The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

[filmlover]

65's early sales look alright enough that it should manage a decent opening day. Everything beyond that is up in the air, since one has to assume reviews/WOM won't be pretty (once people get the chance to see it).

[TheFlatLannister]

On 3/6/2023 at 6:26 PM, TheFlatLannister said:

THURSDAY PREVIEWS GREATER ORLANDO AREA 

 

T-3

 

SCREAM VI

 

SHOWINGS	TOTAL SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
33	982	5253	18.7%

 

3D SHOWINGS	TOTAL SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
21	313	2076	15.1%

 

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

Selling very strong here, although Disney Springs AMC is over-indexing a lot 

THURSDAY PREVIEWS GREATER ORLANDO AREA 

 

T-1

 

SCREAM VI

 

 

SHOWINGS	TOTAL SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
47	1336	6910	19.3%

 

NEW SHOWINGS ADDED

13

SEATS SOLD SINCE T-3

354

 

 

 

3D SHOWINGS	TOTAL SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
28	367	2589	14.2%

 

 

NEW SHOWINGS ADDED

7

SEATS SOLD SINCE T-3

54

 

 

lots of new showings added...With a lot of 3D screens being allocated to Scream. Overperforming a lot here

[Tinalera]

Scream 6

Thurs Mar 9 and Fri Mar 10 (T-2)

Toronto and Montreal/Laval Canada

 

t-2	Toronto	# theatre	#show	Seats Sold	Seats Rem	Ttl seat	Percent
	Thurs	4	10	407	3259	3666	0.1110
	Fri	4	39	508	8729	9237	0.0549
	Montreal
	Thurs	2	6	312	1392	1704	0.1830
	Fri	2	25	421	7129	7550	0.0557

[Hiccup23]

Boring day today so I decided to pull Scream and 65's previews in the Milwaukee Metro area. Below is the Milwaukee Metro + Madison Area previews. 65 is doing terrible. Multiple theaters with 0 tickets sold. Scream is doing well especially the fan events at 5:00pm. 

 

Film                Total Sold      Total Seats      Percent Sold      # of Showings

Scream VI            751             9,045                 8.3%                     60

65                          92             3,853                 2.4%                     32

[Eric S'ennui]

22 hours ago, Eric the Velocipastor said:

65 Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-3 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	36	90	4524	1.99%

 

Comp

0.600x of Snake Eyes (840K)

2.500x of The 355 (875K)

0.469x of Moonfall (328K)
1.000x of Ambulance (700K)

0.029x of Jurassic World: Dominion (521K)

0.136x of Bullet Train (627K)

0.584x of Violent Night (643K)

1.125x of Plane (703K)

3.913x of Operation Fortune (861K)

 

I tracked this last night, but didn't have time to publish it before work

65 Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-2 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	41	137	4978	2.75%

Total Seats Sold Today: 47

 

Comp - T-2

0.675x of Snake Eyes (945K)

2.446x of The 355 (856K)

0.643x of Moonfall (450K)

1.280x of Ambulance (896K)

0.039x of Jurassic World: Dominion (704K)

0.142x of Bullet Train (654K)

0.678x of Violent Night (746K)

0.945x of Plane (590K)

3.605x of Operation Fortune (793K)

 

Again, did this all last night, didn't publish until now.

[poweranimals]

Any Mario pre-sales?

[Eric S'ennui]

23 hours ago, Eric the Velocipastor said:

Scream VI Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-3 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	52	1353	8450	16.01%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 158

 

Comp - T-3

1.268x of Halloween Kills (6.15M)

1.693x of Scream (5.93M)

1.057x of Nope (6.76M)

1.054x of Halloween Ends (5.69M)

Scream VI Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-2 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	81	1568	13519	11.60%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 215

 

Comp - T-2

1.164x of Halloween Kills (5.65M)

1.471x of Scream (5.15M)

1.249x of Nope (8M)

1.097x of Halloween Ends (5.92M)

[Grebacio]

5 minutes ago, poweranimals said:

Any Mario pre-sales?

