The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread

[JWR]

How do these numbers for Romulus compare to where Covenant was back in 2017?

[Jerri Blank-Diggler]

6 hours ago, Ryan C said:

 

Alien: Romulus

 

T-5

 

Thursday: 3,018 Seats Sold (Including EA Showings)

 

Taken as of 2:55AM Eastern Time

 

IMPORTANT NOTES: Much like last time, word-of-mouth will be key in determing how high this goes, but if some of the early reactions I hear are any indication or if what Disney is doing with the marketing (just brilliant), this could be the jolt that this franchise has been waiting for after so many decades. 

 

I'm not gonna go too crazy, but I still believe a $50M+ opening is possible if everything goes right this next week. 

 

Thanks for all the tracking data. Your diligent work is appreciated! I may have missed it before, but where are your tracked theaters? I'm interested to know which region(s) you're covering and whether your theaters span urban, suburban, large/small markets, etc. Cheers!

Edited August 10 by Jerri Blank-Diggler

[jeffthehat]

On 8/9/2024 at 7:13 AM, jeffthehat said:

Indiana Lite

It Ends With Us Fri T-0                                                                                               

Sales	Seats	Shows
3464	15007	94

TC=10, pulled 7am EST

Comps

0.93x Twisters Fri T-0 = $20.7m

3.42x Furiosa Fri T-0 = $23.6m

 

AVG = $22.10m

Adj AVG = $16.58m*

*avg reduced 25% to account for low ATP 

Indiana Lite

It Ends With Us Sat T-0                                                                                               

Sales	Seats	Shows
2825	17280	117

TC=10, pulled 7am EST

Comps

0.82x It Ends with Us Fri T-0 = $12.6m

2.44x Furiosa Sat T-0 = $15.3m*

 

AVG = $13.95m

*reduced 25% to account for low ATP 

 

Using $15.5m for IEWU Friday

[Flip]

On 8/6/2024 at 11:51 PM, Flip said:

Alien: Romulus (T-9) 5 days of sales 

 

10 showtimes/122 tix sold (+39)

 

.60x A Quiet Place D1 (T-10) [4.08m]

1.01x Trap (T-10) [2.22m]

.92x Longlegs (T-10) [2.76m]
 

none of these films had particularly good finishes so I’d expect the comps to rise over time but this is looking like more of a 30-40m opener than 50m+

Alien: Romulus (T-6) 3 days of sales 

 

10 showtimes/177 tix sold (+55)

 

Missed A Quiet Place D1 (T-6) []

.97x Trap (T-6) [2.13m]

Missed Longlegs (T-6) []
4.78x Borderlands (T-6) [6.21m]

[Flip]

On 8/6/2024 at 11:58 PM, Flip said:

Beetlejuice 2 Previews Second Day (T-30)

 

21 showtimes/99 tix sold (+6)

 

1.19x AQP Day One Second day [8.09m]
6.19x Alien: Romulus (T-30) [???]

1.74x Trap D2  (T-15) [3.83m]

.08x Deadpool 3 (T-30)  [3.08m]

 

Going to see how it’s doing in a few days, will give a better sense of how much fan rush there is.

Beetlejuice 2 Previews (T-27) 3 days of sales

 

21 showtimes/114 tix sold (+15)

 

1.37x AQP Day One (T-27) [9.32m]
6.71x Alien: Romulus (T-27) [???]

 

growing decently for 4 weeks out, I think the Quiet Place comp will come down closer to 1x over the next week.

[Flip]

10 hours ago, Flip said:

Alien: Romulus (T-6) 3 days of sales 

 

10 showtimes/177 tix sold (+55)

 

Missed A Quiet Place D1 (T-6) []

.97x Trap (T-6) [2.13m]

Missed Longlegs (T-6) []
4.78x Borderlands (T-6) [6.21m]

Alien: Romulus (T-5) 

 

10 showtimes/201 tix sold (+24)

 

Missed A Quiet Place D1 (T-5) []

.83x It Ends With Us (T-5) [5.60m]

.95x Longlegs (T-5) [2.85m]
4.67x Borderlands (T-5) [6.07m]
 

still see it heading for 5-6m previews, pace is standard

[Flip]

10 hours ago, Flip said:

Beetlejuice 2 Previews (T-27) 3 days of sales

 

21 showtimes/114 tix sold (+15)

 

1.37x AQP Day One (T-27) [9.32m]
6.71x Alien: Romulus (T-27) [???]

