The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

[Inceptionzq]

23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Thor Love and Thunder Megaplex

 

T-12 Thursday(190 showings): 4747(+232)/47563

0.271x NWH T-12 (13.55M)

 

T-13 Friday(258 showings): 2662(+155)/67683

0.211x NWH T-13 (15.17M)

 

T-14 Saturday(264 showings): 1358(+141)/69227

0.212x NWH T-14 (15.65M)

 

T-15 Sunday(253 showings): 518(+47)/68879

0.375x NWH T-15 (24.09M)

Thor Love and Thunder Megaplex

 

T-11 Thursday(190 showings): 4902(+155)/47563

0.575x Doctor Strange MoM T-11 (20.72M)

1.11x Batman T-11 (23.91M)

0.273x NWH T-11 (13.64M)

 

T-12 Friday(258 showings): 2772(+110)/67683

0.577x Doctor Strange MoM T-12 (31.59M)

1.57x Batman T-12 (54.81M)

0.213x NWH T-12 (15.35M)

 

T-13 Saturday(264 showings): 1423(+65)/69227

0.509x Doctor Strange MoM T-13 (29.41M)

1.54x Batman T-13 (66.41M)

0.206x NWH T-13 (15.26M)

 

T-14 Sunday(253 showings): 550(+32)/68879

0.789x Doctor Strange MoM T-14 (30.69M)

2.53x Batman T-14 (86.53M)

0.342x NWH T-14 (21.92M)

 

3 day paces for Thor vs Doctor Strange:

Thurs - 553 vs 533; Friday - 401 vs 496; Saturday - 268 vs 354; Sunday - 120 vs 111.

[Inceptionzq]

23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Thor Love and Thunder Alamo Drafthouse

 

T-12 Thursday(168 showings): 12172(+347)/25319 ATP: $15.20

0.497x NWH T-12 (24.85M)

 

T-13 Friday(230 showings): 9891(+363)/34490 ATP: $15.30

0.473x NWH T-13 (34.04M)

 

T-14 Saturday(239 showings): 9273(+453)/36137 ATP: $14.68

0.474x NWH T-14 (35.04M)

 

T-15 Sunday(220 showings): 5060(+309)/33448 ATP: $14.24

0.535x NWH T-15 (34.36M)

Thor Love and Thunder Alamo Drafthouse

 

T-11 Thursday(168 showings): 12405(+233)/25319 ATP: $15.21

0.737x Doctor Strange MoM T-11 (26.55M)

1.39x Batman T-11 (24.51M, only using est Thurs gross of 17.6M)

0.498x NWH T-11 (24.90M)

 

T-12 Friday(230 showings): 10179(+288)/34490 ATP: $15.28

0.682x Doctor Strange MoM T-12 (37.32M)

1.15x Batman T-12 (40.09M)

0.473x NWH T-12 (34.02M)

 

T-13 Saturday(239 showings): 9662(+389)/36137 ATP: $14.69

0.617x Doctor Strange MoM T-13 (35.65M)

1.15x Batman T-13 (49.58M)

0.472x NWH T-13 (34.88M)

 

T-14 Sunday(220 showings): 5287(+227)/33448 ATP: $14.25

0.687x Doctor Strange MoM T-14 (26.70M)

1.50x Batman T-14 (51.09M)

0.520x NWH T-14 (33.39M)

 

3 day paces of Thor vs Doctor Strange:

Thursday - 1087 vs 831; Friday - 1070 vs 978; Saturday - 1404 vs 1206; Sunday - 791 vs 819

[ZackM]

10 hours ago, ZackM said:

Looks like it’s a compatibility issue in one of the libraries I’m using.  Probably the result of a chrome update.  I’ll try to figure it out tonight.

Indeed it was a Chrome 103 bug.  Upgraded to 104 beta and it seems to be running ok now.  Should hopefully have updated Thor numbers tonight.

[Menor the Destroyer]

Marcus is throwing a ton of errors atm, not likely to have numbers tonight. 

[cax16]

Day 14 of presales at 24 nearest theatres,

 

Batman - 9427 tickets sold

DS2 - 18605 tickets sold

Thor 4 - 12165 tickets sold 

 

Next update will be day before preview night. 

