The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread

[vafrow]

On 9/15/2023 at 7:47 AM, vafrow said:

 

Exorcist: Believer, Thursday previews T-21, southern Ontario 

 

Total sales: 28

New sales: 10

Growth since Tuesday: 56%

Theatres: 47

Showtimes: 94

Tickets per showtime: 0.298

 

No comps worth pulling, as I don't have much horror and nothing this far out.

 

Regardless, it's a pretty uninspiring total, and doesn't point to much up front demand.

 

When I get closer, I'll have Nun 2 as a comparison, but that had a short sales cycle, so even that will be flawed. 

 

Exorcist: Believer, Thursday previews T-19, southern Ontario 

 

Total sales: 44

New sales: 16

Growth since Thursday: 57%

Theatres: 47

Showtimes: 94

Tickets per showtime: 0.468

 

No good comps. Just monitoring growth until Nun 2 comes online as a comp. 

 

Not doing too badly for this far out.

[vafrow]

25 minutes ago, jeffthehat said:

I looked at some Eras Saturday #'s at random non-MTC1's today too. Didn't get that much data though. Ended with 802/4777 (16.8% sold) at 4 theaters.  

 

@Inceptionzq is showing a high % sold for Sat at Alamo Drafthouse. I think @vafrow implied at one point that their Saturday numbers were close to their Friday numbers, which would mean they're probably in the mid-20% sold out. But could be wrong. 

 

Here are Inception's Sat #'s: 

 

Emagine @ T-32 : 14% sold 

Alamo Drafthouse @ T-32: 45.9% sold 

 

Not sure whether @Porthos and @TheFlatLannister have any MTC-1's in their data, but I don't see any MTC-1's in Sacramento or Orlando. Assuming they dont, that means there are 3 non-MTC1 data points at 16-17% sold in addition to Inception's #'s.  And if @vafrow's showing mid-20s, the average % sold for non-MTC1 Saturday's posted here is ~22%, which is close to what @keysersoze123 is showing at MTC-1. 

 

Because I couldn't help myself, I also took a sample of showtimes and TC representation at random zip codes around the US. Here's what I got after 151 theaters: 

 

MTC1 Saturday sample

 

47/151 theaters (31%)

20.3 shows per theater

 

non-MTC1 Saturday sample

 

104/151 theaters (69%) nice

10.4 shows per theater

 

Seems MTC-1 is getting a lot more showtimes. But that's counter-balanced by how many more non-MTC1's there are. I assume they'll add more showtimes too. 

 

If this data is representative, it suggests MTC-1 isn't gonna be a huge over-index on Saturday. But we'll see. 

 

 

 

The last Saturday pull I did was T-35. I should try and get an update in tomorrow.

 

But, at that point, sales were 32% ahead of Friday sales (with Friday excluding the nuked matinee sales). I don't have an easy way to measure capacity, but, at around 70 tickets per showtime, and shows auditoriums ranging from 60-70 VIP seat screens, and 400 seat IMAX screens, average capacity is probably around 225 or so, so a 30-35% range would be my guess.

[TheFlatLannister]

Sunday sales 

ORLANDO-GAINSVILLE-DAYTONA 

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
372	5696	72601	7.8%

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

 

0.507x behind Saturday sales.

0.521x behind Friday sales. 

[TheFlatLannister]

1 hour ago, jeffthehat said:

I looked at some Eras Saturday #'s at random non-MTC1's today too. Didn't get that much data though. Ended with 802/4777 (16.8% sold) at 4 theaters.  

 

@Inceptionzq is showing a high % sold for Sat at Alamo Drafthouse. I think @vafrow implied at one point that their Saturday numbers were close to their Friday numbers, which would mean they're probably in the mid-20% sold out. But could be wrong. 

