WEEKEND THREAD: Lightyear implodes with 51M DOM, 85.6M WW. THE LAST PIXAR MOVIE EVER?????😱😱😱 | Dominion #1 with 58.66M, Top Gun 44M

[Cheddar Please]

3 hours ago, Legion and Thunder said:

That’s about 25% drops on avg. Realistically I think it will hold worse than that next week (because this one is inflated), better the week after (because of the 4th) and worse 3 from now (because of Thor&coming down from the 4th). 

Basically spot on with my analysis, I also have it pegged at 660.

I see it doing 30m o/u next weekend (520m), flat on July 4th due to PLF expansion (575m), and 17m the weekend after due to Thor (600m)

[wildphantom]

31 minutes ago, LegendaryBen said:

@Brainbug the Dinosaur will be so happy if it makes it to $400m. Thor is nearly locked unless it gets real terrible reviews and it opens under $150m. If that and JWD were to make it to $400m, that would be 4 summer hits over that excellent mark!

if I was in the states right now I would absolutely get a ticket for JWD and sneak into MoM, because it’s not like Disney care, right? 
 

all for @Brainbug the Dinosaur who they should just put in charge of theatrical distribution at Disney as far as I’m concerned. 

[Gavin Feng]

 

 

 

[TwoMisfits]

6 minutes ago, Brainbug the Dinosaur said:

 

Was a typo, i meant 150-180M.

 

And a 150M OW might be not enough for 400M. Before the summer i was sure that Doctor Strange 2 will open to 200M and have a 500M DOM run and now after its performance and Dominion also coming in under my expectations, im a bit more on the fence regarding Thor.

 

Is this the time, just like I said under $150M for the dinos and under $70M for Buzz that I mention that under $150M for Thor also seems totally possible, if not likely for me?  I like the $130-$150M part of your range....

[John Marston]

1 minute ago, Gavin Feng said:

 

 

 

 

 

[Gavin Feng]

1 minute ago, John Marston said:

 

 

 

4* multiple confirmed by DL.

Quote

This is an opening more in the vicinity of Pixar’s original fare (i.e. Coco $51M, Ratatouille $47M), so it could still leg out to $200M+, but built on the back of the Toy Story brand, it’s clear many were expecting significantly more. Lightyear overall was down in its global start, $85.6M versus the top end of $135M we had initially spotted.

 

[Cheddar Please]

45 minutes ago, EmpireCity said:

Holy shit, the early look at numbers for TG2 has it expectedly but hilarously blasting way in front of both JWD and LY this morning.  

This is exactly what I expected going into this wknd, LY takes Friday, JWD takes Saturday, TGM takes Sunday. Perfectly balanced.

[TwoMisfits]

1 minute ago, Gavin Feng said:

 

4* multiple confirmed by DL.

 

 

As bad as the DOM open for Lightyear is at $51M, the total WW of $85.6M is horrifically bad...that's only $34.6M INT...that's gonna make Disney have to make something change b/c that's catastrophic...

[Issac Newton]

DOCTOR STRANGE IN THE MULTIVERSE OF MADNESS
$4.2M Weekend (Est.)
2,465 Screens / $1,703 Avg.
Weekend 7 / -19% Change
$405.1M Total (North America)#DoctorStrange #MultiverseOfMadness #MCU #Marvel #BoxOffice

— Boxoffice Pro (@BoxOffice) June 19, 2022

[wildphantom]

Just now, Gavin Feng said:

 

4* multiple confirmed by DL.

 

No chance. Lol. Good old DL. 

Ratatouille and Coco were not related to a behemoth franchise, and more’s to the point weren’t headed for free tv seven weeks after they came out. Disney are going to face the consequences of their actions with this one. 

[YM!]

3 minutes ago, Gavin Feng said:

 

4* multiple confirmed by DL.

 

Jesus with that start it’ll be lucky to do 300m.

[John Marston]

4 minutes ago, Gavin Feng said:

 

4* multiple confirmed by DL.

 

 

 

[Issac Newton]

THE BOB'S BURGERS MOVIE
$1.1M Weekend (Est.)
1,350 Screens / $815 Avg.
Weekend 4 / -55% Change
$29.76M Total (North America)#BobsBurgers #BobsBurgersMovie #BoxOffice

— Boxoffice Pro (@BoxOffice) June 19, 2022

[Brainbug]

85,6M WW Opening is terrible for Lightyear.

[AniNate]

Gotta wonder if Lightyear will even beat John Carter's worldwide take

[BadOlCatSylvester]

Utterly dreadful number for Lightyear. No way around it. This is their Solo moment. And seeing as how that movie is a major reason as to why Star Wars has spent the last few years in streaming purgatory, I'm getting pretty worried for Pixar.

[european1992]

Was the budget really 200 million for Lightyear? If yes, this is one of the biggest Disney bombs ever.

[ThomasNicole]

Thor would need to get a real bad reception and crumble on presales to open with just 130M or so, that's not realistic at all so far. 

 

 

[AniNate]

Not an unrealistic figure for a Pixar movie so yes, have to imagine it's close to the truth if not an underestimate

[filmlover]

I guess the Solo: A Star Wars Story comparisons ended up being pretty spot-on for Lightyear. Oh well.