Halloween Weekend Thread | D:$15.53m HK: $8.5m NTTD: $7.82m

[Cmasterclay]

Theaters can get back to normal one day, but the recovery is going to take years, not months. Right now, nobody is talking about anything but the biggest releases. My insistence is that we can't have another round of delays or VOD releases, because then we will never, ever get back to normal. We are going to pretty much have to sacrificial lamb months of films in order to cue people that movies are a thing again and slowly build back brick by brick. Sucks but it is the reality. Gonna have to willingly take alot of Ls to get back to a W, like a team tanking for draft picks. Trust the process.

[wildphantom]

21 minutes ago, filmlover said:

I saw The Last Duel yesterday (as one of the movies I wanted to check out before they quickly vanished from theaters, Last Night in Soho is next) and while it's understandable why turnout for it was so dismal (especially in this climate - it's definitely not a movie to see if you're looking for a fun night out away from all the bad stuff in the world these days) the fact it did so poorly is why it's unlikely to completely fade away and will endure as a movie that deserved a lot better than it did.

Yep. It’s terrific. 

[filmlover]

5 minutes ago, Felipe said:

 

😭

Wow was this frontloaded. Clearly it really only appealed to Edgar Wright's niche fanbase and literally nobody else.

[titanic2187]

I just realised Paramount re-release AQP2, is AQP2 a Halloween theme movie?

Oct 29, 2021

-

$88,000

615

$143

$160,160,261

23

[Utente]

Dune 15,5M

[Felipe]

Dune collected an estimated $15.53M during its second weekend, bringing the domestic total to $69.4M

 

FRI $5,000,000 
SAT $6,600,000 (+32%)
SUN $3,930,000 (-40%)

[Felipe]

 

[TalismanRing]

 

[Legion Again]

-62%

 

Not great, not terrible. 

[filmlover]

Honestly all of the drops this weekend seem acceptable since, like 4th of July, people were allowed to celebrate Halloween as usual for the first time in two years (after being forced to take a sabbatical in 2020 for obvious reasons).

[TalismanRing]

1	(1)	Dune	Warner Bros.	$15,530,000	-62%	4,125	n/c	$3,765	$69,401,232	2
2	(2)	Halloween Kills	Universal	$8,500,000	-41%	3,616	-111	$2,351	$85,633,610	3
3	(3)	No Time to Die	United Ar…	$7,818,525	-36%	3,507	-300	$2,229	$133,329,260	4
-	(4)	Venom: Let There be C…	Sony Pict…	$5,750,000	-38%	3,278	-235	$1,754	$190,441,558	5
-	N	Antlers	Searchlig…	$4,160,000		2,800		$1,486	$4,160,000	1
-	N	Last Night in Soho	Focus Fea…	$4,160,000		3,016		$1,379	$4,160,000	1
-	(5)	Ron’s Gone Wrong	20th Cent…	$3,828,000	-48%	3,560	n/c	$1,075	$12,639,987	2
-	(6)	The Addams Family 2	United Ar…	$3,276,353	-27%	2,757	-150	$1,188	$52,857,872	5
-	(9)	The French Dispatch	Searchlig…	$2,759,000	+105%	788	+736	$3,501	$4,636,210	2
-	(8)	Shang-Chi and the Leg…	Walt Disney	$1,078,000	-47%	1,115	-485	$967	$222,758,241	9
-	(7)	The Last Duel	20th Cent…	$558,000	-73%	950	-2,115	$587	$10,076,470	3
-	(-)	A Quiet Place: Part II	Paramount…	$88,000		615		$143	$160,160,261	23
-	(-)	Free Guy	20th Cent…	$77,000	-69%	185	-195	$416	$121,395,119	12
-	(-)	Candyman	Universal	$59,000	-63%	659	-127	$90	$61,130,565	10
-	N	Heart of Champions	Vertical …	$37,000		102		$363	$37,000	1
-	(-)	Lamb	A24	$36,790	-77%	145	-290	$254	$2,676,410	4
-	(-)	Jungle Cruise	Walt Disney	$34,000	-45%	100	-45	$340	$116,903,599	14
-	(-)	Dear Evan Hansen	Universal	$30,000	-74%	292	-197	$103	$14,899,905	6
-	N	The Souvenir Part II	A24	$26,485		3		$8,828	$26,485	1
-	(-)	Mass	Bleecker …	$18,456	-22%	77	+18	$240	$122,200	4
-	(-)	The Eyes of Tammy Faye	Searchlig…	$5,000	-48%	20	-5	$250	$2,397,200

