The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread

[katnisscinnaplex]

On 3/30/2024 at 8:27 AM, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Civil War	T-12	Jax	5	34	0	23	6,188	0.37%
		Phx	6	19	1	35	4,009	0.87%
		Ral	6	19	4	30	2,613	1.15%
	Total		17	72	5	88	12,810	0.69%

 

T-12 adjusted comps

 - NTTD (Total) - missed

 - Elvis - .376x (1.45m)

 - Equalizer 3 - .83x (3.15m)

 

*No EA shows in the theaters I track

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Civil War	T-10	Jax	5	34	3*	26	6,188	0.42%
		Phx	6	19	7*	42	4,009	1.05%
		Ral	6	19	2*	32	2,613	1.22%
	Total		17	72	12	100	12,810	0.78%
Suga	T-9	Jax	3	7	128	128	1,574	8.13%
		Phx	4	5	173	173	992	17.44%
		Ral	5	9	142	142	1,380	10.29%
	Total		12	21	443	443	3,946	11.23%

*New sales since Saturday

 

Civil War T-10 adjusted comps

 - NTTD (Total) - .164x (1.29m)

 - Elvis - .394x (1.52m)

 - Equalizer 3 - .73x (2.77m)

 

*No EA shows in the theaters I track

 

Suga T-9 adjusted comps

 - Heard the Bells - 1.214x (1.13m)

 - One Piece - 1.005x (1.74m)

 - Left Behind - 3.234x (2.33m)

 - Dragon Ball - .585x (2.58m)

 - Demon Slayer 2 - .462x (2.3m)

 

I don't have any close comps to this, but I picked some event type films that seem to perform similarly.  This is well outside my realm of interest but it seems like it's doing pretty well!

[katnisscinnaplex]

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Spy x Family	T-17	Jax	5	18	28	28	1,938	1.44%
		Phx	6	17	26	26	3,774	0.69%
		Ral	5	17	20	20	1,570	1.27%
	Total		16	52	74	74	7,282	1.02%

 

T-17 adjusted comps

 - Dragon Ball - .139x (614k)

 - JJK:0 - .171x (505k)

[el sid]

A little The Last Omen update:

 

It had today counted for Thursday 82 sold tickets with showtimes in all of my 7 theaters.

Best sales in the AMCs in NY and San Francisco.

 

Comps (all counted on Monday of the release week for Thursday): The Invitation (775k from previews) had 96 sold tickets,

The Exorcist 2 (2.9M) had 850,

M3gan (2.75M) had 274,

The Nun 2 (3.1M) had 459

and Prey for the Devil (660k) had 115 sold tickets. 

 

Still not doing great but it improved. And maybe its jump till Wednesday is bigger than normal because in the last few days the focus was on Easter and GxK.

 

Monkey Man later today (nice numbers).

[SpiderByte]

Edit: wrong thread

Edited April 1 by SpiderByte

[charlie Jatinder]

On 3/22/2024 at 8:02 AM, charlie Jatinder said:

Spider-man (2002) has good sales. ~950 tix sold in 17 shows. 

In normal ratios, would mean $300-500K sales nationwide.

Spider-man (2002) - 1972/6738 (31 showings) $13K. 

 

That's like $600-700K nationwide worth. Could be more. With 15 days to go, wonder if Spider-man could be #1 that day.

[charlie Jatinder]

Checking few random locs

AMC Empire 25 - 625 (3)
Lincoln Square - 298 (1)
Kips Bay - 148 (2)
34th Street - 113 (2)
Newport - 103 (2)
Americana - 460 (4)
AMC The Grove - 246 (2)
Universal AMC - 257 (3)
Montebello - 282 (3)
Burbank - 556 (3)
Century 15 - 328 (4)
Orange 30 - 429 (3)
Disney Spring - 609 (3)

Mission Valley - 197 (1)
Chula Vista - 304 (5)


@keysersoze123 check the other 500 I guess.

 

Won't be surprised with 50K+ sales. May be even 75K.