 

Here are Inception's Sat #'s: 

 

Emagine @ T-32 : 14% sold 

Alamo Drafthouse @ T-32: 45.9% sold 

 

Not sure whether @Porthos and @TheFlatLannister have any MTC-1's in their data, but I don't see any MTC-1's in Sacramento or Orlando. Assuming they dont, that means there are 3 non-MTC1 data points at 16-17% sold in addition to Inception's #'s.  And if @vafrow's showing mid-20s, the average % sold for non-MTC1 Saturday's posted here is ~22%, which is close to what @keysersoze123 is showing at MTC-1. 

 

Because I couldn't help myself, I also took a sample of showtimes and TC representation at random zip codes around the US. Here's what I got after 151 theaters: 

 

MTC1 Saturday sample

 

47/151 theaters (31%)

20.3 shows per theater

 

non-MTC1 Saturday sample

 

104/151 theaters (69%) nice

10.4 shows per theater

 

Seems MTC-1 is getting a lot more showtimes. But that's counter-balanced by how many more non-MTC1's there are. I assume they'll add more showtimes too. 

 

If this data is representative, it suggests MTC-1 isn't gonna be a huge over-index on Saturday. But we'll see. 

 

 

My sample always includes:

MTC1 (Disney springs is the big boy here)

MTC2

MTC3 (Has the most chains in my sample)

CMX

Cinepolis 

EPIC 

Studio movie grill

AmStar

 

[Porthos]

On 9/15/2023 at 11:51 PM, Porthos said:

 

Taylor Swift | The Eras Tour Greater Sacramento Area Opening Night Seat Report:

T-28 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	138	11148	18606	7458	40.08%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

48

 

T-28 Comps:

	%		Sold T-28	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Unadj  Comp	Ad-hoc Comp
MoM	100.74		654	7403		0/329	33513/40916	18.09%		21117	35.32%		36.27m	52.59m
BP2	141.25		139	5280		1/294	31742/37022	14.26%		16800	44.39%		39.55m	57.35m
AM3	227.03		227	3285		0/231	29080/32365	10.15%		10475	71.20%		39.73m	57.61m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of The Era Tour's current tickets sold versus that final number.

AD-HOC COMP NOTE: "Ad-hoc Comp" is the normal comp multiplied by 1.45x (a 45% increase), which is what I am using for now to account for the difference in ATP between TET and all other films.

 

Regal:     2188/6150  [35.58% sold]

 

Taylor Swift | The Eras Tour Greater Sacramento Area Opening Night Seat Report:

T-27 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	138	11080	18609	7529	40.46%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

71

 

T-27 Comps:

	%		Sold T-27	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Unadj  Comp	Ad-hoc Comp
MoM	96.25		419	7822		0/329	33094/40916	19.12%		21117	35.65%		34.65m	50.24m
BP2	139.53		116	5396		1/294	31623/37019	14.58%		16800	44.82%		39.07m	56.65m
AM3	220.08		136	3421		0/235	29108/32529	10.52%		10475	71.88%		38.51m	55.85m

 

Regal:     2188/6150  [35.58% sold]

 

===

 

Pace might be starting to pick back up again. 👍

 

(or it's a couple of good days in a row — find out soon enough one way or the other)

[charlie Jatinder]

7 hours ago, HummingLemon said:

Taylor Swift sub $100m?

Quite likely, in fact that will be more interesting IMO.

[vafrow]

22 hours ago, vafrow said:

 

Taylor Swift Eras Tour, Opening Friday,southern Ontario, T-29 (early am pull)

 

Total sales:  15,995*

New Sales: 98 

Growth from yesterday 0.6%

Matinee Sales on Hold: 5855 across 121 showtimes 

Theatre Count:  50

Showtimes:  93

Tickets per showtime: 171.8

Coverage Radius: 143km

Estimated population coverage: 8-10M

Theatres Tracked:  MTC4

 

A theatre in London, Ontario is glitching, so I couldn't pull numbers for it, so had to estimate from previous figures.

 

The good news is that even though I've likely undercounted, growth has gone up slightly for the first time in about a week. Nothing drastic, but better than another straight day of decline.