[ZackM]

 

Thor: Love and Thunder Alpha Chain Premiere Night Seat Report: T-11 days
	Last 2 Days		3 Days Ago	4 Days Ago	5 Days Ago
Showings Added	20		18	0	10
Seats Added	2,525		2,406	0	651
Seats Sold	11,687		7,431	4,844	4,623
6/26/2022	Theaters	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Pct. Sold
Total	438	6,374	218,656	1,103,482	19.82%
% of Seats Sold	Sellouts	90%+	80%+	70%+	60%+
# of Showings	0	11	86	312	629
ATP
$17.08

[Eric Loves Rey]

12 hours ago, Eric Presley said:

Minions: The Rise of Gru Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-5 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	125	423	27571	1.53%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 79

 

Comp

3.585x of Jungle Cruise T-5 (9.68M)

0.413x of Sonic the Hedgehog 2 T-5 (2.58M)

1.017x of Lightyear T-5 (5.29M)

Minions: The Rise of Gru Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-4 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	125	486	27571	1.76%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 63

 

Comp

3.262x of Jungle Cruise T-4 (8.81M)

0.418x of Sonic the Hedgehog 2 T-4 (2.61M)

0.957x of Lightyear T-4 (4.97M)

[Eric Loves Rey]

12 hours ago, Eric Presley said:

Thor: Love and Thunder Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-12 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	185	5791	34527	16.77%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 203

 

Comp

0.379x of Spider-Man: No Way Home T-12 (18.93M)

1.136x of The Batman T-12 (24.54M)

0.585x of Doctor Strange 2 T-12 (21.07M)

Thor: Love and Thunder Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-11 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	185	5949	34527	17.23%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 158

 

Comp

0.362x of Spider-Man: No Way Home T-11 (18.1M)

1.135x of The Batman T-11 (24.51M)

0.592x of Doctor Strange 2 T-11 (21.3M)

[Eric Loves Rey]

12 hours ago, Eric Presley said:

Nope Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-26 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	62	181	12632	1.43%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 0

Nope Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-25 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	62	201	12632	1.59%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 20

 

[Porthos]

On 6/23/2022 at 11:51 PM, Porthos said:

 

Nope Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-28 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	84	13528	13704	176	1.28%

 

Total Seats Sold Since Sunday

28

 

Regal:     29/3969  [0.73% sold]
Matinee:      7/863  [0.81% | 3.98% of all tickets sold]

 

Nope Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-25 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	84	13508	13704	196	1.43%

 

Total Seats Sold Since Thursday

20

 

Regal:     36/3969  [0.91% sold]
Matinee:      7/863  [0.81% | 3.57% of all tickets sold]

Edited July 1, 2022 by Porthos

[Porthos]

23 hours ago, Porthos said:

 

 

Thor: Love and Thunder Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-12 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	228	24618	31600	6982	22.09%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

168

 

T-12 Unadjusted Comps

	%		Sold T-12	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
NWH	42.23		347	16532		0/308	21020/37552	44.02%		28183	24.77%		21.12m
Batman	160.95		99	4338		0/285	31126/35464	12.23%		11757	59.39%		34.77m
MoM	64.43		221	10836		0/351	31600/42436	25.53%		21117	33.06%		23.20m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Love and Thunder's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

T-12 Adjusted Comps

	%		Sold T-12	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
BW	238.19		94	2658		0/119	16602/19260	13.80%		9196	75.92%		32.92m
L&T (adj)			142	6331		0/188	19972/26303	24.07%

ADJUSTMENT NOTE:  L&T (adj) is the seats sold that does not include theaters that had unreliable data in their seat maps that that point in BW's track.

