The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread

[jeffthehat]

22 hours ago, jeffthehat said:

Indiana Lite

A Quiet Place: Day One Sat T-0 

Sales	Seats	Shows
1856	24891	132

TC=10, pulled 10 AM EST

Comps

1.01x AQP D1 Fri T-0 = $15.9m

0.84x Bad Boys 4 Sat T-0 = $16.3m

0.86x Kingdom Apes Sat T-0 = $17.3m

 

AVG = $16.49m

Indiana Lite

A Quiet Place: Day One Sun T-0 

Sales	Seats	Shows
1210	24977	131

TC=10, pulled 10 AM EST

Comps

0.66x AQP D1 Fri T-0 = $10.3m

0.66x AQP D1 Sat T-0 = $10.7m

0.73x Kingdom Apes Sun T-0 = $11.8m

 

AVG = $10.96m

[emoviefan]

2 hours ago, filmlover said:

Twisters is likely going to depend on reviews. If they're weak then underperformer incoming.

Yeah I think this is a wait and see movie for most people. Plus I still feel this movie appeals to a audience that does not feel the need to rush out weeks in advance to secure their tickets. The Qurom metrics are better for this than they ever were for The Fall Guy and Furiosa. The interest seems to be there. Having said that it would be nice to see some positive improvement from the trackers here.

[filmlover]

Just now, emoviefan said:

Yeah I think this is a wait and see movie for most people. Plus I still feel this movie appeals to a audience that does not feel the need to rush out weeks in advance to secure their tickets. The Qurom metrics are better for this than they ever were for The Fall Guy and Furiosa. The interest seems to be there. Having said that it would be nice to see some positive improvement from the trackers here.

I mean, I don't think it was ever in doubt that this would open higher than those two. Question is whether it reaches the low end ($40M) or the high end ($55M) of tracking.

[emoviefan]

1 minute ago, filmlover said:

I mean, I don't think it was ever in doubt that this would open higher than those two. Question is whether it reaches the low end ($40M) or the high end ($55M) of tracking.

Yeah but I have seem some people saying this feels like a another Fall Guy where the interest is just not there and some of us are trying to wish it true and deny that fact.

[keysersoze123]

On 6/28/2024 at 10:49 PM, keysersoze123 said:

Despicable Me 4 MTC1 Wednesday(T-5) - 43618/1175114 716128.41 6320 shows  +8358

Despicable Me 4 MTC1 Wednesday(T-5) - 42987/1161405 701780.20  6245 shows +7727

Midnight shows - 633/13709 14386.19 75 shows

 

1st it does have few midnight shows but its not going make a big difference. On Wednesday it does jump a bit. let us see how next 2 days goes. I may have been too low but will wait until Sunday night to update my predictions. 

 

Edit: midnight shows were also wrongly included in OD BO. 

Despicable Me 4 MTC1 Wednesday(T-4) - 51627/1162737 842080.80 6259 shows +8640

Midnight Shows - 784/13597 17892.14 75 shows +151

 

Mario sold 14753 tickets at T-4 was just under 125K. Can DM4 double its sales today?

[Flopped]

How is Maxxxine looking? It's not a good movie but I'm still rooting for it. 

[Caption Action 3]

New here. Am an advocate for open captions (on-screen subtitles). Finally joined here because it was recommended on the BoxOffice Reddit. Would like to share data on open caption pre-sales for selected films, but don't know if it should be done here in this existing thread, or if a new, separate thread needs to be created. It is different and the data won't be as good as the data posted here by others, but it is still data. In our opinion, open caption presales can be a fairly good indicator of how well a film will do, because open caption screenings are almost never in prime time, AND open caption screenings are limited. So if people are buying tickets to open caption screenings in advance, that means they REALLY want to see the film.  (It can also mean that non-captioned screenings sold out and the next best option was the open caption screenings.) Below is an example of the last tracking we did, for a religious event film called "Jesus" that was entirely in sign language with open captions. Over time, we have found that when the open caption ticket to screentime ratio gets to 5 or higher, that's an indication that the film will do very well at the box office. The example below is only meant to provide an example of our tracking techniques and data.

