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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

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3 minutes ago, BestPicturePlutoNash said:

IIRC... it had a staggering walk-up ratio which salvaged it and contributed to its overperformance OW

Yeah, looking back in this thread when it came out it was looking rather doom-and-gloom-y until the weekend arrived. It's possible Indiana Jones underperforms, but everyone should keep in mind it will count as a 5-day holiday weekend due to 4th of July landing on a Tuesday (2017 was the last time the holiday fell on a Tuesday, and before that, 2006) and therefore the grosses will be rather spread out.

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3 minutes ago, filmlover said:

Yeah, looking back in this thread when it came out it was looking rather doom-and-gloom-y until the weekend arrived. It's possible Indiana Jones underperforms, but everyone should keep in mind it will count as a 5-day holiday weekend due to 4th of July landing on a Tuesday (2017 was the last time the holiday fell on a Tuesday, and before that, 2006) and therefore the grosses will be rather spread out.

Yep and if WOM is good with audiences then that will lead to a good IM

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4 hours ago, TheFlatLannister said:

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

RUBY GILLMAN, TEENAGE KRAKEN

 

THURSDAY

 

T-10

SHOWINGS

SEATS SOLD

TOTAL SEATS

PERCENT SOLD

77

149

11728

1.3%

*numbers taken as of 6:00pm EST

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

-1

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

 

COMPS

T-10

 

(0.276x) of ELEMENTAL

~$650K THUR Previews

 

oof man this looks like a mega bomb. Not even selling 1 ticket this close to release is just bad

I'm reading Ruby was today's Regal Mystery Movie. Will those tickets be added to its OW? And if so, is there any data of how much did it gross?

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For those tracking Barbie, near as I can tell the early access showings on July 19th are NOT on Fandango but are on various corp sites (not for sale yet).

 

(yay)

 

Hopefully they'll pop up some time tomorrow so I don't have to bounce between a ton of sites.

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12 hours ago, abracadabra1998 said:

 

Twin Cities Previews:

 

These are from last night. All numbers counted are sales from a three day range: Friday-Sunday.

 

Asteroid City (T-4):

Day: T-4 Shows New Sold Seats % Sold
Totals: 8 theaters 9 43 165 722 22.85

 

No Hard Feelings (T-4):

Day: T-4 Shows New Sold Seats % Sold
Totals: 11 theaters 23 38 55 2011 2.73

 

Asteroid City continues its nice pace, No Hard Feelings finally gets going a bit.

 

 

Twin Cities Previews:

 

Asteroid City (T-3):

Day: T-3 Shows New Sold Seats % Sold
Totals: 9 theaters 11 44 209 854 24.47

 

No Hard Feelings (T-3):

Day: T-3 Shows New Sold Seats % Sold
Totals: 12 theaters 26 26 81 2551 3.18

 

50% increase for No Hard Feelings, of course easy to do when it's from a tiny starting point, but it has to start somewhere. Audience score starting to trickle in and it's at 94% from these first few audiences, which is a good sign. This NEEDS good audience Word of Mouth

Edited by abracadabra1998
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Another anecdotal update from the AMC I used to work at: Asteroid City is selling really well, a few showings close to 50% sold.

 

the caveat though is that the movie has currently five shows a day for next weekend, and is in the smallest theaters. I.E. four row theaters with the biggest having twelve seats. Still, this is a good sign.

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22 hours ago, Porthos said:

 

Oppenheimer Sacto Report [T-32]

642/7572 [8.48% sold]   [+13 tickets] [50 showings]

70mm:              332/776    [+5 tickets] [51.71% of all tickets sold]

All other PLF:   229/3558 [+8 tickets] [35.67% of all tickets sold]

Standard:           81/3238  [+0 tickets] [12.62% of all tickets sold]

 

0.45564x JWD at T-32               [8.20m] [+47 tickets sold]

0.97126x Fast X at T-32              [7.28m] [+3 tickets sold]

 

*long pause*

*reflects*

 

Huh.

 

Okay, Sacto is almost certainly over performing thanks to the 70mm print, and probably not by a small amount.  And this thing has been on sale even longer than JWD, so that comp is still falling at the moment. Still.... "Huh".

