The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread

[Maaatt]

51 minutes ago, emoviefan said:

Finally a weekend maybe where the weekend thread is not a  going in circles conversation about the death of theatrical. Yeah one weekend is not a fix or sign of anything but at least a one week break from that talk until Bikeriders bombs.

oh don’t jinx it! I would of thought everyone there woulda been happy this last weekend, with the weeks big new release surging past tracking and opening about as high as you could hope for..  but then i briefly jumped in to check it out, was surprised by the pages and pages of comments that had been posted rather quickly and assumed it must of been people celebrating a much needed win for theater circuits only to see a discussion that was in actuality still filled with the dread and existential doom cycle loop we always see, this time the seeming instigator being Furiosa’s precipitous collapse.. i think? To be honest i stopped going back to see where it all was coming from but thats what i picked up from what i saw.

 

but yeah, i agree its a relief everyone tracking over here seems to keep seeing good signs. Fingers crossed it continues (Its also just a lot more fun to follow box office when movies bring in big numbers imo but maybe thats just me).

[Relevation]

On 5/15/2024 at 7:00 PM, Relevation said:

I think I've clocked what the presales pattern is gonna look like here

  Hide contents

 

Now hear me out, Barbie did not immediately start off looking like the nuclear $160M+ opening behemoth in terms of presales, and looking back at the old tracking thread, the Orlando comps for it only yielded $10-14M at the start of the window. Buuuuuut what Barbie did after is go on a nonstop tear of daily increases that turned those $10-14M comps into a monster $20-25M that even put something like a $180M+ debut into question heading into the final week. I think Inside Out 2 could be doing the same general thing, slightly soft start of $6-8M but then goes on a crazy run of successive increases that eventually get it to the $12-15M range I thought it was hitting at the start of the window. And this perspective kinda does work with Barbie and IO2 both being female skewing, younger properties without the built in fan rush of a Spider-Verse or Little Mermaid. 

 

Granted there are obviously holes in my theory, such as that the early comps for Barbie weren't the greatest (Oppy and ROTB lol), Barbie had the most insane marketing campaign ever, and expecting any movie to have the kind of huge run that Barbie did is a bold assumption to make. 

 

But I dunno, I feel like it could happen.

 

1 hour ago, TheFlatLannister said:

FLORIDA 

 

Inside Out 2

 

T-2

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
817	9613	163281	5.9%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

2004

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

125

 

COMPS

T-2

(3.673x) of Kung Fu panda 4 $13.96M

(1.712x) of Ghostbusters $8.05M

Comps average: $11.01M

 

Well, that went 0 to 100 real quick. Phenomenal pace and this is heading to a BIG final day 

 

I guess you could say, I had a pretty good box office theory

 

[emoviefan]

5 minutes ago, Maaatt said:

oh don’t jinx it! I would of thought everyone there woulda been happy this last weekend, with the weeks big new release surging past tracking and opening about as high as you could hope for..  but then i briefly jumped in to check it out, was surprised by the pages and pages of comments that had been posted rather quickly and assumed it must of been people celebrating a much needed win for theater circuits only to see a discussion that was in actuality still filled with the dread and existential doom cycle loop we always see, this time the seeming instigator being Furiosa’s precipitous collapse.. i think? To be honest i stopped going back to see where it all was coming from but thats what i picked up from what i saw.

 

but yeah, i agree its a relief everyone tracking over here seems to keep seeing good signs. Fingers crossed it continues (Its also just a lot more fun to follow box office when movies bring in big numbers imo but maybe thats just me).

Right there with you. Saturday morning I check the numbers. Bad Boys is doing well. I go see Bad Boys. After I check on here and it's like nope the same doom cycle loop and it's like can we just take a break from this. Seriously

[crazymoviekid]

23 hours ago, crazymoviekid said:

Inside Out 2: 

 

Thursday Comps: 

 

Theater 1: 34 Tickets

Theater 2: 96 Tickets

 

KFP4: $27.44M

Elemental: $11.56M

TLM: $7.98M

Minions 2: $8.03M

Lightyear: $9.14M

The Bad Guys: $13.59M

 

Feeling strong in $8M-$9M+.