COMP NOTE: The BW comp has been adjusted to reflect the absence of Ontario theaters in the DOM market during BW's pre-sale run (what would normally be the comp/0.955)

 

Regal:        690/4831  [14.28% sold]
Matinee:    317/2566  [12.35% | 4.54% of all tickets sold]

 

Thor: Love and Thunder Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-11 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	228	24416	31600	7184	22.73%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

202

 

T-11 Unadjusted Comps

	%		Sold T-11	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
NWH	42.26		467	16999		0/308	20553/37552	45.27%		28183	25.49%		21.13m
Batman	160.79		130	4468		0/285	30994/35462	12.60%		11757	61.10%		34.73m
MoM	65.16		189	11025		/351	31411/42436	25.98%		21117	34.02%		23.46m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Love and Thunder's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

T-11 Adjusted Comps

	%		Sold T-11	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
BW	234.63		108	2766		0/119	16494/19260	14.36%		9196	78.12%		32.43m
L&T (adj)			159	6490		0/188	19813/26303	24.67%

ADJUSTMENT NOTE:  L&T (adj) is the seats sold that does not include theaters that had unreliable data in their seat maps that that point in BW's track.

COMP NOTE: The BW comp has been adjusted to reflect the absence of Ontario theaters in the DOM market during BW's pre-sale run (what would normally be the comp/0.955)

 

Regal:         707/4831  [14.63% sold]
Matinee:    327/2566  [12.74% | 4.55% of all tickets sold]

[Porthos]

23 hours ago, Porthos said:

 

Minions 2 Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-5 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	169	24218	25372	1154	4.55%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

137

 

T-5 Comp

	%		Sold T-5	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
GB:A	125.43		122	920		0/117	16629/17549	5.24%		9196	12.55%		5.64m
Sonic 2	97.06		145	1189		0/92	11748/12937	9.19%		5847	19.74%		6.07m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Minions 2's current tickets sold versus that final number.

  
Regal:        92/5238  [1.76% sold]
Matinee:    76/2536  [3.00% | 6.59% of all tickets sold]

 

Minions 2 Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-4 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	169	23955	25372	1417	5.58%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

263

 

T-4 Comp

	%		Sold T-4	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
GB:A	142.41		75	995		0/117	16554/17549	5.67%		9196	15.41%		6.41m
Sonic 2	104.11		172	1361		0/92	11557/12918	10.54%		5847	24.23%		6.51m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Minions 2's current tickets sold versus that final number.

  
Regal:        150/5238  [2.86% sold]
Matinee:    125/2536  [4.93% | 8.82% of all tickets sold]

[Porthos]

7 minutes ago, Porthos said:

 

Minions 2 Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-4 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	169	23955	25372	1417	5.58%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

263

 

T-4 Comp

	%		Sold T-4	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
GB:A	142.41		75	995		0/117	16554/17549	5.67%		9196	15.41%		6.41m
Sonic 2	104.11		172	1361		0/92	11557/12918	10.54%		5847	24.23%		6.51m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Minions 2's current tickets sold versus that final number.

  
Regal:        150/5238  [2.86% sold]
Matinee:    125/2536  [4.93% | 8.82% of all tickets sold]

 

FWIW, which perhaps isn't much, Minions 2 pulled ahead of Lightyear.

 

At T-4

Minions 2: 1417 [+263]

Lightyear: 1253 [+187]

 

The reported 5.2m preview would give 5.88m while the suspected/guessed estimate of 5.8m would give 6.56m which is right in line with the other two comps I have.  Probably more coincidence than anything else given the disparities in pace between the four movies, but something perhaps to keep in mind.

 

Then again, this will almost certainly sell more kids tickets than any of those other three flicks, so something else we have to remember [not the mention the possibility that Sacto is running hot for whatever reason].

[M37]

25 minutes ago, Porthos said:

 

FWIW, which perhaps isn't much, Minions 2 pulled ahead of Lightyear.

 

At T-4

Minions 2: 1417 [+263]

Lightyear: 1253 [+187]

 

The reported 5.2m preview would give 5.88m while the suspected/guessed estimate of 5.8m would give 6.56m which is right in line with the other two comps I have.  Probably more coincidence than anything else given the disparities in pace between the four movies, but something perhaps to keep in mind.

 

Then again, this will almost certainly sell more kids tickets than any of those other three flicks, so something else we have to remember [not the mention the possibility that Sacto is running hot for whatever reason].