 

Also, on Reddit, I did see someone raise the question on why showtimes are gone for showings that people have tickets for. What's interesting is that the default assumption is that the showtimes are sold out. I'm guessing that for other people noticing, that's what they're assuming, and aren't concerned that it might be cancelled.

 

Edit: Numbers adjusted as missing theatre is back online for sales. Growth better than anticipated.

 

Taylor Swift Eras Tour, Opening Friday,southern Ontario, T-27 (early am pull)

 

Total sales:  16,045

New Sales: 50 

Growth from yesterday 0.3%

Matinee Sales on Hold: 5855 across 121 showtimes 

Theatre Count:  50

Showtimes:  93

Tickets per showtime: 172.5

Coverage Radius: 143km

Estimated population coverage: 8-10M

Theatres Tracked:  MTC4

 

Back to declining growth. 0.3% is the lowest I've gotten.

 

With the site glitches yesterday, precision might be lost on the exact amounts each day.

 

 

[vafrow]

On 9/10/2023 at 10:36 AM, vafrow said:

 

Taylor Swift Eras Tour, Opening Saturday southern Ontario, T-35 (10 am pull)

 

I thought I'd do a Saturday pull. Details and rationale below

 

Total sales:  20,318

Percentage of Friday sales: 132%

Sales since T-41: 2267

Percentage increase from T-41: 13%

Theatre Count:  50

Showtimes:  282

Tickets per showtime: 72.0

Coverage Radius: 143km

Estimated population coverage: 8-10M

Theatres Tracked: MTC4

 

With the Friday matinee shows being nuked, I wanted to get a gauge on Saturday sales, especially if the chain officially cancels and ticket holders scramble to get other seats.

 

Once the friday matinees are taken out, Saturday sales now officially outpace the Friday by a pretty wide margin (32% above). If I add in the sales that are on hold, the gap still isn't big. Saturday is 3.5% down from Friday. And that's with matinee shows.

 

Overall though, it's still only selling at a bit faster than the Friday pace, which is slow.

 

Taylor Swift Eras Tour, Opening Saturday southern Ontario, T-28 (early am pull)

 

Total sales:  21,618

Percentage of Friday sales: 135%

Percentage of Friday Sales including matinee sales on hold: 99%

Sales since T-35: 1360

Percentage increase from T-35: 7%

Theatre Count:  50

Showtimes:  282

Tickets per showtime: 76.9

Coverage Radius: 143km

Estimated population coverage: 8-10M

Theatres Tracked: MTC4

 

Saturday sales remain strong, but new sales are still staying relatively flat. In the past week, Saturday sales have exceeded Friday sales by a 3:2 ratio. That's okay, but, given that there's a lot more Saturday capacity, it speaks to the restraint being a demand problem more than supply.

 

Still, one of the strengths of this film is that you can pick any random day for advance sales, and there's activity for almost any showtime.

[M37]

2 hours ago, vafrow said:

Saturday sales remain strong, but new sales are still staying relatively flat. In the past week, Saturday sales have exceeded Friday sales by a 3:2 ratio. That's okay, but, given that there's a lot more Saturday capacity, it speaks to the restraint being a demand problem more than supply.

Staring to come around to this analysis based on the recent Sat/Sun updates, which is why I'm backing off the high end projections (and took the under in @XXR's Eras Tour's club).  Yes, we're still nearly 4 weeks away, in the bottom of the U-curve, but that even with Friday sales already filling up in a lot of locations, there hasn't been enough spill-over into Sat & Sun IMO.

