The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread

[vafrow]

20 hours ago, vafrow said:

 

Monkey Man, Western GTA (Southern Ontario), T-7, Thursday previews

 

Total Sales: 39

New Sales : 1

Growth: 3%

Theatres tracked: MTC4

Total theatres: 5

Showtimes: 10

Radius: 19 km

Tickets per showtime: 3.9

Ticket premium in effect: No

 

Sales by timing (sales/showtimes)

Early Evening: 32/2

Late Evening: 7/2

 

Sales by format (sales/showtimes)

Dolby: 27/2
Regular: 12/2

 

Comps

0.186x HG: BoSS for $1.1M

0.443x Aquaman 2 for $2.0M

0.064x Dune 2 for $0.6M

Average: $1.2M

 

Uneventful day. Godzilla taking up all the attention.

 

Monkey Man, Western GTA (Southern Ontario), T-6, Thursday previews

 

Total Sales: 46

New Sales : 7

Growth: 18%

Theatres tracked: MTC4

Total theatres: 5

Showtimes: 10

Radius: 19 km

Tickets per showtime: 4.6

Ticket premium in effect: No

 

Sales by timing (sales/showtimes)

Early Evening: 39/2

Late Evening: 7/2

 

Sales by format (sales/showtimes)

Dolby: 30/2
Regular: 16/2

 

Comps

0.202x HG: BoSS for $1.2M

0.422x Aquaman 2 for $1.9M

0.070x Dune 2 for $0.7M

Average: $1.3M

 

Decent day.

[katnisscinnaplex]

On 3/29/2024 at 7:52 AM, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
First Omen	T-6	Jax	5	10	1	7	1,366	0.51%
		Phx	6	12	3	14	1,681	0.83%
		Ral	5	11	0	1	1,236	0.08%
	Total		16	33	4	22	4,283	0.51%
Monkey Man	T-6	Jax	6	18	4	21	3,006	0.70%
		Phx	6	14	0	43	1,683	2.55%
		Ral	7	14	5	34	1,840	1.85%
	Total		19	46	9	98	6,529	1.50%
Someone Like You	T-4	Jax	5	10	2	52	892	5.83%
		Phx	6	12	2	7	1,316	0.53%
		Ral	6	15	11	32	1,213	2.64%
	Total		17	37	15	91	3,421	2.66%

 

Someone Like You T-4 adjusted comps

- I Wanna Dance - .52x (389k)

 - Respect (Total) - .245x (169k)

 - Downton Abbey (Total) - .116x (213k)

 - 80 for Brady (Total) - .221x (281k)

 

Size adjusted comps - 423k

 

Monkey Man T-6 adjusted comps

 - Violent Night - missed

 - Cocaine Bear - .6x (1.2m)

 - Equalizer 3 - .389x (1.21m)

 - Strays (Total) - 1.043x (1.15m)

 - Black Phone (Total) - .414x (1.27m)

 - Bullet Train (Total) - .229x (1.07m)

 - Green Knight - 1.96x (1.56m)

 - Beast - 2x (1.89m)

 - 65 - 1.42x (1.74m)

 - Haunting in Venice (Total) - .933x (1.12m)

 

Size adjusted comps - 1.395m

 

First Omen T-6 adjusted comps

 - Talk to Me - .407x (507k)

 - Last Voyage - .4x (300k)

- Don't Breathe 2 - 1.222x (1.25m)

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
First Omen	T-5	Jax	5	10	0	7	1,366	0.51%
		Phx	6	12	0	14	1,681	0.83%
		Ral	5	11	0	1	1,236	0.08%
	Total		16	33	0	22	4,283	0.51%
Monkey Man	T-5	Jax	6	18	8	29	3,006	0.96%
		Phx	6	14	7	50	1,683	2.97%
		Ral	7	14	1	35	1,840	1.90%
	Total		19	46	16	114	6,529	1.75%
Someone Like You	T-3	Jax	5	10	6	58	892	6.50%
		Phx	6	12	-1	6	1,316	0.46%
		Ral	6	15	1	33	1,213	2.72%
	Total		17	37	6	97	3,421	2.84%

 

Someone Like You T-3 adjusted comps

- I Wanna Dance - .485x (362k)

 - Respect (Total) - .212x (146k)

 - Downton Abbey (Total) - .109x (201k)

 - 80 for Brady (Total) - .219x (279k)

 

Size adjusted comps - 428k

 

Monkey Man T-5 adjusted comps

 - Violent Night - 1.107x (1.25m)

 - Cocaine Bear - missed

 - Equalizer 3 - .407x (1.27m)

 - Strays (Total) - 1.14x (1.25m)

 - Black Phone (Total) - .435x (1.34m)

 - Bullet Train (Total) - .242x (1.14m)

 - Green Knight - 2.11x (1.68m)

 - Beast - 1.97x (1.86m)

 - 65 - 1.41x (1.72m)

 - Haunting in Venice (Total) - .912x (1.09m)