Based on that Sunday number, Sacto is running hot, like off the charts, and on pace to finish at 4500-5000+ tickets sold by T-1hr

 

@charlie Jatinder you didn’t happen to run a Sunday pull on Harkins for Minions, did you? Curious how much of an outlier Sacto is in terms of pace 

[charlie Jatinder]

On 6/26/2022 at 12:47 PM, charlie Jatinder said:

Minions: The Rise of Gru Harkins T-5 Days

Shows	Capacity	Sold	% Sold	Gross	ATP
302	76,850	1,392	1.81%	$16,610	$11.93

 

Lightyear had 2059 sold at T-4, that doesn't seem like will be reached. 

Minions: The Rise of Gru Harkins T-4 Days

Shows	Capacity	Sold	% Sold	Gross	ATP
302	76,850	1,793	2.33%	$21,336	$11.90

 

+401 yesterday. Solid pace. 

 

Comps

0.87x Lightyear T-4 days - $4.78M (adj for ATP $4M)

 

Taken $5.5M for Lightyear including EA. Minions shall have more walkins than Lightyear, so $5M still possible.

[charlie Jatinder]

On 6/26/2022 at 1:29 PM, charlie Jatinder said:

Thor: Love and Thunder Harkins T-12 Days

Shows	Capacity	Sold	% Sold	Gross	ATP
421	105,695	11,030	10.44%	$141,124	$12.79

 

Added 362 sales today. Could have been better but fine. Should be able to reach 11.8K target set for it.

Thor: Love and Thunder Harkins T-11 Days

 

Shows	Capacity	Sold	% Sold	Gross	ATP
421	105,695	11,377	10.76%	$145,356	$12.78

 

+347. 11.8K will need 400+ tomorrow. Will be tough, but doable. 

[katnisscinnaplex]

21 hours ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New*	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Malcolm List	T-4	Jax	5	8	2	2	859	0.23%
		Phx	4	8	0	3	606	0.50%
		Ral	3	4	0	1	191	0.52%
	Total		12	20	2	6	1,656	0.36%
Minions 2	T-4	Jax	7	104	50	177	17,171	1.03%
		Phx	6	66	77	223	12,191	1.83%
		Ral	8	59	42	214	7,630	2.80%
	Total		21	229	169	614	36,992	1.66%
Nope	T-25	Jax	7	51	8	54	8,591	0.63%
		Phx	6	20	9	83	4,344	1.91%
		Ral	8	25	5	59	3,411	1.73%
	Total		21	96	22	196	16,346	1.20%
Thor 4	T-11	Jax	7	112	229	1,755	17,265	10.17%
		Phx	6	111	249	2,203	18,041	12.21%
		Ral	8	63	279	2,013	8,326	24.18%
	Total		21	286	757	5,971	43,632	13.68%

*New sales since Thursday morning

 

Minions 2 T-4 comps

 - Sonic 2 - .793x (3.95m)

 - Encanto - 3.79x (5.68m)

 

Nope T-25 comp

 - JW-D - missed

 

Thor 4 T-11 comps

 - Dr. Strange 2 - .572x (20.59m)

 - Batman (Thu) - missed

 - No Way Home - .323x (16.17m)

 - Black Widow - 2.68x (35.36m)

 - JW3 - missed

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Malcolm List	T-3	Jax	5	8	0	2	859	0.23%
		Phx	4	8	0	3	606	0.50%
		Ral	3	4	1	2	191	1.05%
	Total		12	20	1	7	1,656	0.42%
Minions 2	T-3	Jax	7	104	40	217	17,171	1.26%
		Phx	6	67	75	298	12,268	2.43%
		Ral	8	59	85	299	7,630	3.92%
ATP: 13.73	Total		21	230	200	814	37,069	2.20%
Nope	T-24	Jax	7	51	4	58	8,591	0.68%
		Phx	6	20	4	87	4,344	2.00%
		Ral	8	25	3	62	3,411	1.82%
	Total		21	96	11	207	16,346	1.27%
Thor 4	T-10	Jax	7	112	56	1,811	17,265	10.49%
		Phx	6	111	83	2,286	18,041	12.67%
		Ral	8	63	55	2,068	8,326	24.84%
ATP: 14.61	Total		21	286	194	6,165	43,632	14.13%

 

Minions 2 T-3 comps

 - Sonic 2 - .92x (4.58m)

