The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

[JustLurking]

The Shazam numbers are getting downright hilarious. At this point I don't think this will clear even 150M ww. Holy shit.

[Borobudur]

These numbers remind me of the week leading up TSS disaster

[Firepower]

2 hours ago, BadOlCatSylvester said:

I wouldn't pop that champagne just yet. This and Ant-Man 3 feel like flukes to me. The latter didn't work with general audiences while the former was fucked the moment Gunn came aboard.

Guardians underperfomance would be a confirmation. Or not.

[BadOlCatSylvester]

Eric and Porthos's recent updates gave me the adrenaline boost I needed. Check out my club!

[Firepower]

My bad boy Shazam is doin' some serious bizz right there.

[katnisscinnaplex]

23 hours ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
D&D	T-17	Jax	5	43	10	48	6,624	0.72%
		Phx	6	24	5	28	4,821	0.58%
		Ral	7	28	5	31	4,346	0.71%
	Total		18	95	20	107	15,791	0.68%
D&D (3-26 EA)	T-13	Jax	4	4	4	13	450	2.89%
		Phx	1	1	3	3	123	2.44%
		Ral	2	2	2	2	387	0.52%
	Total		7	7	9	18	960	1.88%
D&D (3-29 EA)	T-16	Jax	5	5	0	0	1,456	0.00%
		Phx	1	1	0	0	410	0.00%
		Ral	1	1	0	0	261	0.00%
	Total		7	7	0	0	2,127	0.00%
John Wick 4	T-10	Jax	6	42	18	309	7,238	4.27%
		Phx	6	28	23	362	5,746	6.30%
		Ral	8	37	19	311	5,199	5.98%
	Total		20	107	60	982	18,183	5.40%
Shazam 2	T-3	Jax	5	56	23	209	9,457	2.21%
		Phx	6	29	19	216	6,134	3.52%
		Ral	8	54	24	217	7,817	2.78%
	Total		19	139	66	642	23,408	2.74%
Super Mario	T-23	Jax	6	119	31	230	18,328	1.25%
		Phx	6	48	9	276	8,167	3.38%
		Ral	8	105	32	384	14,507	2.65%
	Total		19	272	72	890	41,002	2.17%

 

Shazam 2 T-3 comps

 - Sonic 2 - .725x (3.61m)

 - Fantastic Beasts 3 - .342x (2.05m)

 - No Time to Die - missed

 - F9 - .443x (3.15m)

 - Ghostbusters - .702x (2.91m)

 - Shang-Chi - .353x (3.11m)

 - Venom 2 - .402x (4.67m)

 - Black Adam - missed

 - Suicide Squad - 1.04x (4.27m)

 - Free Guy - 2.1x (4.63m)

 - Creed III (Total) - .827x (4.51m)

 - Snake Eyes - 3.89x (5.45m)

 - Jungle Cruise - 2.69x (7.25m)

 

Gonna keep throwing comps at it because it certainly isn't performing like a CBM

 

John Wick 4 T-10 comps

 - Suicide Squad - 3.25x (13.33m)

 - F9 - 1.215x (8.63m)

 - No Time to Die - 2.08x (10.82m)

 - Top Gun 2 - .445x (6.54m)

 - Jurassic 3 - .403x (7.14m)

 - Scream VI - 1.343x (7.66m)

 

D&D T-17 comps

 - F9 - .243x (1.72m)

 - Sonic 2 - .391x (1.94m)

 - Shazam 2 - missed

 - Knock at the Cabin - 1.75x (2.54m)

 - Cocaine Bear - 1.754x (2.08m)

 

Super Mario T-23 comps

 - DBZ - 2.528x (10.88m)

 - Black Widow - .82x (10.82m)

 - Thor 4 - .264x (7.65m)

 - JW3 - .582x (10.3m)

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
D&D	T-16	Jax	5	43	9	57	6,624	0.86%
		Phx	6	24	6	34	4,821	0.71%
		Ral	8	36	11	42	5,095	0.82%
	Total		19	103	26	133	16,540	0.80%
D&D (3-26 EA)	T-12	Jax	4	4	2	15	450	3.33%
		Phx	1	1	0	3	123	2.44%
		Ral	2	2	6	8	387	2.07%
	Total		7	7	8	26	960	2.71%
D&D (3-29 EA)	T-15	Jax	5	5	2	2	1,456	0.14%
		Phx	1	1	0	0	410	0.00%
		Ral	1	1	0	0	261	0.00%
	Total		7	7	2	2	2,127	0.09%
John Wick 4	T-9	Jax	6	42	7	316	7,238	4.37%
		Phx	6	28	38	400	5,746	6.96%
		Ral	8	37	19	330	5,199	6.35%
	Total		20	107	64	1,046	18,183	5.75%
Shazam 2	T-2	Jax	6	57	41	250	9,626	2.60%
		Phx	6	29	11	227	6,134	3.70%
		Ral	8	54	21	238	7,817	3.04%
	Total		20	140	73	715	23,577	3.03%
Super Mario	T-22	Jax	6	119	24	254	18,328	1.39%
		Phx	6	48	9	285	8,167	3.49%
		Ral	8	105	11	395	14,507	2.72%
	Total		19	272	44	934	41,002	2.28%