 

(might have to switch to a Full Track this keeps up — luckily I've been saving my data on this run Just In Case)

 

 

ETA:::
 

Just for shits and giggles:
 

at T-32

0.13902x BP2 at T-32             [3.89m]

 

That's.... As I said... "Huh."

 

Oppenheimer Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-31 days and counting

 

 

Capped

Sellouts

Showings

Seats left

Total Seats

Seats Sold

Perct Sold

TOTALS

0

0

50

7001

7654

653

8.53%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

11

 

T-31 Comps:

 

   

%

 

Sold
T-31

Total

Sold

 

Sellouts

Shows

Seats Left

Total Seats

Perct

Sold

 

Final

Sold

% of

Final

 

 

Comp

JWD

44.97

 

43

1452

 

0/171

22337/23789

6.10%

 

10966

5.95%

 

8.10m

BP2

13.45

 

237

4855

 

1/294

32167/37022

13.11%

 

16800

3.89%

 

3.77m

FX

97.46

 

9

670

 

0/182

27068/27738

2.42%

 

4122

15.84%

 

7.31m

Indy 5

102.83

 

35

635

 

0/124

18892/19527

3.25%

 

???

???

 

???

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Oppenheimer's current tickets sold versus that final number.


Regal:     132/2968  [4.45% sold]
Matinee:    5/81  [6.17% | 0.77% of all tickets sold]
---

 70mm:              336/776    [+4 tickets] [51.45% of all tickets sold]

All other PLF:   233/3558  [+4 tickets] [35.68% of all tickets sold]

Standard:           84/3238   [+3 tickets] [12.86% of all tickets sold]

 

====================

 

bobs-burgers-fine-but-ill-complain.gif

 

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22 hours ago, Porthos said:

 

Mission Impossible 7: Dead Reckoning — Part One

Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-23 days and counting

 

 

Capped

Sellouts

Showings

Seats left

Total Seats

Seats Sold

Perct Sold

TOTALS

0

0

154

23760

24366

606

2.49%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

37

 

T-23 Comps:

 

   

%

 

Sold
T-23

Total

Sold

 

Sellouts

Shows

Seats Left

Total Seats

Perct

Sold

 

Final

Sold

% of

Final

 

 

Comp

JWD

34.28

 

56

1768

 

0/179

22879/24647

7.17%

 

10966

5.53%

 

6.17m

Ava 2

35.88

 

369

1689

 

0/142

19649/21338

7.92%

 

8986

6.74%

 

6.10m

FX

79.32

 

9

764

 

0/182

26961/27725

2.76%

 

4122

14.70%

 

5.95m

Indy 5

71.55

 

11

847

 

0/124

18674/19521

4.34%

 

???

???

 

???

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of MI7's current tickets sold versus that final number.

DISCOUNT TUE NOTE:  NONE of the above comps have been adjusted for Discount Tuesday ticket sales at particpating theaters, thus the comp will almost certainly come down when sales are final.


Regal:     72/7967  [0.90% sold]
Matinee:    4/1687  [0.24% | 0.66% of all tickets sold]
Discount:    71/6018  [1.18% | 11.72% of all tickets sold]
[NOTE: Must be a Regal Member to qualify for Discount Tue at participating Regal locations]   

---

Sun:   44/457           [9.63% sold]   [+0 tickets]

Mon:  302/2256       [13.39% sold] [+16 tickets]

Tue:   260/21653     [1.20% sold]    [+21 tickets]

 

Mission Impossible 7: Dead Reckoning — Part One

Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-22 days and counting

 

 

Capped

Sellouts

Showings

Seats left

Total Seats

Seats Sold

Perct Sold

TOTALS

0

0

154

23714

24366

652

2.68%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

46

 

T-22 Comps:

 

   

%

 

Sold
T-22

Total

Sold

 

Sellouts

Shows

Seats Left

Total Seats

Perct

Sold

 

Final

Sold

% of

Final

 

 

Comp

JWD

36.04

 

41

1809

 

0/179

22839/24647

7.34%

 

10966

5.95%

 

6.49m

Ava 2

35.03

 

172

1861

 

0/142

19477/21338

8.72%

 

8986

7.26%

 

5.96m

FX

83.59

 

16

780

 

0/182

26942/27722

2.81%

 

4122

15.82%

 

6.27m

Indy 5

72.85

 

48

895

 

0/124

18626/19521

4.58%

 

???

