Weekend Thread: Actuals - Jumanji 2 $59.25M | Frozen 2 $19.07M | Knives Out $9.14M | Richard Jewell $4.68M | Black Christmas $4.24M

[Boxofficerules]

How’s Black Christmas looking today? Walk up king?

[TwoMisfits]

10 minutes ago, Menor said:

Counterpoint: Titanic.

Where is the hype for the $125 million opening gonna be coming from? Even Joker only managed $96 million.

My favorite movie of all time...but I can say it ruined all moods for the rest of the night:).  Not one my spouse would have picked for Valentine's Day (I was an absolute basket case after my 1st watch...now, I can just cry and tear up after my 75th viewing:).

 

And yeah, $125M OW is high for Birds of Prey...I'd think the goal open should be between Shazam and Joker...hopefully closer to Joker...

Edited December 13, 2019 by TwoMisfits

[Blaze Heatnix]

Based on the PostTrak info for Jumanji 2, I predict a B+ / A- CinemaScore

 

The PostTrak info for Black Christmas is very rare, though. 1 star...I guess 1 star would be something close to an F, right?

[YM!]

17 minutes ago, Eric loves Rey said:

Considering the sexual tension between Sonic and Robotnik in the games, I think it's clear what couples are going to see next Valentine's

Especially considering Sonic’s crippling addiction to pornography and most sexiest being alive, Big The Cat. Instant winner.

Edited December 13, 2019 by YourMother the Edgelord

[Eric Duncan]

11 minutes ago, TwoMisfits said:

My favorite movie of all time...but I can say it ruined all moods for the rest of the night:).  Not one my spouse would have picked for Valentine's Day (I was an absolute basket case after my 1st watch...now, I can just cry and tear up after my 75th viewing:).

Regardless, Titanic's highest-grossing day was Valentine's Day. While you may not like the idea of watching a tear-jerker on Valentine's, it's clear there's an audience for those on that day (not even counting the Nicholas Sparks joints that typically pop up in February)

[Legion Again]

1 hour ago, TwoMisfits said:

Multiplier too low for Birds of Prey - it will get a huge Valentine's weekend bump in its 2nd weekend.  It's an ideal movie for that holiday...

 

I think BoP will be going for $200M+ DOM...DC has a lot of goodwill and momentum built up from its past outings...that tends to pay off - ask Marvel:)...

 

1 hour ago, Menor said:

I think DC movies are a lot less reliant on franchise history than Marvel. For example Aquaman was not really hurt by JL while Shazam probably didn't get much benefit from Aquaman.

Exactly what Menor said. The key to strong cinematic universe benefits is that people view all of your movies as connected. For a variety of reasons, most crucially the presence or lack thereof of successful team ups, people (accurately) view DC films as mostly independent right now. It could beat BOP’s initial estimates of course, but it will need to do so on its own merits and marketing, unlike e.g. Squirrel Girl which probably hits 200M just because of the studio name.

[MattW]

1 hour ago, edroger3 said:

If true, for the first time (in forever) F2 is under F1 same day in release. Overall F2 is up 174,96 M$ 

 

F1	F2
15.504.088
11.037.812
26.840.236	42.205.262
25.343.182	50.041.031
15.207.908	38.017.065
2.504.648	12.771.012
2.500.537	20.791.791
1.831.849	24.080.546
1.867.176	14.960.468
6.723.820	34.130.914
15.063.237	32.363.967
9.829.173	19.482.892
2.051.152	3.187.895
2.463.619	5.336.670
1.720.122	2.824.629
1.715.514	2.730.406
5.097.211	7.816.054
10.144.815	16.050.532
7.326.112	11.298.128
1.598.740	1.890.910
2.032.330	3.585.256
1.790.607	2.034.899
2.198.122	1.760.000

Dec 19 vs Dec 12. I think lining them up by the exact day would be better.

