The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread

[katnisscinnaplex]

22 hours ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Alien Romulus	T-4	Jax	5	39	42	419	7,073	5.92%
		Phx	7	37	40	460	6,503	7.07%
		Ral	8	40	24	250	5,622	4.45%
	Total		20	116	106	1,129	19,198	5.88%

 

Alien Romulus T-4 adjusted comps

 - Scream VI - 1.075x (6.5m)

 - Nope - 1.58x (10.37m)

 - Halloween Ends - missed

 - Godzilla x Kong - 1.03x (9.3m)

 - Morbius - 1.149x (6.7m)

 - Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire - 1.68x (7.39m)

 - TMNT (Total) - .922x (5.48m)

 

Size adjusted comps - 6.73m

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Alien Romulus	T-3	Jax	5	39	51	470	7,073	6.64%
		Phx	7	37	39	499	6,503	7.67%
		Ral	8	40	43	293	5,622	5.21%
	Total		20	116	133	1,262	19,198	6.57%

 

Alien Romulus T-3 adjusted comps

 - Scream VI - 1.095x (6.62m)

 - Nope - 1.54x (10.12m)

 - Halloween Ends - missed

 - Godzilla x Kong - .987x (8.9m)

 - Morbius - 1.126x (6.57m)

 - Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire - 1.71x (7.53m)

 - TMNT (Total) - .844x (5.01m)

 - Ghostbusters: Afterlife (Total) - 1.35x (6.46m)

 

Size adjusted comps - 6.52m

 

Pace chart

Movie	3-day pace	Prev 3-day	Prev 3-day	Last Day
Alien Romulus	36.14%	22.76%	-	11.78%
Scream VI	28.86%	16.00%	10.39%	9.71%
Nope	40.86%	18.79%	18.90%	14.59%
Godzilla x Kong	45.23%	25.23%	24.16%	16.71%
Morbius	33.77%	21.00%	16.47%	14.04%
Ghostbusters: FE	48.59%	19.96%	8.31%	9.67%
Turtles Total	63.86%	29.79%	15.13%	22.22%
Afterlife Total	-	-	-	16.06%

[emoviefan]

10 hours ago, Cmasterclay said:

Buzz for Beetlejuice has been absolutely off the chain since the announcement in my circles so I gotta admit that I'm expecting at least 100m and am disappointed in sales thus far. Maybe I hang out with too many goth theater kids.

Eh maybe. It's not like it's doing even close to terrible in sales. 75+ is a lock as long as Burton does not shit the bed which is always a strong possibility anymore.

[TheFlatLannister]

Beetlejuice numbers were very good when I last checked. Wasn't screaming $100M+ OW, but very good nonetheless. 

[ringedmortality]

I feel like Beetlejuice, like Twisters, is gonna have "just ok" tracking until we get to OW and it just blows past all the projections

[keysersoze123]

I am not actively tracking but @Menor the Destroyer has automated MTC1 and looking at the data, Beetlejuice should have previews > 10m with early shows unless its crazy frontloaded or has toxic reviews. With it being a post labor day weekend release, That should put this at Dune/Zilla/Twisters kind of OW at minimum. Anything more depends on how well the final week of presales go and if reviews/reactions help with final acceleration. 

 

Romulus on the other hand I fell will open around 40-45m range with around 6m previews. Lower than It ends but still solid enough to win the weekend.  

[el sid]

Alien: Romulus had, counted today for Thursday, nice 2.009 sold tickets (with shows in of course all 7 theaters). Best sales by far in the AMCs in California (947 and 634 sold tickets). 

 

Comps (always counted on Monday of the release week for Thursday): AQP: Day One (6.8M from previews) had 1.346 sold tickets = 10.15M. 

Furiosa (3.5M) had 2.035 = 3.45M (the big outlier). 

The Fall Guy (2.35M) had 669 = 7M. 

BT (4.6M) had 879 = 10.5M. 

And Uncharted (3.7M) had 868 = 8.55M. 