Mario presales start tomorrow

[Eric S'ennui]

23 hours ago, Eric the Velocipastor said:

Shazam! Fury of the Gods Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-10 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	84	328	17155	1.91%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 2

 

Comp - T-10

1.048x of The Suicide Squad (4.3M)

0.277x of Shang-Chi (2.44M)

0.180x of Eternals (1.71M)

0.565x of Ghostbusters: Afterlife (2.54M)

0.457x of Morbius (2.61M)

0.516x of Sonic 2 (3.23M)

0.500x of Fantastic Beasts 3 (3M)

0.169x of Jurassic World: Dominion (3.03M)

0.405x of Black Adam (3.08M)

Shazam! Fury of the Gods Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-9 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	84	341	17155	1.99%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 13

 

Comp - T-9

1.018x of The Suicide Squad (4.17M)

0.259x of Shang-Chi (2.27M)

0.179x of Eternals (1.7M)

0.539x of Ghostbusters: Afterlife (2.42M)

0.442x of Morbius (2.52M)

0.508x of Sonic 2 (3.18M)

0.469x of Fantastic Beasts 3 (2.81M)

0.169x of Jurassic World: Dominion (3.04M)

0.398x of Black Adam (3.03M)

[Eric S'ennui]

23 hours ago, Eric the Velocipastor said:

John Wick: Chapter 4 Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-17 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	69	573	13153	4.36%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 23

 

Comp - T-17

2.581x of The Suicide Squad (10.58M)

1.305x of Venom 2 (15.14M)

1.204x of No Time to Die (7.58M)

1.299x of Dune (6.63M)

2.984x of Uncharted (11.04M)

1.516x of Morbius (8.64M)

0.498x of Top Gun 2 (9.6M)

0.377x of Jurassic World: Dominion (6.79M)

0.355x of Avatar 2 (6.04M)

John Wick: Chapter 4 Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-16 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	69	633	13153	4.81%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 60

 

Comp - T-16

2.694x of The Suicide Squad (11.04M)

1.300x of Venom 2 (15.08M)

1.244x of No Time to Die (7.83M)

1.183x of Dune (6.03M)

3.165x of Uncharted (11.71M)

2.389x of Fantastic Beasts 3 (14.33M)

0.534x of Top Gun 2 (10.28M)

0.403x of Jurassic World: Dominion (7.26M)

0.374x of Avatar 2 (6.37M)

[Eric S'ennui]

Quorum Updates

John Wick: Chapter 4 T-16: 61.02% Awareness, 6.84 Interest

Air T-28: 23.26%, 5.16

Mafia Mamma T-37: 17.32%, 5.22

The Blackening T-100: 14.06%, 5.27

Haunted Mansion T-142: 35.98%, 5.77

White Bird: A Wonder Story T-170: 14.86%, 4.81

 

65 T-2: 34.06% Awareness, 6.0 Interest

Final Awareness: 39% chance of 10M

Final Interest: 100% chance of 10M

Original - High Awareness: 20% chance of 10M

Original - Low Interest: 100% chance of 30M

 

Champions T-2: 30.44% Awareness, 5.42 Interest

Final Awareness: 39% chance of 10M

Final Interest: 42% chance of 10M

Original - Low Awareness: 67% chance of 5M, 33% chance of 10M

Original - Low Interest: 60% chance of 5M, 40% chance of 10M

 

Scream VI T-2: 64.28% Awareness, 6.15 Interest

Final Awareness: 100% chance of 50M, 89% chance of 70M

Final Interest: 67% chance of 40M, 47% chance of 50M, 33% chance of 60M, 27% chance of 70M

Horror Awareness: 100% chance of 30M

Horror Interest: 75% chance of 30M, 50% chance of 40M

 

Renfield T-37: 22.25% Awareness, 5.06 Interest

T-30 Awareness: 61% chance of 10M, 23% chance of 20M

T-30 Interest: 54% chance of 10M, 30% chance of 20M

Horror Awareness: 78% chance of 10M, 44% chance of 20M

Horror Interest: 50% chance of 20M

[el sid]

 

65, counted today for Thursday:

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 59 (3 showtimes)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 29 (3 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 7 (2 showtimes)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): 16 (2 showtimes)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Centerpoint 11): 5 (1 showtime)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 49 (3 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 59 (3 showtimes)

Total tickets sold in 7 theaters: 224.

Up mediocre 43% since Monday.
Comps (all counted on Wednesday for Thursday): Plane (435k from previews) had 161 sold tickets,
Beast (925k) had 202
and Moonfall (700k) had 710.