 

The big question is whether this very unusual schedule for Fri & Sat will behave like a typical Thursday preview & Fri opening day (1.5-2x+ or +50-100%), or more like a standard OD TFri and Sat (+10-50%), with the massive Swift fan rush mostly compensating for the lack of full day shows on Friday. That is, will we see something closer to $40*/50/40 = $130M, or $40/75/65 = $180M

(*40M is just being used as a Fri placeholder value to make math easier, could very well see it approach if not exceed $50M Fri)

 

Compared to the T-12 MTC1 checkpoints of Barbie (63.7/65.5/49.7K) and Oppenheimer (53.4/57.9/56.8K), ERAS is closest to Barbie's Fri/Sat, which resulted in a nearly flat TFri/Sat, which is why I'm leaning towards the lower end range. Still have a very difficult time seeing it fall close to or even below $100M though

[vafrow]

4 minutes ago, M37 said:

Staring to come around to this analysis based on the recent Sat/Sun updates, which is why I'm backing off the high end projections (and took the under in @XXR's Eras Tour's club).  Yes, we're still nearly 4 weeks away, in the bottom of the U-curve, but that even with Friday sales already filling up in a lot of locations, there hasn't been enough spill-over into Sat & Sun IMO.

 

The big question is whether this very unusual schedule for Fri & Sat will behave like a typical Thursday preview & Fri opening day (1.5-2x+ or +50-100%), or more like a standard OD TFri and Sat (+10-50%), with the massive Swift fan rush mostly compensating for the lack of full day shows on Friday. That is, will we see something closer to $40*/50/40 = $130M, or $40/75/65 = $180M

(*40M is just being used as a Fri placeholder value to make math easier, could very well see it approach if not exceed $50M Fri)

 

Compared to the T-12 MTC1 checkpoints of Barbie (63.7/65.5/49.7K) and Oppenheimer (53.4/57.9/56.8K), ERAS is closest to Barbie's Fri/Sat, which resulted in a nearly flat TFri/Sat, which is why I'm leaning towards the lower end range. Still have a very difficult time seeing it fall close to or even below $100M though

 

I'm definitely cooling on top end projections. Not quite on board with Jats predictions, but I'm not ruling it out. 

 

I think we've seen enough lack of advertising that it feels like it's the intended strategy here right up until release. Swift and her camp likely walked away from their studio meetings, where they were told that studios can't offer as much because of the investment needed in P&A. Their approach has been to cut the studio out and rely on their own viral capacity.

 

It's powerful, but, it's not the strategy that gets the casual audiences on board. It can still change, but the longer it goes, the less effective it will be.

 

I'm not certain, but I think the only ad we've seen is the MTV ad. I don't believe there's even been a paid social media campaign.

 

From Swift's perspective, she's probably already ahead of what the studios were offering. A domestic take of $250M, nets about $150M. AMC studios may get an additional fee as the distributor, as well as just general administrative costs. The net is probably more than any studio was offering for domestic rights.

 

 

[el sid]

Expend4bles, counted today for Thursday, September 21. 4 days to go:

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 27 (3 showtimes)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 26 (4 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 3 (2 showtimes)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): 1 (2 showtimes)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Centerpoint 11): 2 (2 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 32 (2 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 23 (5 showtimes)

 

Total tickets sold in 7 theaters: 114.

Its presales decreased (!) since Friday because already sold tickets in the AMC Universal vanished. I already considered on Friday if I should write that I don't trust the situation. Because the sales were indeed very/too uneven. OTOH the presales of other action films e.g. Plane and Creed III were good in that theater. Of course this is absolutely disappointing.

Comps (all films counted on Monday of the release week for Friday = 1 day left for Expend4bles to come closer, except for AHF all films counted in 7 theaters): Angel Has Fallen (1.5M from previews) had 199 sold tickets in 6 theaters (Expend4bles has 87 sold tickets in the same 6 theaters),
Rambo V (1.3M) had 205,
Plane (435k) had 89,
The Equalizer 3 (3.8M) had 431,
Creed III (5.45M) had 584
and The Meg 2 (3.2M) had 254 sold tickets.

 

Expend4bles, counted today for Friday, September 22. 5 days to go:

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 41 (5 showtimes)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 11 (8 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): (4 showtimes)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): 1 (5 showtimes)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Centerpoint 11): 0 (3 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 33 (9 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 18 (8 showtimes)

 

Total tickets sold in 7 theaters: 104.

