Christmas Weekend Thread (24-26 Dec). No Way Home (84.5m) | Matrix (22.5m 5 day) | Sing 2 (39.4m 5 day)

[JonahVex]

@charlie Jatinder whats your final dom prediction for nwh?

[charlie Jatinder]

[Knights of Ren]

2 minutes ago, EmpireCity said:

Also don't forget that this is the first Christmas since 2019 that a lot of people have gathered and might be focused on family time and not so eager to just run out to the theater on Christmas Day.  Will be interesting to see what the number is tomorrow.  

This

[XXR vs XXR]

2 minutes ago, EmpireCity said:

 

Many theaters are still having capacity and staffing issues along with reduced hours.  There is zero competition until nearly February.  

 

It should roll on strong for a long time.  

 

We will see what happens. Looking ahead, let's go wit something like....

405.5M to date

31.5
30

21

16

15

16

13

16

24

21

11

614M through Jan 4th

100-120M after that

 

[Mango]

Jeez Matrix might not even do $10m

[Tokugennumataka]

Let the meltdowns begin. On a serious note, this is indeed a disappointing number after a stellar opening. Hope it still inches past BP. 

[Tokugennumataka]

Sing is seeing low boost as expected. I expect Sun to be see a substantial increase. 

[Eric the Fall Guy]

We've gone through a 2-year drought of megagrossers, and when No Way Home only barely misses 700M, that's not good enough? Ohhhhhhhhhkayyyyy

[Porthos]

2 minutes ago, Eric Smith said:

We've gone through a 2-year drought of megagrossers, and when No Way Home only barely misses 700M, that's not good enough? Ohhhhhhhhhkayyyyy

 

Yeah, I was about to say "People sure did get spoiled in a hurry, didn't they?"

[cannastop]

19 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

8.75 4.5

Sing 2 powah

[charlie Jatinder]

Just now, JonahVex said:

@charlie Jatinder whats your final dom prediction for nwh?

700M+

[Porthos]

Like, I get it.  I mean, I really do.  At the same time I think sometimes this board falls in love with The Math a little too much and forgets to take a look At The Big Picture.

 

The Math Says: Disappointing rise, therefore we will be Put Out.

The Big Picture Says: MY FUCKING GOODNESS, NWH IS STOMPING ON EVERYTHING AS FAR AS THE EYE CAN SEE, ESPECIALLY GIVEN THE SITUATION.

 

Now I realize as a Big Math Nerd that this is near heresy, but sometimes one should probably tell The Math to shut up, sit in a corner, and reflect on things.

 

Edited December 26, 2021 by Porthos

[JonahVex]

We already know NWH is crushing everything which is why its funner to discuss if it can catch Avatar or Endgame instead

[XXR vs XXR]

2 minutes ago, Porthos said:

Like, I get it.  I mean, I really do.  At the same time I think sometimes this board falls in love with The Math a little too much and forgets to take a look At The Big Picture.

 

The Math Says: Disappointing rise, therefore we will be Put Out.

The Big Picture Says: MY FUCKING GOODNESS, NWH IS STOMPING ON EVERYTHING AS FAR AS THE EYE CAN SEE, ESPECIALLY GIVEN THE SITUATION.

 

Now I realize as a Big Math Nerd that this is near heresy, but sometimes one should probably tell The Math to shut up, sit in a corner, and reflect on things.

 

 

We just wanted something to finally crush that derivative Star Wars movie that currently holds the domestic record.....

 

Spoiler

I only said this to agitate the lovely Porthos! 

 

[YM!]

Jesus that Sing 2 number is awful.

[Inceptionzq]

7 minutes ago, Porthos said:

The Math Says: Disappointing rise, therefore we will be Put Out.

The Big Picture Says: MY FUCKING GOODNESS, NWH IS STOMPING ON EVERYTHING AS FAR AS THE EYE CAN SEE, ESPECIALLY GIVEN THE SITUATION.

Not to mention, we really don’t know what the Math says about how a megagrosser should perform in a pandemic. Anyone that thinks it’s disappointing is being kinda ridiculous

[Porthos]

2 minutes ago, GoblinXXR said:

(I only said this to agitate the lovely Porthos!)

 

 

It would agitate me if 1) I thought you meant it and 2) the opinion actually meant anything to me.

 

...

 

Or, if one prefers, in meme form:

 

[Landon1195]

I think Avatar could still be possible. Keep in mind Homecoming also had a very big drop in it's second weekend (62% drop) and was still able to recover. I think the same could happen to No Way Home.

 

[Mango]

6 minutes ago, GoblinXXR said:

 

We just wanted something to finally crush that derivative Star Wars movie that currently holds the domestic record.....

 

  Hide contents

I only said this to agitate the lovely Porthos! 

 

 

Assuming we manage a full recovery to moviegoing around late 2022/2023 I'm fully expecting the movie to dethrone TFA one of these days to be something out of left field like another Titanic or something. If SW and Avengers can't make a billion it's gonna have to be some sort of phenomenon/zeitgeist movie.

 

I've actually believed this since TFA was doing the numbers in 2015/2016. Once Endgame opened with it's earth-shattering openings for a split second I thought that would do it instead but once it came back down to earth around weeks 3/4 my original expectation was renewed.

Edited December 26, 2021 by Mango

[Porthos]

2 minutes ago, Inceptionzq said:

Not to mention, we really don’t know what the Math says about how a megagrosser should perform in a pandemic. Anyone that thinks it’s disappointing is being kinda ridiculous

 

I mean, true.  And kinda implied by the qualifier "given the situation" in my post.

 

At the same time I do think this board falls in love with The Math a little too quickly and deeply sometimes and thus a (somewhat ) gentle reminder that Math Isn't Everything is prob apropos once in a while. 

Edited December 26, 2021 by Porthos