The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread

[TheFlatLannister]

I am impressed with Quiet Place. Better walkups than Bad Boys so far (Not Miami, just the greater Orlando-Tampa area) 

 

Comp at $6.36M and is sill rising!

[Kon]

6 minutes ago, TheFlatLannister said:

I am impressed with Quiet Place. Better walkups than Bad Boys so far (Not Miami, just the greater Orlando-Tampa area) 

 

Comp at $6.36M and is sill rising!

 

I wouldn't be surprised if Quiet Place is more appealing for women than Bad Boys (whose amount of female audience wasn't small in itself). Maybe that could be increasing the walkups.

Edited Friday at 12:58 AM by Kon

[DAJK]

Horizon walkups are ATROCIOUS tonight. Not expecting the weekend number to be very pretty. Shame because I like Costner’s work. Fully expecting Part 2 to get released in sub-2000 theaters.

 

Quiet Place still going very strong. Expecting around 6.5 previews same as everyone else.

[abracadabra1998]

All 6 Alamo locations that closed are going to reopen soon after Sony’s acquisition! Including the Minne one. Love it  

[keysersoze123]

16 minutes ago, abracadabra1998 said:

All 6 Alamo locations that closed are going to reopen soon after Sony’s acquisition! Including the Minne one. Love it  

Is it opening immediately like for July flicks or is that yet to be decided. Also will it still use the Drafthouse brand or not?

[Migs20242]

 

[AniNate]

24 minutes ago, abracadabra1998 said:

All 6 Alamo locations that closed are going to reopen soon after Sony’s acquisition! Including the Minne one. Love it  

 

Cinema already being saved

[Porthos]

33 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

Is it opening immediately like for July flicks or is that yet to be decided. Also will it still use the Drafthouse brand or not?

 

From IndieWire:

 

Quote

After 6 different Alamo Drafthouse locations closed due to the franchise company responsible for them declaring bankruptcy, all those theaters are reopening now under the ownership of the main Alamo Drafthouse brand.

 

The six theaters, including one in Minnesota and the other five all in the Dallas-Fort Worth area, closed immediately at the start of June when franchisee Two Is One, One Is None, LLC, declared Chapter 7 bankruptcy, forcing 600 employees to lose their jobs. Now weeks later, Alamo is buying back those locations and plans to reopen each of them in rapid succession.

 

Not coincidentally, Sony Pictures Entertainment in a landmark move bought Alamo Drafthouse and had been looking to expand, and clearly the company’s new ownership allowed for some greater financial flexibility to do just that and buy back up the shuttered theaters.

 

“We were heartbroken to hear about the franchisee’s decision to close their locations in Dallas-Fort Worth and Woodbury, MN, but we immediately got to work to acquire these as Alamo Drafthouse-owned locations,” said Alamo Drafthouse CEO Michael Kustermann. “We’re so excited to reestablish Alamo Drafthouse Cinema for our teammates and local film communities in these great cities during an incredibly successful summer of moviegoing.” 

 

Alamo will also offer those fired the first crack at interviews for open positions, and those who are rehired will get a more robust benefits plan with immediate eligibility, including access to daily pay, substantial 401k match, paid medical leave, accrued PTO, and free mental health services.

 

Alamo Drafthouse will host a soft opening during the first week of each location’s reopening with promotions and discounts to be announced. Any patrons who had pre-purchased tickets to movies opening this month and missed out will now get free ticket vouchers, and those who already bought merch like a “Deadpool & Wolverine” pint glass or an “Inside Out 2” lunchbox will now get these items upon reopening.

 

The Sony acquisition of Alamo came as a major shock around the industry, with a film studio now directly owning a small but major theater chain in America. The move had its precedent even prior to the Paramount Decrees being rescinded, but theater ownership from studios has previously been done on a very small scale. Sony on the other hand has opened the operation of Alamo within a new division at SPE.

 

What Sony intends to do with Alamo is still anyone’s guess, with the possibility that some of Sony’s anime movies from Crunchyroll could get more play there. More likely though, IndieWire recently posited that it could be a lab to test out innovative theater ideas.