 - Encanto - 4.26x (6.39m)

 - Lightyear Thu - 1.121x (5.49m)*

 

*assuming 4.9m true Thu for Lightyear

 

Nope T-24 comp

 - JW-D - .107x (1.92m)

 

Thor 4 T-10 comps

 - Dr. Strange 2 - .576x (20.75m)

 - Batman (Thu) - missed

 - No Way Home - .325x (16.27m)

 - Black Widow - 2.64x (34.896m)

 - JW3 - 2.026x (36.47m)

[M37]

Looking at the last couple of Minions updates and corresponding growth rate, it looks poised to explode right up through Thursday 

 

Currently expecting the final (T-1hr) totals to be at least 3x, if not 3.5x current totals, and a preview number stating with at least a $7

[Tinalera]

Minions Rise of Gru

SW/Toronto Ontario t-4

 

	# theatre	#show	Seats Sold	Seats Rem	Ttl seat	Percent
Thurs	17	86	569	23421	23990	0.0237
Fri	15	84	769	21842	22611	0.0341

 

comp

 

x2.376 Lightyear (47.53 US/Canada)  (1.78 Million Canada only)

 

Bit of a jump in Friday numbers which I thought interesting-then I remembered its Canada day weekend this weekend, so that will bump numbers up a bit.

[katnisscinnaplex]

On 6/25/2022 at 7:33 AM, katnisscinnaplex said:

Santikos Tracking

 

By format

 

Day	Movie	Format	Shows	New*	Sold	True Cap	% Sold	ATP	Gross
T-12	Thor 4	PLF	57	136	3,523	11,672	30.18%	$15.93	$56,106.25
		Standard	87	197	1,972	11,439	17.24%	$11.91	$23,482.47
	Total		144	333	5,495	23,111	23.78%	$14.48	$79,588.72

 

By matinee

 

Day	Movie	Mat	Shows	New*	Sold	True Cap	% Sold	ATP	Gross
T-12	Thor 4	N	103	262	4,440	16,531	26.86%	$15.14	$67,211.14
		Y	41	71	1,055	6,580	16.03%	$11.73	$12,377.58
	Total		144	333	5,495	23,111	23.78%	$14.48	$79,588.72

*New sales since Thorsday*

 

Thor 4 T-12 comps

 - No Way Home - .387x (19.355m)

 - DS2 - .559x (20.12m)

 - Batman + EA - 1.67x (36.06m)

 

Not loving the pace, but I'm guessing (hoping) the weekend sales will provide a boost

Santikos Tracking

 

By format

 

Day	Movie	Format	Shows	New	Sold	True Cap	% Sold	ATP	Gross
T-10	Thor 4	PLF	57	173	3,696	11,672	31.67%	$15.90	$58,748.00
		Standard	87	172	2,144	11,439	18.74%	$11.88	$25,477.84
	Total		144	5,840	5,840	23,111	25.27%	$14.42	$84,225.84
T-3	Minions	PLF	14	186	186	3,344	5.56%	$13.75	$2,557.22
		Standard	38	476	476	6,051	7.87%	$10.81	$5,143.82
	Total		52	662	662	9,395	7.05%	$11.63	$7,701.04

 

 

By matinee

 

Day	Movie	Mat	Shows	New	Sold	True Cap	% Sold	ATP	Gross
T-10	Thor 4	N	103	268	4,708	16,531	28.48%	$15.07	$70,928.72
		Y	41	77	1,132	6,580	17.20%	$11.75	$13,297.12
	Total		144	345	5,840	23,111	25.27%	$14.42	$84,225.84
T-3	Minions	N	29	386	386	5,166	7.47%	$12.94	$4,994.73
		Y	23	276	276	4,229	6.53%	$9.81	$2,706.31
	Total		52	662	662	9,395	7.05%	$11.63	$7,701.04

*New Thor sales since Saturday morning

 

Minions T-3 comps

 - Sonic 2 Thu - .886x (4.41m)

 - Lightyear Thu - 1.445x (7.08m)

 

Thor T-10 comps

 - No Way Home - missed (~19.8m)

 - DS2 - missed (~20.65m)

 - Batman + EA - missed (~35.89m)