JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW

[fmpro]

Corpse

 

Obon Festival 2018 - Daily Estimates (08/13-17)

Monday (08/13)
¥285 million ($2.6 million), +56%, ¥5.510 billion ($49.5 million), Code Blue (Day 18)
¥250 million ($2.3 million), +83%, ¥2.315 billion ($20.9 million), Incredibles 2 (Day 13)
¥235 million ($2.1 million), +76%, ¥2.325 billion ($21.0 million), Mission: Impossible - Fallout (Day 11)
¥145 million ($1.3 million), +123%, ¥6.640 billion ($59.2 million), Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (Day 32)
¥110 million ($1.0 million), 0, ¥440.0 million ($4.0 million), Ocean's 8 (Day 4)
¥80 million ($725,000), +97%, ¥2.090 billion ($19.0 million), Mirai of the Future (Day 25)
¥65 million ($590,000), -09%, ¥975.0 million ($8.8 million), My Hero Academia: Two Heroes (Day 11)
¥60 million ($545,000), +55%, ¥2.390 billion ($21.6 million), Pokemon: Everyone's Story (Day 32)
¥50 million ($455,000), +17%, ¥650.0 million ($5.9 million), Sensei Kunshun (Day 13)
¥45 million ($410,000), +24%, ¥585.0 million ($5.3 million), Kamen Rider Build: Be the One (Day 10)

Tuesday (08/14)
¥310 million ($2.8 million), +105%, ¥5.820 billion ($52.3 million), Code Blue (Day 19)
¥265 million ($2.4 million), +134%, ¥2.590 billion ($23.4 million), Mission: Impossible - Fallout (Day 12)
¥260 million ($2.3 million), +107%, ¥2.575 billion ($23.2 million), Incredibles 2 (Day 14)
¥165 million ($1.5 million), +179%, ¥6.805 billion ($60.7 million), Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (Day 33)
¥125 million ($1.1 million), 0, ¥565.0 million ($5.1 million), Ocean's 8 (Day 5)
¥90 million ($810,000), +136%, ¥2.180 billion ($19.8 million), Mirai of the Future (Day 26)
¥65 million ($585,000), +71%, ¥2.455 billion ($22.2 million), Pokemon: Everyone's Story (Day 33)
¥65 million ($585,000), +26%, ¥1.040 billion ($9.4 million), My Hero Academia: Two Heroes (Day 12)
¥60 million ($540,000), +454%, ¥495.0 million ($4.5 million), One Cut of the Dead (Day 53)
¥55 million ($495,000), +40%, ¥705.0 million ($6.4 million), Sensei Kunshun (Day 14)

Wednesday (08/15)
¥315 million ($2.8 million), +48%, ¥6.135 billion ($55.1 million), Code Blue (Day 20)
¥260 million ($2.3 million), +60%, ¥2.835 billion ($25.5 million), Incredibles 2 (Day 15)
¥235 million ($2.1 million), +83%, ¥2.825 billion ($25.5 million), Mission: Impossible - Fallout (Day 13)
¥160 million ($1.4 million), +102%, ¥6.965 billion ($62.1 million), Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (Day 34)
¥125 million ($1.1 million), 0, ¥690.0 million ($6.2 million), Ocean's 8 (Day 6)
¥85 million ($765,000), +70%, ¥2.265 billion ($20.6 million), Mirai of the Future (Day 27)
¥65 million ($585,000), +44%, ¥2.520 billion ($22.8 million), Pokemon: Everyone's Story (Day 34)
¥60 million ($540,000), +10%, ¥1.100 billion ($9.9 million), My Hero Academia: Two Heroes (Day 13)
¥55 million ($495,000), +288%, ¥550.0 million ($5.0 million), One Cut of the Dead (Day 54)
¥55 million ($495,000), +25%, ¥760.0 million ($6.9 million), Sensei Kunshun (Day 15)

