Jiffy Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 $20m weekend would be good but was hoping it'd surprise. We'll see how Wed/Thurs play out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sophia Jane Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 BOP give Avatar 20.4m prediction(-38% drop) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XXR vs XXR Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 1 hour ago, GOGODanca said: outside of avatar sequels and avengers 5 and 6, any other possible $2 billy grossers you guys think are possible in the next couple years? Nope. Nothing currently announced/expected can hit $2B except A3-5 and A5-6 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mickiland16 Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 1 hour ago, GOGODanca said: outside of avatar sequels and avengers 5 and 6, any other possible $2 billy grossers you guys think are possible in the next couple years? Specific movies confirmed for theaters? No. But hypothetically I would say Harry Potter 9 or a Star Wars movie (but not in the next few years). And...well...I wouldn't rule out a live-action Frozen remake. But none of these seem to happen in the next couple of years so... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Legion Again Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 I don’t think Incredibles or Frozen 3 quite have the juice, but you would expect a decent chance of an animated movie over 2B in the next few years just going by really brute highest grossing animation trends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayumanggi Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 6 hours ago, druv10 said: Honestly, reading the weekday threads for Avatar's becoming ridiculously tedious. Same song and dance regarding doom on Monday through Thursday followed by great jumps (Recovery) on Friday/Saturday. And we wonder why new members just lurk. LOL 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeQ Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 41 minutes ago, XXR the Conqueror said: Nope. Nothing currently announced/expected can hit $2B except A3-5 and A5-6 The power of the A. Peace, Mike 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Legion Again Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 22 minutes ago, MikeQ said: The power of the A. Peace, Mike Bigbird One Of These Things Is Not Like The Others GIFfrom Bigbird GIFs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sophia Jane Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 48 minutes ago, Favorite Fearless Legion said: I don’t think Incredibles or Frozen 3 quite have the juice, but you would expect a decent chance of an animated movie over 2B in the next few years just going by really brute highest grossing animation trends. Frozen 2 will bigger than shrek 5 WW 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Royce Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 2 hours ago, GOGODanca said: outside of avatar sequels and avengers 5 and 6, any other possible $2 billy grossers you guys think are possible in the next couple years? I dream of an original surprise hit that grosses $2B+ or even $3B Even the original surprise $1B grossers of the entire 2010s were from established franchises and brands like superheroes and Disney Princesses (except for Zootopia) 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCsoft Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 39 minutes ago, Royce said: I dream of an original surprise hit that grosses $2B+ or even $3B Even the original surprise $1B grossers of the entire 2010s were from established franchises and brands like superheroes and Disney Princesses (except for Zootopia) Zootopia was a great run (Inside Out and SLOP did great as well, in the same era), not even that many years later, an original animated film doing $1B worldwide feels implausible now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alexdube Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 3 hours ago, Royce said: I dream of an original surprise hit that grosses $2B+ or even $3B Even the original surprise $1B grossers of the entire 2010s were from established franchises and brands like superheroes and Disney Princesses (except for Zootopia) it's hard to imagine what could do it If you look at the past decades, you need either a franchise movie or a big budget production by a proven hit maker. Avatar, Titanic and Jurassic Park weren't really surprises in that sense. I think you have to go back almost half a century to see that kind of big surprise hit, and that would be Star Wars. And it was at a time when you could still wow audiences with just a bit of technical ingenuity and didn't necessarily need a massive budget. Another problem is we have yet to find the next Spielberg or Cameron. We have directors that can do big spectacle like Nolan or Villeneuve, but they don't have the same kind of pull with the GA. I believe it could happen, but still it's very unlikely that something will come out of left field and make 3 billion dollars 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheddar Please Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 4 hours ago, kayumanggi said: And we wonder why new members just lurk. LOL I've been lurking since 2019 lmao, only decided to bite the bullet this year 👀 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sampath Kumar Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 Can National Popcorn 🍿 Day on Thursday give boost to Number's? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JimiQ Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 10 hours ago, GOGODanca said: outside of avatar sequels and avengers 5 and 6, any other possible $2 billy grossers you guys think are possible in the next couple years? National Treasure 3 with Nic Cage 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stuart360 Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 2 hours ago, JimiQ said: National Treasure 3 with Nic Cage I'm actually surprised that film hasnt happened yet, with how relatively successful the first 2 films were. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayumanggi Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 4 minutes ago, stuart360 said: I'm actually surprised that film hasnt happened yet, with how relatively successful the first 2 films were. Same with SHERLOCK HOLMES III. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YM! Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 11 hours ago, Favorite Fearless Legion said: I don’t think Incredibles or Frozen 3 quite have the juice, but you would expect a decent chance of an animated movie over 2B in the next few years just going by really brute highest grossing animation trends. Shrek 5 if Puss does 200m domestic, could have a strong enough domestic performance, not enough for 2B but maybe 1.5B 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brainbug Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 Ive said for years that a Shrek 5 that is close in quality to Shrek 1 or 2 clears 500M DOM at minimum. It would have so much potential its not even funny. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
M37 Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 14 hours ago, XXR the Conqueror said: This weekend should be something like 10.5-11.5x Thursday. So I looked over some historical January data, and the most definitive conclusion I can make is that January is frickin hard, in that there are so many outside variables - the calendar, NFL playoffs, random winter storms - that its difficult to find the signal amongst the noise. (February too!) Generally, we see bigger Fri and Sat jumps for this weekend, and even without the holiday effect, the Th/Wknd ratio is slightly higher than for MLK weekend. Last week Avatwo had an 11.0x for the 3-Day (higher than I would have expected), so maybe pencil that in as the approximate floor? But it also had an atypically strong MLK Sunday, so losing that bump could push a bit below that I suppose? Also, for some years with a later MLK holiday, this weekend was the off-week for the NFL playoffs, so that likely skews the ratios higher. Don't see any reason why Thursday should be more than -5% worse than Wed, so whatever number we get today for Wed, I'm putting down 11x as the expected weekend, though I think the range above seems about right overall. A $1.9-$2.0M Wed (similar w/w drop as Tue) is a $19-$22M weekend. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