Inside Out 2:

 

Thursday Comps: 

 

Theater 1: 50 Tickets
Theater 2: 112 Tickets

 

KFP4: $21.23M
Elemental: $12.54M
TLM: $8.75M
Minions 2: $8.33M
Lightyear: $10.41M
The Bad Guys: $16.94M

 

Still feeling strong in $8M-$9M+.

 

Friday Comps: 

 

Theater 1: 154 Tickets

Theater 2: 321 Tickets

 

KFP4: $62.99M

Elemental: $84.99M

TLM: $21.03M

Minions 2: $46.01M

Lightyear: $61.73M

The Bad Guys: $34.72M

 

Truly wide comps. Strong comps anywhere between $20M-$40M right now.

[Flip]

On 6/10/2024 at 11:12 PM, Flip said:

Inside Out 2 (T-3)

15 showtimes/442 tix sold (+98) stellar.

 

2.046x Bad Boys 4 T-3 [11.41m]

Friday (T-4): 16 showtimes/747 tix sold (+68) more growth is coming from Thursday since there are less seats available for Friday right now.

 

1.69x Thursday

 

encouraging that new showtimes got added to Thursday, but I’d hope they add new showtimes for Friday as well

 

A Quiet Place (T-17)

 

12 showtimes/143 tix sold (+6)

steady growth 

Inside Out 2 (T-2)

25 showtimes/518 tix sold (+76)

 

1.55x Bad Boys 4 T-2 [8.64m]

5.043x Garfield T-2 [9.71m] last day I took Garfield

a lot of new showtimes were added, but not a lot of sales came to fruition. I expect tomorrow to be a much bigger day of growth, if there’s 200 tickets sold I’d be happy.

Friday (T-3): 40 showtimes/943 tix sold (+146) 24 showtimes added is insane. A fair amount are empty, but if demand is there they’ll fill up soon.

 

1.82x Thursday

[abracadabra1998]

23 hours ago, abracadabra1998 said:

 

Minnesota Previews:

 

Inside Out 2 (T-3):

Day: T-3	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 24 theaters	241	348	1284	36444	3.52

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		543	133	42.29
MTC1:		522	119	40.65
Alamo:		0	0	0
Other chains:		762	229	59.35

 

Comps:

2.25x Kung Fu Panda 4: $8.54 Million (17 theaters)

2.18x Wonka: $7.65 Million (17 theaters)

6.48x Trolls 3: $8.42 Million (17 theaters)

2.54x Haunted Mansion (w/ EA): $7.86 Million (17 theaters)

 

Average: $8.12 Million

 

Like I said, removed the lower family comps that were starting to go a little wild. Just don't think this will replicate those walk-ups. Still going up against every comp, just really stellar last week pace!

 

Minnesota Previews:

 

Inside Out 2 (T-2):

Day: T-2	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 24 theaters	278	424	1708	39382	4.34

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		682	139	39.93
MTC1:		663	141	38.82
Alamo:		0	0	0
Other chains:		1045	283	61.18

 

Comps:

2.61x Kung Fu Panda 4: $9.94 Million (17 theaters)

2.57x Wonka: $8.99 Million (17 theaters)

6.94x Trolls 3: $9.02 Million (17 theaters)

3.08x Haunted Mansion (w/ EA): $9.55 Million (17 theaters)

 

Average: $9.38 Million

 

It is very likely that I will not be able to give an update tomorrow, and I will definitely not be able to post a T-1 Hour update on Thursday, so this might be it  

 

Anyways, I agree with @TheFlatLannister's analysis, the growth rate has been nuts this week. I would even go farther than him and say that there is a good chance this goes over $10 million for previews, and maybe into the 10.5-11 range. But again, this is fully based on the growth rate for my market, and not on anything else. Really awesome stuff!

[keysersoze123]

22 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

Inside Out 2 MTC1

Preview(T-3) - 55798/684259 1009942.13 3637 shows +10429

Friday - 80174/1164042 1365454.60 6239 shows +22105

 

Since the reactions came out so late, there is no impact to presales so far. That said Friday jump is uber strong. Let us see where things are tomorrow and final surge. Pace for previews ahead of Mermaid but real difference should be seen tomorrow. I would be surprised by sub 10m previews. I also strongly feel its true friday will be > 30m. Let us see where things on thursday before I extrapolate. For today I am seeing 110m+ OW. 

