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Issac Newton

Weekend Thread 19-21/05 | Fast X $67.5M

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5 hours ago, screambaby said:

Jupiter moon

(Learned it from the anime star blazers)

`

The relationship taken from Greek/Roman mythology

 

Zeus (Jupiter) kidnapped the beautiful young Ganymede (son of the king of Troy) to Olympus to be his cup bearer and lover.

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Deadline Numbers + SUN/OW Projections

 

1.) Fast X (Uni) 4,046 theaters Fri $28M, Sat $22.2M, Sun $16.8M 3-day $67M/Wk 1

 

2.) Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3 (Dis) 4,450 theaters Fri $8.3M Sat $14M Sun $10.4M 3-day $32.7M (-47%), Total $267.2M/Wk 3

 

3) Super Mario Bros (Uni) 3,540 (-260) theaters, Fri $2.25M Sat $4.45M Sun 3-day $9.8M (-22%) Total $549.2M/Wk 7

 

4) Book Club: Next Chapter (Foc) 3,513 (+5) theaters Fri $900K Sat $1.2M Sun $900K 3-day $3M (-55%) Total $13.1M/Wk 2

 

5) Evil Dead Rise (NL) 2,173 (-648) theaters, Fri $685K Sat $1M Sun $715K 3-day $2.4M (-35%) Total $64.1M/Wk 5

 

6) John Wick Chapter 4 (LG) 1,312 (-301) theaters Fri $330K Sat $600K Sun $400K, 3-day $1.33M (-36%), Total $185.3M/Wk 9

 

7) Are You There God?(LG) 1,668 (-697) theaters, Fri $330 Sat $600K Sun $400K, 3-day $1.3M (-48%) Total $18.6M /Wk 3

 

😎 Hypnotic (Ketchup) 1,733 (-385) theaters, Fri $240K Sat $370K Sun $275K 3-day $885K (-63%) Total $4.1M/Wk 2

 

9) Blackberry (IFC) 595 (-75) theaters Fri $155K Sat $225K Sun $155K 3 day $535K (+9%) Total $1.2M/Wk 2

 

10) Dungeons & Dragons...(Par/eOne) 511 (-423) theaters Fri $104K Sat $178K Sun $108K 3-day $390K (-51%) Total $92.8M/Wk 8

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If Mario’s 22% drop the same week it was released to buy for $30 isn’t proof premium PVOD after 6 weeks doesn’t hurt the box office - well I don’t know what is. 
 

I’m not saying that would be true for every type of movie. But animated family movies? Absolutely. 

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4 minutes ago, wildphantom said:

If Mario’s 22% drop the same week it was released to buy for $30 isn’t proof premium PVOD after 6 weeks doesn’t hurt the box office - well I don’t know what is. 
 

I’m not saying that would be true for every type of movie. But animated family movies? Absolutely. 

We will still go through the same thing the next time PVOD is announced early for a big film and people start screaming it will drop big only for it to...not drop big at all.

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16 minutes ago, DTP said:

How hard are we expecting Fast X to drop next weekend?

 

Also, great holds for G3 and Mario.


Probably not too bad as it’s a holiday weekend and its OW hasn’t been so preview driven.  It’s not like there’s anything new coming to compete with its audience either. 
 

I think it’ll be at around $120 million by the end of the holiday weekend. 

Edited by wildphantom
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8 hours ago, titanic2187 said:

I think with AM3 around, it is hard to have anything else as the worst film of the year in theater. AM3 is easily the worst movie I saw in cinema since theater reopen. Awful story and terrible execution, and absolutely sloppy production. One of the most insincere film I've seen in a recent years. Fast franchise although the story is stupid but at least there is some decency in production and execution. 

 

I agree with you.  I tried firing up AM3 on Disney+ the other day and I just couldn't get into it again.  It's actually worse on rewatch. Terrible movie. 

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1 hour ago, wildphantom said:


Probably not too bad as it’s a holiday weekend and its OW hasn’t been so preview driven.  It’s not like there’s anything new coming to compete with its audience either. 
 

I think it’ll be at around $120 million by the end of the holiday weekend. 

In its second weekend, Black Adam from a nearly identical OW/IM went from $67M to $27.4M ($110M total) with no competition, holding PLFs, but with a Halloween depression effect. Fast X loses PLF, faces a likely $100M+ opener, but does benefits from holiday weekend 

 

I’d take the under on both $120M total by Memorial Day and $27.4M second weekend, but should be in same ballpark 

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1 hour ago, wildphantom said:


Probably not too bad as it’s a holiday weekend and its OW hasn’t been so preview driven.  It’s not like there’s anything new coming to compete with its audience either. 
 

I think it’ll be at around $120 million by the end of the holiday weekend. 

 

The last one fell 67% against no competition. Loss of premium screens and 100m opener should negate the holiday boost I think so probably similar drop overall? 

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