The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread

[DAJK]

Venom’s accelerating pretty nicely here. Definitely a big walkup movie. I genuinely think if reception was better, walkups could have taken it as high as 70M.

 

Everything I’m seeing in my area suggests 8M previews for now, but we’ll see if evening walkups are as good as afternoon ones.

[filmpalace]

23 hours ago, filmpalace said:

Venom: The Last Dance T-1

 

Tickets sold: 698 (+115)

Growth: 20%

Theaters: 2

Showtimes: 19

 

1,10x Joker 2 (T-3) – 7,1M

 

Similar T-1 growth to Joker. Pretty sure this will stay around 7M, but let’s see how the final day goes.

Venom: The Last Dance T-0

 

Tickets sold: 936 (+238)

Growth: 34%

Theaters: 2

Showtimes: 19

 

1,23x Joker 2 (T-0) – 8M

 

Solid finish here. Joker comp went up, and my other PLF non-CBM comps are around 8M as well.

Edited 18 hours ago by filmpalace

[fmpro]

In Denmark my screening i went to, doubled up during the final day from around 40 tickets to 78 final. Its really a walk up movie. Pretty sure that it will do that all weekend

[DAJK]

Can't remember too much what the pre-weekend predictions for Venom 2 were, but I remember there being quite a bit of doom and gloom in the week leading up to the first Venom's release (to the point where some were predicting it to finish second behind Star Is Born). Walk-ups pulled through for 80M. 

 

Not saying it will go that high this time around, but I wouldn't be shocked with a bit of a surprise ala Twisters here. 

[keysersoze123]

5 minutes ago, DAJK said:

Can't remember too much what the pre-weekend predictions for Venom 2 were, but I remember there being quite a bit of doom and gloom in the week leading up to the first Venom's release (to the point where some were predicting it to finish second behind Star Is Born). Walk-ups pulled through for 80M. 

 

Not saying it will go that high this time around, but I wouldn't be shocked with a bit of a surprise ala Twisters here. 

final week days optimism was very high as growth was crazy strong. Both at MTCs and also Sacramento and other trackers. 

[lorddemaxus]

19 minutes ago, DAJK said:

Can't remember too much what the pre-weekend predictions for Venom 2 were, but I remember there being quite a bit of doom and gloom in the week leading up to the first Venom's release (to the point where some were predicting it to finish second behind Star Is Born). Walk-ups pulled through for 80M. 

 

Not saying it will go that high this time around, but I wouldn't be shocked with a bit of a surprise ala Twisters here. 

The doom and gloom ended like Tuesday before Venom 2’s release. 9-10 mil was being predicted by Tuesday night. Charlie’s mini-mtc numbers show a pretty terrible Friday even with Twisters level walk-ups

[CheeseWizard]

17 hours ago, Cmasterclay said:

Apparently the Venom franchise audience is entirely people who decide to see a movie like ten minutes beforehand.

I mean I can totally believe that. I wasn’t planning on seeing it but then they released a random clip of venom going “hola bitches” combined with an incredibly out of date meme and now I’m weirdly interested. 

Genuinely want this movie to succeed cus I have never seen a marketing campaign that made me a like a character as much as Venom before. The movie looks like it’ll be ass, but incredibly fun

Edited 17 hours ago by CheeseWizard

[CheeseWizard]

Also does anyone have the location count for the holdover movies like TFOne, Wild Robot, DP&W, Beetlejuice etc? I saw joker got absolutely stomped 

[AniNate]

If anyone does it'll be The Numbers. Their weekly write-up is the main source of theater counts before the weekend these days.

[JimmyB]

1 hour ago, DAJK said:

Can't remember too much what the pre-weekend predictions for Venom 2 were, but I remember there being quite a bit of doom and gloom in the week leading up to the first Venom's release (to the point where some were predicting it to finish second behind Star Is Born). Walk-ups pulled through for 80M. 

 

Not saying it will go that high this time around, but I wouldn't be shocked with a bit of a surprise ala Twisters here. 

On 9/28/2021 at 12:57 AM, keysersoze123 said:

Venom 2

Previews (T-3)

MTC1 - 62869/603195 1060965.85 3057 shows (+10645)

MTC2 - 48978/586372 664847.68 3929 shows (+9612)

Friday (T-4)

MTC1 - 55966/853697 929831.26 4196 shows (+11158)

MTC2 -  47936/910133 606172.09 6019 shows (+9699)

 

Venom 2

Previews(T-2)

MTC1 - 79487/684682 1324576.71 3641 shows (+16618)

MTC2 - 60900/672035 820780.94 4928 shows (+11922)

Friday(T-3)

MTC1 - 73954/1058723 1214876.16 5548 shows (+17988)

MTC2 - 61910/1031446 781550.17 7368 shows(+13974)

 

1st I was way off this morning looking at PS start for the day but overall its another great day for Venom 2. Thinking its set for 9m previews, 25m true friday at this point. 

[keysersoze123]

last week of Venom 2 sales were really strong. The acceleration trend was clearly seen. @Menor the Destroyer had a club of the movie OW > 80m if I am not wrong and I believed in it as well. Even then we underestimated the movie. 

[TheFlatLannister]

On 10/22/2024 at 8:06 PM, TheFlatLannister said:

FLORIDA 

 

Venom: The Last Dance

 

Thursday 

 

T-2

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
701	7657	146911	5.2%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

1106

*1 Sellout

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

COMPS

T-2

(1.061x) of Joker Folie a Deux $6.69M

(0.761x) of Dune 2 $7.08M

(0.181x) of Deadpool x Wolverine $6.98M

Comps AVG: $6.92M

 

Pretty strong day. Finally seeing some acceleration, but not enough to move the needle much. Looks more like $7M previews than the $6mish it was looking like a few days ago. 

