YM! Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 As stressors of the year have already started for me, I begun to think of next year’s upcoming box office. 2020 while likely won’t be as big as 2019, it’s definitely more interesting. 2021 seems to be the year going back to status quo. Will Jimbo reclaim his title as box office king? Will Papa Feige rule once more? Will Indiana Jones even come out next year? Discuss your thoughts here. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JWR Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 It's admittedly early, but I think that The Batman has a chance of dethroning Jurassic World for the title of biggest opening weekend in June. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JGAR4LIFE Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 Bold predictions -biggest box office year -Batman and Thor claiming June and November OW record -Avatar 2 $1.8B WW 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YM! Posted January 17, 2020 Author Share Posted January 17, 2020 Top 10 of 2021 - OW/DOM/WW Avatar 2 - $165M/$650M/$2.5B Thor: Love and Thunder - $175M/$450M/$1.15B Jurassic World 3 - $160M/$455M/$1.4B The Little Mermaid? (If November 21) - $115M/$400M/$1.2B The Batman - $125M/$375M/$1B Spider-Man 3 - $135M/$375M/$1.05B Strange 2 - $115M/$325M/$900M Shang Chi - $110M/$300M/$925M The Matrix - $125M/$300M/$850M Twocide - $100M/$265M/$700M Furious 10 does a run similar to Fate ($220M/$1.2B) Vivo breaks out with a $200M DOM gross Beasts 3 sees a big drop, Black Adam does around $175-$190M 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonwo Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 Space Jam 2 might do well for WB/WAG although would need to see footage first before making a judgement. I can see it moving to June as to avoid both Spider-Man and Mission Impossible. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cdsacken Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 With fallen kingdom plummeting hard to see that. Avatar 2.5 is a good guess, massive range. I want Batman to do 1.5+ Billion but could do less than 1 easily. So many variables 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YM! Posted January 18, 2020 Author Share Posted January 18, 2020 57 minutes ago, cdsacken said: With fallen kingdom plummeting hard to see that. Avatar 2.5 is a good guess, massive range. I want Batman to do 1.5+ Billion but could do less than 1 easily. So many variables I mean, Fallen Kingdom had a decent drop, and it’s not like there was division between the GA. It’s more of an AOU size drop. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eric Wick Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 Spitballing off the top of my head w/out much thought: Fatherhood: 90M Mortal Kombat: 70M Cinderella: 110M Shang-Chi: 360M Jackass: 100M Paranormal Activity 7: 80M Tomb Raider 2: 45M Boss Baby 2: 85M Fast & Furious 10: 200M Doctor Strange 2: 375M John Wick 4: 200M Matrix 4: 310M Cruella: 140M Jurassic World 3: 430M The Batman: 560M Sing 2: 120M Indy 5: Never happening Space Jam 2: 80M Spider-Man 3: 405M Mission: Impossible 7: 230M The Suicide Squad: 200M Elvis: 160M Halloween Ends: 75M Thor: Love and Thunder: 400M Fantastic Beasts 3: 70M Avatar 2: 720M Black Adam: 230M Wicked: 210M Hotel Translyvania 4: 135M For the record, I didn't think about this very hard, please don't yell at me 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YM! Posted January 18, 2020 Author Share Posted January 18, 2020 20 minutes ago, Eric Dolittle said: The Batman: 560M Why so high? 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eric Wick Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 10 minutes ago, YourMother the Edgelord said: Why so high? Outside looking in, it feels like the hype is already there. Every time a new piece of casting info drops, it trends like crazy on social media, which is hard, almost impossible for any other major franchise. Obviously every big property trends, but it's usually when there's a initial announcement, a trailer, or one or two cast members get signed on. The Batman I saw Pattinson, Kravitz, Dano, Farrell, even Jonah Hill trending, which seems pretty uncommon. Marvel's the only one that comes close to doing that, and even then I don't remember David Harbour trending when he joined Black Widow. Outside of that, Batman is still intensely beloved, the creative team is solid, the set photos seem promising, and I think WB will treat this very well in the marketing department. Obviously I'll change my mind once we get closer to 2021, but I just think this will surprise. 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
excel1 Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 Batman blowing up would only be a surprise to a fool. TDK and TDKR did/would have set the admissions records; hell TDK was the 2nd biggest film of all time when it was released. Social media and pop culture is STILL full of references to those films. Joker huge. Good reviews and THE BATMAN is breaking $250m opening weekend. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAJK Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 Lol I haven't even given 2020 enough thought to be thinking about 2021 yet. But idk I'm going to wait and see what sort of tone they're going for in The Batman before predicting. I could see anything between 300-500M to be honest. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NamakFiskKa Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 3 hours ago, YourMother the Edgelord said: Why so high? Wonder Woman & Aquaman were barely tested before but had great results compared to the main film brand that were Batman. Joker with Rated R restriction was effectively able to leverage TDK legacy with even greater results so there is some solid BO clout behind this Bat joint imo Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PKMLover Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 Avatar 2 DOM: OW $160M, 5.5x legs, $880M China: OW $350M, 3x legs, $1.05B Rest: $1.5B Total: $3.43B 1 1 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madhuvan Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 Avatar 2 may become first 3b+ movie. I know Europe and NA may decrease but Asia is going to increase crazy. I can see Asia going overall 2.5x of Avatar. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madhuvan Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 Batman is going to do massive. I have already said that sequel to this movie is 2bn+ Batman 1.2b Batman 2 2b+ Thor Love and Thunder will come 2nd behind Avatar. It is very hyped movie plus Thor has become crazy popular Thor 4 1.3b-1.45b Doctor Strange is going to good. Need to know the director but still 1b is possible. Shang-Chi is the underdog. It has the potential to do 1.5b WW. Interesting to track the box office will be. Mission Impossible will finally have a 1b+ movie. Tom Cruise needs a billie and he will get it. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madhuvan Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 Very conflicted on SM3. I want this movie to crash and burn. But it is likely 1.2bn+ contender. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JWR Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 4 hours ago, excel1 said: Batman blowing up would only be a surprise to a fool. TDK and TDKR did/would have set the admissions records; hell TDK was the 2nd biggest film of all time when it was released. Social media and pop culture is STILL full of references to those films. Joker huge. Good reviews and THE BATMAN is breaking $250m opening weekend. $210-220m sounds more reasonable for The Batman. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Coldbird Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 2021 seems to be a year of box office drama 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lorddemaxus Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 (edited) For the superhero movies: The Batman - 520mil/1.35 bil Spider-man 3: 450mil/1.2 bil Thor 3: 380 mil/1.15 bil Dr Strange 2 - 320/1.05bil Suicide Squad - 290 mil/800 mil (I think WB could incorporate some sort of synergy with Batman here even if they are part of different universes similar to what Sony did with Venom) Black Adam - 180 mil/500 mil Few other blockbusters: Avatar 2 - 650 mil/2 bil Jurassic World 3: 350 mil/1.3 bil F&F 10: 220 mil/1.1 bil The Matrix 4: 380 mil/950 mil Mission Impossible 7: 260 mil/820 mil (The final film will cross 300 mil dom and a billion WW) Edited January 18, 2020 by lorddemaxus Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