 

Planet of the Apes (5M) had on Tuesday for Thursday (= 1 day left for A: R) 1.229 sold tickets.

 

Average: 7.95M. 

 

Very good so far. But what I don't like too much is that a big portion of its sales come from the two theaters in California which reminds me of the performances of The Fall Guy and Furiosa. OTOH, its sales in NY and Miami are also ok, just not as good as in California. 

 

[VanillaSkies]

It’s too bad T-Mobile didn’t do a $5 ticket deal for Alien this weekend, that is the demo that usually likes these deals and could have definitely pushed it over that 50 million mark.

 

oh well, maybe better than expected reviews will do it anyways!

[wattage]

40 minutes ago, VanillaSkies said:

It’s too bad T-Mobile didn’t do a $5 ticket deal for Alien this weekend, that is the demo that usually likes these deals and could have definitely pushed it over that 50 million mark.

 

oh well, maybe better than expected reviews will do it anyways!

Sucks that Borderlands seems to have taken that deal instead of Alien but I guess anything to help it make money on the screens it was sucking up is good in the end 

[TalismanRing]

NYC REGAL Local (Mon: 4pm)

 

ALIEN: ROMULUS (R): 78/1962

 

COMPS:

FURIOSA: $4.55 (R)
OPPENH: $8.19 (R)
JOHN WICK 4: $6.37m (R)

HALL: KILLS: $6.305M (R)
DUNE I: $8.46M (R)
The Suicide Squad: $6.15 (R)

[jeffthehat]

Indiana

Alien Romulus T-3

Sales	Seats	Shows
1232	19837	112

TC=24, pulled 1PM EST

Comps

0.53x Dune 2 T-3 = $5.3m

1.64x Furiosa T-3 = $5.7m

0.76x Godzilla x Kong T-3 = $7.6m

0.97x Twisters T=3 = $8.0m

 

AVG = $6.65m

[Eric the Marxist]

Quorum Updates

Joker: Folie a Deux T-53: 61.02% Awareness, 63.85% Interest

The Best Christmas Pageant Ever T-88: 11.07% Awareness, 32.7% Interest

The Wolf Man T-158: 16.87% Awareness, 41.18% Interest

Snow White T-221: 45.08% Awareness, 46.77% Interest

 

Alien: Romulus T-4: 48.31% Awareness, 48.86% Interest

Final Awareness: 78% chance of 10M, 48% chance of 20M, 26% chance of 30M, 17% chance of 40M

Horror Awareness: 83% chance of 10M, 50% chance of 20M, 25% chance of 40M

Final Interest: 48% chance of 10M, 18% chance of 20M, 61% chance of 30M, 47% chance of 40M

Horror Interest: 100% chance of 10M, 67% chance of 20M, 40% chance of 30M, 20% chance of 40M

 

Blink Twice T-11: 29.45% Awareness, 43.33% Interest

Final Awareness: 19% chance of 10M

Low Awareness: 14% chance of 10M

Final Interest: 48% chance of 10M

Low Interest: 34% chance of 10M

 

The Crow T-11: 37.35% Awareness, 44.64% Interest

Final Awareness: 19% chance of 10M

Low Awareness: 14% chance of 10M

Final Interest: 48% chance of 10M

Low Interest: 34% chance of 10M

 

The Forge T-11: 19.66% Awareness, 40.36% Interest

Final Awareness: 0% chance of 10M

Low Awareness: 0% chance of 10M

Final Interest: 48% chance of 10M

Low Interest: 34% chance of 10M

 

Speak No Evil T-32: 26.99% Awareness, 48.98% Interest

T-30 Awareness: 54% chance of 10M, 18% chance of 20M

Horror Awareness: 63% chance of 10M, 21% chance of 20M

T-30 Interest: 59% chance of 10M, 35% chance of 20M

Horror Interest: 67% chance of 10M, 37% chance of 20M

 

