, or at least slow it down. It lets them "reboot" the series without really "rebooting" it. The big egos clashing helps facilitate this... but I think no matter what happens, this series' best days are behind it, and now its a question of trying to find a sustainable place for it at the studio before it completely fizzles out.

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Bit surprised at that Dora Sunday drop. Latino-led films usually overperform on Sunday (Latin Lover and Instructions Not Included sometimes increased on Sunday, Coco dropped in the low 20s while everything else dropped in the 30s), so having it just drop in the mid 20s like everyone else is weird. Of course, these are still weekend estimates, so it could change by tomorrow.

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Last weekend people on here complained that Hobbs & Shaw underperformed. Well it’s doing just fine. It’s just like the porn forums I used to go to and they got  all hysterical that Glamour Model Melissa Debling got her boobs done. 

 

Anyway im not here to talk about Melissa Debling, she’s hot but this is box office talk not hot women talk or classic conversation. Hobbs & Shaw took in a decent cruise for the weekend, should finish in the $170 million or so vicinity, as overseas should help out as well! 

 

It was nice to see Once Upon A Time In Hollywood hold strong and pass $100 million this weekend as well. As a fan I Hope late summer legs will help boost the film some momentum. 

 

Scary Stories and Dora pulled in decent debuts for moderate budgeted flicks, Scary Stories should pull in $50 million domestic and Dora should pull in close to $60 million. 

 

As for the other new releases, they were eh to awful. The Kitchen is proving to be that audiences are tired of Melissa McCarthy as it’s her lowest debut yet! Maybe her lowest since her brief roles In duds like Go or Drowning Mona. 

 

The Art Of The Racing In The Rain was expected to do eh. So it’s debut is eh. 

 

Brian Banks looked like Brian Blanks more than anything. 

 

This box office weekend was interesting but I’m not feeling like doing a gigantic analysis this weekend. Only think I was here for this weekend was to be happy on Once Upon A Time In Hollywood passing $100 million, Hobbs & Shaw doing alright, and that silly comparison that I feel sometimes on these forums. 

Edited by Maxmoser3
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2 minutes ago, Maxmoser3 said:

Last weekend people on here complained that Hobbs & Shaw underperformed. Well it’s doing just fine. It’s just like the porn forums I used to go to and they got  all hysterical that Glamour Model Melissa Debling got her boobs done. 

 

Anyway im not here to talk about Melissa Debling, she’s hot but this is box office talk not hot women talk or classic conversation

giphy.gif

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I2

Date
(click to view chart)
Rank Weekend
Gross
%
Change
Theaters Change / Avg. Gross-to-Date Week
#
Jun 15–17 1 $182,687,905 - 4,410 - $41,426 $182,687,905 1
Jun 22–24 2 $80,347,651 -56.0% 4,410 - $18,219 $349,794,341 2
Jun 29–Jul 1 2 $46,417,761 -42.2% 4,410 - $10,526 $440,601,275 3
Jul 6–8 3 $28,406,423 -38.8% 4,113 -297 $6,906 $503,767,837 4

Added 105 more to it's run - 3.7x the 4th weekend

 

TLK

Date
(click to view chart)
Rank Weekend
Gross
%
Change
Theaters Change / Avg. Gross-to-Date Week
#
Jul 19–21 1 $191,770,759 - 4,725 - $40,586 $191,770,759 1
Jul 26–28 1 $76,621,553 -60.0% 4,725 - $16,216 $351,873,087 2
Aug 2–4 2 $38,520,022 -49.7% 4,802 +77 $8,022 $431,163,100 3
Aug 9–11 3 $20,000,000
(Estimate)
-48.1% 4,220 -582 $4,739 $473,103,826
(Estimate)
4

 

 

3.7x this weekend like I2 gives 74 more for 548 dom. But considering it's not matching I2's legs by a distance it's likely to do less than that. Guessing 535+ finish.

Edited by a2k
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48 minutes ago, a2k said:

I think HS also opened in Japan so it has just Italy to come OS-China. Should add 125 more OS-China including Italy taking the tally to 460. 55 more Dom (163.5 total) will give it 515 WW-China.

 

185 from China for 700 WW.

 

Sounds low to be frank...

 

 

South Korea on 14th.

Edited by efialtes76
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