 

Edit: Grr got the friday increase wrong. 

Inside Out 2 MTC1

Previews(T-2) -  69725/750482 1246254.55 4152 shows +13927

Friday - 109479/1370875 1842437.22 7774 shows +29305

 

Solid but not a spectacular increase I would say. Still on course to the numbers I mentioned yesterday. 

[Rorschach]

23 hours ago, Rorschach said:

Inside Out 2 (Monday Night Outlook)

Cinemark Davenport 18 + IMAX

Thursday:

4 IMAX showings: 30/1,552

3 XD Showings: 1/714

2 3D showings: 4/220

16 2D showings: 128/1,547

Total: 163/4,033 (4% sold)

 

Comps:

IF: $7.13 mil

Garfield: $10.82 mil

Apes (w/o EA): $11.99 mil

Average: $9.98 mil

Average (minus Apes): $8.98 mil

 

Friday:

5 IMAX showings: 49/1,940

4 XD showings: 0/952

4 3D showings: 9/390

27 2D showings: 329/2,738

Total: 387/6,020 (6.4% sold)

 

Comps:

IF: $62.16 mil

Garfield: $78.38 mil

Apes): $66.2 mil

Average: $68.91 mil

Average (minus Apes): $70.27 mil

 

Thurs + Fri: 550/10,053 (5.5% sold)

 

Comps: 

IF: $60.99 mil

Garfield: $75.79 mil

Apes (w/o EA): $71.14 mil

Average: $69.31 mil

Average (minus Apes): $68.39 mil

 

These are not good comps at all, lol, but they're all I got so I can live with it. Threw Apes in the mix since that's the biggest film I've tracked so far and also, honestly, I just wanted to see how they compared in totals.

 

Gonna ignore the Friday/combined day comps for now, but the Thursday comps seem more in line with what everyone else is reporting (if I had to guess, $10M is a very likely outcome). And the fact that Friday already has that big of a jump is a very encouraging sign. Curious to see how this one finishes out. 

Inside Out 2 (Tuesday Night Outlook)

Cinemark Davenport 18 + IMAX

Thursday: 202/4,033 (5% sold) [+39]

4 IMAX showings: 33/1,552

3 XD Showings: 6/714

2 3D showings: 4/220

16 2D showings: 159/1,547

 

Comps:

IF: $7.21 mil

Garfield: $12.15 mil

Apes (w/o EA): $12.78 mil

Average: $10.71 mil

Average (minus Apes): $9.68 mil

 

Friday: 512/6,020 (8.5% sold) [+122]

5 IMAX showings: 55/1,940

4 XD showings: 9/952

4 3D showings: 21/390

27 2D showings: 427/2,738

 

Comps:

IF: $67.28 mil

Garfield: $82.95 mil

Apes: $64.28 mil

Average: $71.5 mil

Average (minus Apes): $75.12 mil

 

Thurs + Fri: 714/10,053 (7.1% sold) [+161]

 

Comps:

IF: $64.71 mil

Garfield: $83.36 mil

Apes (w/o EA): $72.34 mil

Average: $73.47 mil

Average (minus Apes): $74.04 mil

 

I messed up on counting yesterday, so if you're wondering why the new ticket sale numbers don't quite add up from my previous post, that's the reason. 

 

Anyway, this was a very great day of sales. At this point, Friday is gonna be massive if it keeps up these already extremely high bumps. $10M previews should be a lock. Guessing somewhere in the high 30s for the combined days, but that estimate should easily keep going up.

Edited June 12 by Rorschach

[charlie Jatinder]

23 hours ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Inside Out 2 MiniTC2 T-3 Days

 

Previews - 4015/64400 (250 showings)

 

Comps

Kung Fu Panda 4 - $20.4M

 

Haunted Mansion - $15.5M

Wonka - $16.1M

Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire - $13.1M

Minions 2 - $17.3M (inf. adj $18M)

Lightyear - $7.8M (inf. adj $8.2M)

 

Nearly every comp except Minions 2 increased. Tomorrow should be a big jump as well.

