JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW

[CoolK]

from corpse:

 

 

Thursday (08/02)
¥215 million ($1.9 million), 0, ¥2.705 billion ($24.3 million), Code Blue (Day 7)
¥135 million ($1.2 million), 0, ¥390.0 million ($3.5 million), Incredibles 2 (Day 2)
¥85 million ($760,000), -26%, ¥5.390 billion ($48.1 million), Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (Day 21)
¥45 million ($400,000), -24%, ¥1.435 billion ($13.0 million), Mirai of the Future (Day 14)
¥40 million ($360,000), 0, ¥120.0 million ($1.1 million), Sensei Kunshun (Day 2)
¥40 million ($360,000), -24%, ¥1.855 billion ($16.7 million), Pokemon: Everyone's Story (Day 21)
¥10 million ($90,000), 0, ¥28.00 million ($250,000), Blue Summer (Day 2)
¥9 million ($80,000), -45%, ¥413.0 million ($3.7 million), Bleach (Day 14)
¥8 million ($70,000), -43%, ¥2.044 billion ($18.5 million), Solo: A Star Wars Story (Day 35)
¥7 million ($65,000), -41%, ¥4.246 billion ($38.4 million), Shoplifters (Day 56)
__________
¥2 million ($20,000), -56%, ¥8.688 billion ($79.4 million), Detective Conan: Zero the Enforcer (Day 112)

% changes versus same day last week.

[korrasami]

2 hours ago, CoolK said:

from corpse:

 

 

Thursday (08/02)
¥215 million ($1.9 million), 0, ¥2.705 billion ($24.3 million), Code Blue (Day 7)
¥135 million ($1.2 million), 0, ¥390.0 million ($3.5 million), Incredibles 2 (Day 2)
¥85 million ($760,000), -26%, ¥5.390 billion ($48.1 million), Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (Day 21)
¥45 million ($400,000), -24%, ¥1.435 billion ($13.0 million), Mirai of the Future (Day 14)
¥40 million ($360,000), 0, ¥120.0 million ($1.1 million), Sensei Kunshun (Day 2)
¥40 million ($360,000), -24%, ¥1.855 billion ($16.7 million), Pokemon: Everyone's Story (Day 21)
¥10 million ($90,000), 0, ¥28.00 million ($250,000), Blue Summer (Day 2)
¥9 million ($80,000), -45%, ¥413.0 million ($3.7 million), Bleach (Day 14)
¥8 million ($70,000), -43%, ¥2.044 billion ($18.5 million), Solo: A Star Wars Story (Day 35)
¥7 million ($65,000), -41%, ¥4.246 billion ($38.4 million), Shoplifters (Day 56)
__________
¥2 million ($20,000), -56%, ¥8.688 billion ($79.4 million), Detective Conan: Zero the Enforcer (Day 112)

% changes versus same day last week.

Is that a good number for I2?

[Omni]

A little less than a 50% drop from Wednesday and about in line with the rest. Certainly not exciting.

[bladels]

I wonder how My Hero Academia movie doing?

[KP1025]

Not looking great for Incredibles 2. Per Corpse:

 

Friday (08/03)
¥225 million ($2.0 million), 0, ¥225.0 million ($2.0 million), My Hero Academia: Two Heroes (NEW)
¥220 million ($2.0 million), 0, ¥220.0 million ($2.0 million), Mission: Impossible - Fallout (NEW)
¥215 million ($1.9 million), -53%, ¥2.920 billion ($26.2 million), Code Blue (Day 😎
¥125 million ($1.1 million), 0, ¥515.0 million ($4.6 million), Incredibles 2 (Day 3)
¥70 million ($625,000), -44%, ¥5.460 billion ($48.7 million), Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (Day 22)
¥45 million ($400,000), -30%, ¥1.480 billion ($13.4 million), Mirai of the Future (Day 15)
¥40 million ($360,000), 0, ¥160.0 million ($1.4 million), Sensei Kunshun (Day 3)
¥35 million ($315,000), -25%, ¥1.890 billion ($17.0 million), Pokemon: Everyone's Story (Day 22)
¥9 million ($85,000), 0, ¥37.00 million ($340,000), Blue Summer (Day 3)
¥7 million ($65,000), -57%, ¥420.0 million ($3.8 million), Bleach (Day 15)
¥6 million ($55,000), -62, ¥2.050 billion ($18.6 million), Solo: A Star Wars Story (Day 36)
¥4 million ($35,000), -60%, ¥4.250 billion ($38.5 million), Shoplifters (Day 57)