 

growing decently for 4 weeks out, I think the Quiet Place comp will come down closer to 1x over the next week.

Beetlejuice 2 Previews (T-26) 

 

21 showtimes/123 tix sold (+9)

 

missed AQP Day One (T-26) []
5.86x Alien: Romulus (T-26) [???]

[Caption Action 3]

Yesterday (Saturday) tracked open caption sales for two new films (It Ends with Us and Cuckoo) and one old (Inside Out 2). Didn't bother with either Harold or Borderlands. Here's the summary tables and actual data. There were no zero solds. Does anyone know of a resource for auditorium size? We would like to start adding data on percent of seats sold but to do that efficiently, need auditorium size so we can have more accurate data - manual counting risks errors, especially with big auditoriums.

 

Summary

OC IT Ends with Us
# of Tickets/# of Markets		75	3	25.00
# of tickets/#of theaters		75	3	25.00
#of tickets/#of screen times		75	3	25.00
# of zero sold/#of screen times		0	3	0.00
OC Cuckoo
# of Tickets/# of Markets		18	2	9.00
# of tickets/#of theaters		18	2	9.00
#of tickets/#of screen times		18	2	9.00
# of zero sold/#of screen times		0	2	0.00
OC Inside Out 2
# of Tickets/# of Markets		270	13	20.77
# of tickets/#of theaters		270	13	20.77
#of tickets/#of screen times		270	13	20.77
# of zero sold/#of screen times		0	13	0.00

 

Actual Data

 

Movie	Market	Theater	Time	# of OC seats sold	# of non-OC screenings
Inside Out 2	Bellevue (WA)	Cinemark Lincoln Square	2:00 PM	26	5
Inside Out 2	Fairfax (VA)	Cinemark Fairfax Corner	3:00 PM	23	5
Inside Out 2	Fort Collins (CO)	Cinemark Fort Collins	2:00 PM	34	4
It Ends with Us	Fullerton (CA)	AMC Dine-in Fullerton	1:00 PM	26	20
Inside Out 2	Lakewood (CO)	Cinemark Century 16 Bel Mar	6:00 PM	36	5
It Ends with Us	Manteca (CA)	AMC Manteca	1:00 PM	15	18
Cuckoo	Manteca (CA)	AMC Manteca	12:45 PM	4	5
Inside Out 2	New York 1 (NY)	AMC Bay Terrrace	12:15 PM	37	3
Inside Out 2	New York 2 (NY)	AMC Bay Plaza	11:50 AM	16	4
Inside Out 2	New York 3 (NY)	AMC 34th Street	1:00 PM	19	3
Inside Out 2	New York 4 (NY)	AMC Empire	1:00 PM	8	5
Inside Out 2	New York 5 (NY)	AMC Kips Bay	12:35 PM	4	4
Inside Out 2	New York 6 (NY)	AMC Lincoln Square	1:00 PM	9	3
Inside Out 2	New York 7 (NY)	AMC Magic Johnson Harlem	7:30 PM	28	4
It Ends with Us	Newark (CA)	AMC Newpark	12:50 PM	34	5
Inside Out 2	Pueblo (CO)	Cinemark Tinseltown Pueblo	2:10 PM	16	5
Cuckoo	San Francisco (CA)	AMC Metreon	2:00 PM	14	4
Inside Out 2	Staten Island (NY)	AMC Dine-in Staten Island	11:30 AM	14	1

[vafrow]

On 8/9/2024 at 7:02 AM, vafrow said:

 

Alien Romulus, Thursday Previews, T-7, Western GTA (southern Ontario)

 

Total Sales: 161

New Sales: 19

Growth: 13%

Theatres tracked: MTC4 

Theatres: 4

Showtimes: 18

Radius: 19km

Tickets per Showtime: 8.9

Ticket Premium in effect: Y

 

Tickets per showtime 

Late Afternoon: 13/6

Early Evening: 111/6

Late Evening: 37/6

 

Tickets by Format:

Regular: 8/3

Dolby: 0/3

VIP: 71/6

IMAX: 82/6

 

Comps

3.744x AQP:D1 for $25.5M*

2.147x KOTPOTA for $10.7M

1.626x Furiosa for $5.7M

2.786x BB:RoD for $16.3M

 

Average: $17.5M

 

  I had an error in the AQP as I still had it on D comps rather than T minus. Interestingly, Romulus has sold more than what AQP had at T-1. 

 

Still doing well, and without that incorrect comp, it's back to pointing higher than most. It's still declining, but not that quickly, and this is still showing good daily growth.