???

 

???

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of MI7's current tickets sold versus that final number.

DISCOUNT TUE NOTE:  NONE of the above comps have been adjusted for Discount Tuesday ticket sales at particpating theaters, thus the comp will almost certainly come down when sales are final.


Regal:         76/7967  [0.95% sold]
Matinee:        4/1687  [0.24% | 0.61% of all tickets sold]
Discount:    78/6018  [1.30% | 11.96% of all tickets sold]
[NOTE: Must be a Regal Member to qualify for Discount Tue at participating Regal locations]   

---

Sun:   44/457           [9.63% sold]   [+0 tickets]

Mon:  326/2256       [14.45% sold] [+24 tickets]

Tue:   282/21653     [1.30% sold]    [+22 tickets]

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22 hours ago, Porthos said:

 

Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report:

T-11 days and counting

 

 

Capped

Sellouts

Showings

Seats left

Total Seats

Seats Sold

Perct Sold

TOTALS

0

0

128

18818

20241

1423

7.03%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

70

 

T-11 Comps:

 

   

%

 

Sold
T-11

Total

Sold

 

Sellouts

Shows

Seats Left

Total Seats

Perct

Sold

 

Final

Sold

% of

Final

 

 

Comp

NTTD

162.44

 

64

876

 

0/134

20340/21216

4.13%

 

3737

38.08%

 

10.07m

JWD

47.53

 

182

2994

 

0/191

22380/25374

11.80%

 

10966

12.98%

 

8.56m

BA

132.50

 

44

1074

 

0/146

20993/22067

4.87%

 

4494

31.66%

 

10.07m

Wick 4

106.75

 

49

1333

 

0/95

12458/13791

9.67%

 

5448

26.12%

 

9.50m

FX

117.02

 

48

1216

 

0/178

26494/27710

4.39%

 

4122

34.52%

 

8.78m

TLM

76.38

 

129

1863

 

0/154

20858/22721

8.20%

 

6561

21.69%

 

7.87m

Flash

103.87

 

60

1370

 

0/178

23778/25148

5.45%

 

5327

26.71%

 

10.08m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Indy 5's current tickets sold versus that final number.

  
Regal:     276/6084  [4.54% sold]
Matinee:    103/1728  [5.96% | 7.24% of all tickets sold]

 

Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report:

T-10 days and counting

 

 

Capped

Sellouts

Showings

Seats left

Total Seats

Seats Sold

Perct Sold

TOTALS

0

0

134

19034

20571

1537

7.47%

 

Total Showings Added Today

6

Total Seats Added Today

330

Total Seats Sold Today

114

 

T-10 Comps:

 

   

%

 

Sold
T-10

Total

Sold

 

Sellouts

Shows

Seats Left

Total Seats

Perct

Sold

 

Final

Sold

% of

Final

 

 

Comp

NTTD

161.79

 

74

950

 

0/135

20309/21259

4.47%

 

3737

41.13%

 

10.03m

JWD

48.24

 

192

3186

 

0/191

22186/25372

12.56%

 

10966

14.02%

 

8.68m

BA

137.11

 

47

1121

 

0/148

21302/22423

5.00%

 

4494

34.20%

 

10.42m

Wick 4

110.42

 

59

1392

 

0/95

12399/13791

10.09%

 

5448

28.21%

 

9.83m

FX

118.41

 

82

1298

 

0/178

26412/27710

4.68%

 

4122

37.29%

 

8.88m

TLM

76.66

 

142

2005

 

0/153

20609/22614

8.87%

 

6561

23.43%

 

7.90m

Flash

107.56

 

59

1429

 

0/178

23719/25148

5.68%

 

5327

28.85%

 

10.43m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Indy 5's current tickets sold versus that final number.