The same problem. In the AMC Universal already sold tickets vanished.
Comps (all films counted on Monday of the release week for Friday = 1 day left for Expend4bles): Angel Has Fallen had 136 sold tickets in 6 theaters (Expend4bles has 63 sold tickets in the same 6 theaters),
Rambo V had 116 also in 6 theaters (again the AMC in NY was missing and Expend4bles has 63 sold tickets in the same 6 theaters),
Plane had 83,

The Protégé had 32 sold tickets,
The Equalizer 3 had 307,
Creed III had 667
and The Meg 2 had 262 sold tickets.

Of course it needs big jumps till tomorrow and in the next few days to reach at least decent presales in my theaters. It's really strange what happened because in other reports here it doesn't look THAT bad for Expend4bles.

Edited September 17, 2023 by el sid

[jeffthehat]

On 9/16/2023 at 9:10 AM, jeffthehat said:

 

Eras Malco Theaters T-27 (2 days of sales)

 

Theater count - 24

Show count - 104

Seats sold - 5310

Total seats - 17486

% sold - 30.4%

New sales - 85 (+1.6%)

3-day average of new sales - 48.9 tickets/day

Growth over past week (T-34 to T-27) - +8.4%

 

Eras Malco Theaters T-26

 

Theater count - 24

Show count - 104

Seats sold - 5352

Total seats - 17486

% sold - 30.6%

New sales - 42 (+0.8%)

3-day average of new sales - 42.33 tickets/day

[Tinalera]

Taylor Swift

Vancouver Canada

Friday Oct 13 

 

		# theatre	#show	Seats Sold	Seats Rem	Ttl seat	Percent
Vancouver	Fri	4	9	1327	141	1468	0.9039

 

 

At least 2 of these shows were like 2 away from complete sellouts. Again, the nuttiness of Cineplex with the whole removing shows (or maybe they were sold out, I just went with numbers I had with me) either way yes massive selling. May have to start looking at rare (for me) Saturday counts just to see if those numbers are pretty steady but yea, this is gonna make mucho money I think.

[vafrow]

27 minutes ago, Tinalera said:

Taylor Swift

Vancouver Canada

Friday Oct 13 

 

		# theatre	#show	Seats Sold	Seats Rem	Ttl seat	Percent
Vancouver	Fri	4	9	1327	141	1468	0.9039

 

 

At least 2 of these shows were like 2 away from complete sellouts. Again, the nuttiness of Cineplex with the whole removing shows (or maybe they were sold out, I just went with numbers I had with me) either way yes massive selling. May have to start looking at rare (for me) Saturday counts just to see if those numbers are pretty steady but yea, this is gonna make mucho money I think.

 

Are any of the showings IMAX screens?

 

I've found those to be the lowest capacity. When sales opened, evening IMAX shows were being held for IMAX, and then only opened around D2 or so, once Exorcist had moved. 

 

On my side, they've remained slow to sell. I'm wondering if demand might be higher in Vancouver. It's one of the markets that people thought might get some tour dates before announcing Toronto getting 6. I'm wondering if the lack of access to the tour might be propelling it a bit more.

[Boxofficerules]

Saw X tickets on sale Wednesday?

[Hilts]

23 hours ago, Hilts said:

 

Expend4bles							OK
Thursday - showings starting 6pm
Day	Theatres	Showings	Sellouts	Daily Sold	Total Sold	Total Seats	% Sold
T-7	19	53	0	19	19	9,902	0.19%
T-6	19	53	0	14	33	9,902	0.33%
T-5	19	53	0	6	39	9,902	0.39%

 

Comps
The Meg 2: The Trench					0.317x	=	$1.01m
The Nun II					0.386x	=	$1.20m
The Equalizer 3					0.188x	=	$0.71m
A Haunting In Venice					0.448x	=	$0.49m

 

Insert "Not great, Bob!" meme here. Really slow for such a short presale window. Should have a decent IM though to crack $10m OW.