Thursday (08/16)
¥205 million ($1.9 million), +14%, ¥6.340 billion ($57.0 million), Code Blue (Day 21)
¥185 million ($1.7 million), +47%, ¥3.020 billion ($27.2 million), Incredibles 2 (Day 16)
¥160 million ($1.4 million), +52%, ¥2.985 billion ($26.9 million), Mission: Impossible - Fallout (Day 14)
¥115 million ($1.0 million), +79%, ¥7.080 billion ($63.1 million), Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (Day 35)
¥80 million ($720,000), 0, ¥770.0 million ($6.9 million), Ocean's 8 (Day 7)
¥60 million ($540,000), +59%, ¥2.325 billion ($21.1 million), Mirai of the Future (Day 28)
¥50 million ($450,000), +40%, ¥2.570 billion ($23.2 million), Pokemon: Everyone's Story (Day 35)
¥45 million ($405,000), +21%, ¥805.0 million ($7.3 million), Sensei Kunshun (Day 16)
¥40 million ($360,000), +02%, ¥1.140 billion ($10.3 million), My Hero Academia: Two Heroes (Day 14)
¥40 million ($360,000), +369%, ¥590.0 million ($5.4 million), One Cut of the Dead (Day 55)

Friday (08/17)
¥290 million ($2.6 million), 0, ¥290.0 million ($2.6 million), Gintama 2 (NEW)
¥160 million ($1.4 million), -14%, ¥6.500 billion ($58.4 million), Code Blue (Day 22)
¥120 million ($1.1 million), -12%, ¥3.140 billion ($28.3 million), Incredibles 2 (Day 17)
¥115 million ($1.0 million), -12%, ¥3.100 billion ($27.9 million), Mission: Impossible - Fallout (Day 15)
¥70 million ($630,000), -03%, ¥7.150 billion ($63.7 million), Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (Day 36)
¥65 million ($585,000), -28%, ¥835.0 million ($7.5 million), Ocean's 8 (Day 😎
¥45 million ($405,000), -04%, ¥2.370 billion ($21.5 million), Mirai of the Future (Day 29)
¥45 million ($405,000), +49%, ¥635.0 million ($5.8 million), One Cut of the Dead (Day 56)
¥40 million ($360,000), 0, ¥40.00 million ($360,000), Penguin Highway (NEW)
¥30 million ($270,000), -18%, ¥2.600 billion ($23.5 million), Pokemon: Everyone's Story (Day 36)
¥30 million ($270,000), -28%, ¥835.0 million ($7.6 million), Sensei Kunshun (Day 17)
¥30 million ($270,000), -37%, ¥1.170 billion ($10.6 million), My Hero Academia: Two Heroes (Day 14)
 

[pepsa]

Corps said most movies did 3 time their weekend during the 5 day obon fest and animations could go up to 4time but it doesn't seem to bet his way this year. 

[a2k]

jw2 should be around $66 by sunday. how much more can it add? $70+ seems certian but can it do $75? that would greatly help $1300 ww chances.

 

edit:

from @KP1025 's post below

Quote

Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom is still performing very well, and is going to exceed ¥8 billion ($70 million) without much trouble and should reach ¥8.5 billion ($75 million)... But I just don't think it has enough in the tank to finish closer to or above ¥9 billion ($80 million) which is needed to win the yearly crown. Either way, it's looking at a 89-92% retention from the original, which is stellar.

 

Edited August 17, 2018 by a2k

[KP1025]

Corpse:

 

Weekend Forecast (08/18-19)
01 (---) ¥575,000,000 ($5.2 million), 0, ¥865,000,000 ($7.8 million), Gintama 2 (Warner Bros.) NEW
02 (01) ¥441,000,000 ($4.0 million), -28%, ¥6,950,000,000 ($62.4 million), Code Blue (Toho) WK4
03 (02) ¥408,000,000 ($3.7 million), -23%, ¥3,510,000,000 ($31.6 million), Mission: Impossible - Fallout (Toho-Towa) WK3
04 (03) ¥339,000,000 ($3.1 million), -27%, ¥3,480,000,000 ($31.4 million), Incredibles 2 (Disney) WK3
05 (04) ¥241,000,000 ($2.2 million), -22%, ¥7,390,000,000 ($65.9 million), Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (Toho-Towa) WK6
06 (---) ¥225,000,000 ($2.0 million), 0, ¥225,000,000 ($2.0 million), The Seven Deadly Sins: Prisoner of the Sky (Toei) NEW
07 (05) ¥202,000,000 ($1.8 million), -17%, ¥1,030,000,000 ($9.3 million), Ocean's 8 (Warner Bros.) WK2
08 (09) ¥148,000,000 ($1.3 million), +20%, ¥785,000,000 ($7.1 million), One Cut of the Dead (Asmik Ace) WK9
09 (06) ¥117,000,000 ($1.1 million), -24%, ¥2,490,000,000 ($22.6 million), Mirai of the Future (Toho) WK5
10 (10) ¥87,000,000 ($785,000), -29%, ¥2,685,000,000 ($24.3 million), Pokemon: Everyone's Story (Toho) WK6
11 (07) ¥85,000,000 ($765,000), -39%, ¥1,255,000,000 ($11.4 million), My Hero Academia: Two Heroes (Toho) WK3
12 (---) ¥80,000,000 ($720,000), 0, ¥110,000,000 ($990,000), Penguin Highway (Toho Video Division) NEW