Edited April 1 by charlie Jatinder

[Relevation]

 

PLF tickets are now on sale for Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes

 

Oh, and EA screenings on the 8th

Edited April 1 by Relevation

[Eric Prime]

Quorum Updates

The Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare T-18: 20%

Back to Black T-46: 25.21%

Inside Out 2 T-74: 52.26%

A Quiet Place: Day One T-88: 30.46%

Transformers One T-165: 30.31%

Saw XI T-179: 16.33%

 

The First Omen T-4: 39.76% Awareness

Final Awareness: 37% chance of 10M, 5% chance of 20M

Horror Awareness: 42% chance of 10M, 8% chance of 20M

 

Monkey Man T-4: 34.15% Awareness

Final Awareness: 37% chance of 10M, 5% chance of 20M

Low Awareness: 23% chance of 10M, 4% chance of 20M

 

Civil War T-11: 29.14% Awareness

Final Awareness: 16% chance of 10M

Low Awareness: 15% chance of 10M

 

The Fall Guy T-32: 35.96% Awareness

T-30 Awareness: 83% chance of 10M, 53% chance of 20M, 37% chance of 30M, 13% chance of 40M, 10% chance of 70M

Tentpole Awareness: 100% chance of 30M

[el sid]

Monkey Man had today 709 sold tickets for Thursday (with showtimes in 7 theaters).

 

Comps (all counted on Monday of the release week for Thursday): Dungeons and Dragons (4.1M Thursday only) had 724 sold tickets = 4M.

Argylle (1.7M) had 631 = 1.9M.

Uncharted (3.7M) had 868 = 5.45M.

And BT (4.6M) had 879 sold tickets = 3.7M.

Average preview number: 3.75M.

 

Please take that number with a big grain of salt because IMO that's too optimistic. It could have better walk-ups than Argylle (so 2-2.5M+ could happen) but I doubt that it can compete with e.g. Uncharted. Still, for the moment, nice presales.

 

Edited April 1 by el sid

[ReturnOfTheBoxOffice]

Well it wasn’t 6 million but it’s something.

[Tinalera]

16 hours ago, Porthos said:

 

 

 

Just...  as is always my #1 Piece of Advice: Don't bite off more than you can chew.  🙂 

This is why I have had to cut back on the amount I was doing and comps and all that. Was getting to be a bit more than I could, and with my own life just busy I try where I can to get in. It IS easy to fall into the "hey Im on a groove let me do more" track if one isnt prepared for it lol. 

 

On a personal note I AM quite thrilled to see the amount of Canadian trackers now posting in various areas, and posting in the Canada forum as well as here, gives an even bigger picture up here-always good to see  fellow canuckians 

Edited April 1 by Tinalera

[keysersoze123]

1 hour ago, ReturnOfTheBoxOffice said:

Well it wasn’t 6 million but it’s something.

Wrong thread. Take it to BO thread or Godzilla OS thread. This is presales related thread. 

[filmlover]

Abigail showtimes are starting to appear but aren't on sale yet, starts at 5:00 that Thursday.

[TheFlatLannister]

On 3/25/2024 at 12:02 PM, TheFlatLannister said:

FLORIDA 

 

Civil War

 

Thursday 

 

T-18

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
386	795	77509	1.0%

^{*numbers taken as of 5:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

N/A

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS

T-18

(0.360x) of Ghostbusters $1.69M  

(0.172x) of Dune 2 $1.60M  

Comps average: $1.65M 

 

This is with blocked seats removed 

FLORIDA 

 

Civil War

 

Thursday 

 

T-10

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
416	1321	83395	1.6%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

57

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

30

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS

T-10

(0.407x) of Ghostbusters $1.92M  

Comps average: $1.92M 

[TheFlatLannister]

FLORIDA 

 

Monkey Man

 

Thursday 

 

T-3

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
338	1250	69851	1.8%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

N/A

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS

T-3

(1.146x) of Night Swim $1.72M  

(0.512x) of Mean Girls $1.69M  

Comps average: $1.71M 

 

Over $1.5M seems likely 

[abracadabra1998]

23 hours ago, abracadabra1998 said:

 

Minneapolis-St. Paul Area Previews:

 

Monkey Man (T-4):

Day: T-4	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 23 theaters	49	N/A	214	5273	4.06

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		130	N/A	60.75
MTC1:		169	N/A	78.97
Alamo:		22	N/A	10.28
Other chains:		23	N/A	10.75

 

Comps:

1.01x Argylle: $1.73 Million (17 theaters)

1.96x The Iron Claw: $1.31 Million (17 theaters)

0.51x Napoleon (TUE): $1.52 Million (17 theaters)

0.85x The Creator (THU): $1.15 Million (17 theaters)

 

Average: $1.43 Million

 

Still really heavy on the MTC1, we'll see if this breaks out at all this last week.