 

Friday	$66,498	$42,205,262
Saturday	$92,698	$50,041,031
Sunday	$84,194	$38,017,065
Monday	$47,725	$12,771,012
Tuesday	$51,724	$20,791,974
Wednesday	$15,161,249	$24,080,546
Thursday	$11,037,812	$14,960,468
Friday	$26,840,236	$34,130,914
Saturday	$25,343,182	$32,363,967
Sunday	$15,207,908	$19,482,892
Monday	$2,504,648	$3,187,895
Tuesday	$2,500,537	$5,336,770
Wednesday	$1,831,849	$2,824,699
Thursday	$1,867,176	$2,730,406
Friday	$6,723,820	$7,816,954
Saturday	$15,063,237	$16,050,532
Sunday	$9,829,173	$11,298,128
Monday	$2,051,152	$1,890,910
Tuesday	$2,463,619	$3,585,256
Wednesday	$1,720,122	$2,034,899
Thursday	$1,715,514	$1,760,000
Friday	$5,097,211
Saturday	$10,144,815
Sunday	$7,326,112

 

Not that I think F2 will have as big of a holiday, but F2 is ahead every day except Monday the 9th despite opening earlier.  This weekend will probably be lower, but it's still doing impressively well.

[Krissykins]

2 hours ago, FilmBuff said:

With a character nobody is wanting to see again.

You just made that up 

[Ryan Reynolds]

https://deadline.com/2019/12/jumanji-the-next-level-richard-jewell-black-christmas-opening-weekend-box-office-1202808689/

 

Upper teens J3 today 17.5m-18m Fri, BC bombing 5.3m ow, RJ 6m ow

Edited December 13, 2019 by Ryan Reynolds

[LegendaryBen]

Deadline reports that Richard Jewell is at only $1.8-2m Friday while Black Christmas is at $2m Friday (includes $230,000 previews). This means that Knives Out will be 3rd this weekend!!! YAY for KO!!!

[Pinacolada]

4 minutes ago, Ryan Reynolds said:

https://deadline.com/2019/12/jumanji-the-next-level-richard-jewell-black-christmas-opening-weekend-box-office-1202808689/

 

Upper teens J3 today 17.5m-18m Fri, BC bombing 5m+ ow, RJ under 10m

Hopefully Ford v Ferrari can have a good, low drop

[Ryan Reynolds]

Will Jumanji drop more than 50% next weekend ?

[a2k]

4.7

13.05 [17.75]

18.0 (+38%)

12.5 (-30.5%)

= 48.25

 

High-40s ow is an upswing from where things looked a couple of weeks back imo.

 

Didn't think preview to ow multi would be under 11x by any means but 4pm start and lucrative deals seem to have made their play.

Edited December 13, 2019 by a2k

[Blaze Heatnix]

So, is Black Christmas gonna be the 20th movie to get an F CinemaScore?

 

 

[John Marston]

SHitty weekend. Under 50m is not good for Jumanji 

[Valonqar]

Jumanji will rise from the ashes during holidays. maybe. 

[VanillaSkies]

I know it's very limited this weekend in 4 theatres, but Bombshell is doing gangbuster business at Lincoln Square in NYC.
It's selling out two of their largest screens, and already added a medium size screen 9:15pm show. 
It's likely going to pull a very large PTA this weekend, which combined with it's Globes/SAG nominations will set it up nicely for the Christmas period. 

[Boxofficerules]

Black Christmas has to do better, it’s not evening yet, that's when audiences come out!

[MattW]

I watched about 40 minutes of 6 Underground before turning it off.  Disappointing.

[LegendaryBen]

10 minutes ago, VanillaSkies said:

I know it's very limited this weekend in 4 theatres, but Bombshell is doing gangbuster business at Lincoln Square in NYC.
It's selling out two of their largest screens, and already added a medium size screen 9:15pm show. 
It's likely going to pull a very large PTA this weekend, which combined with it's Globes/SAG nominations will set it up nicely for the Christmas period. 

Any box office predictions for it when it release wide next weekend?