Weekend Thread (11/17-19) | Early Deadline #s - Songbirds 5.75-6M Previews, Trolls 2M

[Eric Burnett]

https://deadline.com/2023/11/box-office-hunger-games-songbirds-and-snakes-1235616095/

 

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EXCLUSIVE: Lionsgate‘s prequel The Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds & Snakes is looking at a Thursday night between $5.75M-$6M after showtimes that began at 3PM.

 

Again, these numbers aren’t from the studio and we could see a slightly different result by morning. Projections heading into the weekend were at $50M+ stateside, $100M+ worldwide. We’ll see where this lands.

 

Other preview figures we’ve heard about, but Universal hasn’t weighed in on, is DreamWorks Animation’s Trolls Band Together with around $2M off showtimes that began at 2PM. That threequel is looking at a high $20M-low $30M start. The movie also has the lowest RT score in the franchise with critics at 62% fresh. If that preview figure is right, it’s heads and hair above Trolls‘ $900K in Thursday previews, and higher than the Tuesday night previews of Illumination/Universal’s Sing at $1.7M.

 

[Boxofficerules]

I'm here for Thanksgiving even though I think it will flop

[ThomasNicole]

I think anything over 40M is decent, considering they was smart and give this only 100M budget 

 

If it does 300M globally it’s a hit, since this type of movies are dead for years now

[Arlborn]

49 minutes ago, ThomasNicole said:

I think anything over 40M is decent, considering they was smart and give this only 100M budget 

 

If it does 300M globally it’s a hit, since this type of movies are dead for years now

Exactly, anyone who calls this number weak is honestly missing the bigger picture. I’d love over 50M OW and over 400M WW myself, but 40M and 300M would honestly be very fine for this.

 

Let’s hope for more though!

[Alexander]

When I looked at your tracking thread early this week I thought previews 5.2-5.4 and 37-38 weekend, 40-42 best case scenario. I think that's where it's gonna end up so not bad not great.

[Issac Newton]

 

 

[Jiffy]

Hadn't been following as closely, so I thought THG was aiming for $50-60m, or am I just remembering Empire tweets.

[AMC Theaters Enjoyer]

Per Deadline, early Hunger Games Comscore/PostTrak are 4 1/2 stars and 87% positive with a 70% definite recommend.

Edited November 17, 2023 by AMC Theaters Enjoyer

[Issac Newton]

The Hunger Games: The Ballad Of Songbirds & Snakes

 

$5.75M THU Previews

 

 

 

Edited November 17, 2023 by Issac Newton

[interiorgatordecorator]

2 minutes ago, AMC Theaters Enjoyer said:

Per Deadline, early Hunger Games Comscore/PostTrak are 4 1/2 stars and 87% positive with a 70% definite recommend.

 

 

 

maybe the pre-release chatter was right

wonder why critics dont like it that much

[Blue35]

RT audience score for the hunger games is 90%, and 4.5/5 stars.

 

Maybe positive WOM will help it

[Issac Newton]

7 minutes ago, AMC Theaters Enjoyer said:

Per Deadline, early Hunger Games Comscore/PostTrak are 4 1/2 stars and 87% positive with a 70% definite recommend.

Full Update - 

 

Comscore/Screen Engine’s PostTrak shows 4 1/2 stars and 87% positive with a 70% definite recommend. Meanwhile, the Rotten Tomatoes audience score stands at 90%. True, the faithful come out first on Thursday, but that bodes well for word of mouth, and getting the excitement out there to others over the holiday week. Parents (mostly moms at 76%) gave the movie 5 stars/94% and kids under 12 are 4 1/2 stars/81%.

 

Women showed up last night to Songbirds & Snakes at 65%, which is a tad higher than Mockingjay 2‘s 60%. The 18-34 turnout was huge at 75%. Biggest demos in descending order were women under 25 at 36%, followed by women over 25 at 28%, men over 25 at 21% and men under 25 at 14%. Girls under 12 showed up at 75% with kids overall saying that the movie is a must-see at 94%.

[Issac Newton]

 

 

[Liiviig 1998]

11 minutes ago, Issac Newton said:

The Hunger Games: The Ballad Of Songbirds & Snakes

 

$5.75M THU Previews

 

 

 

Turns out deadline was on the money this time.

 

Yeah female audience is at 65% .Guess they were keeping their money for this rather than the marvels.

 

Initial postrak is pretty strong . Should be good for 40M+.

 

[Derpity]

5.75m a lot better than the doom & gloom $5m prediction last night, I think it stands a very good shot at beating Marvels now

[DAJK]

Throwback to when Catching Fire made 25M Thursday previews. I honestly miss early 2010s box office

[JimmyB]

1.) The Marvels (Dis) 4,030 theaters Thu $1.2M (-31% from Wed), Wk $54.8M/Wk 1

 

If he dies, he dies.  Rejected superhero movies, they drop like nothing else.

[grim22]

Based on the preview numbers and the Marvels Thursday number, it feels like The Marvels will be #4 for the weekend. Hunger Games around 50, Trolls around 22-25, Thanksgiving around 15 and Marvels in the 10-11 range 

[John Marston]

Hunger Games franchise completely flamed out in 2015. Definitely not a Potter. Hell I even think Twilight satisfied its audience more. If Songbirds can get to 300m ww I think that’s fine 

[Issac Newton]

Trolls Band Together

 

Five stars on PostTrak from general audiences and 4 1/2 stars from parents. Overall audience was 62% female, with 52% over 25, 48% under

 

Thanksgiving

 

PostTrak exits at 73% positive and 3 1/2 stars are to be expected for an R-rated genre movie that pulled in guys last night at 60%, 66% between 18-34.  

 

Next Goal Wins

 

78% positive and 4 stars with moviegoers on PostTrak.