National Cinema Day Draw 8.5m admission | GT $17.4m | Barbie $15.1m | BB: $12.2m | Oppy: $8.2m | TMNT: $6.1m | Meg2: $4.8m

[noobmaster69]

1 hour ago, Issac Newton said:

-	(-)	The Little Mermaid	Walt Disney	$90,000	+6,146%	+910%	1,600	$56	$297,335,905	92
-	(-)	The Super Mario Bros. Movie	Universal	$62,000	+5,562%	+1,427%	1,451	$43	$574,329,790

Average of single digits audience per show, that means many shows cant sold anything.

[Borobudur]

Is it just me or the Friday number doesn't look like there are significant demand shift from Friday to Sunday.

[filmlover]

Super Mario and Little Mermaid are only being shown in the early afternoon when people are at school/work everywhere around me so it's zero surprise they made next to nothing yesterday.

[Issac Newton]

Warner Bros is still having a really big problem with Sony stuffing their weekend with an extra $3.9M of previews (when you back out Thursday’s $1.4M) on Gran Turismo, for in their eyes, no studio has ever done that before with an extensive string of previews. Why is Warners so upset? Because then that would mean Barbie is No. 1, and she’d be able to count five weekends at No. 1. Many have stuffed their opening weekends with advance previews, and rivals perceive this as common practice, because they’ve done it before (and they don’t want to upset or reverse what’s been a common practice). That’s why some aren’t calling B.S. on Sony. More to the point, Sony isn’t making these ticket sales up: They’re right there in Comscore with the preview cash included in Friday. They were also upfront in the press that they were holding advance previews for Gran Turismo. This isn’t a scenario of Angels Studios and Sound of Freedom, which many perceive its $180.5M running domestic cume to be over re-reported by some $10M-$20M due to double counting of the distributor’s own side ticket sales on its web portal (read, many distribs’ off Comscore numbers saw Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny beating Sound of Freedom on its July 4th opening day, $11.6M to $11.1M despite Angel calling the pic’s first day at $14.2M).

 

At the end of the day, did this advance preview stunt for Gran Turismo work? This movie

[LonePirate]

Saturday increases last week:

 

Blue Beetle: 27.0% (from true Friday)

Barbie: 31.8%

Oppenheimer: 41.9%

TMNT: 56.4%

 

Even with NCD tomorrow, I see no reason why increases today would be any smaller than last week and they probably will be greater. Still, matching last week's increases gives us these numbers for today:

 

Blue Beetle: $4.00M/$40.14M

Barbie: $5.27M/$586.97M

Oppenheimer: $3.12M/$296.39M

TMNT: $2.39M/$95.96M

 

I'm not convinced these grosses can be duplicated on Sunday at $4 a head but we'll see. Barring better than expected Saturday increases, Oppenheimer hits $300M on Monday, Barbie reaches $600M on Thursday give or take a day and TMNT crosses $100M next Friday or Saturday.

[bastian]

35 minutes ago, KeepItU25071906 said:

Just kill this franchise. It's over.

What franchise is that The DCEU ? Because DC is doing fine it just proved that with The Batman. Pretty sure Gunns Superman will do very fine too. 

[M37]

18 minutes ago, Borobudur said:

Is it just me or the Friday number doesn't look like there are significant demand shift from Friday to Sunday.

Kinda agree, but we’re also getting to point in calendar when Friday numbers would naturally get bigger as schools start up and more business is funneled to weekends, so it’s difficult to be precise on what expected values should have been 

 

NCD is far more additive - bringing in otherwise non-viewers - than just shifting demand from other days. But let’s see if Sat jumps are weaker as the awareness and pull to Sunday gets stronger 

[BoxOfficeFangrl]

20 minutes ago, Issac Newton said:

Warner Bros is still having a really big problem with Sony stuffing their weekend with an extra $3.9M of previews (when you back out Thursday’s $1.4M) on Gran Turismo, for in their eyes, no studio has ever done that before with an extensive string of previews. Why is Warners so upset? Because then that would mean Barbie is No. 1, and she’d be able to count five weekends at No. 1. Many have stuffed their opening weekends with advance previews, and rivals perceive this as common practice, because they’ve done it before (and they don’t want to upset or reverse what’s been a common practice). That’s why some aren’t calling B.S. on Sony. More to the point, Sony isn’t making these ticket sales up: They’re right there in Comscore with the preview cash included in Friday. They were also upfront in the press that they were holding advance previews for Gran Turismo. This isn’t a scenario of Angels Studios and Sound of Freedom, which many perceive its $180.5M running domestic cume to be over re-reported by some $10M-$20M due to double counting of the distributor’s own side ticket sales on its web portal (read, many distribs’ off Comscore numbers saw Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny beating Sound of Freedom on its July 4th opening day, $11.6M to $11.1M despite Angel calling the pic’s first day at $14.2M).

 

At the end of the day, did this advance preview stunt for Gran Turismo work? This movie

Is WB blocking out their shenanigans with Tenet? It had like a 10-day opening weekend with the Canada numbers. Gran Turismo's "previews" are absurd but the studios all engage in creative box office reporting here and there.

Edited August 26, 2023 by BoxOfficeFangrl

[emoviefan]

4 minutes ago, bastian said:

What franchise is that The DCEU ? Because DC is doing fine it just proved that with The Batman. Pretty sure Gunns Superman will do very fine too. 

No Superman Legacy will not do well. That is against the Box Office Theory narrative that DC is so toxic right now that it's dooooomed no matter what and choosing to ignore The Batman and Joker success. 

[1Robert1]

1 hour ago, vale9001 said:

You said Barbie last week made 32M. I supposed you mean the Total week. 

 

This week Is already losing only 25% since It's doing around 25M full week. So i don't get your counts about It "if It loses 40% every week like last week" since It's already losing less than that.

 

 

 

 

let's say this week it will fall 30 percent, and next week it will also drop 30 percent, and then 40 percent, it would end with 639, of course imax will add millions. And so soft drops in next 2 weeks arent certain, schools are back so weekdays will be worse, NCD will decrease interest in upcoming days, and next sunday drops wouldnt be as good as usual, cause this sunday will be inflated. It will be less than 615 on september 7, i dont know maybe you think that imax will add 50m, and barbie will end closer to avatar than JW....

[redfirebird2008]

Awesome number for Oppy. 

[Ledmonkey96]

21 minutes ago, emoviefan said:

No Superman Legacy will not do well. That is against the Box Office Theory narrative that DC is so toxic right now that it's dooooomed no matter what and choosing to ignore The Batman and Joker success. 

Yup and blue beetle legs will kick in any moment

[Issac Newton]

Roadside Attractions/StudioCanal/Picture Company’s Liam Neeson movie Retribution is seeing $3.3M after a $1.29M Friday.

 

Critics and audience are excited by it with a respective 29% on Rotten Tomatoes and a C CinemaScore and 54% on PostTrak. Guys bought tickets at 61% with 36% of the audience between 18-34 and the largest quad being 25-34 years old at 24% with another 59% of the audience coming in at 35+ years.

 

Diversity demos are 56% Caucasian, 16% Latino and Hispanic, 11% Black and 18% Asian/other. Retribution played the best in the South and the West. The Regal Manchester in Fresno currently counts the best gross in the country with $5K.  

[Issac Newton]

Bleecker Street’s release of Guy Nattiv’s Golda about the late Israeli Prime Minister Gold Meir posted $770K for Friday for what’s shaping up to be a $2.6M opening. Booked at 883 locations in 173 markets, good numbers in NYC, LA, Miami, Chicago, Palm Beach, DC, Philly and Cleveland.

[Issac Newton]

Briarcliff Entertainment’s faith-based title The Hill drew $800K yesterday for what’s shaping up to be a $2.52M opening at 1,570 theaters.

 

South, Midwest and Mountain regions were the best for this Dennis Quaid title.