 

Size adjusted comps - 1.41m

 

First Omen T-5 adjusted comps

 - Talk to Me - .297x (370k)

 - Last Voyage - .324x (243k)

- Don't Breathe 2 - 1.1x (1.13m)

 - Forever Purge - .88x (1.24m)

 - Escape Room 2 - .647x (823k)

 

Size adjusted comps - 1.14m

[katnisscinnaplex]

On 3/29/2024 at 7:54 AM, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Civil War	T-13	Jax	5	34	2	23	6,188	0.37%
		Phx	6	19	0	34	4,009	0.85%
		Ral	6	20	0	26	2,899	0.90%
	Total		17	73	2	83	13,096	0.63%

 

T-13 adjusted comps

 - NTTD (Total) - .161x (1.27m)

 - Elvis - .377x (1.46m)

 - Equalizer 3 - 1.01x (3.85m)

 

*No EA shows in the theaters I track

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Civil War	T-12	Jax	5	34	0	23	6,188	0.37%
		Phx	6	19	1	35	4,009	0.87%
		Ral	6	19	4	30	2,613	1.15%
	Total		17	72	5	88	12,810	0.69%

 

T-13 adjusted comps

 - NTTD (Total) - missed

 - Elvis - .376x (1.45m)

 - Equalizer 3 - .83x (3.15m)

 

*No EA shows in the theaters I track

[CJohn]

Apparently The First Omen is really good but of course Disney is incapable of selling it.

[filmlover]

1 hour ago, CJohn said:

Apparently The First Omen is really good but of course Disney is incapable of selling it.

I always thought a total close to the '06 remake (which itself was heavily boosted by a highly gimmicky release date) would've been a major win for it. The Omen as an IP doesn't seem to carry the same relevancy today as other horror franchises, especially when it's religiously-themed and horror movies like that are a dime a dozen (one is even playing in theaters right now).

Edited March 30 by filmlover

[Boxofficerules]

I feel Disney feel like they make more profit when they don’t market their horror movies. Both Ready Or Not and Barbarian got very little marketing and did quite well considering and they made profits. Yet I ready they spent a lot of money on Boogyman and that killed their profits for that movie is.

[ReturnOfTheBoxOffice]

Early shows around me are performing better than yesterday. Maybe the late shows drop off cause of church in the morning?

[katnisscinnaplex]

23 hours ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

Santikos Tracking

 

Day	Movie	Format	Shows	New	Sold	True Cap	% Sold
T-0	Godzilla x Kong (Fri)	3D	21	286	286	2,180	13.12%
		PLF	45	4,626	4,626	11,367	40.70%
		Standard	113	3,238	3,238	12,991	24.92%
	Total		179	8,150	8,150	26,538	30.71%

 

Friday T-0 unadjusted comps

 - JW3 - .546x (22.72m)

 - TG2 - .965x (31.56m)

 - FB3 - 2.452x (34.39m)

 - Avatar 2 - 1.013x (36.66m)

 - Batman - .828x (28.98m)

 - Dune 2 - 2.152x (43.49m)

 - Oppenheimer - 1.861x (41.9m)

 

Adjusted comps (using 9.4m preview)

 - JW3 - 32.77m

 - TG2 - 31.89m

 - FB3 - 33.54m

 - Avatar 2 - 35.19m

 - Batman - 30.87m

 - Dune 2 - 29.46m

 - Oppenheimer - 26.57m

 

Uhh, well, I'm not trying to get everyone's expectations up but... I gotta go with

  Reveal hidden contents

30m+ true Friday.

 

Santikos Tracking

 

Day	Movie	Format	Shows	New	Sold	True Cap	% Sold
T-0	Godzilla x Kong (Sat)	3D	21	241	241	2,180	11.06%
		PLF	46	4,058	4,058	11,611	34.95%
		Standard	115	2,426	2,426	13,680	17.73%
	Total		182	6,725	6,725	27,471	24.48%

 

Saturday T-0 unadjusted comps

 - JW3 - .434x (20.36m)

 - TG2 - .751x (28.56m)

 - Avatar 2 - .717x (44.29m)

 - Batman - .588x (25.43m)

 - Dune 2 - 1.451x (41.67m)

 - Oppenheimer - 1.303x (34.2m)

 - Dragon Ball Z - 4.235x (24.62m)

 

Adjusted comps (using 27.5m TF)

 - JW3 - 24.65m

 - TG2 - 24.89m

 - Avatar 2 - 23.86m

 - Batman - 21.39m

 - Dune 2 - 26.35m

 - Oppenheimer - 22.44m

 - Dragon Ball Z - 24.61m

 

Thinking around 24.5m today

[AniNate]

I've gotten the Omen trailer on pretty much every mainstream movie I've seen this year, so I don't think they're skimping there at least

[Inceptionzq]

On 3/28/2024 at 5:10 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Godzilla x Kong Emagine Entertainment [+7 days of sales]