Killer's Game T-32: 19.52% Awareness, 41.93% Interest

T-30 Awareness: 15% chance of 10M

Low Awareness: 12% chance of 10M

T-30 Interest: 59% chance of 10M

Low Interest: 67% chance of 10M

[TheFlatLannister]

On 8/5/2024 at 6:49 PM, TheFlatLannister said:

FLORIDA 

BEETLEJUICE 2

 

Thursday 

 

T-31 *First few hours

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
593	2723	124858	2.2%

^{*numbers taken as of 7:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

N/A

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

COMPS

T-31

(1.713x) of Twisters $13.87M

(0.874x) of Dune 2 $8.13M

 

🚨Breakout alert🚨

 FLORIDA 

BEETLEJUICE 2

 

Thursday 

 

T-24

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
605	4574	126079	3.6%

^{*numbers taken as of 7:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

169

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

COMPS

T-24

(2.982x) of Apes $14.91M

(1.202x) of Dune 2 $11.18M

Comps AVG: $13.05M

 

Excellent numbers this far out

[Tinalera]

Alien Romulus 

Toronto and Montreal Canada

Thurs Aug 15 Fri Aug 16 (t-4)

 

 

		# theatre	#show	Seats Sold	Seats Rem	Ttl seat	Percent	Added shows
Toronto	Thurs	4	20	552	4450	5002	0.1103	3
	Fri	4	23	422	4939	5361	0.0787
		# theatre	#show	Seats Sold	Seats Rem	Ttl seat	Percent
Montreal	Thurs	2	9	413	2332	2745	0.1504
	Fri	1	4	184	1096	1280	0.1437

 

 

Montreal only having 13 showings over two days might lend to its higher percentage a bit. Overall, mild movement, mind you Montreal is generally a bit quieter anyway. Again I think its a wait and see attitude, even Alien fans might be waiting till reviews actually drop and or wom.  I think the bigger thing with Romulus is does it gain traction over the next couple of weekends

[TheFlatLannister]

On 7/30/2024 at 7:09 PM, TheFlatLannister said:

FLORIDA 

ALIEN: ROMULUS

 

Thursday 

 

T-16

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
481	2544	100057	2.5%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

N/A

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

COMPS

T-16

(1.306x) of Quiet Place One $8.88M

 

This is running crazy hot in Florida. 

FLORIDA 

ALIEN: ROMULUS

 

Thursday 

 

T-3

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
538	5898	111764	5.3%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

528

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

COMPS

T-3

(1.821x) of Furiosa $6.37M

 

Should be $6M+

[el sid]

7 hours ago, ringedmortality said:

I feel like Beetlejuice, like Twisters, is gonna have "just ok" tracking until we get to OW and it just blows past all the projections

I'm just too busy to report much at the moment but Beetlejuice Beetlejuice (I counted its Friday presales) has really fine sales in my, ok, only 7 theaters, not that telling ;).

 

Will report more tomorrow/with more time. Compared to other family films it looks very good so far for Beetlejuice Beetlejuice with today 606 sold tickets for Friday (and it has even sales, means it's well liked in every region). 25 days left.

E.g. Wonka (10.9M true Friday) had 857 sold for Friday on release Monday! 21 days to overtake for BB.

 

 

[misterpepp]

Dan Da Dan: First Encounter on sale Aug 14

[Rorschach]

Alien: Romulus (Monday Night Outlook)

Cinemark Davenport 18 + IMAX

Thursday: 132/1,956 (6.7% sold)

3 IMAX showings: 64/1,164

7 2D showings: 68/792

 

Comps: 

Furiosa: $8.25M

Twisters: $11.97M

Avg: $10.11M

 

Friday: 75/3,170 (2.4% sold)

5 IMAX showings: 49/1,940

11 2D showings: 26/1,230

 

Comps:

Furiosa: $8.57M

Twisters: $8.79M

Avg: $8.68M

 

Thurs + Fri: 207/5,126 (4% sold)

 

Comps: 

Furiosa: $18.48M

Twisters: $22.1M

Avg: $20.29M

 

 

New showtimes were added today, hence the disparity between Thursday and Friday ticket sales. Should balance out in the coming days.