% changes versus same day last week.

It's basically a toss-up on which film in the Top 3 won the day in revenue.  My Hero Academia: Two Heroes, thanks to strong pre-sales due to the manga giveaway to the first 1 million attendees, was #1 in admissions selling about 45% of its available tickets, but it likely had the lowest average ticket price so a victory in revenue isn't certain.

Mission: Impossible - Fallout had a good first day, one that indicates it'll pretty much open on par with the previous two entries.  

Code Blue experienced a pretty hard drop from its opening day last week, but last Friday was also a bit boosted from people going to the theaters before the typhoon hit, so I still think it'll have a great second weekend -- especially since last Saturday was deflated a bit.

And I have to say... kinda poor for Incredibles 2. I'm sure it'll recover over the weekend, but it's definitely underperforming. It might even have to settle for a fourth place debut this weekend.

Also, Detective Conan: Zero the Enforcer took a mammoth 90% dive versus last Friday and isn't worth tracking now (it made maybe $3,000 for the day).

 

 

 

[SchumacherFTW]

Go on Deku, you can beat Hunt! 

[Cynosure]

Corpse :

 

Weekend Forecast (08/04-05)
01 (01) ¥756,000,000 ($6.8 million), -31%, ¥3,675,000,000 ($33.0 million), Code Blue (Toho) WK2
02 (---) ¥675,000,000 ($6.0 million), 0, ¥900,000,000 ($8.0 million), Mission: Impossible - Fallout (Toho-Towa) NEW
03 (---) ¥425,000,000 ($3.8 million), 0, ¥650,000,000 ($5.8 million), My Hero Academia: Two Heroes (Toho) NEW
04 (---) ¥400,000,000 ($3.6 million), 0, ¥915,000,000 ($8.2 million), Incredibles 2 (Disney) NEW
05 (02) ¥387,000,000 ($3.5 million), -37%, ¥5,850,000,000 ($52.2 million), Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (Toho-Towa) WK4
06 (---) ¥275,000,000 ($2.5 million), 0, ¥275,000,000 ($2.5 million), Kamen Rider Build: Be the One (Toei) NEW
07 (03) ¥219,000,000 ($2.0 million), -24%, ¥1,700,000,000 ($15.4 million), Mirai of the Future (Toho) WK3
08 (04) ¥139,000,000 ($1.2 million), -23%, ¥2,025,000,000 ($18.2 million), Pokemon: Everyone's Story (Toho) WK4
09 (---) ¥75,000,000 ($670,000), 0, ¥235,000,000 ($2.1 million), Sensei Kunshin (Toho) NEW
10 (05) ¥42,000,000 ($375,000), -35%, ¥460,000,000 ($4.2 million), Bleach (Shochiku) WK3

Big weekend ahead. In fact, it's very likely to become one of the Top 10 Biggest Aggregated Weekends ever, and could crack the Top 5 if nothing disappoints.

Code Blue should repeat atop the box-office in its second weekend, but it's facing a big challenger in Mission: Impossible - Fallout. The last two Mission: Impossible films had nearly identical debuts (¥572 million & ¥573 million), but Fallout has noticeably better pre-sales than Rogue Nation, so it's likely going north of ¥600 million and could debut near ¥700 million. I'll provide a Saturday update and see if either film has the edge, but I'm betting it won't be clear until late Sunday.

