wildphantom Posted July 27, 2023 Share Posted July 27, 2023 Nolan making off with more profit from the summer than Disney at this rate. 1 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vale9001 Posted July 27, 2023 Share Posted July 27, 2023 6 minutes ago, Cheddar Please said: 23.5 and 10.6 can someone tell me why 90m is considered "possible" by reliable sources? I see no way this movie misses 90m short of it seeing no increase from Monday - Friday after a very very big weekend it's normal to expect a 50-60% drop so they're playing like this. Of course everything says the movie didn't lost the moment and it's somehow even growing up, but it's never easy to predict these kind of things so they're playing safe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Incarnadine Posted July 27, 2023 Share Posted July 27, 2023 14 minutes ago, wildphantom said: Nolan making off with more profit from the summer than Disney at this rate. That's not very hard to do this summer, he could find a quarter in the street and have more profit than Disney.😜 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brainbug Posted July 27, 2023 Share Posted July 27, 2023 17 minutes ago, wildphantom said: Nolan making off with more profit from the summer than Disney at this rate. Disney looking at all their combined profits from Summer 2023: 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jeffthehat Posted July 27, 2023 Share Posted July 27, 2023 36 minutes ago, Cheddar Please said: 23.5 and 10.6 can someone tell me why 90m is considered "possible" by reliable sources? I see no way this movie misses 90m short of it seeing no increase from Monday - Friday Yeah $90m looks like the floor to me based on weekday sales and comps. I’m guessing presale data and show counts are telling another story. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
upriser7 Posted July 27, 2023 Author Share Posted July 27, 2023 Barbie's weekdays hold so far in Overseas have been insane, even more crazier than US 1 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MrPink Posted July 27, 2023 Share Posted July 27, 2023 Wonder if Oppenheimer can stay above 10 today 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
M37 Posted July 27, 2023 Share Posted July 27, 2023 40 minutes ago, Cheddar Please said: 23.5 and 10.6 can someone tell me why 90m is considered "possible" by reliable sources? I see no way this movie misses 90m short of it seeing no increase from Monday - Friday Two reasons: One is that OW demand was limited by capacity, so it’s been spilling over into and inflating weekdays, which can then lower the ratio between those weekdays and upcoming weekend. Also, female skewing films tend to have flatter daily pattern, with higher weekdays and softer Fri/Sat jump. I’m pretty sure we’re going to see a sub-5x Th/weekend, which doesn’t lock $90M, but absolutely makes it possible, if not better than 50/50 But I will say this: Barbenheimer 2nd weekend > Mario OW 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valonqar Posted July 27, 2023 Share Posted July 27, 2023 (edited) 45 minutes ago, wildphantom said: Nolan making off with more profit from the summer than Disney at this rate. Tends to happen when you make reasonably budgeted movies that bring something new to the table and have something interesting to say. Barbenheimer isn't a phenomenon for no reason. A combo of 2 generic movies - remakes, sequels, prequels, sidequels, reboots - would never have this effect. There's a reason why GOTG Vol 3 is by far the most successful Disney this year - it had something interesting to say depite being a sequel. Edited July 27, 2023 by Valonqar 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZattMurdock Posted July 27, 2023 Share Posted July 27, 2023 @redfirebird2008 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dragoncaine Posted July 27, 2023 Share Posted July 27, 2023 10 minutes ago, MrPink said: Wonder if Oppenheimer can stay above 10 today I would've felt a lot better about it with an $11m Weds Still great #s obviously Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vafrow Posted July 27, 2023 Share Posted July 27, 2023 21 minutes ago, vale9001 said: after a very very big weekend it's normal to expect a 50-60% drop so they're playing like this. Of course everything says the movie didn't lost the moment and it's somehow even growing up, but it's never easy to predict these kind of things so they're playing safe. Agreed. The conservative estimates being thrown around are likely just based on high level assumptions that big movies drop week to week by a large margin. Even Shawn from BOP acknowledged that his initial range for Barbie this week was done before the weekday numbers rolled in. For anyone still with lower forecasts, my question would be is what type of holds would they needed to have seen to make a $90M+ weekend possible. Because if these holds aren't it, I'm not sure what they'd actually need. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheddar Please Posted July 27, 2023 Share Posted July 27, 2023 10 minutes ago, M37 said: I’m pretty sure we’re going to see a sub-5x Th/weekend, which doesn’t lock $90M, but absolutely makes it possible, if not better than 50/50 It would have to be o/u 4x for that chance to be 50/50, which I think is a much different expectation than sub 5x Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
M37 Posted July 27, 2023 Share Posted July 27, 2023 Can anyone name the last major release to match its Thursday preview on the first full Thursday? (Without some holiday/school impacts, and MI7 doesn’t count because of Paramount shenanigans). I’m having a difficult time trying to come up with one Because both Barbie and Oppy have a chance today, at $22.3M and $10.5M respectively Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sophia Jane Posted July 27, 2023 Share Posted July 27, 2023 (edited) After so many “fake blockbuster” like Transformer,MI,Indiana Jones and Flash fall,finally we have the real blockbuster Edited July 27, 2023 by Sophia Jane Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
M37 Posted July 27, 2023 Share Posted July 27, 2023 2 minutes ago, Cheddar Please said: It would have to be o/u 4x for that chance to be 50/50, which I think is a much different expectation than sub 5x My starting point is 4.5x Thursday fwiw. Like I think it’s going over $90M, just don’t want expectations to get too out in front, given this is such an unusual situation, don’t want people to be “disappointed” if it “only” makes say $88M. Also can’t rule out Barbie becoming the 7th $100M+ 2nd weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WorkingonaName Posted July 27, 2023 Share Posted July 27, 2023 1 hour ago, wildphantom said: Nolan making off with more profit from the summer than Disney at this rate. Pretty sure I'm going make more profit this Summer then Disney. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayumanggi Posted July 27, 2023 Share Posted July 27, 2023 (edited) Edited July 27, 2023 by kayumanggi 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brainbug Posted July 27, 2023 Share Posted July 27, 2023 26M Wed would have been mind-breaking. 23M is still mind-boggling. What a phenomenal opening week for Barbie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sophia Jane Posted July 27, 2023 Share Posted July 27, 2023 At current point seems Barbie beat MI7+TF7+IJ5+Flash combined is easy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