T-2 Saturday

310 Showings

3559

+2690

45266

1.306

GB Frozen T-2

23.10M

1.997	Transformers T-2	38.65M
0.720	AtSV T-2	26.92M

Godzilla x Kong Emagine Entertainment [+2 days of sales]

T-0 Saturday

312 Showings

9622

+6063

45501

1.291	GB Frozen T-0	22.84M
2.262	Transformers T-0	43.77M
0.750	AtSV T-0	28.05M

 

Adjusted:

GB Frozen T-0	22.34M
Transformers T-0	30.32M
AtSV T-0	26.79M

 

On 3/28/2024 at 5:13 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Godzilla x Kong Alamo Drafthouse [+7 days of sales]

T-2 Saturday

316 Showings

5585

+3735

43799

ATP:

14.50

0.741	GB Frozen T-2	13.11M
0.397	AtSV T-2	14.84M
2.109	Transformers T-2	40.81M
1.045	Black Adam T-2	24.79M
0.342	JW Dominion T-2	16.05M

Godzilla x Kong Alamo Drafthouse [+2 days of sales]

T-0 Saturday

320 Showings

11573

+5988

44120

ATP:

14.14

0.893	GB Frozen T-0	15.80M
0.468	AtSV T-0	17.49M
2.170	Transformers T-0	41.99M

 

Adjusted:

GB Frozen T-0	26.50M
AtSV T-0	24.20M
Transformers T-0	27.87M

 

Numbers from a couple hours ago

[emoviefan]

1 hour ago, AniNate said:

I've gotten the Omen trailer on pretty much every mainstream movie I've seen this year, so I don't think they're skimping there at least

Post Pandemic moviegoing having to see some movie trailers so many dam times I want to gouge my eyes out if its not something that interests me. 

[ReturnOfTheBoxOffice]

On 3/16/2024 at 2:59 AM, ReturnOfTheBoxOffice said:

If it does under 50 I’ll eat my shoe.

Is it safe to put my shoe back on yet?

[Brainbug]

Just now, ReturnOfTheBoxOffice said:

Is it safe to put my shoe back on yet?

 

No.

 

The possibility of a meteor destroying the entire North American continent until Sunday sill exists.

[charlie Jatinder]

MTC 2 actuals came higher than what I got initially, so GxK previews will be ~$9.5M.

 

1 - 2.65

2 - 1.66

3 - 1.83 // 6.34

 

~$9.5M Pre & ~$27.2-27.3M FRI

[keysersoze123]

23 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

Godzilla X Kong: The New Empire MTC1 Friday - 381370/1108096 6282777.66 6230 shows +225065

 

Strong day of walkups. I would have thought this is good for high 20s True Friday. I guess other MTC under performed again. 

Godzilla X Kong: The New Empire MTC1 Saturday - 388657/1140879 6323934.01 6500 shows +234796

 

So it actually finished ahead of Friday. I would think that should be sufficient for a saturday increase. But other places probably under performed. Saturday ratios tend to be lower but this week it should be around the same as both days were almost the same. 

[Cookson]

Is it possible for it to hit 20m on Sunday or is that asking too much? 

[Bob Train]

1 minute ago, Cookson said:

Is it possible for it to hit 20m on Sunday or is that asking too much? 

Seems optimistic. Last time Easter was March 31 the holds looked like this. Probably 17-18m.

[charlie Jatinder]

28 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

Godzilla X Kong: The New Empire MTC1 Saturday - 388657/1140879 6323934.01 6500 shows +234796

 

So it actually finished ahead of Friday. I would think that should be sufficient for a saturday increase. But other places probably under performed. Saturday ratios tend to be lower but this week it should be around the same as both days were almost the same. 

Will you be checking Sunday. If can do a quick run on Monkey Man ThU & FRi

[keysersoze123]

16 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Will you be checking Sunday. If can do a quick run on Monkey Man ThU & FRi

I was thinking of stopping as Sunday drop would be "normal" considering Easter but will update presales later. 

 

Will also look at Monkey Man. 

[keysersoze123]

On 3/21/2024 at 8:09 PM, keysersoze123 said:

Monkey Man MTC1

Previews - 6222/138521 116422.56 982 shows

Friday - 3782/243527 68875.02 1680 shows

 

This is as of the morning. I had to go out and so could not put it out. There is not much of a pace for this movie. around 200 tics per day for previews and 150-170 for Friday. Probably will not sell much until release week. Looking at @Shawn Robbins prediction above, seems bit too optimistic. That said I hope I am wrong and it finishes very strong and does over 20m OW. For now I would be happy with double digits OW. 

Monkey Man MTC1

Previews(T-5) - 11658/145589 213538.26 1023 shows

Friday - 8164/251322 146611.70 1730 shows

 

9 days after last update. Pace is up but still quite low.  Have to see how it ends. Its hard to extrapolate for small movies. Ratios are all over the pace and final week sales could end up meh as well. I hope it does do at high end of pro box office expectations(that did go down this week).