 

MiniTC2 over-index will be massive as it will likely end selling around Guardians of Galaxy Vol 3 and Quantumania range.

Inside Out 2 MiniTC2 T-2 Days

 

Previews - 5388/65468 (259 showings)

 

Comps

Kung Fu Panda 4 - $20.4M

 

Haunted Mansion - $14.7M

Wonka - $17.4M

Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire - $13.4M

Minions 2 - $14.9M (inf. adj $15.5M+)

Lightyear - $8.3M (inf. adj $9M)

[Porthos]

On 6/11/2024 at 12:58 AM, Porthos said:

 

Deadpool & Wolverine Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report:

T-45 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	240	28782	33627	4845	14.41%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

102

 

Approx Earned So Far (Sacto Market Based Comps)

		Final Sold	% of Final		$ So Far
MoM		21117	22.94%		8.26m
L&T		16962	28.56%		8.28m
BP2		16800	28.84%		8.08m
AM3		10475	46.25%		8.09m
GOTG3		10750	45.07%		7.89m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Deadpool & Wolverine's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Regal:     1066/12927  [8.25% sold]
Matinee:    265/4470  [5.93% | 5.47% of all tickets sold]
3D:            463/6801  [6.81% | 9.56% of all tickets sold]
PLF:       2591/11535  [22.46% | 53.48% of all tickets sold]
———    
CM EQUIV        95 seats sold today at equivalent sources of tracking
TROS EQUIV    95 seats sold today at equivalent sources of tracking

 

====

 

The famed Deadpool/P I X A R alliance strikes again! 

 

Deadpool & Wolverine Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report:

T-44 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	240	28715	33627	4912	14.61%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

67

 

Approx Earned So Far (Sacto Market Based Comps)

		Final Sold	% of Final		$ So Far
MoM		21117	23.26%		8.37m
L&T		16962	28.96%		8.40m
BP2		16800	29.24%		8.19m
AM3		10475	46.89%		8.21m
GOTG3		10750	45.69%		8.00m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Deadpool & Wolverine's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Regal:     1086/12927  [8.40% sold]
Matinee:    278/4470  [6.22% | 5.66% of all tickets sold]
3D:            4 70/6801  [6.91% | 9.57% of all tickets sold]
PLF:        2613/11535  [22.65% | 53.20% of all tickets sold]
———    
CM EQUIV        60 seats sold today at equivalent sources of tracking
TROS EQUIV    61 seats sold today at equivalent sources of tracking

[Porthos]

On 6/11/2024 at 12:59 AM, Porthos said:

 

Inside Out 2 Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-3 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	190	24910	27421	2511	9.16%

 

Total Showings Added Today	24
Total Seats Added Today	2655
Total Seats Sold Today	517

 

T-3 Comps

	%		Sold T-3	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
Sonic 2	154.05		269	1630		0/109	12800/14430	11.30%		3951	63.55%		9.63m
Lightyear	157.33		343	1596		0/147	16295/17891	8.92%		4091	61.38%		8.18m
Minion 2	131.81		488	1905		0/188	25737/27642	6.89%		6591	38.10%		14.17m
Element	471.99		98	532		—/—	9616/10148	5.24%		1910	131.47%		11.33m
Barbie	38.20		908	6573		1/180	19138/25711	25.56%		12077	20.79%		8.63m
Wonka	290.63		153	864		0/178	22996/23860	3.62%		1975	127.14%		10.17m
GBFE	256.22		134	980		0/193	26679/27659	3.54%		2197	114.29%		12.04m
KFP4	341.63		143	735		0/129	14221/14956	4.91%		2346	107.03%		12.98m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Inside Out 2's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Regal:       552/11180  [4.94% sold]
Matinee:    290/3183  [9.11% | 11.55% of all tickets sold]
3D:             172/4027  [4.27% | 6.85% of all tickets sold]
PLF:            981/9961  [9.85% | 39.07% of all tickets sold]

 

=======

Set a soft target of approx 500 tickets sold tonight, and wouldn't you know if it nicked right past it. 👍

Also, went ahead and added KFP4.  Actually had it last night, but forgot to add it.  For the record, last night it comped at 12.8m, so it actually rose a small amount.  Not that I expect that to continue, but a good sign nonetheless.