Gintama 2 is outpacing its predecessor in pre-sales by a fair margin (~15%), and looks to once again debut above the ¥500 million mark, and maybe reaching ¥600 million this time. Live-action adaptations of popular manga/anime haven't performed well in recent years, but the very loyal fans of Gintama brand continue to support it in every way they can. Look for it to finish around ¥3.5-4 billion ($30-35 million) if the weekend forecast is accurate. It's the shonen series that always seems like it's about to lose steam/popularity, just to rises back up once again.

Code Blue will likely be dethroned in its fourth-weekend, but is still going to deliver a strong result in second place. It'll be right on the cusp of the ¥7 billion milestone after Sunday, and will soon overtake Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom. It's easily going to exceed ¥8 billion ($70 million), a milestone that only seven other domestic live-action films have done before it, and will be aiming for a total around ¥9 billion ($80 million) -- a milestone that only three domestic live-action films have achieved. It's the favorite to win the 2018 yearly crown now, as it'll overtake Fallen Kingdom as mentioned, and should outgross Detective Conan: Zero the Enforcer (est. ¥8.69 billion).

Mission: Impossible - Fallout and Incredibles 2 continue to remain incredibly close to one another and are aiming to exceed ¥5 billion ($45 million+). Both films are very likely to exceed the blockbuster milestone, and may approach ¥6 billion (~$55 million). I'm leaning toward Fallout being highest earner of the two, since it'll survive the post-Summer drop-off more than Incredibles 2, but it's going to be close.

Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom is still performing very well, and is going to exceed ¥8 billion ($70 million) without much trouble and should reach ¥8.5 billion ($75 million)... But I just don't think it has enough in the tank to finish closer to or above ¥9 billion ($80 million) which is needed to win the yearly crown. Either way, it's looking at a 89-92% retention from the original, which is stellar.

The Seven Deadly Sins: Prisoner of the Sky is an original animated film based on the popular manga/anime series and should deliver a solid debut based on good pre-sales. It's unlikely to open in the Top 5, but a debut around the forecast may be enough to get it above the ¥1 billion ($10 million) milestone.

One Cut of the Dead is expanding a bit more and will probably see another increase based on its pre-sales. It's pretty incredible how this zombie-comedy managed to stay very relevant in limited release for nearly two months to achieve an expansion (very rare in Japan), and to now be posting these numbers while still in limited release (96 theaters). It's certainly one of the most impressive performances of the year, and may stick around in the bottom-half of the Top 10 for many weeks to come.

 

 

[titanic2187]

From corpse

 Japan Box Office: Weekend Actuals (08/18-19)