 

Alien Romulus, Thursday Previews, T-5, Western GTA (southern Ontario)

 

Total Sales: 177

New Sales since T-7: 16

Growth: 9%

Theatres tracked: MTC4 

Theatres: 4

Showtimes: 18

Radius: 19km

Tickets per Showtime: 9.8

Ticket Premium in effect: Y

 

Tickets per showtime 

Late Afternoon: 13/6

Early Evening: 123/6

Late Evening: 41/6

 

Tickets by Format:

Regular: 10/3

Dolby: 2/3

VIP: 73/6

IMAX: 92/6

 

Comps

2.603x AQP:D1 for $17.7M

1.770x KOTPOTA for $8.9M

1.595x Furiosa for $5.6M

2.723x BB:RoD for $16.0M

 

Average: $16.0M

 

Still fairly tepid growth. Not sure when reviews drop. That's probably the next trigger.

[katnisscinnaplex]

On 8/10/2024 at 8:08 AM, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Alien Romulus	T-5	Jax	5	39	18	377	7,073	5.33%
		Phx	7	32	57	420	5,961	7.05%
		Ral	8	40	21	226	5,622	4.02%
	Total		20	111	96	1,023	18,656	5.48%

 

Alien Romulus T-5 adjusted comps

 - Scream VI - 1.05x (6.36m)

 - Nope - 1.63x (10.67m)

 - Halloween Ends - missed

 - Godzilla x Kong - 1.04x (9.34m)

 - Morbius - 1.14x (6.67m)

 - Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire - 1.82x (8.01m)

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Alien Romulus	T-4	Jax	5	39	42	419	7,073	5.92%
		Phx	7	37	40	460	6,503	7.07%
		Ral	8	40	24	250	5,622	4.45%
	Total		20	116	106	1,129	19,198	5.88%

 

Alien Romulus T-4 adjusted comps

 - Scream VI - 1.075x (6.5m)

 - Nope - 1.58x (10.37m)

 - Halloween Ends - missed

 - Godzilla x Kong - 1.03x (9.3m)

 - Morbius - 1.149x (6.7m)

 - Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire - 1.68x (7.39m)

 - TMNT (Total) - .922x (5.48m)

 

Size adjusted comps - 6.73m

[Tinalera]

Alien Romulus 

Vancouver and Calgary Canada

Thur Aug 15 Fri Aug 16 (T-5)

 

		# theatre	#show	Seats Sold	Seats Rem	Ttl seat	Percent	added shows
Vancouver	Thurs	3	9	240	1309	1549	0.1549	4
	Fri	2	7	143	1219	1446	0.0988	1
		# theatre	#show	Seats Sold	Seats Rem	Ttl seat	Percent
Calgary	Thurs	4	12	205	2085	2290	0.0895	3
	Fri	4	18	246	2572	2818	0.0872	3

 

 

Thinking right now people are A either waiting for more Imax and prestige screens to come up later in week, or B after Deadpool Wolverine might be thats what many spent their money on. 

 

Have to also think theres a wait and see from Alien fans in regards to WOM as to how this received before putting down some money.

[Boxofficerules]

When do Alien reviews drop?

[DAJK]

I’m hearing rumblings about how good Romulus is. Pace has been meh for presales but the actual numbers themselves are quite good. Wouldn’t be surprised with 6-7M previews and 50 weekend at this point.

[XXRDJisDoctorDoom]

Is Beetlejuice doing anything interesting? I’ve seen some loud parties saying it will challenge IT’s September OW record. Unless I’m missing something, it doesn’t seem to be near that?

[VanillaSkies]

Coraline 15th Anniversary in 3D seems to be doing quite well in pre-sales for this upcoming weekend. I could definitely see a bunch more showtimes added. It would be funny to see this out open Harold, though I think that’s a little too much to ask for a re-release.

[AniNate]

4 hours ago, Boxofficerules said:

When do Alien reviews drop?

Wednesday at 3 ET . Disney embargo lifts have been standardized this year

[AniNate]

4 hours ago, XXRDJisDoctorDoom said:

Is Beetlejuice doing anything interesting? I’ve seen some loud parties saying it will challenge IT’s September OW record. Unless I’m missing something, it doesn’t seem to be near that?

 

I think they're hoping for Twisters level walkups

[Caption Action 3]

Sunday data for open caption screenings. Inside Out 2, It ends with us, Cuckoo, and Deadpool & Wolverine. No zero solds, though one Cuckoo screening almost had a zero sold. Open captions definitely doing well for Cinemark. IO2 definitely has good legs, and D&W is showing signs of having good legs too. Jury still out on It Ends with Us. Cuckoo kind of weak but not the disaster that Borderlands and Harold are.

