Weekend Thread: Actuals - Jumanji 2 $59.25M | Frozen 2 $19.07M | Knives Out $9.14M | Richard Jewell $4.68M | Black Christmas $4.24M

[filmlover]

3 minutes ago, lorddemaxus said:

I really don't see how people are seeing sub-Shazam numbers tbh.

That actually doesn't seem too off the mark for Birds of Prey for me, at least at the moment. We'll see how the marketing/buzz looks in the weeks leading up to the release.

[TwoMisfits]

Multiplier too low for Birds of Prey - it will get a huge Valentine's weekend bump in its 2nd weekend.  It's an ideal movie for that holiday...

 

I think BoP will be going for $200M+ DOM...DC has a lot of goodwill and momentum built up from its past outings...that tends to pay off - ask Marvel:)...

[DAJK]

6 minutes ago, TwoMisfits said:

Multiplier too low for Birds of Prey - it will get a huge Valentine's weekend bump in its 2nd weekend.  It's an ideal movie for that holiday...

 

I think BoP will be going for $200M+ DOM...DC has a lot of goodwill and momentum built up from its past outings...that tends to pay off - ask Marvel:)...

Why is it an 'ideal' Vday movie?  

[TwoMisfits]

2 minutes ago, DAJK said:

Why is it an 'ideal' Vday movie?  

B/c both parties can ask their special someone to the movie and know it's a good move which has something for each of them:).  And it's a fun comedy, which is always the better play on Valentine's Day, vs a tear-jerker which ruins moods:)...should I go on?:)

[Menor the Destroyer]

11 minutes ago, TwoMisfits said:

Multiplier too low for Birds of Prey - it will get a huge Valentine's weekend bump in its 2nd weekend.  It's an ideal movie for that holiday...

 

I think BoP will be going for $200M+ DOM...DC has a lot of goodwill and momentum built up from its past outings...that tends to pay off - ask Marvel:)...

I think DC movies are a lot less reliant on franchise history than Marvel. For example Aquaman was not really hurt by JL while Shazam probably didn't get much benefit from Aquaman.

[xiazhi]

23 minutes ago, FilmBuff said:

I could see that. Offshoot sequel to a movie nobody really cared about. With a character nobody is wanting to see again.

This movie wishes itself to be another deadpool. Wondering what the buzz was like for deadpool two months before opening?

[edroger3]

2 hours ago, a2k said:

Frozen2

1.76 thu (deadline), 347.36

 

 

If true, for the first time (in forever) F2 is under F1 same day in release. Overall F2 is up 174,96 M$ 

 

F1	F2
15.504.088
11.037.812
26.840.236	42.205.262
25.343.182	50.041.031
15.207.908	38.017.065
2.504.648	12.771.012
2.500.537	20.791.791
1.831.849	24.080.546
1.867.176	14.960.468
6.723.820	34.130.914
15.063.237	32.363.967
9.829.173	19.482.892
2.051.152	3.187.895
2.463.619	5.336.670
1.720.122	2.824.629
1.715.514	2.730.406
5.097.211	7.816.054
10.144.815	16.050.532
7.326.112	11.298.128
1.598.740	1.890.910
2.032.330	3.585.256
1.790.607	2.034.899
2.198.122	1.760.000

[fastclock]

I received a $7 off from Atom to watch Jumanji.

I would be really surprised if this doesn't do well in the OW (at the expense of the P&A cost).

The Atom promotion is not coming from T-Mobile., so it must be sponsored by the movie.

[Eric the Ape]

I dunno, I felt like Birds of Prey was an easy slam dunk on paper, and I'm sure the movie's fun, but it doesn't feel like anyone is talking about it. And yeah, it's still two months from release, and Star Wars and the new trailers are soaking up the conversation, but Suicide Squad two months before release felt like everybody was talking about it.