My Hero Academia: Two Heroes and Incredibles 2, both animated films featuring super heroes interestingly enough, will be fighting it out for the third place position. My Hero Academia has the rush-out factor since the first one-million moviegoers are receiving an unreleased manga, but it's not playing as wide as Incredibles 2 and it'll probably be at a disadvantage on the average ticket price front. Incredibles 2 is largely disappointing and is "only" behaving as a standard Pixar release, but with pre-sales lower than Coco, it may have to settle for a fourth place debut.

Kamen Rider Build: Be the One has very impressive pre-sales, having already sold about 25% of its available tickets for the day, but it's suffering from lack of bigger screens and showtimes due to all the other big debuts and holdovers. Ultimately, it'll likely land on the mid-high end debut range of recent Kamen Rider releases.

 

[KP1025]

Yikes, that is not good for Incredibles 2. Substantially lower opening than the first film, which released in December. If I2 has the same legs as Dory (another summer Pixar release), then it will only hit $34 million.

 

[Jiffy]

Gosh this is such a bummer for I2.

 

I remember when Japan used to be one of the most reliable markets for Pixar...

[KP1025]

3 hours ago, Jiffy said:

Gosh this is such a bummer for I2.

 

I remember when Japan used to be one of the most reliable markets for Pixar...

 

According to Corpse, Pixar's brand/goodwill has been damaged in Japan ever since they released the poorly received Cars 2. The rise of WDAS and Illumination in Japan has also cannibalized some of Pixar's formerly loyal audience, whereas they had no real competition among other Hollywood animation studios in the past decade. 

[titanic2187]

Japan Box Office: Weekend Estimates (08/04-05) by corpse

(C)2018「劇場版コード・ブルー －ドクターヘリ緊急救命－」製作委員会

Weekend Actuals (08/04-05)
01 (01) ¥698,532,400 ($6.3 million), -36%, ¥3,648,795,800 ($32.8 million), Code Blue (Toho) WK2
02 (---) ¥639,000,000 ($5.7 million), 0, ¥868,148,300 ($7.8 million), Mission: Impossible - Fallout (Toho-Towa) NEW
03 (---) ¥422,000,000 ($3.8 million), 0, ¥891,870,000 ($8.0 million), Incredibles 2 (Disney) NEW
04 (02) ¥294,358,200 ($2.6 million), -52%, ¥5,799,440,500 ($51.7 million), Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (Toho-Towa) WK4
05 (---) ¥280,000,000 ($2.5 million), 0, ¥500,322,800 ($4.5 million), My Hero Academia: Two Heroes (Toho) NEW
06 (---) ¥260,359,400 ($2.3 million), 0, ¥260,359,400 ($2.3 million), Kamen Rider Build: Be the One (Toei) NEW
07 (03) ¥148,456,400 ($1.4 million), -49%, ¥1,637,108,000 ($14.9 million), Mirai of the Future (Toho) WK3
08 (04) ¥115,789,000 ($1.1 million), -36%, ¥2,009,090,100 ($18.1 million), Pokemon: Everyone's Story (Toho) WK4
09 (---) ¥115,630,000 ($1.0 million), 0, ¥283,692,200 ($2.6 million), Sensei Kunshin (Toho) NEW
10 (---) ¥52,093,990 ($467,000), N/A, ¥170,539,170 ($1.5 million), One Cut of the Dead (Independent) WK7

>Code Blue repeats atop the box-office, but it does drop slightly higher in its sophomore frame than other major domestic live-action films. However, its two-week total is higher than every domestic live-action film ever, thanks to the Friday start and the release being in the heart of Summer. The next week weeks will be very strong, especially when Obon Festival begins, and it's still very much on course to reach ¥8 billion ($70 million+) and become a #1 contender of 2018. 