 

Expend4bles							OK
Thursday - showings starting 6pm
Day	Theatres	Showings	Sellouts	Daily Sold	Total Sold	Total Seats	% Sold
T-7	19	53	0	19	19	9,902	0.19%
T-6	19	53	0	14	33	9,902	0.33%
T-5	19	53	0	6	39	9,902	0.39%
T-4	21	56	0	10	49	10,134	0.48%

 

Comps
The Meg 2: The Trench					0.295x	=	$0.94m
The Nun II					0.462x	=	$1.43m
The Equalizer 3					0.200x	=	$0.76m
A Haunting In Venice					0.471x	=	$0.52m
No Hard Feelings					0.471x	=	$1.01m
Gran Turismo					0.485x	=	$0.68m

 

Comp average: $890k. Ya still pretty weak here. Nun really picks up tomorrow so I think $1m is the target.

[Hilts]

23 hours ago, Hilts said:

 

The Creator							OK
Wednesday - 7pm - Early Access Screening
Day	Theatres	Showings	Sellouts	Daily Sold	Total Sold	Total Seats	% Sold
T-15	3	3	0	0	9	1,224	0.74%
T-14	3	3	0	-1	8	1,224	0.65%
T-13	3	3	0	3	11	1,224	0.90%
T-12	3	3	0	4	15	1,224	1.23%
T-11	3	3	0	0	15	1,224	1.23%
Thursday - showings starting 6pm
Day	Theatres	Showings	Sellouts	Daily Sold	Total Sold	Total Seats	% Sold
T-16	17	43	0	7	66	8,947	0.74%
T-15	17	43	0	5	71	8,947	0.79%
T-14	17	43	0	7	78	8,947	0.87%
T-13	17	43	0	4	82	8,947	0.92%
T-12	17	41	0	3	85	8,675	0.98%
Comps
Asteroid City					1.220x	=	$1.34m
Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning Part One					0.148x	=	$1.30m
Barbie					0.053x	=	$1.18m
Oppenheimer					0.096x	=	$1.00m
Haunted Mansion					0.662x	=	$2.05m
Strays					2.000x	=	$2.20m

 

Comp average = $1.51m

 

The Creator							OK
Wednesday - 7pm - Early Access Screening
Day	Theatres	Showings	Sellouts	Daily Sold	Total Sold	Total Seats	% Sold
T-14	3	3	0	-1	8	1,224	0.65%
T-13	3	3	0	3	11	1,224	0.90%
T-12	3	3	0	4	15	1,224	1.23%
T-11	3	3	0	0	15	1,224	1.23%
T-10	3	3	0	0	15	1,224	1.23%
Thursday - showings starting 6pm
Day	Theatres	Showings	Sellouts	Daily Sold	Total Sold	Total Seats	% Sold
T-15	17	43	0	5	71	8,947	0.79%
T-14	17	43	0	7	78	8,947	0.87%
T-13	17	43	0	4	82	8,947	0.92%
T-12	17	41	0	3	85	8,675	0.98%
T-11	18	42	0	4	89	8,758	1.02%
Comps
Asteroid City					1.238x	=	$1.36m
Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning Part One					0.144x	=	$1.27m
Barbie					0.050x	=	$1.12m
Oppenheimer					0.093x	=	$0.98m
Haunted Mansion					0.650x	=	$2.02m
Strays					1.825x	=	$2.01m

 

Comp average = $1.46m

[Hilts]

23 hours ago, Hilts said:

 

The Exorcist: Believer							OK
Thursday - showings starting 5pm
Day	Theatres	Showings	Sellouts	Daily Sold	Total Sold	Total Seats	% Sold
T-23	19	72	0	9	45	15,436	0.29%
T-22	19	72	0	0	45	15,436	0.29%
T-21	19	72	0	0	45	15,436	0.29%
T-20	19	72	0	-1	44	15,436	0.29%
T-19	19	72	0	6	50	15,436	0.32%
Comps
Haunted Mansion					0.505x	=	$1.57m
Barbie					0.070x	=	$1.48m
Asteroid City					0.926x	=	$1.02m

 

Comp average = $1.35m

 

It sold some more finally.

