Weekdays Thread (2/12-15) | V-Day #s: Marley 14, Web 6, ABY 1.2, Argylle 1.1

[Eric Lasagna]

		Movie Title	Distributor	Gross	%YD	%LW	Theaters	Per Theater	Total Gross	Days In Release
-	(1)	Argylle	Universal	$584,695	-42%	-44%	3,605	$162	$29,148,200	11
-	(5)	The Beekeeper	Amazon MGM S…	$353,861	-39%	-12%	3,057	$116	$55,017,085	32
-	(4)	Lisa Frankenstein	Focus Features	$316,875	-47%		3,144	$101	$4,012,660	4
-	(7)	Anyone But You	Sony Pictures	$285,000	-21%	+14%	2,805	$102	$80,360,470	53
-	(3)	Wonka	Warner Bros.	$233,837	-61%	n/c	2,764	$85	$205,417,290	60
-	(2)	Migration	Universal	$215,330	-66%	+19%	2,684	$80	$110,280,365	53
-	(13)	Poor Things	Searchlight …	$159,361	-23%	-24%	1,290	$124	$30,422,696	67
-	(12)	American Fiction	Amazon MGM S…	$131,482	-38%	-36%	1,462	$90	$17,450,726	60
-	(11)	Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom	Warner Bros.	$100,011	-54%	-13%	1,363	$73	$122,427,872	53
-	(-)	The Boys in the Boat	Amazon MGM S…	$94,437	-4%	-37%	1,107	$85	$50,976,171	50
-	(14)	Night Swim	Universal	$84,930	-45%	-2%	1,362	$62	$30,122,405	39
-	(-)	Turning Red	Walt Disney	$59,672	-58%		1,560	$38	$637,719	4
-	(-)	All of Us Strangers	Searchlight …	$16,275	-38%	-40%	95	$171	$3,770,022	53
-	(-)	The Holdovers	Focus Features	$9,530	-37%	-53%	270	$35	$19,933,800	109
-	(-)	Trolls Band Together	Universal	$8,410	-72%	-4%	221	$38	$102,678,435	88
-	(-)	Oppenheimer	Universal	$7,920	-23%	-64%	226	$35	$328,907,120	207
-	(-)	The Color Purple	Warner Bros.	$6,449	-46%	-52%	188	$34	$60,501,150	50
-	(-)	I.S.S.	Bleecker Street	$6,330	-42%	-76%	217	$29	$6,558,423	25
-	(-)	Wish	Walt Disney	$3,399	-77%	-30%	105	$32	$63,703,423	83
-	(-)	The Oath	Freestyle Re…	$129	-29%	-56%	1	$129	$498,408	67
		20		$2,677,933

[Eric Lasagna]

Was there a holiday that I forgot happened yesterday? What's with these Monday holds?

[KP1025]

2 minutes ago, Eric Creed said:

Was there a holiday that I forgot happened yesterday? What's with these Monday holds?

 

I'm guessing it's related to this.

 

https://www.usatoday.com/story/sports/nfl/2024/02/04/super-bowl-monday-holiday/72369926007/

 

Quote

An estimated 16.1 million employees across the U.S. plan to miss work Monday, Feb. 12, the day after Super Bowl 58 is played, according to a survey of 1,192 Americans, conducted Jan. 10-12, 2024 by The Harris Poll for The Workforce Institute at UKG.

 

[Unfitclock]

Everything dropped over 60% on Sunday so the movies are recovering 

[JimmyB]

31 minutes ago, Eric Web said:

Was there a holiday that I forgot happened yesterday? What's with these Monday holds?

Same thing happened last year,

 

https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office-chart/daily/2023/02/13

Movie Title	Distributor	Gross	%YD	%LW	Theaters	Per Theater	Total Gross	Days In Release

1	(5)	Magic Mike’s Last Dance	Warner Bros.	$814,849	-21%		1,496	$545	$9,120,166	4
2	(4)	80 for Brady	Paramount Pi…	$773,700	-31%	-36%	3,939	$196	$25,543,663	11
3	(2)	Titanic (25th Anniversary)	Paramount Pi…	$703,879	-46%		2,464	$286	$666,781,563	9,188
4	(1)	Avatar: The Way of Water	20th Century…	$690,241	-57%	-4%	3,065	$225	$647,943,867	60
5	(6)	Knock at the Cabin	Universal	$564,950	-38%	-38%	3,657	$154	$23,936,625	11
6	(3)	Puss in Boots: The Last Wish	Universal	$421,905	-67%	+4%	3,227	$131	$158,996,875	55
7	(9)	A Man Called Otto	Sony Pictures	$298,169	-34%	-10%	2,824	$106	$57,680,797	46
8	(8)	Missing	Sony Pictures	$236,655	-49%	+8%	2,315	$102	$26,814,924	25
9	(7)	M3GAN	Universal	$211,295	-55%	n/c	2,508	$84	$91,180,985	39
-	(11)	Plane	Lionsgate	$136,628	-33%	-12%	1,679	$81	$30,925,877	32
-	(10)	Pathaan	Yash Raj Films	$69,108	-71%	-57%	492	$140	$16,008,712	20
-	(-)	Women Talking	United Artists	$43,491	-44%	-36%	487	$89	$4,089,737	53
-	(-)	The Whale	A24	$42,789	-34%	-14%	684	$63	$16,332,370	67