 

Minneapolis-St. Paul Area Previews:

 

Monkey Man (T-3):

Day: T-3	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 24 theaters	56	66	280	6042	4.63

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		182	52	65
MTC1:		214	45	76.43
Alamo:		27	5	9.64
Other chains:		39	16	13.93

 

Comps:

1.15x Argylle: $1.95 Million (17 theaters)

2.23x The Iron Claw: $1.49 Million (17 theaters)

0.54x Napoleon (TUE): $1.61 Million (17 theaters)

0.93x The Creator (THU): $1.26 Million (17 theaters)

 

Average: $1.58 Million

 

Really good update, rose against all comps, and that Argylle comp is looking pretty nice. Let's hope it keeps doing strong here!

[abracadabra1998]

23 hours ago, abracadabra1998 said:

Minnesota Previews:

 

First Omen (T-4):

Day: T-4	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 23 theaters	28	40	40	3052	1.31

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		12	12	30
MTC1:		29	29	72.5
Alamo:		8	8	20
Other chains:		3	3	7.5

 

Comps:

0.77x Night Swim: $1.12 Million (17 theaters)

0.3x Saw X: $600k (17 theaters)

0.35x Nun II: $1.08 Million (17 theaters)

0.25x Insidious Red Door: $1.24 Million (17 theaters)

 

Average: $1.01 Million

 

Perhaps I am being too kind with the comps (all super short windows or super huge late breakouts), but I don't think it makes much sense to comp it with other horror movies since this had such a short window. If the week's growth doesn't reflect that I will adjust the comps.

 

Minnesota Previews:

 

First Omen (T-3):

Day: T-3	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 24 theaters	35	2	42	3702	1.13

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		15	3	35.71
MTC1:		34	5	80.95
Alamo:		8	0	19.05
Other chains:		0	-3	0

 

Comps:

0.63x Night Swim: $910k (17 theaters)

0.24x Saw X: $485k (17 theaters)

0.3x Nun II: $925k (17 theaters)

0.18x Insidious Red Door: $895k (17 theaters)

 

Average: $805k

 

Horrible update

 

[abracadabra1998]

Minnesota Previews:

 

Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes (T-38, Day 1):

Day: T-38, T-37	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Thursday: 5 theaters	16	38	38	3318	1.15
Wednesday May 8 EA: 18 theaters	22	37	37	5010	0.74
TOTALS:	38	75	75	8328	0.9

 

Quirky stuff, the EA showings are all on sale, but for Thursday previews only a few theaters (MTC1, Alamo, and CMX) have showtimes available, many others still blocked off (even PLF showings). Take that in mind when looking at these comps.

 

Day 1 Comps:

0.26x Godzilla x Kong: $2.6 Million

0.43x Ghostbusters Frozen Empire: $2.04 Million

1.01x Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom: $4.56 Million

0.39x Hunger Games BoSS: $2.25 Million

0.38x FNAF: $3.9 Million

 

Not a lot to glean from here with the strange Day 1 release, but not bad, definitely some interest there. Anyone got comps in mind for this movie?

[Relevation]

4 minutes ago, abracadabra1998 said:

Minnesota Previews:

 

Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes (T-38, Day 1):

Day: T-38, T-37	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Thursday: 5 theaters	16	38	38	3318	1.15
Wednesday May 8 EA: 18 theaters	22	37	37	5010	0.74
TOTALS:	38	75	75	8328	0.9

 

Quirky stuff, the EA showings are all on sale, but for Thursday previews only a few theaters (MTC1, Alamo, and CMX) have showtimes available, many others still blocked off (even PLF showings). Take that in mind when looking at these comps.

 

Day 1 Comps:

0.26x Godzilla x Kong: $2.6 Million

0.43x Ghostbusters Frozen Empire: $2.04 Million

1.01x Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom: $4.56 Million

0.39x Hunger Games BoSS: $2.25 Million

0.38x FNAF: $3.9 Million

 

Not a lot to glean from here with the strange Day 1 release, but not bad, definitely some interest there. Anyone got comps in mind for this movie?

Since it's a longer sales window, and from what I can see it's just PLFs, I would think Oppenheimer could actually work as a comp here if you have it. Otherwise I'd also throw out Dune since it was also a decently long-ish window and had EA, plus major PLF skew.

[keysersoze123]

22 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

Monkey Man MTC1

Previews(T-4) - 12940/145589 235473.00 1023 shows +1282 

Friday -  9384/251380 168013.26 1731 shows +1220

 

Probably looking at 1.5-2m preview depending on how the pace goes next 4 days. I am thinking low teens OW for now.  

Monkey Man MTC1

Previews(T-3) - 15796/165754 284736.78 1173 shows +2856 

Friday - 12124/307921 213918.82 2109 shows +2740

 

Solid boost today. Let us see how rest of the week goes. ~2m previews is what its looking like.