(C)空知英秋／集英社 (C)2018 映画「銀魂2」製作委員会

Weekend Actuals (08/18-19)
01 (---) ¥528,218,200 ($4.8 million), 0, ¥807,518,400 ($7.3 million), Gintama 2 (Warner Bros.) NEW
02 (01) ¥425,614,300 ($3.9 million), -30%, ¥6,908,537,800 ($62.1 million), Code Blue (Toho) WK4
03 (02) ¥311,288,200 ($2.8 million), -41%, ¥3,425,934,300 ($31.0 million), Mission: Impossible - Fallout (Toho-Towa) WK3
04 (03) ¥283,605,300 ($2.6 million), -39%, ¥3,389,265,400 ($30.7 million), Incredibles 2 (Disney) WK3
05 (---) ¥196,161,900 ($1.8 million), 0, ¥196,161,900 ($1.8 million), The Seven Deadly Sins: Prisoner of the Sky (Toei) NEW
06 (04) ¥175,790,700 ($1.6 million), -43%, ¥7,355,465,700 ($65.7 million), Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (Toho-Towa) WK6
07 (05) ¥162,117,600 ($1.5 million), -34%, ¥1,002,686,200 ($9.1 million), Ocean's 8 (Warner Bros.) WK2
08 (09) ¥151,266,710 ($1.4 million), +21%, ¥824,181,290 ($7.4 million), One Cut of the Dead (Asmik Ace) WK9
09 (06) ¥93,293,300 ($844,000), -40%, ¥2,452,486,000 ($22.3 million), Mirai of the Future (Toho) WK5
10 (10) ¥72,759,300 ($658,000), -40%, ¥2,673,030,600 ($24.2 million), Pokemon: Everyone's Story (Toho) WK6
11 (07) ¥71,958,500 ($651,000), -48%, ¥1,245,978,300 ($11.3 million), My Hero Academia: Two Heroes (Toho) WK3
12 (08) ¥66,009,100 ($597,000), -49%, ¥793,739,600 ($7.2 million), Kamen Rider Build: Be the One (Toei) WK3

Many bigger drops than expected this weekend, but perhaps it was a result of the incredibly strong dailies leading into the weekend thanks to Obon Festival. Typically, this weekend has seen stronger holds, but it has been six years since the same days have lined up, so the stronger weekdays probably deflated the weekend frame itself.

>Gintama 2, the live-action sequel to the popular anime/manga series, came out on top in its debut weekend, selling 385,058 admissions across 346 screens to give Warner Bros. their biggest opening of 2018. Despite a nice lead in pre-sales versus the original film, though, it ended up opening 2.5% below its predecessor. This is, however, still a very solid result, one that most live-action anime/manga adaptations in recent years could only hope to achieve. The first film was released earlier in Summer, so I don't think the sequel will match its legs, but it should still exceed ¥3 billion and finish near ¥3.5 billion ($30 million).

>Code Blue was dethroned in its fourth-weekend, but still delivered the second strongest hold in the Top 12. The live-action film based on the popular TV drama has exceeded 5.3 million admissions after four weeks in release. It's easily going to exceed ¥8 billion ($70 million), a milestone that only seven other domestic live-action films have done before it, and will be aiming for a total around ¥9 billion ($80 million) -- a milestone that only three domestic live-action films have achieved. It's the favorite to win the 2018 yearly crown now, as it'll overtake Fallen Kingdom as mentioned, and should outgross Detective Conan: Zero the Enforcer (est. ¥8.69 billion).

>Mission: Impossible - Fallout drops to third, and sees a sharp decline in its third weekend. Its three-week cumulative total is on par with Rogue Nation, but it'll have a few more days in Summer than its predecessor and should outgross it in the end. Expect a total near ¥5.5 billion ($50 million).

>Incredibles 2 experiences a harsh third weekend drop, but its weekday performance has been so huge, so far, that its cumulative total reflects it true appeal. Its three-week total is pretty much where it was expected to finish following its disappointing opening weekend, and it's on pace to finish around the ¥5 billion ($45 million) milestone. 

>The Seven Deadly Sins: Prisoner of the Sky, an original animated film based on the popular manga/anime series, actually managed to achieve a Top 5 debut thanks to the holdovers dropping hard this weekend, and sold a fair 169,095 admissions over the weekend across 274 screens. It'll surely have some frontloading, but I think it'll just barely reach the ¥1 billion ($10 million) milestone, which would make it a success.

>Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom sees one of the biggest drops this weekend, but again, following very strong dailies from Obon Festival (among the biggest week-to-week increases last week), its reached a very, very impressive total after six weeks in release. It will overtake Star Wars: The Last Jedi in both gross and admissions in a few days to become the second biggest film of 2018, but then Code Blue will overtake it for the #2 spot not long thereafter. Look for the film to finish around ¥8.5 billion ($75 million). 

>One Cut of the Dead expands a bit more, and increases some more. This film has quickly become one of the most impressive performers of 2018, and will likely hang around for quite some time. It's probably going to hit ¥1.5 billion ($15 million), at least, but could go higher. Demand remains very high.