>Mission: Impossible - Fallout has to settle for a second place debut, but its opening weekend is 11% higher than both Rogue Nation and Ghost Protocol. The sixth-entry in the Mission: Impossible franchise sold an impressive 450,315 admissions over the weekend frame across 638 screens. Since opening on Friday, its 3-day admissions reached 619,507 admissions -- 14% above Rogue Nation's 3-day admissions. The Mission: Impossible series continues to be one of the most consistent and successful franchises, and Fallout will very likely exceed the ¥5 billion (~$45 million) blockbuster milestone once again.

>Incredibles 2 did end up underwhelming a bit, coming in slightly below the standard opening for a Pixar film in the market. The family superhero flick sold 331,697 admissions over the weekend frame on 432 screens. However, the film opened ahead of the weekend last Wednesday, and brought its 5-day admissions up to 750,000. It's still difficult to project where it's headed thanks to the rare Wednesday release, and its so-so weekend, but it should at least reach the ¥4 billion (~$35 million) milestone. 

>My Hero Academia: Two Heroes, for some reason, hasn't had its weekend frame figures released yet, so its weekend gross above is a placeholder until it's released (I'll also be using an estimated number of admissions for the weekend frame until that's released, too). Since opening on Friday, though, the original animated film based on the popular manga/anime sold an impressive 401,542 admissions. The first one-million moviegoers are receiving a manga tie-in a part of a giveaway, so 40.2% of those have been handed out after three days. 

>Kamen Rider Build: Be the One debuts in fifth place, selling 213,166 admissions over the weekend across 297 screens. The opening is a little above the typical Kamen Rider release in recent years, and topped last August's release by 4%. These films are always very frontloaded, holiday period coming up or not, and it'll probably just barely get above the ¥1 billion ($10 million) milestone. 

>One Cut of the Dead makes a very surprising appearance in the tenth place position. The critically acclaimed film had been playing at just 2 locations since opening in June, and due to regular sell-outs for weeks, expanded to 9 locations this weekend and did exceptionally well. There are now plans to expand it further following its ranking in the top 10, so this may not be the last time we'll see it charting. 

The aggregated top 10 ended up exceeding ¥3 billion, making it just the sixteenth weekend to do so since 1998 (chart edited a few posts up), but did ultimately come in lower than expected due to a couple openers debut a little lower than expected, and most of the holdovers experiencing harsh drops.

 

Biggest All-Time Aggregated Weekends (Top 10 Films; 1998-)

01. ¥3.601 billion - 07/09-10/2005 (#1 Film - Star Wars: Episode III - Revenge of the Sith)
02. ¥3.485 billion - 08/04-05/2001 (#1 Film - Spirited Away)
03. ¥3.427 billion - 05/03-04/2014 (#1 Film - Frozen)
04. ¥3.423 billion - 07/19-20/2003 (#1 Film - Bayside Shakedown: Save the Rainbow Bridge!)
05. ¥3.379 billion - 08/08-09/2015 (#1 Film - Jurassic World)
06. ¥3.329 billion - 07/21-22/2007 (#1 Film - Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix) 
07. ¥3.314 billion - 07/22-23/2006 (#1 Film - Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest)
08. ¥3.297 billion - 08/15-16/2015 (#1 Film - Jurassic World)
09. ¥3.212 billion - 07/28-29/2001 (#1 Film - Spirited Away)
10. ¥3.160 billion - 04/17-18/2010 (#1 Film - Alice in Wonderland)
11. ¥3.150 billion - 04/29-30/2017 (#1 Film - Beauty and the Beast)
12. ¥3.133 billion - 08/16-17/2003 (#1 Film - Bayside Shakedown: Save the Rainbow Bridge!)
13. ¥3.106 billion - 12/19-20/2015 (#1 Film - Star Wars: The Force Awakens) 
14. ¥3.048 billion - 07/21-22/2001 (#1 Film - Spirited Away)
14. ¥3.046 billion - 12/20-21/2014 (#1 Film - Yo-Kai Watch: It's the Secret of Birth, Nyan!)
16. ¥3.026 billion - 08/04-05/2018 (#1 Film - Code Blue)
¥3 billion+

July: 6 Months 
August: 5 Months
December: 2 Months
April: 2 Months
May: 1 Month

Edited August 7, 2018 by titanic2187

[Olive]

weekend actuals:

CB 699M, total 3.6B+

MI6 639M/868M

I2 422M/890M

 

 

[Omni]

Sub-4M OW for I2.