FLORIDA 

 

Venom: The Last Dance

 

Thursday 

 

T-0 *Final Update

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
724	11072	152947	7.2%

^{*numbers taken as of 2:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

1999

*1 Sellout

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

COMPS

T-0

(1.102x) of Joker Folie a Deux $6.94M

(0.811x) of Dune 2 $7.55M

(0.187x) of Deadpool x Wolverine $7.20M

Comps AVG: $7.23M

 

Very good walkups today. Seeing well over $7M previews for probably high $50Ms OW

 

(Guessing it gets reported as $7M-$7.5M previews) 

[Eric is Gay for Venom]

https://thequorum.com/weekly-unaided-awareness-chart-kraven-the-hunter-returns-for-just-the-second-time/

 

[Cmasterclay]

Eminem speaking at Kamala's rally did more for Venom than the campaign.

[DAJK]

Strong finish for Venom. My region would suggest 8M for the night, hoping others follow suit.

 

But also… Conclave! It’s playing shockingly well even in more rural areas. I don’t think quite enough for double digits, but I could see potentially high single digits (that being said the low theater count could keep it from getting there). 

[HummingLemon496]

So Venom isn't cratering, could maybe open to $65-70M

[Eric is Gay for Venom]

Quorum Updates

Red One T-22: 47.17% Awareness, 49.39% Interest

Paddington in Peru T-85: 29.71% Awareness, 33.49% Interest

The Woman in the Yard T-155: 7.32% Awareness, 27.95% Interest

Karate Kid: Legends T-218: 29.95% Awareness, 41.26% Interest

 

Conclave T-1: 29.39% Awareness, 32.45% Interest

Final Awareness: 17% chance of 10M

Low Awareness: 13% chance of 10M

Final Interest: 17% chance of 10M

Low Interest: 8% chance of 20M

 

Venom: The Last Dance T-1: 62.24% Awareness, 52.44% Interest

Final Awareness: 100% chance of 20M, 87% chance of 30M, 83% chance of 40M, 73% chance of 50M, 57% chance of 60M, 47% chance of 70M, 37% chance of 80M, 27% chance of 100M

DC/MCU Awareness: 100% chance of 20M, 83% chance of 40M, 67% chance of 50M, 50% chance of 100M

Final Interest: 79% chance of 20M, 61% chance of 30M, 48% chance of 40M, 34% chance of 50M, 22% chance of 60M, 16% chance of 70M, 15% chance of 80M, 12% chance of 90M, 9% chance of 100M

DC/MCU Interest: 100% chance of 20M, 86% chance of 30M, 71% chance of 40M, 57% chance of 50M, 43% chance of 60M, 29% chance of 90M, 14% chance of 100M

 

Here T-8: 28.29% Awareness, 39.08% Interest

Final Awareness: 17% chance of 10M

Medium Awareness: 20% chance of 10M

Final Interest: 17% chance of 10M

Medium Interest: 40% chance of 10M

 

Mufasa: The Lion King T-57: 58.05% Awareness, 55.89% Interest

T-60 Awareness: 82% chance of 50M, 65% chance of 60M, 59% chance of 70M, 53% chance of 90M, 47% chance of 100M

Animation/Family Awareness: 100% chance of 50M, 50% chance of 90M, 25% chance of 100M

T-60 Interest: 93% chance of 20M, 83% chance of 30M, 71% chance of 40M, 58% chance of 50M, 41% chance of 60M, 32% chance of 70M, 27% chance of 80M, 24% chance of 90M, 22% chance of 100M

Animation/Family Interest: 100% chance of 20M, 86% chance of 30M, 71% chance of 50M, 43% chance of 90M, 29% chance of 100M

 

Sonic the Hedgehog 3 T-57: 52.78% Awareness, 47.12% Interest

T-60 Awareness: 82% chance of 50M, 65% chance of 60M, 59% chance of 70M, 53% chance of 90M, 47% chance of 100M

Animation/Family Awareness: 100% chance of 50M, 50% chance of 90M, 25% chance of 100M

T-60 Interest: 60% chance of 10M, 34% chance of 20M, 18% chance of 30M, 11% chance of 40M, 7% chance of 50M, 6% chance of 70M, 4% chance of 80M, 3% chance of 90M, 2% chance of 100M

Animation/Family Interest: 100% of 10M, 75% chance of 20M, 25% chance of 70M, 12% chance of 100M

 

Nosferatu T-62: 19.37% Awareness, 35.77% Interest

T-60 Awareness (5-Day): 33% chance of 20M

Horror Awareness (5-Day): N/A

T-60 Interest (5-Day): 67% chance of 10M, 33% chance of 30M

Horror Interest (5-Day): N/A

[Belakor]

Funny how standards for CBMs are so low these days that a 55-60 million OW is considered very good. With the average multiplier of the genre that is not good.

 

Edited 12 hours ago by Belakor

[iEnri]

12 minutes ago, HummingLemon496 said:

So Venom isn't cratering, could maybe open to $65-70M

The current lower predictions are already counting on good walk ups, 70M is super unlikely and even 65 will be hard but not impossible for sure

[emoviefan]

1 hour ago, DAJK said:

Strong finish for Venom. My region would suggest 8M for the night, hoping others follow suit.

 

But also… Conclave! It’s playing shockingly well even in more rural areas. I don’t think quite enough for double digits, but I could see potentially high single digits (that being said the low theater count could keep it from getting there). 

Go Conclave! Honestly could give a crap what Venom does.  55, 60, 65!.  But if Conclave can do in the 7-10 m range. Hell yeah!