65, counted today for Friday:

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 70 (5 showtimes)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 20 (8 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 14 (4 showtimes)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): 4 (4 showtimes)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Centerpoint 11): 11 (3 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 54 (5 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 51 (5 showtimes)

Total tickets sold in 7 theaters: Again 224.

Up 58% since Monday.
Comps (all counted on Wednesday for Friday): Plane (10.3M OW) had 248 sold tickets,
Beast (11.6M) had 218,
The Protégé (2.9M) had 83,
Moonfall (9.9M) had 288
and Fantasy Island (12.3M) had 506 sold tickets. As mentioned FI had no Thursday shows. With Thursday shows it would have been ca. 250 sold tickets for Fantasy Island.

Not the jumps I hoped for. E.g. Plane had way better jumps.
So for now low to mid-teens is my guess.

 

[tonytr87]

Given the high concept premise this probably could've been a sleeper hit with the right push, but sounds like the movie's no good anyway...which explains the lack of push. 

[Tinalera]

Shazam 2

Thurs Mar 16 and Fri Mar 17 (T-9)

Toronto and Montreal Canad

		# theatre	#show	Seats Sold	Seats Rem	Ttl seat	Percent
Toronto	Thurs	4	18	98	4162	4260	0.0230
	Fri	3	16	71	4508	4579	0.0155
		# theatre	#show	Seats Sold	Seats Rem	Ttl seat	Percent
Montreal	Thurs	3	15	60	3725	3785	0.0158
	Fri	3	18	45	4841	4886	0.0092

 

For comparison Antman Quantum at same tiime

 

 

 

Toronto

Thurs

4

32

1935

7957

9892

0.1956

Fri     4

37

2248

7288

9536

0.2357

 

Montreal

Th          4

23

1078

5219

6297

0.1711

Fri          4

23

1078

5219

6297

0.1711

 

 

Apologies for bad formatting, as I am having to go earlier in thread to find Antman Quantum as it was still....well was still a WIP when I was doing this Canada wide thing LOL. Once I get to T-4 where I doing things different it should be nicer (and other movies going forward

 

 

These numbers are while not totally unchanged, are certainly now growing at a great rate. Whether its the DCU and all that going on, or maybe just comic book movies in general, lots of Canadian cities not picking up.

[BestPicturePlutoNash]

I don't track stuff anymore since I moved to New York in the fall. But I took a look at the Thursday 3pm DOLBY for Shazam at the Lincoln Square (biggest AMC) and it's anemic. 

[TheFlatLannister]

4 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

65 MTC1

Previews - 8374/141291 122466.60 1186 shows

Friday - 9378/225849 133103.12 1903 shows

 

Week ago I just took a look and it had sold 150 tickets at MTC1 !!! At least its doing ok now. Probably will hit double digits. But let us see how walkups are tomorrow before honing in on its OW. 

 

Totally forgot about this movie 😂

 

THURSDAY SHOWINGS - GREATER ORLANDO REGION 

 

65

 

T-1

 

SHOWINGS	TOTAL SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
41	288	3727	7.7%

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

Comps: 0.398x Scream VI 

 

THURSDAY SHOWINGS - GREATER TAMPA REGION 

 

65

 

T-1

 

 

SHOWINGS	TOTAL SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
33	264	3491	7.5%

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

 

Scream VI is taking all 3D screens and many other PLFs. As expected, Disney Springs Orlando is overindexing by a lot. Not bad numbers across the two cities.

[Dragoncaine]

29 minutes ago, BestPicturePlutoNash said:

I don't track stuff anymore since I moved to New York in the fall. But I took a look at the Thursday 3pm DOLBY for Shazam at the Lincoln Square (biggest AMC) and it's anemic. 

I'm still thinking Shazam's domestic OW starts with a "2" in front. Just a feeling.

Edited March 8, 2023 by Dragoncaine

[cooldude97]

Less than 24 hours till the Mario floodgates open. Any last pre-sale predictions?

[Grebacio]

11 minutes ago, cooldude97 said:

Less than 24 hours till the Mario floodgates open. Any last pre-sale predictions?

386M DOM
1BN+ WW

Edited March 9, 2023 by Grebacio

[GOGODanca]

2 minutes ago, cooldude97 said:

Less than 24 hours till the Mario floodgates open. Any last pre-sale predictions?

Lots of 👀 and Porthos dark magic striking again

 

For Numbers:

$325m DOM

 

$900m WW

Edited March 9, 2023 by GOGODanca