 

My god.

[John Rambo]

1 hour ago, Olive said:

weekend actuals:

CB 699M, total 3.6B+

MI6 639M/868M

I2 422M/890M

 

 

Woahh MI6 increased from estimates!!! 

[Ezen Baklattan]

Is Mamma Mia 2 still opening on August 24th? 

[titanic2187]

From corpse 

Monday (08/06)
¥185 million ($1.7 million), -38%, ¥3.835 billion ($34.5 million), Code Blue (Day 11)
¥140 million ($1.3 million), 0, ¥1.030 billion ($9.3 million), Incredibles 2 (Day 6)
¥130 million ($1.2 million), 0, ¥1.000 billion ($9.0 million), Mission: Impossible - Fallout (Day 4)
¥70 million ($630,000), 0, ¥570.0 million ($5.1 million), My Hero Academia: Two Heroes (Day 4)
¥70 million ($630,000), -44%, ¥5.870 billion ($52.3 million), Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (Day 25)
¥40 million ($360,000), 0, ¥325.0 million ($2.9 million), Sensei Kunshun (Day 3)
¥40 million ($360,000), -27%, ¥2.050 billion ($18.5 million), Pokemon: Everyone's Story (Day 25)
¥40 million ($360,000), -38%, ¥1.675 billion ($15.3 million), Mirai of the Future (Day 18)
¥40 million ($360,000), 0, ¥300.0 million ($2.6 million), Kamen Rider Build: Be the One (Day 3)
¥10 million ($90,000), +466%, ¥180.0 million ($1.6 million), One Cut of the Dead (Day 45)

Tuesday (08/06)
¥155 million ($1.4 million), -35%, ¥3.990 billion ($35.9 million), Code Blue (Day 12)
¥135 million ($1.2 million), 0, ¥1.165 billion ($10.5 million), Incredibles 2 (Day 7)
¥115 million ($1.0 million), 0, ¥1.115 billion ($10.0 million), Mission: Impossible - Fallout (Day 5)
¥60 million ($540,000), -38%, ¥5.930 billion ($52.9 million), Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (Day 26)
¥50 million ($450,000), 0, ¥620.0 million ($5.6 million), My Hero Academia: Two Heroes (Day 5)
¥40 million ($360,000), 0, ¥365.0 million ($3.3 million), Sensei Kunshun (Day 4)
¥8 million ($70,000), +472%, ¥188.0 million ($1.7 million), One Cut of the Dead (Day 46)
¥40 million ($360,000), -31%, ¥1.715 billion ($15.7 million), Mirai of the Future (Day 19)
¥35 million ($315,000), -21%, ¥2.085 billion ($18.8 million), Pokemon: Everyone's Story (Day 26)
¥30 million ($270,000), 0, ¥330.0 million ($2.9 million), Kamen Rider Build: Be the One (Day 4)

 

Wednesday (08/07)
¥215 million ($1.9 million), -48%, ¥4.205 billion ($37.8 million), Code Blue (Day 13)
¥165 million ($1.5 million), -33%, ¥1.330 billion ($12.0 million), Incredibles 2 (Day 😎
¥130 million ($1.2 million), 0, ¥1.245 billion ($11.2 million), Mission: Impossible - Fallout (Day 6)
¥80 million ($720,000), -49%, ¥6.010 billion ($53.6 million), Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (Day 27)
¥55 million ($495,000), 0, ¥675.0 million ($6.1 million), My Hero Academia: Two Heroes (Day 6)
¥50 million ($450,000), -41%, ¥1.765 billion ($16.1 million), Mirai of the Future (Day 20)
¥45 million ($405,000), -31%, ¥2.130 billion ($19.2 million), Pokemon: Everyone's Story (Day 27)
¥45 million ($405,000), 0, ¥410.0 million ($3.7 million), Sensei Kunshun (Day 5)
¥30 million ($270,000), 0, ¥360.0 million ($3.2 million), Kamen Rider Build: Be the One (Day 5)
¥10 million ($90,000), +763%, ¥198.0 million ($1.8 million), One Cut of the Dead (Day 47)

