keysersoze123 Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 (edited) Good wednesday drop will guarantee domestic win for Barbie. With summer weekdays it aint missing 600m. That said I am expecting actuals to be lower. I would take 27/12 for both these movies 🙂 Edited July 25, 2023 by keysersoze123 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LonePirate Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 I don’t want to say it’s impossible but if Barbie does clear $30M, well $30.6M to be more exact, it would be a sub-30% drop. For a non-holiday Monday, that’s practically unheard of. If Oppy can stay at or above $14M, that would be a sub-40% drop, which itself is an amazing hold. We may never see another non-holiday Monday where two openers hold as well as Barbenheimer has done. Incredible! 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
excel1 Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 Oppenheimer may be benefiting from the military theme similar to TGM last year too. Serious high quality high profile military stuff just outright sells. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MovieMan89 Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 Remember when we had 30m Barbie OW predictions flying around a few months ago lol 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Robertron Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 1 hour ago, BoxOfficeZ said: It's astounding that both these movies will do 40m+ on a Monday. A few months back that would have been a solid combined OD Friday for both of them. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyneOh1040 Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 if that barbie number holds it is more shocking than the OW. my god. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LonePirate Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 This is the last day the Cinemark app has showtimes for the IMAX 70mm showing of Oppenheimer in Dallas. There are no IMAX showtimes listed for any film after this date. The gray seats have already been sold for a Wednesday 10:45pm showing three weeks after its release. Theaters would be stupid to replace the film with Gran Turismo in IMAX theaters as that film won’t sell anywhere close to the number of tickets even if it is playing 5 or 6 times a day instead of 4. The IMAX 70mm and regular 70mm theaters would be wise to keep Oppy on their screens at least until Dune or The Marvels arrives (whichever comes first). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 30M (-31%) 33M (+10%) 28M (-15%) 25.2M (-10%) 35.3M (+40%) 49.4M (+40%) 39.5M (-20%) 124.2M Weekend, 23% drop Good God. Even if it has small weekends jumps, it should easily take away the third highest grossing second weekend from Infinity War (114M). 14M (-40%) 14.7M (+5%) 12.5M (-15%) 12M (-4%) 17M (+42%) 25.5M (+50%) 19M (-25%) 61.5M Weekend, 25% drop Also fucking nuts. The rest of the summer has been scorched by Barbenheimer. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 2 minutes ago, LonePirate said: This is the last day the Cinemark app has showtimes for the IMAX 70mm showing of Oppenheimer in Dallas. There are no IMAX showtimes listed for any film after this date. The gray seats have already been sold for a Wednesday 10:45pm showing three weeks after its release. Theaters would be stupid to replace the film with Gran Turismo in IMAX theaters as that film won’t sell anywhere close to the number of tickets even if it is playing 5 or 6 times a day instead of 4. The IMAX 70mm and regular 70mm theaters would be wise to keep Oppy on their screens at least until Dune or The Marvels arrives (whichever comes first). It's IMAX's call on who gets to keep screens that weekend. At least in NY, Lincoln Square is fully keeping Oppenheimer over Gran Turismo, and I expect it to stay here well into September. Gran Turismo will probably have to settle for 1-2 shows at some locations because Oppenheimer is just too massive of a hit for IMAX to dump it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 proly 27 and 13 24 2 5 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
excel1 Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 2 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said: 30M (-31%) 33M (+10%) 28M (-15%) 25.2M (-10%) 35.3M (+40%) 49.4M (+40%) 39.5M (-20%) 124.2M Weekend, 23% drop Good God. Even if it has small weekends jumps, it should easily take away the third highest grossing second weekend from Infinity War (114M). 14M (-40%) 14.7M (+5%) 12.5M (-15%) 12M (-4%) 17M (+42%) 25.5M (+50%) 19M (-25%) 61.5M Weekend, 25% drop Also fucking nuts. The rest of the summer has been scorched by Barbenheimer. LOL would love but see it as impossible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VanillaSkies Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 2 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said: 30M (-31%) 33M (+10%) 28M (-15%) 25.2M (-10%) 35.3M (+40%) 49.4M (+40%) 39.5M (-20%) 124.2M Weekend, 23% drop Good God. Even if it has small weekends jumps, it should easily take away the third highest grossing second weekend from Infinity War (114M). 14M (-40%) 14.7M (+5%) 12.5M (-15%) 12M (-4%) 17M (+42%) 25.5M (+50%) 19M (-25%) 61.5M Weekend, 25% drop Also fucking nuts. The rest of the summer has been scorched by Barbenheimer. Tuesday is not increasing. the main 4-8pm shows already sold out mostly tonight. Tomorrow they will sell out again but at cheaper prices. There is no capacity for it to sell tons more seats during the peak period on Tuesday, so the discount will actually hurt it somewhat. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redfirebird2008 Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 Just now, across the Jat verse said: proly 27 and 13 Thank you for sharing. Great numbers! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MovieMan89 Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 15 minutes ago, Robertron said: A few months back that would have been a solid combined OD Friday for both of them. (insert me being annoying again and saying how the signs were there since last year for Barbie here) 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VanillaSkies Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 1 minute ago, across the Jat verse said: proly 27 and 13 so most likely; 27 25 17 15 sets Barbie up for a nice second weekend, could be 75-80 million depending on show counts. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ringedmortality Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 If Barbie wins the year domestically I can breathe a sigh of relief. It's the lesser of two evils. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MovieMan89 Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 27 wow what a flop 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 (edited) 9 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said: 30M (-31%) 33M (+10%) 28M (-15%) 25.2M (-10%) 35.3M (+40%) 49.4M (+40%) 39.5M (-20%) 124.2M Weekend, 23% drop Good God. Even if it has small weekends jumps, it should easily take away the third highest grossing second weekend from Infinity War (114M). 14M (-40%) 14.7M (+5%) 12.5M (-15%) 12M (-4%) 17M (+42%) 25.5M (+50%) 19M (-25%) 61.5M Weekend, 25% drop Also fucking nuts. The rest of the summer has been scorched by Barbenheimer. you surely aren't serious right? I would expect 162 27 25 18.5 17 // 250 25 33 27 // 85 Edited July 25, 2023 by across the Jat verse 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fanboy Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 If both movies are doing that well I'm curious to see how everything else did. Regardless, Barbie having the 2nd biggest non-holiday Monday ever with another movie doing over 10M is huge. Great for cinemas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Borobudur Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 5 minutes ago, VanillaSkies said: Tuesday is not increasing. the main 4-8pm shows already sold out mostly tonight. Tomorrow they will sell out again but at cheaper prices. There is no capacity for it to sell tons more seats during the peak period on Tuesday, so the discount will actually hurt it somewhat. Agreed, it is quite common to mega-opener to stay flat to even drop on Tuesday because they are taking less money from the same number of crowds. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