 

# of Tickets/# of Markets	22,234	47	473.06
# of tickets/#of theaters	22,234	281	79.12
#of tickets/#of screen times	22,234	653	34.05
# of Zero solds/# of screen times	39	653	0.06

[Caption Action 3]

xxxx

 

Edited Sunday at 07:37 PM by Caption Action 3
Trying to delete accidental post

[keysersoze123]

On 6/28/2024 at 3:00 PM, keysersoze123 said:

Maxxxine MTC1

Early shows(7/3) - 7917/39650 120221.99 348 shows +1962

OD(7/5) - 8886/153870 126404.22 1595 shows +2402

 

3 days plus update. Its doing ok. @charlie Jatinder

Maxxxine MTC1

Early shows(7/3) - 9074/39650 136575.80 348 shows +1157

Friday  - 10840/157396 154131.96 1621 shows +1956

 

I think its at least doing better than Horizon. With a holiday OW, I think double digit OW should happen. 

[filmlover]

Maxxxine is actually selling well (both for the early Wednesday preview and for Friday) near me too. The combined totals of X and Pearl is $21M, so surpassing that mark would confirm those movies developed a considerable following on streaming (which is how I saw those movies, will be seeing this one in theaters).

[emoviefan]

So BB ROD really seems to be up and down whether it has a shot at 200 DOM. . 35  million away and the weekday numbers are down to the1-1.5 area.. Although it does not seem to have much competition and should hold well this holiday week and weekend so still possible. It would be nice for it not to be another KFP or GXK and crap out at 195 or so.

[Flip]

On 6/28/2024 at 5:19 PM, Flip said:

Twisters (T-20) 5 days of sales

 

14 showtimes/59 tix sold (+11)

 

still hasn’t reached AQP’s first day of sales yet, but I think it’s slowly starting to accelerate

Twisters (T-18) 

 

14 showtimes/63 tix sold (+4)

 

Meh

[VanillaSkies]

1 hour ago, keysersoze123 said:

Maxxxine MTC1

Early shows(7/3) - 9074/39650 136575.80 348 shows +1157

Friday  - 10840/157396 154131.96 1621 shows +1956

 

I think its at least doing better than Horizon. With a holiday OW, I think double digit OW should happen. 

interestingly, at MTC4, it’s not having any Wednesday previews, but is having regular Thursday night showtimes. I guess because no one is celebrating July 4th here. But just begs the question, why not have Thursday previews everywhere for those interested in going? 

[keysersoze123]

10 minutes ago, VanillaSkies said:

interestingly, at MTC4, it’s not having any Wednesday previews, but is having regular Thursday night showtimes. I guess because no one is celebrating July 4th here. But just begs the question, why not have Thursday previews everywhere for those interested in going? 

July 4 is not an optimal day for BO and that is why they are directly doing full day shows on Friday. Early shows(I see multiple days of them depending on the TC) are used to build WOM. 

[emoviefan]

14 minutes ago, Flip said:

Twisters (T-18) 

 

14 showtimes/63 tix sold (+4)

 

Meh

Not worrying about this until  July 15 and after. 

[Flopped]

Is there any data on Lion King 1994's July 12th release? 

[keysersoze123]

8 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

Despicable Me 4 MTC1 Wednesday(T-4) - 51627/1162737 842080.80 6259 shows +8640

Midnight Shows - 784/13597 17892.14 75 shows +151

 

Mario sold 14753 tickets at T-4 was just under 125K. Can DM4 double its sales today?

I wanted to see how rest of the week is looking

 

Despicable Me MTC1

Thursday - 25932/1083833 375229.18 5738 shows

Friday - 17115/1105283 275287.19 5830 shows

Saturday - 13992/1089762 214632.00 5737 shows

 

Looks meh to me. 

[YM!]

1 hour ago, keysersoze123 said:

I wanted to see how rest of the week is looking

 

Despicable Me MTC1

Thursday - 25932/1083833 375229.18 5738 shows

Friday - 17115/1105283 275287.19 5830 shows

Saturday - 13992/1089762 214632.00 5737 shows

 

Looks meh to me. 

What kind of five day do you think for this movie?

[Caption Action 3]

Early open caption data for "Despicable Me 4."  So far, looks meh.

 

New York City

# of tickets/#of theaters		320	22	14.55
#of tickets/#of screen times		320	72	4.44
# of Zero solds/# of screentimes		28	72	0.39

[keysersoze123]

17 minutes ago, YM! said:

What kind of five day do you think for this movie?

I want to wait and see how Sunday pace is for OD. Its not pulling a Mario for sure in terms of OD to OW multi.