[titanic2187]

2018 - Top Grossing Films
Gross ¥ ($) / Admissions [Days In Release] - Film (Distributor)

¥10 billion ↨
¥8.69 billion ($79.4 million) / 6.64 million [E] - Detective Conan: Zero the Enforcer (Toho)
¥7.50 billion ($66.2 million) / 5.05 million [E] - Star Wars: The Last Jedi (Disney)
¥7.36 billion ($65.7 million) / 4.99 million [38] - Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (Toho-Towa)
¥6.91 billion ($62.1 million) / 5.38 million [24] - Code Blue (Toho)
¥5.37 billion ($50.0 million) / 4.68 million [F] - Doraemon: Nobita's Treasure Island (Toho)
¥5.13 billion ($47.8 million) / 3.67 million [E] - The Greatest Showman (Fox)
¥5 billion ↨
¥4.93 billion ($46.0 million) / 3.93 million [E] - Coco (Disney)
¥4.30 billion ($38.9 million) / 3.50 million [E] - Shoplifters (Gaga)
¥3.73 billion ($34.0 million) / 2.50 million [F] - Avengers: Infinity War (Disney)
¥3.43 billion ($31.8 million) / 2.93 million [F] - The Boss Baby (Toho-Towa)
¥3.42 billion ($31.0 million) / 2.48 million [17] - Mission: Impossible - Fallout (Toho-Towa)
¥3.39 billion ($30.7 million) / 2.82 million [19] - Incredibles 2 (Disney)
¥3.21 billion ($28.6 million) / 2.54 million [F] - Destiny: The Tale of Kakamura (Toho)
¥3 billion ↨
¥2.80 billion ($25.0 million) / 2.23 million [F] - The 8-Year Engagement (Shochiku)
¥2.67 billion ($24.2 million) / 2.35 million [38] - Pokemon: Everyone's Story (Toho)
¥2.50 billion ($22.8 million) / 1.53 million [E] - Ready Player One (Warner Bros.)
¥2.45 billion ($22.3 million) / 1.94 million [31] - Mirai of the Future (Toho)
¥2.09 billion ($18.9 million) / 1.50 million [E] - Solo: A Star Wars Story (Disney)
¥2.04 billion ($18.2 million) / 1.82 million [F] - Yo-Kai Watch: Shadowside - Resurrection of the Demon King (Toho)
¥2 billion ↨
¥1.83 billion ($16.6 million) / 1.55 million [F] - Crayon Shin-chan: Kung-Fu Boys Ramen Rebellion (Toho)
¥1.78 billion ($16.2 million) / 1.18 million [E] - Deadpool 2 (Fox)
¥1.73 billion ($16.1 million) / 1.47 million [F] - Chihayafuru: Conclusion (Toho)
¥1.70 billion ($15.5 million) / 1.40 million [F] - Legend of the Demon Cat (Toho/Kadokawa)
¥1.70 billion ($15.3 million) / 1.22 million [F] - Kingsman: The Golden Circle (Fox)
¥1.70 billion ($15.2 million) / 1.36 million [E] - Recall (Shochiku)
¥1.62 billion ($14.5 million) / 1.28 million [F] - Murder on the Orient Express (Fox)
¥1.59 billion ($14.5 million) / 1.27 million [F] - The Crimes That Bind (Toho)
¥1.55 billion ($14.4 million) / 1.03 million [F] - Black Panther (Disney)
¥1.38 billion ($12.4 million) / 1.06 million [F] - Laplace's Witch (Toho)
¥1.26 billion ($11.3 million) / 1.06 million [E] - Kamen Hensei Generations FINAL: Build & Ex-Aid With Legend Riders (Toei)
¥1.25 billion ($11.3 million) / 1.01 million [17] - My Hero Academia: Two Heroes (Toho)
¥1.23 billion ($11.2 million) / 0.90 million [E] - Geostorm (Warner Bros.)
¥1.21 billion ($11.0 million) / 0.97 million [E] - 50 First Kisses (Sony)
¥1.21 billion ($11.0 million) / 0.83 million [E] - Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle (Sony)
¥1.20 billion ($11.0 million) / 0.97 million [E] - Sakura: Guardian in the North (Toei)
¥1.12 billion ($10.0 million) / 0.87 million [E] - Fullmetal Alchemist (Warner Bros.)
¥1.11 billion ($9.9 million) / 0.89 million [E] - Peter Rabbit (Sony)
¥1.01 billion ($9.5 million) / 0.79 million [E] - Tonight, at the Movies (Warner Bros.)
¥1.00 billion ($9.1 million) / 0.76 million [10] - Ocean's 8 (Warner Bros.)
¥1 billion ↑

