Weekend Thread (5/17-19/2024) | WEEKEND ESTIMATES: $35M for IF, $12M for Strangers, $2.85M for Back to Black, $26M for Apes

[BadOlCatSylvester]

 

Edited May 19 by BadOlCatSylvester

[MysteryMovieMogul]

I have a feeling IF is going to be a film critics don't like because of a weird dislike of Ryan Reynolds but audiences enjoy because they don't actually dislike Ryan Reynolds.

I think it's going to exceed $35 million, but I don't bet on the box office for a reason.

[AJG]

12 minutes ago, MysteryMovieMogul said:

I have a feeling IF is going to be a film critics don't like because of a weird dislike of Ryan Reynolds but audiences enjoy because they don't actually dislike Ryan Reynolds.

I think it's going to exceed $35 million, but I don't bet on the box office for a reason.

For the most part, Reynolds films are reviewed well, only the noticeably bad ones get panned (Red Notice etc).

[DTP]

Whoa, didn't know he was almost 50.

 

Anyway, I like the guy, but have no inclination to see this movie.  Still, for cinemas, I hope it does well.

[Jake Gittes]

1 hour ago, MysteryMovieMogul said:

I have a feeling IF is going to be a film critics don't like because of a weird dislike of Ryan Reynolds but audiences enjoy because they don't actually dislike Ryan Reynolds.

 

Or you could read some actual reviews and see the actual reasons critics didn't like it instead of making shit up.

[JustLurking]

Critics disliking Ryan Reynolds is so completely and utterly false.

[el sid]

3 hours ago, BadOlCatSylvester said:

 

Nice .

[CJohn]

30M+ would be solid if there wasn't a family juggernaut opening in 7 days.

[BadOlCatSylvester]

Just now, CJohn said:

30M+ would be solid if there wasn't a family juggernaut opening in 7 days.

Chris Pratt voicing his disdain for lasagna will kill that movie. BOMB BOMB BOMB. Sub-30M disaster.

 

On a more serious note, yeah, this will do okay for its first week, but then it'll be pushed out by Garfield big time. Early word for that one seems a lot better than this movie as well. Garfield also has a not too bad novelty factor as he's not a very oversaturated or overused character.

[JustLurking]

Juggernaut is not exactly the word I would use for Garfield.

[cannastop]

3 minutes ago, JustLurking said:

Juggernaut is not exactly the word I would use for Garfield.

As a merchandising phenomenon yes it is a juggernaut but as a movie, not so much.

[Boxofficerules]

Here for The Strangers, let's hope it's weekend is better than its reviews.

[filmlover]

Garfield feels like it's going to land in the $35-45M range at best next weekend. Which might be enough for #1 in the battle with Furiosa.

Edited May 17 by filmlover

[Flopped]

11 minutes ago, filmlover said:

Garfield feels like it's going to land in the $35-45M range at best next weekend. Which might be enough for #1 in the battle with Furiosa.

 

Furiosa is tracking that poorly??

[filmlover]

3 minutes ago, Flopped said:

 

Furiosa is tracking that poorly??

I mean, it's not too far from what Fury Road opened with? Considering the prequel of it all, coming close to that movie's numbers would be relatively impressive.

[CJohn]

IF

[emoviefan]

1 hour ago, filmlover said:

I mean, it's not too far from what Fury Road opened with? Considering the prequel of it all, coming close to that movie's numbers would be relatively impressive.

 

1 hour ago, filmlover said:

 

I thought it was looking like Furiosa had the potential to do over 50 for the 4 days but maybe the presales have come down after the initial rush of fan base/cinephile crowd bought their tickets.

[budice]

From the looks of it, sub-$30M not out of the question.

[Shawn Robbins]

Strangers 1.2 Thu

[AniNate]

Low-mid 30s opening wouldn't be as promising for IF as the 40s trackings was indicating with that $110mil budget, but it also at least doesn't seem like it's being Wish-level rejected so far, and maybe intl auds will be coming through for it as well based on that France opening. Would be a low-key success story for original auteur-driven content even if this isn't one that's to adult tastes so much.