 

Shazam 2 T-2 comps

 - Sonic 2 - .67x (3.32m)

 - Fantastic Beasts 3 - .333x (2m)

 - No Time to Die - missed

 - F9 - .413x (2.93m)

 - Ghostbusters - .655x (2.72m)

 - Shang-Chi - .341x (3m)

 - Venom 2 - .353x (4.09m)

 - Black Adam - .384x (2.92m)

 - Suicide Squad - .98x (4.02m)

 - Free Guy - 2.04x (4.48m)

 - Creed III (Total) - .763x (4.16m)

 - Snake Eyes - 3.12x (4.37m)

 - Jungle Cruise - 2.18x (5.89m)

 - Eternals - .237x (2.25m)

 - Snake Eyes - 3.12x (4.37m)

 

Finally fell below Suicide Squad here.  All CBM comps averaged are pointing to 2.34m (and dropping) 

 

John Wick 4 T-9 comps

 - Suicide Squad - 3.31x (13.57m)

 - F9 - 1.211x (8.6m)

 - No Time to Die - 1.985x (10.32m)

 - Top Gun 2 - .451x (6.62m)

 - Jurassic 3 - .402x (7.11m)

 - Scream VI - 1.393x (7.94m)

 - Dune - 1.527x (7.79m)

 - Matrix 4 (OD) - .792x (5.05m)

 - Bullet Train (Total) - 3.43x (15.78m)

 

D&D T-16 comps

 - F9 - .264x (1.87m)

 - Sonic 2 - .462x (2.3m)

 - Shazam 2 - .36x

 - Knock at the Cabin - 1.73x (2.5m)

 - Cocaine Bear - 1.22x (2.44m)

 

Super Mario T-22 comps

 - DBZ - 2.53x (10.89m)

 - Black Widow - .72x (9.53m)

 - Thor 4 - .246x (7.13m)

 - JW3 - .599x (10.61m)

 - Sonic 2 (Total) - 4.115x (25.7m)

[screambaby]

Shazam doing cocaine bear  previews and OW lmao

Edited March 14, 2023 by screambaby

[thajdikt]

5 hours ago, BadOlCatSylvester said:

I wouldn't pop that champagne just yet. This and Ant-Man 3 feel like flukes to me. The latter didn't work with general audiences while the former was fucked the moment Gunn came aboard.

Agreed. When a big movie that is is generally well received does something like what Ant-Man 3 did then people can pop the champagne. Shazam 1 didn´t really do anything in a time where CBM movies where popping out 1B movies like it was nothing and Ant-Man 2 just got 622 when MCU was it highest. Shazam was always doomed and Ant-Man 3 (domestic at least) had the interest they just dropped the ball so hard.

[TwoMisfits]

5 hours ago, EliasChristensen said:

The numbers for "Shazam 2" look...horrendous. 😵 

 

The whole DCU chaos and the behavior of the leading actor seem to pay off. It would be hilarious if this would become a second Morbius box office wise...😁 

 

I wonder if everything's "gucci" between Zachary Levi and James Gunn when this bombs big time. 🙆‍♂️

 

Shazam really, REALLY needed a $5 PLF TMobile/Atom ticket deal...they don't have one, so no bump for that coming today...

 

St Patrick's Day and March Madness give folks a lot of things to do this weekend other than watch a subpar movie...and then we move to the next movie and this movie gets washed away in 2 weeks...

Edited March 14, 2023 by TwoMisfits

[Dale Cooper]

At this point in my town here in Sweden Shazam has sold 247 tickets in total for Wed-Sun. To give a picture of just how bad it is, Avatar had sold about 400 presale tickets for last Sunday on Saturday. I expected it to be bad but this is so bad it absolutely have to pick up (not least because the first one actually did decent business here).

