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Eric Claus

A Very Queer Thanksgiving Weekend Thread | We Here. We Queer. Move On. | 3-Day/5-Day: Black Panther 45.9/64, Strange World 11.9/18.6, Glass Onion 9.2/13.3, Devotion 6/9, The Menu 5.2/7.3 | Daddy Cameron, please save us!

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    https://deadline.com/2022/11/box-office-wakanda-forever-strange-world-bones-and-all-timothee-chalamet-thanksgiving-1235180803/

     

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    It’s not like people weren’t going to the cinema yesterday as we head toward Thanksgiving: Disney/Marvel Studios’ Black Panther: Wakanda Forever made $9.5M on Tuesday propelling the Ryan Coogler-directed sequel past the the three century mark with $303.7M, making it the 7th film to pass that threshold this year after Top Gun: Maverick, Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness, Jurassic World: Dominion, Minions: The Rise of Gru, The Batman and Thor: Love and Thunder.

     

    However, there really wasn’t any excitement last night to see previews of Disney Animation’s Strange World, which as we told you doesn’t look so good for the holiday stretch. Off previews that started at 6pm, Strange World only did $800K, which is arguably the lowest for a Disney Thanksgiving theatrical release in the era of movie theaters holding early previews. That’s close to half of what Encanto did in its Tuesday preview a year ago with $1.5M, and that’s when there were more pandemic fears among moviegoers. A $30M+ five-day start for Strange World at 4,174 theaters is what we figured, but it wouldn’t be a surprise if it’s lower as the weekend belongs for a third time to Wakanda Forever, which is apt to do $40M-$50M.

     

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    Just now, Borobudur said:

    Can we declare now Illumination/Dreamworks under Universal is a more sucessful animation brand than Disney/Pixar?

    Illumination/Dreamworks are kings of the big screen, Disney/Pixar are kings of the television screen. Welcome to the new age.

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    I know folks like to throw the word "bomb" around here, but Strange World under DC Super Pets and Bad Guys 3 day OWs (of $23Mish) and with its $135M production budget, would probably finally qualify.

     

    Disney probably saw this coming a mile away...and thus the Chapek ax, b/c this one is fully on him.

     

    The 30 day window will only keep hurting this movie, since it has no hope of getting Christmas holiday money to save it, giving all animated money in late December to Puss in Boots...

     

    It's weird when you see the train wreck coming, but then it arrives, even though you were hoping it wouldn't...

     

    Although this entire Thanksgiving weekend doesn't look great - it may be more evidence of inflation and rising ticket prices killing GA/family attendance...

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    BPWF tracking Strange pretty closely, ~$70M 5-day/$49M 3-day if it continues

     

    … but holidays have been weaker post-pandemic, so may not get quite that high

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    3 minutes ago, TwoMisfits said:

    I know folks like to throw the word "bomb" around here, but Strange World under DC Super Pets and Bad Guys 3 day OWs (of $23Mish) and with its $135M production budget, would probably finally qualify.

     

    Disney probably saw this coming a mile away...and thus the Chapek ax, b/c this one is fully on him.

     

    The 30 day window will only keep hurting this movie, since it has no hope of getting Christmas holiday money to save it, giving all animated money in late December to Puss in Boots...

     

    It's weird when you see the train wreck coming, but then it arrives, even though you were hoping it wouldn't...

     

    Although this entire Thanksgiving weekend doesn't look great - it may be more evidence of inflation and rising ticket prices killing GA/family attendance...

     

    Variety posted an article showing its budget was closer to $180M, which is even worse...

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    3 minutes ago, TwoMisfits said:

    Although this entire Thanksgiving weekend doesn't look great - it may be more evidence of inflation and rising ticket prices killing GA/family attendance...

    The prices don’t help, but what it really does is make people more selective. And when slate is as forgettable as it is - outside BPWF and prob Glass Onion - it just doesn’t clear the bar

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    1 minute ago, TwoMisfits said:

    Although this entire Thanksgiving weekend doesn't look great - it may be more evidence of inflation and rising ticket prices killing GA/family attendance...

    I got laughed at for saying this when Lightyear came out, but I still think inflation's something to consider when predicting and analyzing box office. Things keep getting worse and we're in the holiday shopping season, which only further complicates things. People are going to focus on gas and food and gifts and their families over movies, especially when their kids can just sit down and watch Encanto or The Bad Guys for free. Won't affect Avatar of course, but every other December movie has a huge uphill battle.

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    6 minutes ago, Eric Clade said:

    I got laughed at for saying this when Lightyear came out, but I still think inflation's something to consider when predicting and analyzing box office. Things keep getting worse and we're in the holiday shopping season, which only further complicates things. People are going to focus on gas and food and gifts and their families over movies, especially when their kids can just sit down and watch Encanto or The Bad Guys for free. Won't affect Avatar of course, but every other December movie has a huge uphill battle.

    Gotta agree with this. Inflation is a huuuuuge factor. People just don't have the money. ☹️

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