 

No timetable aside from "rapid succession".

 

Is commentary about prioritizing old staff (if they want it) for hiring, but even so that still takes some time to do. 

 

 

Edited Friday at 03:08 AM by Porthos

[keysersoze123]

22 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

Horizon Chapter 1 MTC1

Previews(T-1) - 7594/117697 90067.16 1136 shows +1418

 

11 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

A Quiet Place: Day One MTC1

Previews(T-1) - 67698/588688 1299109.14 3065 shows +14679

MTC1 Previews Final

A Quiet Place: Day One - 127347/589286 2313644.34 3080 shows +59351

Horizon Chapter 1 - 12136/118120 142227.70 1141 shows +4542

 

Even a 35% ratio takes it to 6.6m. I think walkups should be robust at other MTC as well. So I am going to go bold and predict 7m previews for Day One. 

 

Horizon on the other hand needs 14% ratio to hit 1m. Thinking 900Kish for now. MTC2 is similar to MTC1 in gross and I expect MTC3 to be similar as well. Stronger numbers from small chain should get it there. It has just bombed at MTC1 for sure. 

 

 

[Migs20242]

 

[crazymoviekid]

On 6/26/2024 at 11:23 PM, crazymoviekid said:

A Quiet Place: Day One

 

Thursday Comps:

 

Theater 1: 55 Tickets

Theater 2: 33 Tickets

 

FNAF: $3.17M

The Nun 2: $6.06M

Insidious 5: $8.80M

Scream VI: $4.52M

HE: $6.69M

Nope: $4.05M

Black Phone: $4.31M

 

Once again, $4M-$6M is looking pretty good. Just don't know where.

 

Friday Comps:

 

Theater 1: 31 Tickets

Theater 2: 59 Tickets

 

FNAF: $3.53M

The Nun 2: $16.68M

Insidious 5: $15.31M

Scream VI: $9.27M

HE: $7.09M

Nope: $8.10M

Black Phone: $8.36M

 

Most comps are rising. Still say around $14M-$15M for now

A Quiet Place: Day One: 

 

Final Thursday Comps:

 

Theater 1: 90 Tickets

Theater 2: 64 Tickets

 

FNAF: $4.33M

The Nun 2: $7.46M

Insidious 5: $7.40M

Scream VI: $4.88M

HE: $8.40M

Nope: $3.60M

Black Phone: $3.29M

 

Some rise, some fall. This either going for $4M or $7M. Feeling closer to $7M

 

Friday Comps:

 

Theater 1: 80 Tickets

Theater 2: 84 Tickets

 

FNAF: $4.44M

The Nun 2: $17.10M

Insidious 5: $21.18M

Scream VI: $11.92M

HE: $8.13M

Nope: $7.86M

Black Phone: $9.28M

 

Comps never converged. Would still say $14M-$15M

[crazymoviekid]

On 6/26/2024 at 11:25 PM, crazymoviekid said:

Horizon: An American Saga - Chapter 1:

 

Thursday Comp:

 

Theater 1: 3 Tickets
Theater 2: 9 Tickets

 

The Bikeriders: $.79M
KotFM: $.56M
Indy 5: $.51M
Asteroid City: $.24M
Elvis: $.45M
 
very low sales continue. Dropping to $.5M-$.75M

 

Friday Comp:

 

Theater 1: 2 Tickets

Theater 2: 24 Tickets

 

The Bikeriders: $2.66M

KotFM: $2.18M

Indy 5: $1.98M

Asteroid City: $1.58M

Elvis: $1.39M

 

Goddamn. Still going for a $1.5M-$2.25M range

Horizon: An American Saga - Chapter 1

 

Final Thursday Comp:

 

Theater 1: 6 Tickets

Theater 2: 9 Tickets

 

The Bikeriders: $.53M

KotFM: $.57M

Indy 5: $.50M

Asteroid City: $.20M

Elvis: $.37M

 

Could not catch up. $.5M

 

Friday Comp:

 

Theater 1: 11 Tickets

Theater 2: 24 Tickets

 

The Bikeriders: $1.99M

KotFM: $1.75M

Indy 5: $1.84M

Asteroid City: $1.33M

Elvis: $1.33M

 

A little pulse, but not enough. $1.75M-$2M

[emoviefan]

So Voldie going with the Twisters having 80+ potential.  You got to love him or not.  And just like he has not said anything about Horizons not going Fresh on RT which he has been saying  would happen for weeks now he will not say anything about this either when it does not happen. 