Edited March 14, 2023 by Dale Cooper

[Hiccup23]

Madison/Milwaukee Area Previews for John Wick 4

 

Really strong start. Theaters really only have 2-3 showtimes and more will get added as we get closer. 

 

	Total Sold	Total Seats	Percent Sold	# of           Showings
John Wick 4	479	5,594	8.6%	28

[filmlover]

It would be nuts if this made less than Fantastic Four '15.

[Joyous Legion]

31 minutes ago, filmlover said:

It would be nuts if this made less than Fantastic Four '15.

Fant4stic:

OW 25.7

Ow adjusted ~33.5

dom 56.1

DOM adjusted ~73.2

Dark Phoenix

OW 32.8

Ow adjusted ~39.4

dom 65.8

DOM adjusted ~79
 

This will presumably be an actually good movie unlike those two and comfortably better legs, but thinking it lands over both dom (though maybe not dp?) and under both dom admits.

 

Morb adjusted OW over 40, total like 77.

Edited March 14, 2023 by Favorite Fearless Legion

[filmlover]

7 minutes ago, Favorite Fearless Legion said:

Fant4stic:

OW 25.7

Ow adjusted ~33.5

dom 56.1

DOM adjusted ~73.2

Dark Phoenix

OW 32.8

Ow adjusted ~39.4

dom 65.8

DOM adjusted ~79
 

This will presumably be an actually good movie unlike those two and comfortably better legs, but thinking it lands over both dom (though maybe not dp?) and under both dom admits.

 

Morb adjusted OW over 40, total like 77.

The fact the embargo is less than 24 hours before its first showtimes leads me to believe they're not expecting reviews to be good for this.

[BadOlCatSylvester]

51 minutes ago, filmlover said:

The fact the embargo is less than 24 hours before its first showtimes leads me to believe they're not expecting reviews to be good for this.

Another sign is the early reactions that have been released being almost entirely from bloggers. Barely any actual ones from critics.

[DAJK]

ONE TICKET BABY! WE'VE NOW SOLD 1 TICKET FOR SHAZAM!

 

Morbius had better watch out, Shazam is coming for its second weekend.

[Tinalera]

Shazam 2

Thurs Mar 16 Fri Mar 17 (T-3)

Vancouver and Calgary Canada

 

		# theatre	#show	Seats Sold	Seats Rem	Ttl seat	Percent
Vancouve	Thurs	3	18	78	3829	3907	0.0199
	Fri	3	22	130	4876	5006	0.0259
		# theatre	#show	Seats Sold	Seats Rem	Ttl seat	Percent
Calgary	Thurs	3	24	34	4596	4630	0.0073
	Fri	3	22	54	4833	4887	0.0110

 

Antman Quantum comparison for T-3

 

		# theatre	#show	Seats Sold	Seats Rem	Ttl seat	Percent
Vancouve	Thurs	4	29	1414	4448	5862	0.2412
	Fri	3	25	1325	3552	4877	0.2716
		# theatre	#show	Seats Sold	Seats Rem	Ttl seat	Percent
Calgary	Thurs	4	30	735	5992	6327	0.1161
	Fri	4	30	640	5935	6575	0.0973

 

 

Canada not seeming to really dig Shazam it seems. 

[MightyDargon]

Please post more Honor Among Thieves stats. Dead people know Shazam is dead at this point.

I do know that (for a long time anyway) people were rationalizing the late embargo end as "normal for superhero movies" but Shazam 2 feels like it ends right before release. Is this just my mind playing tricks on me? If they had wanted to build buzz they should have done what D&D did.

Edited March 14, 2023 by MightyDargon

[TheFlatLannister]

7 hours ago, Firepower said:

Guardians underperfomance would be a confirmation. Or not.

Depends on reception. If it isn't received well, then yeah it will underperform. If it is received well and simultaneously underperforms, then the alarms should be sounded at Marvel studios 

[TwoMisfits]

So, my 2 locals set for this Friday.  Yeah, Shazam has a rough cap of Scream's open b/c my locals did not expand their Shazam offerings with 1 local adding zero showings (so it stays 2 screens, 8 showings) and the other adding just 1 small screen showing (for 2+ screens, 9 showings).

 

Smallest supers set, even for DC, that I remember in a long time...

 

As for other movies, Scream holds 2 screens, Creed holds 2 screens at the bigger local but drops to 1 at the smaller, Jesus and Cocaine Bear (and Ant Man) keep a full screen, and Champions and 65 both also keep full screens b/c there's nothing better with just 1 big opener (heck, the theaters continued to hold their single showing of Puss, just b/c they don't have faith in Shazam's family draw)...