[The Horror of Lucas Films]

2 hours ago, Eric loves Rey said:

Captain Marvel's PostTrak numbers after previews were 4.5 stars, was 60% males on Thursday, had sexist online backlash that ended up on the news, and arguably had more trolls seeing the movie on account of its story importance (or at least, its supposed story importance) for the biggest movie of all time than trolls seeing a random horror remake.

 

There's a lot of terrible sexism in geek and horror culture, but people hating a lame horror remake...that ain't it.

Are you really trying to compare a MCU movie (that has a gigantic fandom behind it, that always show up on previews/OD to inflate numbers) to a small horror movie? LMFAO. 

[The Horror of Lucas Films]

That BoP prediction is hilarious. It is opening with what they're predicting to be it's total just like Deadpool 1 did.

[MrGlass2]

Now that J3 is out and doing much better than some people predicted, BOP can claim the 'Second Most Underestimated Movie' title... after Cats. 🐱

[Eric the Ape]

Just now, The Horror of Lucas Films said:

Are you really trying to compare a MCU movie (that has a gigantic fandom behind it, that always show up on previews/OD to inflate numbers) to a small horror movie? LMFAO. 

Okay I'll bite. What other movie that had a ton of sexist backlash and still saw attendance, at least on previews, by a majority men, do you want me to compare Black Christmas to?

[Maxmoser3]

That’s really solid for Jumanji! The others I never really saw would do much anyway. 

[RamblinRed]

Second straight week that PBO has downgraded Cats numbers.  Gives LW a nice little boost though.

 

Also, what is MTC1/MTC2?

 

[TwoMisfits]

38 minutes ago, fastclock said:

I received a $7 off from Atom to watch Jumanji.

I would be really surprised if this doesn't do well in the OW (at the expense of the P&A cost).

The Atom promotion is not coming from T-Mobile., so it must be sponsored by the movie.

That's the Chase Pay promotion, good on any movie ticket right now (unless you got an additional very targeted promotion)...

[DAJK]

55 minutes ago, TwoMisfits said:

B/c both parties can ask their special someone to the movie and know it's a good move which has something for each of them:).  And it's a fun comedy, which is always the better play on Valentine's Day, vs a tear-jerker which ruins moods:)...should I go on?:)

I gotta disagree, can’t imagine many couples where both of them would want to see Birds of Prey as the VDay date movie. Wouldn’t say it has something for each of them, it’s definitely more a geek centric movie. And tear jerkers definitely don’t ruin moods on dates

[TwoMisfits]

8 minutes ago, DAJK said:

I gotta disagree, can’t imagine many couples where both of them would want to see Birds of Prey as the VDay date movie. Wouldn’t say it has something for each of them, it’s definitely more a geek centric movie. And tear jerkers definitely don’t ruin moods on dates

Agree to disagree - I know a bunch of married couples who think this is gonna be a great Valentine's outing...so maybe we're the fuddy-duddies.  We are also the ones who thought Deadpool was a great V-Day outing - and it was...

 

Deadpool's OW...

 

Feb 13, 2016    Saturday    1    $42,508,025    -10.2%    -    3,558    $11,947    $89,843,617    2
Feb 14, 2016    Sunday    1    $42,591,022    +0.2%    -    3,558    $11,970    $132,434,639    3

 

That's a Valentine's Day hold for a geeky funny as hell super:)...ala Birds of Prey...

Edited December 13, 2019 by TwoMisfits

[Eric the Ape]

Considering the sexual tension between Sonic and Robotnik in the games, I think it's clear what couples are going to see next Valentine's

[Menor the Destroyer]

1 hour ago, TwoMisfits said:

B/c both parties can ask their special someone to the movie and know it's a good move which has something for each of them:).  And it's a fun comedy, which is always the better play on Valentine's Day, vs a tear-jerker which ruins moods:)...should I go on?:)

Counterpoint: Titanic.

34 minutes ago, The Horror of Lucas Films said:

That BoP prediction is hilarious. It is opening with what they're predicting to be it's total just like Deadpool 1 did.

Where is the hype for the $125 million opening gonna be coming from? Even Joker only managed $96 million.