 

Thursday (08/09)
¥175 million ($1.6 million), -16%, ¥4.380 billion ($39.4 million), Code Blue (Day 14)
¥130 million ($1.2 million), +01%, ¥1.460 billion ($13.2 million), Incredibles 2 (Day 9)
¥105 million ($950,000), 0, ¥1.350 billion ($12.2 million), Mission: Impossible - Fallout (Day 7)
¥65 million ($585,000), -25%, ¥6.075 billion ($54.2 million), Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (Day 28)
¥40 million ($360,000), 0, ¥715.0 million ($6.5 million), My Hero Academia: Two Heroes (Day 7)
¥40 million ($360,000), -12%, ¥1.805 billion ($16.5 million), Mirai of the Future (Day 21)
¥35 million ($315,000), -14%, ¥2.165 billion ($19.5 million), Pokemon: Everyone's Story (Day 28)
¥35 million ($315,000), -12%, ¥445.0 million ($4.0 million), Sensei Kunshun (Day 9)
¥25 million ($225,000), 0, ¥385.0 million ($3.4 million), Kamen Rider Build: Be the One (Day 6)
¥8 million ($70,000), +536%, ¥206.0 million ($1.9 million), One Cut of the Dead (Day 48)

 

Friday (08/10)
¥180 million ($1.6 million), -14%, ¥4.560 billion ($41.0 million), Code Blue (Day 15)
¥140 million ($1.3 million), +19%, ¥1.600 billion ($14.5 million), Incredibles 2 (Day 11)
¥130 million ($1.2 million), -41%, ¥1.480 billion ($13.4 million), Mission: Impossible - Fallout (Day 😎
¥85 million ($765,000), 0, ¥85.00 billion ($765,000), Ocean's 8 (NEW)
¥70 million ($630,000), +03%, ¥6.145 billion ($54.8 million), Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (Day 29)
¥45 million ($405,000), -80%, ¥760.0 million ($6.9 million), My Hero Academia: Two Heroes (Day 😎
¥45 million ($405,000), +04%, ¥1.850 billion ($16.9 million), Mirai of the Future (Day 22)
¥40 million ($360,000), +04%, ¥2.205 billion ($19.9 million), Pokemon: Everyone's Story (Day 29)
¥40 million ($360,000), +03%, ¥485.0 million ($4.4 million), Sensei Kunshun (Day 10)
¥20 million ($180,000), +126%, ¥226.0 million ($2.0 million), One Cut of the Dead (Day 49)

Edited August 11, 2018 by titanic2187

[Olive]

MI-2 made 9.7B yen, MI made 6.5B

[Rorschach]

Good for MHA and Fallout! Sad Incredibles 2 couldn't have done better though.

Edited August 8, 2018 by Rorschach

[KP1025]

It looks like Incredibles 2 will recover this weekend with a strong hold. 

 

Corpse:

 