  
Regal:     302/6084  [4.96% sold]
Matinee:    124/1728  [7.18% | 8.07% of all tickets sold]

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22 hours ago, ZackM said:

 

Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny
Alpha Chain
Premiere Night Seat Report: T-11 days
           
  Last Day 2 Days Ago 3 Days Ago 4 Days Ago 5 Days Ago
Showings Added 0 0 0 0 1
Seats Added 0 0 0 0 141
Seats Sold 1,247 934 1,189 968 864
           
6/18/2023 Theaters Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Pct. Sold
Total 421 2,474 36,735 504,635 7.28%
           
% of Seats Sold 100% 90%+ 80%+ 70%+ 60%+
# of Showings 1 3 4 12 30
           
ATP Gross        
$18.61 $683,638        

 

 

Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny
Alpha Chain
Premiere Night Seat Report: T-10 days
           
  Last Day 2 Days Ago 3 Days Ago 4 Days Ago 5 Days Ago
Showings Added 0 0 0 0 0
Seats Added 0 0 0 0 0
Seats Sold 1,364 1,247 934 1,189 968
           
6/19/2023 Theaters Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Pct. Sold
Total 421 2,474 38,099 504,635 7.55%
           
% of Seats Sold 100% 90%+ 80%+ 70%+ 60%+
# of Showings 1 3 6 12 32
           
ATP Gross        
$18.60 $708,641        
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22 hours ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie Day Area TC Shows New Sold Seats % Sold
Asteroid City T-3 Jax 6 9 28 155 875 17.71%
    Phx 4 8 13 79 564 14.01%
    Ral 5 10 13 62 848 7.31%
  Total   15 27 54 296 2,287 12.94%
No Feelings T-3 Jax 5 15 10 27 1,284 2.10%
    Phx 6 18 7 32 1,722 1.86%
    Ral 6 17 8 32 1,568 2.04%
  Total   17 50 25 91 4,574 1.99%

 

Asteroid City T-3 comps

 - Cocaine Bear - 1.218x (2.44m)

 - Easter Sunday - 4.625x (2.31m)

 - The Menu - 1.96x (1.76m)

 - Violent Night - 2.596x (2.86m)

 - Last Night in Soho - 2.643x (1.98m)

 - A Man Called Otto - 4.169x (2.65m)

 

Size adjusted average - 2.13m.  Continues to have solid growth each day.  Still have no idea what this movie is about.

 

No Hard Feelings T-3 comps

 - Easter Sunday - 1.422x (711k)

 - Violent Night - .798x (878k)

 - 80 for Brady - .58x (435k)

 - Lost City - .333x (833k)

 - A Man Called Otto - 1.282x (814k)

 

Size adjusted average - 724k

Movie Day Area TC Shows New Sold Seats % Sold
Asteroid City T-2 Jax 6 10 43 198 917 21.59%
    Phx 5 11 19 98 720 13.61%
    Ral 5 10 14 76 848 8.96%
  Total   16 31 76 372 2,485 14.97%
No Feelings T-2 Jax 5 15 16 43 1,284 3.35%
    Phx 6 22 12 44 1,994 2.21%
    Ral 6 17 25 57 1,568 3.64%
  Total   17 54 53 144 4,846 2.97%

 

 

Asteroid City T-2 comps

 - Cocaine Bear - 1.155x (2.31m)

 - Easter Sunday - 4.133x (2.07m)

 - The Menu - 2.09x (1.88m)

 - Violent Night - 2.431x (2.67m)

 - Last Night in Soho - 2.548x (1.91m)

 - A Man Called Otto - 3.683x (2.34m)

 

Size adjusted average - 2.23m.  

 

No Hard Feelings T-2 comps

 - Easter Sunday - 1.6x (800k)

 - Violent Night - .941x (1.04m)

 - 80 for Brady - .796x (597k)

 - Lost City - .413x (1.03m)

 - A Man Called Otto - 1.426x (905k)

 - The Menu - .809x (728k)

 

Size adjusted average - 828k

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22 hours ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie Day Area TC Shows New Sold Seats % Sold
Indiana Jones T-10 Jax 6 64 12 304 10,205 2.98%
    Phx 6 43 3 180 8,309 2.17%
    Ral 8 53 17 336 7,972 4.21%
  Total   20 160 32 820 26,486 3.10%
Ruby Gillman T-10 Jax 5 19 0 2 2,145 0.09%
    Phx 6 24 0 4 2,236 0.18%
    Ral 7 27 1 13 2,563 0.51%
  Total   18 70 1 19 6,944 0.27%

 

Ruby Gillman T-10 comps

 - Bad Guys - .514x (591k)

 - Super Pets - .44x (972k)

 - Lyle Lyle - 1.357x (780k)