[TwoMisfits]

55 minutes ago, Cmasterclay said:

Theaters can get back to normal one day, but the recovery is going to take years, not months. Right now, nobody is talking about anything but the biggest releases. My insistence is that we can't have another round of delays or VOD releases, because then we will never, ever get back to normal. We are going to pretty much have to sacrificial lamb months of films in order to cue people that movies are a thing again and slowly build back brick by brick. Sucks but it is the reality. Gonna have to willingly take alot of Ls to get back to a W, like a team tanking for draft picks. Trust the process.

 

You must have been a Philadelphia Sixers fan a while ago:)...

Edited October 31, 2021 by TwoMisfits

[John Marston]

Surprised Last Night in Soho is opening that badly. The trailer was pretty great 

[von Kenni]

44 minutes ago, Felipe said:

Dune collected an estimated $15.53M during its second weekend, bringing the domestic total to $69.4M

 

FRI $5,000,000 
SAT $6,600,000 (+32%)
SUN $3,930,000 (-40%)

 

32 minutes ago, Avatar Legion said:

-62%

 

Not great, not terrible. 

 

Hard to estimate weekend drop without knowing the true weekday numbers but the lower than expected weekday total would lover the weekend estimate in any case. Instead of the 50-55% drop estimate I'd put it around $15.8-17.9m, 56-61% drop. But wouldn't trust my new model as much as the previous without knowing those exact weekday numbers. Gut tells to keep it cool and go for 19.

 

<- Hopefully actuals will get it couple decimals closer to $16m but numbers were closer (new model) and gut was ultimately wishful, biased BS.

 

Sunday drop was expected but would have hoped a higher Sat bump starting with 4.

 

[WrathOfHan]

1 hour ago, Cmasterclay said:

Theaters can get back to normal one day, but the recovery is going to take years, not months. Right now, nobody is talking about anything but the biggest releases. My insistence is that we can't have another round of delays or VOD releases, because then we will never, ever get back to normal. We are going to pretty much have to sacrificial lamb months of films in order to cue people that movies are a thing again and slowly build back brick by brick. Sucks but it is the reality. Gonna have to willingly take alot of Ls to get back to a W, like a team tanking for draft picks. Trust the process.

NWH, Sing, and seemingly Ghostbusters (if the 45-65M tracking holds and the budget is under 2016's 145M) are the only guaranteed profits for the rest of the year. A month like October isn't going to happen again until spring at the earliest.

[Utente]

So is it doing 100-110M Dom or it's out of discussion? 

[Avatree]

1 hour ago, titanic2187 said:

I just realised Paramount re-release AQP2, is AQP2 a Halloween theme movie?

Oct 29, 2021

-

$88,000

615

$143

$160,160,261

23

Well any horror movie is a Halloween movie.

[WrathOfHan]

1 minute ago, Utente said:

So is it doing 100-110M Dom or it's out of discussion? 

100M isn't off the table but it needs good holds in November once it loses IMAX. A fudge might be in order.

[von Kenni]

1 minute ago, Utente said:

So is it doing 100-110M Dom or it's out of discussion? 

If the final drop is in that 62% it can make over 100 and probably more probable (~60%ish chance) than not but 110 gets harder. Need to see actuals and also seeing Monday helps to evaluate better. Then next stop Eternals when the IMAX/PLFs are taken away from Dune. Week from now on Tuesday we'll probably know better unless it's exactly in that middle ground and we will be biting our nails for some time.

[Krissykins]

Antlers and Last Night in Soho both opening to similar numbers to “Freaky” isn’t good at all. Freaky released at one of the worst points of the whole pandemic. 
 

Third bomb in three weeks for Disney/Fox.