Legend:
¥10 billion+ (Uber-Blockbuster) / ¥5 billion+ (Blockbuster) / ¥3 billion+ (Hit) / ¥2 billion+ (Respectable) / ¥1 billion+ (Commercial Success)

[titanic2187]

From corpse:

Weekday Estimates (08/20-25)

Monday (08/20)
¥130 million ($1.2 million), 0, ¥940.0 million ($8.5 million), Gintama 2 (Day 04)
¥110 million ($1.0 million), -61%, ¥7.020 billion ($63.1 million), Code Blue (Day 25)
¥*90 million ($815,000), -63%, ¥3.480 billion ($31.5 million), Incredibles 2 (Day 20)
¥*65 million ($590,000), -73%, ¥3.490 billion ($31.6 million), Mission: Impossible - Fallout (Day 18)
¥*45 million ($405,000), -71%, ¥7.400 billion ($66.1 million), Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (Day 39)
¥*40 million ($360,000), -62%, ¥1.040 billion ($9.5 million), Ocean's 8 (Day 11)
¥*40 million ($360,000), -14%, ¥865.0 million ($7.8 million), One Cut of the Dead (Day 59)
¥*40 million ($360,000), 0, ¥235.0 million ($2.2 million), The Seven Deadly Sins: Prisoner of the Sky (Day 03)
¥*30 million ($270,000), -66%, ¥2.475 billion ($22.6 million), Mirai of the Future (Day 32)
¥*25 million ($225,000), -50%, ¥870.0 million ($7.9 million), Sensei Kunshun (Day 20)
¥*20 million ($180,000), -64%, ¥2.695 billion ($24.4 million), Pokemon: Everyone's Story (Day 39)
¥*20 million ($180,000), -66%, ¥1.265 billion ($11.5 million), My Hero Academia: Two Heroes (Day 18)

Tuesday (08/21)
¥95 million ($865,000), 0, ¥1.035 billion ($9.4 million), Gintama 2 (Day 05)
¥80 million ($725,000), -75%, ¥7.100 billion ($63.8 million), Code Blue (Day 26)
¥70 million ($635,000), -74%, ¥3.550 billion ($32.1 million), Incredibles 2 (Day 21)
¥50 million ($455,000), -82%, ¥3.540 billion ($32.1 million), Mission: Impossible - Fallout (Day 19)
¥30 million ($275,000), -81%, ¥7.430 billion ($66.4 million), Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (Day 40)
¥30 million ($275,000), -75%, ¥1.070 billion ($9.8 million), Ocean's 8 (Day 12)
¥30 million ($275,000), -47%, ¥895.0 million ($8.1 million), One Cut of the Dead (Day 60)
¥25 million ($225,000), 0, ¥260.0 million ($2.4 million), The Seven Deadly Sins: Prisoner of the Sky (Day 04)
¥20 million ($180,000), -76%, ¥2.495 billion ($22.8 million), Mirai of the Future (Day 33)
¥20 million ($180,000), -61%, ¥890.0 million ($8.1 million), Sensei Kunshun (Day 21)
¥20 million ($180,000), -72%, ¥2.715 billion ($24.6 million), Pokemon: Everyone's Story (Day 40)
¥15 million ($135,000), -75%, ¥1.280 billion ($11.6 million), My Hero Academia: Two Heroes (Day 19)

