Weekend Thread (6/3-5) | Top Gun 2 drops 29% for 90M. The smallest second weekend drop ever for a 100M+ opener!

[AJG]

Just now, Potiki said:

That is what you think until JW3 opens under $50m and gets the 17 day window!

 

Before anyone gets upset...

 

 

Spoiler

I don’t know if Universal have a deal in South Korea similar to WB’s and Paramount, but if they do, expect JW3 to find its way online around June 28th. 

 

[awkwardaardvark]

42 minutes ago, grey ghost said:

 

Well Bullet Train is evidently on the same level as John Wick so I'm assuming you're taking the bet?

You’re comparing Bullet Train to the third film in a series. Come on. Why the hell are you fixating on the arbitrary 170 million number? 
 

All that was said was Bullet Train — an 85 million dollar film starring an A-lister and featuring other well-known actors — isn’t some niche film. 
 

if you want to be pedantic, try harder. 

[Brainbug]

36-37M Sat

 

 

[LegendaryBen]

Just now, Brainbug the Dinosaur said:

36-37M Sat

 

 

Where did you get this source from? I"m hoping that will be the number because that would be awesome for it.

[charlie Jatinder]

Surprised EC & RTH hasn't posted yet. Could have run for some more time.

[Brainbug]

1 minute ago, LegendaryBen said:

Where did you get this source from? I"m hoping that will be the number because that would be awesome for it.

 

Spoiler

 

 

[superduperm]

2 minutes ago, Brainbug the Dinosaur said:

36-37M Sat

 

 

Lol nah. This is just as unreasonable as $25M.

 

More than likely it’ll be somewhere in the 30-35 range.

[Maggie]

sooooooooooooooo

 

[Cheddar Please]

Just now, superduperm said:

Lol nah. This is just as unreasonable as $25M.

 

More than likely it’ll be somewhere in the 30-35 range.

When Deadline is projecting ~$33M (84.5M wknd), I'd say 36 seems within reasonable expectations

[CJohn]

Is JW3 going to open under 4 Morbillions? That seems quite floppy but the hype/buzz just isn't growing. Reviews are obviously gonna be bad too. What a waste of the old trio.

[superduperm]

3 minutes ago, Cheddar Please said:

When Deadline is projecting ~$33M (84.5M wknd), I'd say 36 seems within reasonable expectations

$36M would be amazing but that would be a 5% Saturday-to-Saturday drop. I know this movie has performed amazingly so far but there’s still the limit of reality.

[Brainbug]

Just now, CJohn said:

Is JW3 going to open under 4 Morbillions? That seems quite floppy but the hype/buzz just isn't growing. Reviews are obviously gonna be bad too. What a waste of the old trio.

 

You be silent.

[LegendaryBen]

1 minute ago, superduperm said:

$36M would be amazing but that would be a 5% Saturday-to-Saturday drop. I know this movie has performed amazingly so far but there’s still the limit of reality.

It's still not impossible. However, It's great to stay conservative on predictions.

[XXR & Friends]

3 minutes ago, CJohn said:

Is JW3 going to open under 4 Morbillions? That seems quite floppy but the hype/buzz just isn't growing. Reviews are obviously gonna be bad too. What a waste of the old trio.

 

4.4 Morbillions

[BruiseCruise]

4 minutes ago, superduperm said:

$36M would be amazing but that would be a 5% Saturday-to-Saturday drop. I know this movie has performed amazingly so far but there’s still the limit of reality.

Its pulling an Avatar

[Ronin46]

160M OW so thats 4.1 Morbillions.

[grey ghost]

21 minutes ago, Maggie said:

You called the movie niche, i'd say it looks to me it targets the hipster action movie crowd. It's not the usual action movie

 

Again I meant niche compared to Top Gun 2.

 

Also I was originally debating that it wasn't on John Wicks level which you guys pointed out made 170m the last movie.

[keysersoze123]

15 minutes ago, superduperm said:

Lol nah. This is just as unreasonable as $25M.

 

More than likely it’ll be somewhere in the 30-35 range.

20% saturday increase at low end?

[superduperm]

8 minutes ago, BruiseCruise said:

Its pulling an Avatar

Fun fact: As amazingly historic as Avatar’s box office run and legs were, its second weekend was actually inflated. Opening weekend had major weather issues and second weekend had a Christmas Day boost.

 

Top Gun, meanwhile, was the opposite. Its opening weekend was actually inflated by Memorial Day.

Edited June 4, 2022 by superduperm

[Brainbug]

2 minutes ago, Ronin46 said:

160M OW so thats 4.1 Morbillions.

 

Yep or in other words 28.07 Mormillions.