[Jerri Blank-Diggler]

JATINDER --  Looks like $7M previews for #AQuietPlaceDayOne. Expecting $50M+ weekend.

 

 

 

[Migs20242]

Just now, Jerri Blank-Diggler said:

JATINDER --  Looks like $7M previews for #AQuietPlaceDayOne. Expecting $50M+ weekend.

 

 

 

So Inside Out 2 is number one with 60-70 million this weekend? Looks more likely.

[Rorschach]

9 hours ago, Rorschach said:

A Quiet Place: Day One (Thursday Afternoon Outlook) - T-1 hr

Cinemark Davenport 18 + IMAX

Thursday: 125/1,672 (7.5% sold) [+29]

3pm XD Fan Event showing: 20/238

3 IMAX showings: 23/1,164 

8 2D showings: 82/737 

 

Comps:

Apes (w/o EA): $4.43 mil

Furiosa: $3.91 mil

Average: $4.17 mil

 

Still underperforming here, but that's totally unsurprising. Will check back in an hour for Horizon numbers. 

A Quiet Place: Day One (Thursday Night Outlook)

Cinemark Davenport 18 + IMAX

Friday: 186/3,474 (3.8% sold) [+53]

5 IMAX showings: 65/1,940 

16 2D showings: 88/1,534 

 

Comps:

Apes: $10.8 mil

Furiosa: $9.81 mil

Average: $10.31 mil

[Rorschach]

8 hours ago, Rorschach said:

Horizon: An American Saga - Chapter 1 (Thursday Afternoon Outlook) - T0

Cinemark Davenport 18 + IMAX

Thursday:

4 2D showings: 49/438 (11.2% sold) [+15]

 

Comp:

The Bikeriders: $1.32 mil

 

Finally fell behind The Bikeriders. Should still clear $1M imo, but at this point, that above comp number is looking to be the likely best-case scenario for this film. 

Horizon: An American Saga - Chapter 1 (Thursday Night Outlook)

Cinemark Davenport 18 + IMAX

Friday: 

7 2D showings: 157/594 (18.2% sold) [+49]

 

Comp: 

The Bikeriders: $5.09 mil

[keysersoze123]

On 6/26/2024 at 10:14 PM, keysersoze123 said:

Horizon Chapter 1 MTC1

Friday - 11903/195145 140717.75 1861 shows +3057

 

13 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

A Quiet Place: Day One MTC1

Friday - 59078/1179492 1087394.68 6406 shows +13532

MTC1 Friday

A Quiet Place: Day One - 89125/1182177 1594383.07 6428 shows +30047

Horizon Chapter 1 - 16691/195110 196101.72 1867 shows +4788

 

Horizon should cross 20m with previews. Probably needs 22m to keep 60m in play. I wont rule it out. 

 

Horizon is just outright bombing over here. Let us see how heartland does it take it to low double digits. 

[emoviefan]

3 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

 

MTC1 Friday

A Quiet Place: Day One - 89125/1182177 1594383.07 6428 shows +30047

Horizon Chapter 1 - 16691/195110 196101.72 1867 shows +4788

 

Horizon should cross 20m with previews. Probably needs 22m to keep 60m in play. I wont rule it out. 

 

 

Either the Walkups are exploding for this or you meant QP Day One. 😃

[Ryan C]

5 minutes ago, emoviefan said:

Either the Walkups are exploding for this or you meant QP Day One. 😃

 

That moment when you wake up on Saturday morning and you see Horizon: An American Saga (a movie that should do just barely more than $10M this weekend) do about $20M on Friday. Lol!