[Maggie]

 

[emoviefan]

23 minutes ago, Maggie said:

 

Save us Dune Part 2!

[John Marston]

When are we getting preview numbers?

[Eric Lasagna]

12 minutes ago, John Marston said:

When are we getting preview numbers?

Never. Neither movie got previews

[JustWatching]

Tuesday results dribbling in.

 

-	(5)	Anyone But You	Sony Pictures	$465,000	+63%	+13%	2,805	$166	$80,825,729	54
-	(-)	Wonka	Warner Bros.	$335,000	+43%	-14%	2,764	$121	$205,752,290	61
-	(-)	Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom	Warner Bros.	$130,000	+30%	-30%	1,363	$95	$122,557,872	54

[Last Man Standing]

2 hours ago, Maggie said:

 

"Fuck you it's January February!"

[wildphantom]

Just had a little browse and the Bob Marley showings in the UK look very busy this Valentine’s night for it’s OD. 

[harry713]

3 hours ago, Maggie said:

 

 

Lisa deserves better. 

[BadOlCatSylvester]

4 hours ago, emoviefan said:

Save us Dune Part 2!

Denis "Lisan al-Gaib" Muad'Dib will save us all. Exhibitors just need to grit their teeth for a couple more weeks!

[Eric Lasagna]

https://deadline.com/2024/02/box-office-valentines-day-bob-marley-one-love-madame-web-1235826028/

 

Quote

Moviegoing is slowly going back into fashion today with Paramount’s Bob Marley: One Love biopic seeing an estimated $12M. For a movie playing on Valentine’s Day midweek, that’s a record besting the $11.6M made by the 2012 Channing Tatum and Rachel McAdams romance, The Vow.

 

Sony/Marvel’s Madame Web trails with $5M-$5.5M today.

 

Projecting out six-days is a bit iffy at this point. Some believe Bob Marley is front-loaded, yet there’s a big argument to be made that this movie should not be comped to Color Purple. What movie is about a bestselling iconic performer and the other is a Broadway musical. Nonetheless, at this point, studios are sticking to ther forecasts of $30M+ for Bob Marley: One Love over six days, and $20M+ for Madame Web.

 

[Eric Lasagna]

Tried to find some potential comps for other movies that also opened on V-Day on Wednesday. Ultimately, 2018 didn't have anything, and the only other option is 2007. So...

 

If Bob Marley follows Daddy's Little Girls: 49.2M 6-Day

If it follows Music and Lyrics: 61.81M 6-Day

 

Okay, neither of those will happen, and keyserzose's data suggests it's still going to be super frontloaded. But this didn't have that Pay It Forward BS to inflate numbers, so we should be okay for this not being as egregious as Color Purple? I dunno. This is honestly really hard to pin down.

[PrinceRico]

One Love saved theaters

[TwoMisfits]

23 minutes ago, Eric Web said:

Tried to find some potential comps for other movies that also opened on V-Day on Wednesday. Ultimately, 2018 didn't have anything, and the only other option is 2007. So...

 

If Bob Marley follows Daddy's Little Girls: 49.2M 6-Day

If it follows Music and Lyrics: 61.81M 6-Day

 

Okay, neither of those will happen, and keyserzose's data suggests it's still going to be super frontloaded. But this didn't have that Pay It Forward BS to inflate numbers, so we should be okay for this not being as egregious as Color Purple? I dunno. This is honestly really hard to pin down.

 

Off the cuff numbers with almost no thought...

$12M Wed

$4M Thurs

$8M Fri

$10M Sat

$7M Sun

$5M Mon

 

$46M 6 day - I'd say Daddy's Little Girls is highly possible...

[CJohn]

Bob is not dropping only 66% tomorrow IMO. I hope I am wrong. The marketplace needs a hit.

[Marathon]

Madame Web starts with 69% audience score on RT. Ouch. No Morbillions in sight for this one.