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upriser7

Weekday numbers July 24-27

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Just now, Gavin Feng said:

Oppenheimer will win at least Best Picture, Best Director, Best Actor in Leading/Support Role, Best Visual, Best Sound considering its strong box office run & all major award season hits get delayed.:Gaga:

It can probably do it without any awards contenders getting delayed. Nothing is going to tick more boxes than this at this point, unless they go head over heels for some indie darling.

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22 minutes ago, VanillaSkies said:


Tuesday is not increasing. 
the main 4-8pm shows already sold out mostly tonight. Tomorrow they will sell out again but at cheaper prices. There is no capacity for it to sell tons more seats during the peak period on Tuesday, so the discount will actually hurt it somewhat.

Some of us might hate Discount Tues, but they are really important for bringing in the families who might not see the movie with how expensive tickets are nowadays. Barbie is going to need families to challenge Mario.

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Barbie: 27M (-38%)

Oppenheimer: 13M (-44%)

 

If these numbers hold, those are some insane Monday drops - especially coming off of superb Sunday drops that were only -8.6% (Barbie) and -11.7% (Oppenheimer).

 

Surely these two will be coming down to earth during the week? Would love to see some strong second weekend drops for each of them.

 

Peace,

Mike

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59 minutes ago, MovieMan89 said:

I would think over 100 2nd weekend even with 27, but this movie feels really hard to know right now with capacity obviously being an issue. Hopefully it’s not just a spillover effect and then big drop off 

 

Based on how it's tracking with TDK, I would go with maybe $85M on the second weekend for now. $100M is not impossible, but $85M is still a hell of a number. TDK made $75M on 2nd weekend. 

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If that $27.5M Monday holds, that would make it the 11th biggest Monday of all time. Here's the Top 10 from Mojo:

 

1. BP

2. TFA

3. NWH

4. Endgame

5. TGM

6. A2

7. RO

8. TFA (simply bonkers that it's on this list twice)

9. TROS

10. SM2

 

200K more for Barbie and it would pass SM2. Simply ridiculous numbers for it.

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