 

Really, it might be the ATP which turns out to be the true wild card here.  Just how many kids tickets will be bought relative to other flicks?  No idea.  Suppose we'll find out when the comps come out at the end.

 

Inside Out 2 Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-2 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	239	28314	31492	3178	10.09%

 

Total Showings Added Today	49
Total Seats Added Today	4071
Total Seats Sold Today	667

 

T-2 Comps

	%		Sold T-2	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
Sonic 2	151.62		466	2096		0/119	13278/15374	13.63%		3951	80.44%		9.48m
Lightyear	156.09		440	2036		1/186	19987/22023	9.24%		4091	77.68%		8.12m
Minion 2	116.24		829	2734		0/214	27446/30180	9.06%		6591	48.22%		12.50m
Element	472.21		141	673		—/—	10107/10780	6.24%		1910	166.39%		11.33m
Barbie	41.73		1043	7616		0/244	19827/27443	27.75%		12077	26.31%		9.43m
Wonka	310.65		159	1023		0/208	25561/26584	3.85%		1975	160.91%		10.87m
GBFE	264.17		223	1203		0/201	27252/28455	4.23%		2197	144.65%		12.42m
KFP4	353.50		164	899		0/166	17064/17963	5.00%		2346	135.46%		13.43m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Inside Out 2's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Regal:       762/11180  [6.82% sold]
Matinee:    374/3183  [11.75% | 11.77% of all tickets sold]
3D:             196/4124  [4.75% | 6.17% of all tickets sold]
PLF:       1209/10535  [11.48% | 38.04% of all tickets sold]

Edited June 12 by Porthos

[todos]

.

Edited June 12 by todos

[Grand Cine]

3 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

Inside Out 2 MTC1

Previews(T-2) -  69725/750482 1246254.55 4152 shows +13927

Friday - 109479/1370875 1842437.22 7774 shows +29305

 

Solid but not a spectacular increase I would say. Still on course to the numbers I mentioned yesterday. 

The last day was ahead TLM :

 

Previews(T-2) - 88564/954614 1489196.42 5868 shows +11670

Friday - 121060/1202810 1945155.10 6943 shows +23236

 

Maybe tomorrow with the end of embargo , the jump will be much higher ( same for tomorrow) but i think about 9-9,5M for previews.

For Friday, i think he will make more than 30M , maybe 31-32M True Friday . I think 110M OW will happen maybe 115M if reception is really great .

 

 

 

 

[vafrow]

On 6/11/2024 at 6:29 AM, vafrow said:

 

Inside Out 2, T-3 Thursday previews, western GTA (southern Ontario)

 

Total Sales: 198

New Sales: 41

Growth: 26%

Theatres tracked: MTC4

Total theatres: 5

Showtimes: 25

Radius: 19 km

Tickets per showtime: 8.3

Ticket premium in effect: Y

 

Sales by Showtime 

Late Afternoon: 43/6

Early Evening: 105/10

Late Evening: 50/9

 

Sales by Format 

Dolby: 26/1

Dolby 3D: 91/6

IMAX: 41/6

VIP: 32/4

Regular: 6/1

Regular 3D: 0/5

4DX 3D:2/2

 

 Comps

0.695x KFP4 for $2.6M

10.421x IF for $18.2M

18.000x Garfield for $34.2M

2.225x GB:FE for $10.5M

2.200x Wonka for $7.7M

Average: $14.6M

 

Acceleration continues. I wouldn't have minded seeing it a bit higher, but as mentioned in some other posts yesterday, schools are still open here for another few weeks. It's harder for families to get out on Thursdays. It looks like there's positive early reactions, so maybe that triggers a review bump as well.

