stuart360 Posted December 20, 2022 Share Posted December 20, 2022 (edited) 3 minutes ago, interiorgatordecorator said: 80.4? If thats a 40% drop from OW then yes. Thankyou very much bud. 80.4mil Christmas weekend.😍 Edited December 20, 2022 by stuart360 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deep Wang Posted December 20, 2022 Author Share Posted December 20, 2022 1 minute ago, stuart360 said: If thats a 40% drop from OW then yes. Thankyou very much bud. 80.4mil Christmas weekend.😍 Can't believe Kal is barely above you Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stuart360 Posted December 20, 2022 Share Posted December 20, 2022 Just now, Deep Wang said: Can't believe Kal is barely above you Listen i'm well aware i'm taking a bit of a leap of faith with that number, but at the same time Christmas weekends are very hard to work out, with Christmas eve and all that. But just remember Sherlock Holmes 2 only dropped 49% on Christmas weekend (I think it was SH2, some film did anyway) Anyway like i said in the other thread, i'm personaly not going to start worrying about the films potential until we get to the Christmas week weekdays. If thos weekdays dont do 100+mil, then i'll accept defeat. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
interiorgatordecorator Posted December 20, 2022 Share Posted December 20, 2022 (edited) 8 minutes ago, stuart360 said: Listen i'm well aware i'm taking a bit of a leap of faith with that number, but at the same time Christmas weekends are very hard to work out, with Christmas eve and all that. But just remember Sherlock Holmes 2 only dropped 49% on Christmas weekend (I think it was SH2, some film did anyway) Anyway like i said in the other thread, i'm personaly not going to start worrying about the films potential until we get to the Christmas week weekdays. If thos weekdays dont do 100+mil, then i'll accept defeat. its not about you, its about Sheldoncr's prediction being "low" for him Edited December 20, 2022 by interiorgatordecorator 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deep Wang Posted December 20, 2022 Author Share Posted December 20, 2022 11 minutes ago, stuart360 said: Listen i'm well aware i'm taking a bit of a leap of faith with that number, but at the same time Christmas weekends are very hard to work out, with Christmas eve and all that. But just remember Sherlock Holmes 2 only dropped 49% on Christmas weekend (I think it was SH2, some film did anyway) Anyway like i said in the other thread, i'm personaly not going to start worrying about the films potential until we get to the Christmas week weekdays. If thos weekdays dont do 100+mil, then i'll accept defeat. Sorry, I meant that Kal's was almost as low as yours, not that yours was as high as his lol. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stripe Posted December 20, 2022 Share Posted December 20, 2022 72,051.693M 46% drop Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
interiorgatordecorator Posted December 20, 2022 Share Posted December 20, 2022 (edited) 4 hours ago, european1992 said: 110M damn I was going to predict 91 (still am even if its just for coping purposes) in hope of a small miracle and wanting to be the one with the highest predict in this thread , but no matter how hard I try I cant see a path to anything over 95 Edited December 20, 2022 by interiorgatordecorator Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CJohn Posted December 20, 2022 Share Posted December 20, 2022 50M 2nd weekend. This train is about to derail even further. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stuart360 Posted December 20, 2022 Share Posted December 20, 2022 1 minute ago, CJohn said: 50M 2nd weekend. This train is about to derail even further. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XXR vs XXR Posted December 20, 2022 Share Posted December 20, 2022 I made my fun prediction on the first page but my realistic prediction is right around 60M (+/- 5%). 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mulder Posted December 20, 2022 Share Posted December 20, 2022 12 hours ago, Mulder said: 75.3 Million This was too high, 70 million give or take .5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
marveldcfox Posted December 20, 2022 Share Posted December 20, 2022 50M. If it does more then that's good hold in my humble opinion. Overseas 150M. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stuart360 Posted December 20, 2022 Share Posted December 20, 2022 (edited) 2 minutes ago, marveldcfox said: 50M. If it does more then that's good hold in my humble opinion. Overseas 150M. Isnt 50mil like a 70% drop or something?. That seems very high, even with Christmas eve. Edited December 20, 2022 by stuart360 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nero Posted December 20, 2022 Share Posted December 20, 2022 1 hour ago, M37 said: So ... If Avatwo were to follow Rogue One's daily drop from OW exactly, it would be a second weekend of $19.66/$14.65/$25.11 = $59.42M But, while RO saw just a 31% decline for Xmas Day vs the 1st weekend, last year NWH was -57% - Christmas Day movies are weaker. Plus the winter storm potentially keeping people home, putting movies the backseat Putting it all together, I'm gonna go with: $53,730,037 (-59.9%) Preview of weekend thread What did rogue one open to? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XXR vs XXR Posted December 20, 2022 Share Posted December 20, 2022 7 minutes ago, Nero said: What did rogue one open to? $155M 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Borobudur Posted December 20, 2022 Share Posted December 20, 2022 I was too disappointed by OW and losing my courage to guess. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
M37 Posted December 20, 2022 Share Posted December 20, 2022 10 minutes ago, Nero said: What did rogue one open to? ~$155M, but with a $29M Thursday. So in theory, Avatwo should hold better by % because of a lower share on Thursday, but I think the combination of a weaker X-mas day and weather (plus the generally larger 2nd week drops post-pandemic) pushes it down further I do expect some recovery after Xmas fwiw, but by that point the dye may already be cast Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronJimbo Posted December 20, 2022 Share Posted December 20, 2022 (edited) The snow storm stuff sounds lame as hell and I've got no tangible way of adjusting my prediction properly to account for it. I'm just going to go with $75.464262m Edited December 20, 2022 by IronJimbo 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
marveldcfox Posted December 20, 2022 Share Posted December 20, 2022 35 minutes ago, stuart360 said: Isnt 50mil like a 70% drop or something?. That seems very high, even with Christmas eve. I am just keeping expectations real low. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nero Posted December 20, 2022 Share Posted December 20, 2022 9 minutes ago, M37 said: ~$155M, but with a $29M Thursday. So in theory, Avatwo should hold better by % because of a lower share on Thursday, but I think the combination of a weaker X-mas day and weather (plus the generally larger 2nd week drops post-pandemic) pushes it down further I do expect some recovery after Xmas fwiw, but by that point the dye may already be cast Hmm.What was your OW predict? $132M? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
