The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

[keysersoze123]

2 minutes ago, TheFlatLannister said:

Depends on what TC you're using. Here (Across 5 chains) EA is accounting for over 30% of the preview presales

If you look at his posts he is looking nationally across multiple TC. 

[excel1]

Remember BLACK ADAMs opening weekend was heavily stunted by the poor reviews. It had a strong presales to total multiple but would have been even better. 

[charlie Jatinder]

9 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

I dont how that can happen with limited shows at MTC1. Unless its playing at similar levels at all MTC and also it almost sells out everywhere. 

 

I wish @katnisscinnaplex could grab the show count for Wednesday. 

MTC 2 numbers are also good no? Sold

aeound 10k tix

[charlie Jatinder]

MiniTC2 as always is big on EA with 1.3k tix, making half of total sales.

[TheFlatLannister]

16 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

If you look at his posts he is looking nationally across multiple TC. 

But Cinepolis and EPIC aren't captured right? Because those are really selling well here. 

[keysersoze123]

3 minutes ago, TheFlatLannister said:

But Cinepolis and EPIC aren't captured right? Because those are really selling well here. 

They dont move the needle that much when you look at the  big picture. 

 

Anyway I dont know. Let us see how things go this week. Let us hope you are right here. 

[rehpyc]

Ignore my last post.. EA sales aren't as dire as first noticed. The MTC is just inconsistent with its scheduling of the distinct film code. EA is actually about 50% of Thursday's sales..

[eXtacy]

Is there anything for the rest of year that could break into the top 3 openings weekends, so above 118m Guardians number.

 

Maybe "The Marvels" seems like the best chance, especially now after some quality CBM's restoring the genre. Outside chances in wildcards Barbie and MI7. 

 

 

[Cooper Legion]

31 minutes ago, eXtacy said:

Is there anything for the rest of year that could break into the top 3 openings weekends, so above 118m Guardians number.

 

Maybe "The Marvels" seems like the best chance, especially now after some quality CBM's restoring the genre. Outside chances in wildcards Barbie and MI7. 

 

 

Marvels is the only real shot but I doubt it does it

[ringedmortality]

So we’re not getting an opening weekend over 150 this year? When was the last time that happened? (Sans 2020).

[rehpyc]

5 minutes ago, ringedmortality said:

So we’re not getting an opening weekend over 150 this year? When was the last time that happened? (Sans 2020).

2014, 2010, 2009

[Mojoguy]

5 minutes ago, ringedmortality said:

So we’re not getting an opening weekend over 150 this year? When was the last time that happened? (Sans 2020).

There's no Avengers, Star Wars, or Avatar to save this year.

 

Strong chance Mario will be the only Billie movie of 2023.

[JpTransformers]

The fact that Transformers is growing 7 times more than Flash in the topic of interest on the Maoyan website could be indications that the film will not do big numbers in the country?

 

I don't like to get carried away by this, but since the time I started following yesterday when the flash sale opened, there are almost 8 thousand new interests in Transformers and 1.3 thousand in Flash. I definitely expected something fairer at that opening point.

[katnisscinnaplex]

2 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

I dont how that can happen with limited shows at MTC1. Unless its playing at similar levels at all MTC and also it almost sells out everywhere. 

 

I wish @katnisscinnaplex could grab the show count for Wednesday. 

I can check again tomorrow. As of last Friday there were 639 EA shows in my check and almost half were PLF.  Sales have been really solid in my areas with a couple days left still.

[tandy299]

I predict 125-130, and more importantly, only a 45 percent 2nd week drop off as word of mouth strengthens 2nd week sales.

[keysersoze123]

37 minutes ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

I can check again tomorrow. As of last Friday there were 639 EA shows in my check and almost half were PLF.  Sales have been really solid in my areas with a couple days left still.

That does seem wide enough for 1.5m. But I am not 100% sure. Maverick and Bats one day had super wide early shows with multiple PLF formats. But that was in a open market as opposed to this being in 1st week of Spiderverse. 

[keysersoze123]

14 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

Transformers MTC1

Wednesday - 20199/35990 399864.33 179 shows

Previews(T-4) - 38769/626636 726567.85 3358 shows

Friday - 30623/847629 559856.21 4330 shows 

Transformers MTC1

Wednesday - 22095/35989 435836.37 179 shows +1896

Previews(T-3) - 45353/656253 843584.49 3632 shows +6584

Friday - 37743/884633 683071.07 4712 shows +7110 

 

Fairly good day. FYI Fast at T-3. Transformers is comfortably ahead if you include fan shows. Let us see how things go. 

 

 

  

On 5/15/2023 at 10:14 PM, keysersoze123 said:

Fast X MTC1 Previews (T-3) - 57338/682322 1008424.06 3645 shows +7749

 

At last it had a big spurt of shows and more important sales increased to reasonable levels. Now I am reasonably sure its beating previews of F9 and will open slightly bigger as well. 

 

[charlie Jatinder]

12 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

Thank you. Can you update for Flash and Indy as well. 

 

The Last Knight opened at 7PM on a tuesday for 5.5m previews. 19% higher is not good at all. 

MTC3 share decreased since then, so probably something to that

[JpTransformers]

Transformers: Rise of the Beasts opened with a 67% on Rotten. based on 6 reviews, let's see how it performs. probably should drop more 

[Liiviig 1998]

31 minutes ago, JpTransformers said:

Transformers: Rise of the Beasts opened with a 67% on Rotten. based on 6 reviews, let's see how it performs. probably should drop more 

71% 14 reviews 5.6/10 avg