 

Inside Out 2, T-2 Thursday previews, western GTA (southern Ontario)

 

Total Sales: 225

New Sales: 27

Growth: 14%

Theatres tracked: MTC4

Total theatres: 5

Showtimes: 25

Radius: 19 km

Tickets per showtime: 9.4

Ticket premium in effect: Y

 

Sales by Showtime 

Late Afternoon: 46/6

Early Evening: 116/10

Late Evening: 63/9

 

Sales by Format 

Dolby: 27/1

Dolby 3D: 103/6

IMAX: 45/6

VIP: 41/4

Regular: 8/1

Regular 3D: 0/5

4DX 3D:2/2

 

 Comps

0.678x KFP4 for $2.6M

11.842x IF for $20.7M

12.500x Garfield for $23.8M

2.273x GB:FE for $10.7M

1.891x Wonka for $6.6M

Average: $12.5M

 

Rate of growth declined surprisingly, but it actually didn't drop much against comps.

 

My theory is that Tuesday evenings ere when the full weekend showtimes go up. And in the case of family films, it's usually opening up more lower cost regular showings.

 

For Thursday, there's only one regular showing, and it's a matinee. Pretty much everyone seeing it on Thursday is having to pay a premium. But as the weekend shows go up, there's a lot of regular priced screenings available, so some of the demand is being pushed there now that those options are available. At least that's my theory. When I have time, I might go back and check growth patterns across films in the final week to see if the Wednesday update does see a bit of a retreat.

[el sid]

Twisters, counted yesterday for Thursday, July 18, had 265 sold tickets. 

Up decent 43% since my second counting 4 days ago. 

37 days left.

 

Comps (all counted for Thursday): Uncharted (3.7M from previews) had with 15 days left 454 sold tickets,

Moonfall (700k) had with 3 days left 582 sold tickets, 

and Civil War (2.6M) had also with 3 days left 826 sold tickets. 

 

I said that almost nothing happened after the first 1-2 days on sale but that's an ok pace now in my theaters (especially with more than a month left). 

[Eric is Quiet]

Quorum Updates

A Quiet Place: Day One T-16: 42.33% Awareness, 49.67% Interest

Despicable Me 4 T-21: 64.67% Awareness, 59.06% Interest

MaXXXine T-23: 18.94% Awareness, 33.72% Interest

Deadpool & Wolverine T-44: 61.36% Awareness, 65.65% Interest

Killer's Game T-93: 15.92% Awareness, 42.5% Interest

Speak No Evil T-93: 21.54% Awareness, 46.03% Interest

Never Let Go T-107: 17.36% Awareness, 40.66% Interest

Piece by Piece T-121: 14.23% Awareness, 31.2% Interest

Wicked T-168: 41.34% Awareness, 45.48% Interest

 

Inside Out 2 T-2: 62.69% Awareness, 55.24% Interest

Final Awareness: 100% chance of 20M, 89% chance of 30M, 86% chance of 40M, 74% chance of 50M, 55% chance of 60M, 44% chance of 70M, 33% chance of 80M, 26% chance of 100M

Animation/Family Awareness: 100% chance of 20M, 83% chance of 50M, 50% chance of 70M, 33% chance of 100M

Final Interest: 79% chance of 20M, 60% chance of 30M, 46% chance of 40M, 33% chance of 50M, 22% chance of 60M, 16% chance of 70M, 14% chance of 80M, 11% chance of 90M, 8% chance of 100M

Animation/Family Interest: 100% chance of 20M, 86% chance of 30M, 71% chance of 50M, 43% chance of 90M, 29% chance of 100M

[Flip]

Horizon tickets are on sale. As of right now it doesn’t look like the release will be that wide

[Shawn Robbins]

Final BOT tracking and forecast for IO2... finally starting to feel like summer.

 

https://boxofficetheory.com/weekend-forecast-disney-and-pixars-inside-out-2-late-tracking-accelerates-pacing-for-likely-100-million-domestic-launch/

 

https://boxofficetheory.substack.com/

[AniNate]

One of the trades finally entertaining the likelihood of it

 

‘Inside Out 2’ Has Shot at the First $100 Million Box Office Opening in 11 Months (thewrap.com)

[discussingnotfilms]

16 hours ago, emoviefan said:

Finally a weekend maybe where the weekend thread is not a  going in circles conversation about the death of theatrical. Yeah one weekend is not a fix or sign of anything but at least a one week break from that talk until Bikeriders bombs.

Is The Bikeriders looking that bad???