 

Summary:

Inside Out 2 – OC Sunday
# of Tickets/# of Markets		109	6	18.17
# of tickets/#of theaters		109	6	18.17
#of tickets/#of screen times		109	6	18.17
# of zero sold/#of screen times		0	6	0.00
It Ends with Us – OC Sunday
# of Tickets/# of Markets		178	7	25.43
# of tickets/#of theaters		178	7	25.43
#of tickets/#of screen times		178	7	25.43
# of zero sold/#of screen times		0	7	0.00
Cuckoo – OC Sunday
# of Tickets/# of Markets		21	4	5.25
# of tickets/#of theaters		21	4	5.25
#of tickets/#of screen times		21	4	5.25
# of zero sold/#of screen times		0	4	0.00
D&W – OC Sunday
# of Tickets/# of Markets		185	7	26.43
# of tickets/#of theaters		185	7	26.43
#of tickets/#of screen times		185	7	26.43
# of zero sold/#of screen times		0	7	0.00

 

Actual data:

 

Market	Theater	Time	# of OC seats sold	# of non-OC screenings
Aurora (CO)
	Cinemark Century Aurora	4:15 PM	32	4
		4:00 PM	18	10
		2:25 PM	1	4
		2:55 PM	16	22
Bridgeport (WV)
	Cinemark Meadowbrook	3:25 PM	17	9
		4:10 PM	10	8
Centreville (VA)
	Cinemark Centreville	3:55 PM	5	4
		12:20 PM	10	9
		1:10 PM	8	18
Colorado Springs (CO)
	Cinemark Carefree Circle	4:45 PM	12	5
		3:40 PM	55	11
		3:50 PM	62	22
		5:05 PM	5	5
Greeley (CO)
	Cinemark Greeley Mall	1:40 PM	6	4
		3:30 PM	31	10
		4:05 PM	33	13
		2:35 PM	6	5
Hanover (MD)
	Cinemark Egyptian	2:15 PM	28	6
		12:25 PM	3	20
		1:10 PM	26	34
		2:25 PM	9	5
Kirkland (WA)
	Cinemark Totem Lake Kirkland	12:50 PM	26	3
		3:40 PM	44	6
		12:10 PM	30	8

[Cmasterclay]

Buzz for Beetlejuice has been absolutely off the chain since the announcement in my circles so I gotta admit that I'm expecting at least 100m and am disappointed in sales thus far. Maybe I hang out with too many goth theater kids.

[vafrow]

21 hours ago, vafrow said:

 

Alien Romulus, Thursday Previews, T-5, Western GTA (southern Ontario)

 

Total Sales: 177

New Sales since T-7: 16

Growth: 9%

Theatres tracked: MTC4 

Theatres: 4

Showtimes: 18

Radius: 19km

Tickets per Showtime: 9.8

Ticket Premium in effect: Y

 

Tickets per showtime 

Late Afternoon: 13/6

Early Evening: 123/6

Late Evening: 41/6

 

Tickets by Format:

Regular: 10/3

Dolby: 2/3

VIP: 73/6

IMAX: 92/6

 

Comps

2.603x AQP:D1 for $17.7M

1.770x KOTPOTA for $8.9M

1.595x Furiosa for $5.6M

2.723x BB:RoD for $16.0M

 

Average: $16.0M

 

Still fairly tepid growth. Not sure when reviews drop. That's probably the next trigger.

 

Alien Romulus, Thursday Previews, T-5l4, Western GTA (southern Ontario)

 

Total Sales: 204

New Sales: 27

Growth: 15%

Theatres tracked: MTC4 

Theatres: 4

Showtimes: 18

Radius: 19km

Tickets per Showtime: 9.8

Ticket Premium in effect: Y

 

Tickets per showtime 

Late Afternoon: 17/6

Early Evening: 139/6

Late Evening: 48/6

 

Tickets by Format:

Regular: 14/3

Dolby: 4/3

VIP: 88/6

IMAX: 98/6

 

Comps

2.649x AQP:D1 for $18.0M

1.821x KOTPOTA for $9.1M

1.645x Furiosa for $5.8M

2.458x BB:RoD for $14.4M

 

Average: $13.9M

 

It stayed pace with comps despite being well ahead. We'll see if that holds this week.