 - Paws of Fury - .679x (343k)

 

Size adjusted average - 619k

 

Indiana Jones T-10 comps

 - Avatar 2 - .302x (5.14m)

 - F9 - 1.015x (7.21m)

 - JW3 - .337x (5.96m)

 - NTTD - 1.737x (9.03m)

 - Top Gun 2 - .37x (5.46m)

 - John Wick 4 - .835x (7.43m)

 - Ghostbusters - 1.73x (7.19m)

 - Uncharted - 2.124x (7.86m)

 

Size adjusted average - 7.1m

Movie Day Area TC Shows New Sold Seats % Sold
Indiana Jones T-9 Jax 6 64 12 316 10,205 3.10%
    Phx 6 43 7 187 8,309 2.25%
    Ral 8 53 11 347 7,972 4.35%
  Total   20 160 30 850 26,486 3.21%
Ruby Gillman T-9 Jax 5 19 0 2 2,145 0.09%
    Phx 6 24 0 4 2,236 0.18%
    Ral 7 27 0 13 2,563 0.51%
  Total   18 70 0 19 6,944 0.27%

 

Ruby Gillman T-9 comps

 - Bad Guys - .463x (533k)

 - Super Pets - .345x (760k)

 - Lyle Lyle - 1.267x (728k)

 - Paws of Fury - .576x (291k)

 

Size adjusted average - 562k

 

Indiana Jones T-9 comps

 - F9 - .984x (6.98m)

 - JW3 - .327x (5.78m)

 - NTTD - 1.613x (8.39m)

 - John Wick 4 - .813x (7.23m)

 - Ghostbusters - missed

 - Uncharted - 2.109x (7.8m)

 

Size adjusted average - 7.21m

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22 hours ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie Day Area TC Shows New Sold Seats % Sold
Joy Ride T-17 Jax 5 17 0 0 1,591 0.00%
    Phx 5 17 13 13 1,484 0.88%
    Ral 7 24 5 5 2,099 0.24%
  Total   17 58 18 18 5,174 0.35%
Joy Ride (EA) T-16 Jax 5 6 4 4 562 0.71%
    Phx 6 6 4 4 747 0.54%
    Ral 6 6 4 4 506 0.79%
  Total   17 18 12 12 1,815 0.66%
Sound of Freedom T-14 Jax 5 21 28 235 1,622 14.49%
    Phx 6 35 15 361 2,511 14.38%
    Ral 6 19 3 216 2,039 10.59%
  Total   17 75 46 812 6,172 13.16%

 

Sound of Freedom T-14 comps

 - Jesus Revolution (Total) - .709x (2.34m)

 - I Heard the Bells - 2.381x (1.84m)

 

Joy Ride (Total) T-17 comps

 - Cocaine Bear - .291x (583k)

 - 80 for Brady - 1.765x (1.32m)

 - Easter Sunday - 2.5x (1.25m)

Movie Day Area TC Shows New Sold Seats % Sold
Joy Ride T-16 Jax 5 17 1 1 1,591 0.06%
    Phx 5 17 0 13 1,484 0.88%
    Ral 7 24 0 5 2,099 0.24%
  Total   17 58 1 19 5,174 0.37%
Joy Ride (EA) T-15 Jax 5 6 0 4 562 0.71%
    Phx 6 6 4 8 747 1.07%
    Ral 6 6 0 4 506 0.79%
  Total   17 18 4 16 1,815 0.88%
Sound of Freedom T-13 Jax 5 21 13 248 1,622 15.29%
    Phx 6 38 18 379 2,889 13.12%
    Ral 6 19 18 234 2,039 11.48%
  Total   17 78 49 861 6,550 13.15%

 

Sound of Freedom T-13 comps

 - Jesus Revolution (Total) - .739x (2.44m)

 - I Heard the Bells - 2.555x (1.97m)

 

Joy Ride (Total) T-13 comps

 - Cocaine Bear - .321x (642k)

 - 80 for Brady - 1.458x (1.09m)

 - Easter Sunday - 2.92x (1.46m)