Weekend Forecast (08/11-12)
01 (01) ¥579,000,000 ($5.2 million), -17%, ¥5,140,000,000 ($46.2 million), Code Blue (Toho) WK3
02 (02) ¥486,000,000 ($4.4 million), -24%, ¥1,975,000,000 ($17.9 million), Mission: Impossible - Fallout (Toho-Towa) WK2
03 (03) ¥459,000,000 ($4.1 million), +09%, ¥2,060,000,000 ($18.6 million), Incredibles 2 (Disney) WK2
04 (04) ¥259,000,000 ($2.3 million), -12%, ¥6,400,000,000 ($57.1 million), Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (Toho-Towa) WK5
05 (---) ¥250,000,000 ($2.3 million), 0, ¥335,000,000 ($3.0 million), Ocean's 8 (Warner Bros.) NEW
06 (05) ¥138,000,000 ($1.2 million), -52%, ¥900,000,000 ($8.1 million), My Hero Academia: Two Heroes (Toho) WK2
07 (07) ¥136,000,000 ($1.2 million), -08%, ¥1,985,000,000 ($18.1 million), Mirai of the Future (Toho) WK4
08 (09) ¥122,000,000 ($1.1 million), +05%, ¥2,325,000,000 ($21.0 million), Pokemon: Everyone's Story (Toho) WK5
09 (06) ¥120,000,000 ($1.1 million), -54%, ¥525,000,000 ($4.7 million), Kamen Rider Build: Be the One (Toei) WK2
10 (08) ¥95,000,000 ($855,000), -18%, ¥580,000,000 ($5.2 million), Sensei Kunshin (Toho) WK2

Obon Festival -- the strongest week of the box-office every year -- approaches, and right before it begins we'll see a strong weekend box-office with many notable holds, and potentially some increases as well.

>Code Blue is likely to repeat atop the box-office for a third-consecutive weekend, and will very likely exceed the ¥5 billion blockbuster milestone in the progress. Its cumulative total is running ahead of every other film this year at the same-point-in-time, and it's about to enter the biggest holiday period of the year on Monday -- Obon Festival. Unless it receives a lackluster boost next week, I believe it has the advantage in the three-way battle with Detective Conan: Zero the Enforcer and Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom for the 2018 yearly crown, and could finish near ¥9 billion ($80 million).

>Mission: Impossible - Fallout should post a good second weekend hold, but could fall to third place in its sophomore frame. It opened 11% higher than Rogue Nation, but will probably fall a bit behind it after this weekend. However, Rogue Nation was released a few days closer to Obon Festival and had received its initial boost in its second weekend. Once Fallout experiences the holiday period boon next week, I'm confident it'll pull ahead and not look back. ¥5 billion+ ($45 million) is still likely.

>Incredibles 2 didn't impress in its debut weekend, but it has since delivered great weekdays, and is in position to experience a second weekend increase. Japanese audiences have dismissed the Pixar sequels, so perhaps it just took awhile for moviegoers to gain interest in this entry. Its chances of reaching the ¥5 billion ($45 million) blockbuster milestone, and possibly even outgrossing the original film's ¥5.26 billion total have gone up dramatically in just a matter of days

>Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom had a harsh 50% drop last weekend due to screen/showtime & IMAX cuts, but it has since recovered some over the past weekdays, and based on Saturday pre-sales, looks poised to deliver a strong fifth weekend gross. It's still in the three-way battle with Detective Conan: Zero the Enforcer and Code Blue for the 2018 yearly crown, however, it has slipped a bit and may be the likely third-place finisher. A total around ¥8 billion ($70 million) remains likely.

>Ocean's 8 debuts this weekend, but based on its Friday numbers and Saturday pre-sales, doesn't appear likely to become a hit in the market. It'll earn a top 5 debut, but an opening around the forecast will probably only result in about a ¥2 billion ($20 million) total.

[titanic2187]

Japan Box Office: Weekend Actual (08/11-12) from corpse 

 