[elcaballero]

1 hour ago, misterpepp said:

Dan Da Dan: First Encounter on sale Aug 14

Had no idea this was even a thing.

[Ryan C]

On 8/10/2024 at 2:57 AM, Ryan C said:

 

Alien: Romulus

 

T-5

 

Thursday: 3,018 Seats Sold (Including EA Showings)

 

Taken as of 2:55AM Eastern Time

 

IMPORTANT NOTES: Much like last time, word-of-mouth will be key in determing how high this goes, but if some of the early reactions I hear are any indication or if what Disney is doing with the marketing (just brilliant), this could be the jolt that this franchise has been waiting for after so many decades. 

 

I'm not gonna go too crazy, but I still believe a $50M+ opening is possible if everything goes right this next week. 

 

Alien: Romulus

 

T-2

 

Thursday: 3,884 Seats Sold (Including EA Showings)

 

A 28.7% Increase From Last Time

 

Taken as of 2:05AM Eastern Time

 

IMPORTANT NOTES: More showtimes are being added (and will be added in the coming days). With the reactions I've seen so far, it should definitely help boost word-of-mouth and interest for this film. It's difficult to gauge how walk-up heavy it will be, but I would be shocked if it wasn't. 

 

The film has a young diverse cast of actors (good for getting the 18-24 crowd) and is part of a genre (horror) that typically skews much younger. These things and being apart of a franchise that does still have a fanbase (if not as big as other science-fiction franchises) could really be a perfect combination in getting this film over $50M in its opening weekend. 

 

Compared to a few weeks ago, I'm not expecting this to go as high as $60M or $70M, but we'll see how well this continues to sell as Thursday and Friday come around. 

 

No matter what, it should at least have better walk-up business than Furiosa. I still can't believe that nearly every film this summer has had better walk-ups or a better final day finish than that film. 

Edited August 13 by Ryan C

[vafrow]

On 8/12/2024 at 5:09 AM, vafrow said:

 

Alien Romulus, Thursday Previews, T-5l4, Western GTA (southern Ontario)

 

Total Sales: 204

New Sales: 27

Growth: 15%

Theatres tracked: MTC4 

Theatres: 4

Showtimes: 18

Radius: 19km

Tickets per Showtime: 9.8

Ticket Premium in effect: Y

 

Tickets per showtime 

Late Afternoon: 17/6

Early Evening: 139/6

Late Evening: 48/6

 

Tickets by Format:

Regular: 14/3

Dolby: 4/3

VIP: 88/6

IMAX: 98/6

 

Comps

2.649x AQP:D1 for $18.0M

1.821x KOTPOTA for $9.1M

1.645x Furiosa for $5.8M

2.458x BB:RoD for $14.4M

 

Average: $13.9M

 

It stayed pace with comps despite being well ahead. We'll see if that holds this week.

 

Alien Romulus, Thursday Previews, T-3, Western GTA (southern Ontario)

 

Total Sales: 243

New Sales: 39

Growth: 19%

Theatres tracked: MTC4 

Theatres: 4

Showtimes: 18

Radius: 19km

Tickets per Showtime: 13.5

Ticket Premium in effect: Y

 

Tickets per showtime 

Late Afternoon: 25/6

Early Evening: 159/6

Late Evening: 59/6

 

Tickets by Format:

Regular: 21/3

Dolby: 9/3

VIP: 95/6

IMAX: 118/6

 

Comps

2.670x AQP:D1 for $18.2M

1.813x KOTPOTA for $9.1M

1.578x Furiosa for $5.5M

2.209x BB:RoD for $13.0M

 

Average: $13.4M

 

Nothing too exciting with the growth. Right in range.

 

It's still an impressive total. It's worth noting that we're still 3 weeks from schools opening here, so this will overindiex compared to jurisdictions in the US that open earlier.