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22 hours ago, katnisscinnaplex said:
Movie Day Area TC Shows New Sold Seats % Sold
M:I 7 T-22 Jax 6 69 11 107 10,964 0.98%
    Phx 6 58 6 70 11,155 0.63%
    Ral 8 54 9 111 8,344 1.33%
  Total   20 181 26 288 30,463 0.95%
M:I 7 (EA) T-20 Jax 3 3 0 32 418 7.66%
    Phx 2 2 2 2 363 0.55%
    Ral 1 1 0 12 111 10.81%
  Total   6 6 2 46 892 5.16%
  T-21 Jax 5 7 9 76 1,407 5.40%
    Phx 1 1 0 32 410 7.80%
    Ral 1 1 0 31 261 11.88%
  Total   7 9 9 139 2,078 6.69%

 

M:I 7 (Total) T-22 comps

 - JW3 Total - .232x (4.18m)

 - Shazam 2 - 1.82x (6.19m)

 - Black Widow - .366x (4.83m)

 - Avatar 2 - .397x (6.75m)

 

Size adjusted average - 5.97m

Movie Day Area TC Shows New Sold Seats % Sold
M:I 7 T-21 Jax 6 69 6 113 10,964 1.03%
    Phx 6 58 2 72 11,155 0.65%
    Ral 8 54 4 115 8,344 1.38%
  Total   20 181 12 300 30,463 0.98%
M:I 7 (EA) T-19 Jax 3 3 1 33 418 7.89%
    Phx 2 2 0 2 363 0.55%
    Ral 1 1 1 13 111 11.71%
  Total   6 6 2 48 892 5.38%
  T-20 Jax 5 7 12 88 1,407 6.25%
    Phx 1 1 1 33 410 8.05%
    Ral 1 1 2 33 261 12.64%
  Total   7 9 15 154 2,078 7.41%

 

M:I 7 (Total) T-21 comps

 - JW3 Total - .242x (4.36m)

 - Shazam 2 - 1.81x (6.16m)

 - Black Widow - .373x (4.93m)

 - Avatar 2 - missed

 

Size adjusted average - 5.63m

Edited by katnisscinnaplex
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To be honest it was a little bit frustrating to count Asteroid City yesterday because it still had (and has today) only showtimes in 3 of my 7 theaters for Thursday and showtimes in 4 for Friday. 
 

For Thursday it had yesterday in the AMCs in Michigan, Arizona and San Francisco (which means only 1 big theater, that one in San Francisco) 142 sold tickets.
Comp: Amsterdam had also on Monday of the release week 84 sold tickets in the same 3 theaters.
 

And for Friday it had 165 sold tickets in the AMCs in Michigan, Arizona, San Francisco and LA (2 big theaters, that in San Francisco and LA).
Comp: Amsterdam (6.4M OW) had on the same day and in the same 4 theaters 68 sold tickets.
 

So overall good numbers (the jumps could have been a bit bigger though) but too few theaters.

By the way, what or the OW projections for Oppenheimer, please? Because I count it at the moment and it looks very crowded already.

Edited by el sid
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On 6/19/2023 at 9:24 AM, M37 said:

Some thoughts on the numbers for upcoming releases, though data points are limited for many, so that increases uncertainty.

 

6/22 Openings

  • Asteroid City - Sales numbers are solid, but should be a pre-sale heavier title, and being a ~1500 location artsy release very well could mess with usual PSM math. Have Orlando projected for a ~750 ticket finish, Jax/Pho/Ral for 600 or, which would be a $1M+ Thursday and high single digit opening, but that may wind up too high
  • No Hard Feelings - Big discrepancy between the two tracked markets, with Orlando pointing to $2M+ Thursday, the Jax/Pho/Ral conglomerate to $1M or below.  Suspect they ultimately converge in the middle rather than one meeting the other, but probably under $2M Thur, and an opening somewhere in the teens, leaning towards lower end, not a real push towards a $20M surprise. But need to see how numbers trend for a few more days

Feeling more confident in a ~$1.1-$1.3M-ish preview for the Asteroid City expansion, though it looks like J/P/R combo may just finish ahead of the Orlando market in total sales, having basically caught up as of last update [updated: est 750 & 800 finals]

 

... and not so sure that No Hard Feelings beats it by all that much for Thursday. Pace in Orlando has stalled, and it may well come down closer to the J/P/R sample rather than covering in the middle. But this should be a mostly walk-up and weekend/GA friendly feature, so we'll see

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