(C)2018「劇場版コード・ブルー －ドクターヘリ緊急救命－」製作委員会

Weekend Actuals (08/11-12)
01 (01) ¥613,000,000 ($5.6 million), -12%, ¥5,203,000,000 ($46.7 million), Code Blue (Toho) WK3
02 (02) ¥530,060,700 ($4.8 million), -17%, ¥2,090,562,400 ($18.8 million), Mission: Impossible - Fallout (Toho-Towa) WK2
03 (03) ¥466,702,700 ($4.2 million), +11%, ¥2,066,605,300 ($18.6 million), Incredibles 2 (Disney) WK2
04 (04) ¥309,174,900 ($2.8 million), +05%, ¥6,494,500,100 ($57.9 million), Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (Toho-Towa) WK5
05 (---) ¥244,950,000 ($2.2 million), 0, ¥330,000,000 ($3.0 million), Ocean's 8 (Warner Bros.) NEW
06 (07) ¥154,220,000 ($1.4 million), +04%, ¥2,010,528,300 ($18.3 million), Mirai of the Future (Toho) WK4
07 (05) ¥135,000,000 ($1.2 million), -53%, ¥900,000,000 ($8.1 million), My Hero Academia: Two Heroes (Toho) WK2
08 (06) ¥128,886,100 ($1.2 million), -51%, ¥541,737,000 ($4.9 million), Kamen Rider Build: Be the One (Toei) WK2
09 (10) ¥124,621,630 ($1.1 million), +139%, ¥400,179,360 ($3.6 million), One Cut of the Dead (Asmik Ace) WK8
10 (09) ¥121,928,900 ($1.1 million), +05%, ¥2,327,479,900 ($21.0 million), Pokemon: Everyone's Story (Toho) WK5

>Code Blue repeats atop the box-office for a third-consecutive weekend, and exceeded the ¥5 billion blockbuster milestone, and 4 million admissions, in the process. Its three-week total is higher than all but one domestic live-action film before it, 2003's Bayside Shakedown: Save the Rainbow Bridge!, and its cumulative total is also running ahead of every other film this year at the same-point-in-time. Unless it receives a lackluster boost during Obon Festival (unlikely), I believe it has the advantage in the three-way battle with Detective Conan: Zero the Enforcer and Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom for the 2018 yearly crown, and could finish near ¥9 billion ($80 million).

>Mission: Impossible - Fallout defends its second place position with a great hold, and a second weekend that is almost on par with the opening weekends of the two previous films in the franchise. Its two-week total is, however, trailing Rogue Nation's, but Rogue Nation opened a few days closer to Obon Festival and had already received its initial holiday boost. Fallout will pull ahead in just a few days and will likely gain a comfortable lead. I'm expecting a total around ¥5.5 billion ($50 million).

>Incredibles 2 didn't impress in its debut weekend, but it then delivered great weekdays, and achieved a strong second weekend increase. Japanese audiences have been dismissive of the Pixar sequels, so perhaps this entry needed the positive WOM to spread to get moviegoers interested in checking another sequel out. Its chances of reaching the ¥5 billion ($45 million) blockbuster milestone is much higher now, and it may possibly even outgross the original film's ¥5.26 billion total.

>Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom had a harsh 50% drop last weekend due to screen/showtime & IMAX cuts, but it recovered some over the past weekdays, and enjoyed an impressive fifth weekend increase. It's still in the three-way battle with Detective Conan: Zero the Enforcer and Code Blue for the 2018 yearly crown, but it'll need a particularly strong Obon Festival to remain competitive. We'll see. A total of ¥8-8.5 billion ($70-75 million) remains the likely total.

>Ocean's 8 settles for a fifth place debut, and couldn't go beyond having an ordinary opening, either. It sold 177,808 admissions over the weekend across 326 screens. It won't be able to match the success of its male predecessors, and will likely only finish around ¥2 billion (~$20 million).

>One Cut of the Dead surprises yet again and remains -- and climbs one position -- in the top 10 after an expansion. The film has received glowing reviews at festivals, and among audiences since its release, with a lot of people saying it's one of the best zombie comedy films ever. That's a short-list of contenders, I'm sure, but it's been compared to Shaun of the Dead.

Note: The weekend gross/cumulative total for My Hero Academia: Two Heroes remains an estimate. I'll update it when the figures are available.

Obon Festival -- the strongest week of the box-office -- begins this week, so expect huge weekday performances that are likely to double the weekend grosses above from Monday through Friday.

 

Edited August 14, 2018 by titanic2187