 

The Exorcist: Believer							OK
Thursday - showings starting 5pm
Day	Theatres	Showings	Sellouts	Daily Sold	Total Sold	Total Seats	% Sold
T-22	19	72	0	0	45	15,436	0.29%
T-21	19	72	0	0	45	15,436	0.29%
T-20	19	72	0	-1	44	15,436	0.29%
T-19	19	72	0	6	50	15,436	0.32%
T-18	20	74	0	2	52	15,606	0.33%
Comps
Haunted Mansion					0.510x	=	$1.58m
Barbie					0.069x	=	$1.46m
Asteroid City					0.852x	=	$0.94m

 

Comp average = $1.33m

[Hilts]

23 hours ago, Hilts said:

 

Taylor Swift | The Eras Tour							OK
Friday - showings starting 6pm
Day	Theatres	Showings	Sellouts	Daily Sold	Total Sold	Total Seats	% Sold
T-31	19	154	0	53	10,787	28,259	38.17%
T-30	19	154	0	33	10,820	28,259	38.29%
T-29	19	154	0	61	10,881	28,259	38.50%
T-28	19	154	0	58	10,939	28,259	38.71%
T-27	19	154	0	73	11,012	28,259	38.97%
T-0 Comps (not ATP adjusted)
Barbie					1.114x	=	$23.50m
Oppenheimer					2.262x	=	$23.75m
Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny					3.651x	=	$26.29m
T-27 Comp (not ATP adjusted)
Barbie (EA)					26.924x	=	$29.62m

 

Tomorrow I will include the latest MTC splits and hopefully an update on Saturday for comparison.

 

On 9/10/2023 at 9:19 PM, Hilts said:

Saturday check (+8 days of sales):

 

325 (+53) showings / 5,586 (+1,038) total tickets sold. Now at 52.3% of Friday (previously 50%).

 

Taylor Swift | The Eras Tour							OK
Friday - showings starting 6pm
Day	Theatres	Showings	Sellouts	Daily Sold	Total Sold	Total Seats	% Sold
T-30	19	154	0	33	10,820	28,259	38.29%
T-29	19	154	0	61	10,881	28,259	38.50%
T-28	19	154	0	58	10,939	28,259	38.71%
T-27	19	154	0	73	11,012	28,259	38.97%
T-26	20	159	0	49	11,061	28,656	38.60%

 

MTC1: 6,554/11,278 - 58.1% sold - 2.4% growth

MTC2: 1,743/6,236 - 28.0% sold - 5.3% growth

MTC3: 1,963/6,396 - 30.7% sold - 3.1% growth

Other: 801/4,746 - 16.9% sold - 10.5% growth

 

T-0 Comps (not ATP adjusted)
Barbie					1.119x	=	$23.61m
Oppenheimer					2.272x	=	$23.85m
Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny					3.667x	=	$26.41m
T-26 Comp (not ATP adjusted)
Barbie (EA)					26.782x	=	$29.46m

 

Saturday (+7 days of sales)

323 showings (-2)

6,300 total sold (+714)

57.2% of Friday (previously 52.3%)

[vafrow]

Expendables 4, T-4 evening update, Thursday previews, southern Ontario

 

Tickets sold: 104

Theatres: 47

Showtimes: 84

Coverage Radius: 143km

Estimated population coverage: 8-10M

Theatres Tracked: MTC4

Tickets per showtime: 1.25

 

0.342x Equalizer 3 for $1.3M

0.213x Blue Beetle for $0.7M

 

Just did a quick pull on Expend4bles. More to give myself more data in the future. It doesn't look great, and I'd estimate $1.0M to split the difference, but I also don't have much in the way of expectations on this.