Weekend Thread: Actuals - Jumanji 2 $59.25M | Frozen 2 $19.07M | Knives Out $9.14M | Richard Jewell $4.68M | Black Christmas $4.24M

[a2k]

Variety 16-18 Fri, so nothing new

Quote

Sony's year-end event pic Jumanji: The Next Level is off to a solid start at the weekend box office, where it's on course to earn $16 million to $18 million Friday for a projected debut of $45 million-plus, according to early matinee returns.

https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/box-office-jumanji-next-level-nabs-47m-thursday-previews-1262508

[Boxofficerules]

You think Black Christmas will hurt the Blumhouse brand?

[The Horror of Lucas Films]

Just now, Boxofficerules said:

You think Black Christmas will hurt the Blumhouse brand?

 

The BH brand has been quite weak this year, I hope they will recover some heat next year. 

[charlie Jatinder]

I am still sleepy head but

13-13.5

4.25-4.5

[Blaze Heatnix]

9 minutes ago, Boxofficerules said:

You think Black Christmas will hurt the Blumhouse brand?

 

If they keep making bad movies, then yes.

 

Halloween sequel will probably help Blumhouse next year, but a bad film ( Black Christmas ) is still a bad movie.

[cdsacken]

9 hours ago, Spaghetti said:

Honestly I could see it challenge $60m for the weekend, but it would have to play REALLY well to families tomorrow.

Under 50 is more likely than 60. I will stick with 50.

[LegendaryBen]

3 minutes ago, Jedi Jat said:

I am still sleepy head but

13-13.5

4.25-4.5

Thanks. Anything on RJ and/or BC?

[JB33]

1 minute ago, cdsacken said:

Under 50 is more likely than 60. I will stick with 50.

Yeah, it's looking like it. It may very well be almost as frontloaded as Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse. Still not counting $50M out though. We'll have to see if word of mouth carries it to a really strong Saturday.

[a2k]

3 minutes ago, Jedi Jat said:

I am still sleepy head but

13-13.5

4.25-4.5

 

[cdsacken]

6 hours ago, TwoMisfits said:

Multiplier too low for Birds of Prey - it will get a huge Valentine's weekend bump in its 2nd weekend.  It's an ideal movie for that holiday...

 

I think BoP will be going for $200M+ DOM...DC has a lot of goodwill and momentum built up from its past outings...that tends to pay off - ask Marvel:)...

It's not really a super hero film though and it's IP is non existent versus Joker. The film won't get anywhere near the quality of reviews or audience rating of Joker. It doesn't look anything like Aquaman or WW either. I love Harley's character, everything else ......not so much.

[FilmBuff]

7 minutes ago, Jedi Jat said:

I am still sleepy head but

13-13.5

4.25-4.5

[a2k]

So Gitesh was accurate with high 30s guess after 4.7 previews.

[VanillaSkies]

1 minute ago, a2k said:

So Gitesh was accurate with high 30s guess after 4.7 previews.

4.7 previews + 13 - 13.5 = 17.7 - 18.2
With a strong Saturday, 40m is pretty much the minimum at this point...

[Alli]

17 minutes ago, Jedi Jat said:

I am still sleepy head but

13-13.5

4.25-4.5

Including previews??????????????

[a2k]

Just now, VanillaSkies said:

4.7 previews + 13 - 13.5 = 17.7 - 18.2
With a strong Saturday, 40m is pretty much the minimum at this point...

I think @Jedi Jat means full Friday including previews cause that's whats usually given?

[Blaze Heatnix]

So, any guesses on CinemaScores tonight?

 

I think Jumanji 2, Black Christmas and that Eastwood movie are the only ones getting a wide release, right?

 

Jumanji 2- A- / B+

 

Black Christmas- D / D- / F

 

Eastwood movie- B

[JB33]

11 minutes ago, a2k said:

So Gitesh was accurate with high 30s guess after 4.7 previews.

He was likely giving true Friday estimates. I'd be beyond shocked if 13-15 was the combined Friday estimate!

[a2k]

1 minute ago, JB33 said:

He was likely giving true Friday estimates. I'd be beyond shocked if 13-15 was the combined Friday estimate!

Hoping that's the case. Defn is more realistic.

[Eric the Ape]

29 minutes ago, Jedi Jat said:

I am still sleepy head but

13-13.5

4.25-4.5

So Jumanji is on the high-end of Variety/Deadline's estimates, and Frozen jumped about like 150% from yesterday. That seems good for both

 

@a2k nah Charlie usually posts True Friday numbers. Trust me.

[narniadis]

9 minutes ago, a2k said:

I think @Jedi Jat means full Friday including previews cause that's whats usually given?

Not on Friday 😁 i had same issue with frozen