 

Postrack audiences gave it 80% with a 58% definite recommend while RT critics hated it at 32%. Faith-based demos here with 66% women, and 65% of the audience over 45 and the largest demo being 55+ at 46%.

 

Caucasians repped 75% of opening day with 16% Latino and Hispanic, 3% Black, and 6% Asian/other. The South & South Central is accounting or close to 50% of the pic’s gross versus the norm of 29%.

 

The Harkins Arrowhead Fountains in Arizona is the top for The Hill with over $3K.

[Issac Newton]

The overall penultimate weekend of summer is heading toward an estimated $85.2M. While not a $100M weekend, it’s still +61% over the same period last year when there was a lack of big studio product.

 

Indie wide releases are filling any gaps in the marketplace but with droplets of bucks.

[abracadabra1998]

6 minutes ago, Issac Newton said:

Bleecker Street’s release of Guy Nattiv’s Golda about the late Israeli Prime Minister Gold Meir posted $770K for Friday for what’s shaping up to be a $2.6M opening. Booked at 883 locations in 173 markets, good numbers in NYC, LA, Miami, Chicago, Palm Beach, DC, Philly and Cleveland.

Decent PTA

[Issac Newton]

Weekend Forecast (via @Deadline)

 

1.) Gran Turismo (Sony) 3,856 theaters, Fri $8.5M (includes $5.3M previews) 3-day $16.5M/Wk 1

 

2.) Barbie (WB) 3,736 (-267) theaters, Fri $4M (-37%) 3-day $15.7M (-25%)/Total $593.4M/Wk 6

 

3.) Blue Beetle (WB) 3,871 theaters, Fri $2.6M (-74%), 3-day $10M (-60%)/Total $43.5M/Wk 2

 

4.) Oppenheimer (Uni) 2,872 (-449) theaters Fri $2.25M (-26%), 3-day $8M (-25%)/Total $299M/Wk 6

 

5.) Teenage Mutanta Ninja Turtles…(Par) 3,145 (-332) theaters Fri $1.53M (-35%) 3-day $5.6M (-34%), Total $97.6M/Wk 4

 

6.) The Meg 2: The Trench (WB) 2,932 (-470) theaters Fri $1M (-43%), 3-day $4.1M (-39%)/Total $73.4M/ Wk 4

 

7.) Strays (Uni) 3,232 (+9) theaters, Fri $1.15M (-67%), 3-day $4.05M (-51%)/Total $15.5M/ Wk 2

 

8.) Retribution (Road) 1,750 theaters, Fri $1.29M 3-day $3.39M/Wk 1

 

9.) Golda (BST) 883 theaters, Fri $770K 3-day $2.6M /Wk 1

 

10.) The Hill (Briar) 1,570 theaters Fri $800K 3-day $2.52M Wk 1

[bastian]

54 minutes ago, Ledmonkey96 said:

Yup and blue beetle legs will kick in any moment

Yeah and Superman from Gunns new DCU is like Blue Beetle before Gunns Universe right 

[redfirebird2008]

1 hour ago, BoxOfficeFangrl said:

Is WB blocking out their shenanigans with Tenet? It had like a 10-day opening weekend with the Canada numbers. Gran Turismo's "previews" are absurd but the studios all engage in creative box office reporting here and there.

It’s all a bunch of crap that needs to be reported accurately. I remember the old days when early previews (before midnight) were not rolled into opening day numbers. WB tried to do it for Matrix Reloaded and the administrator of Box Office Mojo refused to go along with it. He posted the Wednesday preview number ($5 million) completely separate from the opening Thursday, even though WB wanted all of it rolled together. Similar deal for Pirates 3, which had 7 PM shows on Thursday evening and BOM reported the $13M preview number separate from Friday’s gross, even though Disney wanted it all lumped together. 
 

If you go way back in time, you can find Thursday previews reported separately on movies like Batman 89 and Jurassic Park. When the midnight massacre happened with TDKR, the entire industry decided it was a good time to start including Thursday shows as part of the Friday number. It’s a bunch of BS.