Wednesday (08/22)
¥140 million ($1.3 million), 0, ¥1.175 billion ($10.7 million), Gintama 2 (Day 06)
¥130 million ($1.2 million), -59%, ¥7.230 billion ($65.0 million), Code Blue (Day 27)
¥105 million ($960,000), -61%, ¥3.655 billion ($33.1 million), Incredibles 2 (Day 22)
¥*70 million ($640,000), -70%, ¥3.610 billion ($32.7 million), Mission: Impossible - Fallout (Day 20)
¥*50 million ($455,000), -60%, ¥1.120 billion ($10.3 million), Ocean's 8 (Day 13)
¥*45 million ($410,000), -70%, ¥7.475 billion ($66.8 million), Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (Day 41)
¥*45 million ($410,000), -11%, ¥940.0 million ($8.5 million), One Cut of the Dead (Day 61)
¥*30 million ($275,000), 0, ¥290.0 million ($2.7 million), The Seven Deadly Sins: Prisoner of the Sky (Day 05)
¥*30 million ($275,000), -63%, ¥2.525 billion ($23.1 million), Mirai of the Future (Day 34)
¥*25 million ($230,000), -53%, ¥915.0 million ($8.3 million), Sensei Kunshun (Day 22)
¥*25 million ($230,000), -62%, ¥2.740 billion ($24.8 million), Pokemon: Everyone's Story (Day 41)
¥*20 million ($180,000), -66%, ¥1.300 billion ($11.8 million), My Hero Academia: Two Heroes (Day 20)

Thursday (08/23)
¥80 million ($720,000), 0, ¥1.255 billion ($11.4 million), Gintama 2 (Day 07)
¥70 million ($630,000), -64%, ¥7.300 billion ($65.6 million), Code Blue (Day 28)
¥65 million ($585,000), -64%, ¥3.720 billion ($33.7 million), Incredibles 2 (Day 23)
¥40 million ($360,000), -74%, ¥3.650 billion ($33.1 million), Mission: Impossible - Fallout (Day 21)
¥30 million ($270,000), -72%, ¥7.505 billion ($67.1 million), Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (Day 42)
¥30 million ($270,000), -30%, ¥970.0 million ($8.8 million), One Cut of the Dead (Day 62)
¥25 million ($225,000), -68%, ¥1.145 billion ($10.5 million), Ocean's 8 (Day 14)
¥20 million ($180,000), 0, ¥310.0 million ($2.9 million), The Seven Deadly Sins: Prisoner of the Sky (Day 06)
¥20 million ($180,000), -67%, ¥2.545 billion ($23.3 million), Mirai of the Future (Day 35)
¥20 million ($180,000), -58%, ¥935.0 million ($8.5 million), Sensei Kunshun (Day 23)
¥20 million ($180,000), -63%, ¥2.760 billion ($25.0 million), Pokemon: Everyone's Story (Day 42)
¥15 million ($135,000), -66%, ¥1.315 billion ($11.9 million), My Hero Academia: Two Heroes (Day 21)

Friday (08/24)
¥155 million ($1.4 million), 0, ¥155.0 million ($1.4 million), Killing for the Prosecution (NEW)
¥x95 million ($850,000), -68%, ¥1.350 billion ($12.3 million), Gintama 2 (Day 08)
¥x75 million ($675,000), -52%, ¥7.375 billion ($66.3 million), Code Blue (Day 29)
¥x65 million ($585,000), -45%, ¥3.785 billion ($34.3 million), Incredibles 2 (Day 24)
¥x55 million ($495,000), 0, ¥55.00 million ($495,000), Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again (NEW)
¥x55 million ($495,000), +17%, ¥1.025 billion ($9.3 million), One Cut of the Dead (Day 63)
¥x45 million ($405,000), -60%, ¥3.695 billion ($33.5 million), Mission: Impossible - Fallout (Day 22)
¥x30 million ($270,000), -60%, ¥7.535 billion ($67.4 million), Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (Day 43)
¥x25 million ($225,000), -57%, ¥1.170 billion ($10.7 million), Ocean's 8 (Day 15)
¥x20 million ($180,000), 0, ¥330.0 million ($3.1 million), The Seven Deadly Sins: Prisoner of the Sky (Day 07)
¥x15 million ($135,000), -64%, ¥2.560 billion ($23.4 million), Mirai of the Future (Day 36)
¥x15 million ($135,000), -56%, ¥950.0 million ($8.6 million), Sensei Kunshun (Day 24)

% changes versus same-day-last week.

Note: Last Week was Obon Festival, so the week-to-week drops are going to be massive; however, the dailies themselves will still be very good since there are still two weeks left until the end of Summer Vacation.

 

Weekend Estimates (08/25-26)
01 (---) ¥400,000,000 ($3.6 million), 0, ¥555,000,000 ($5.0 million), Killing for the Prosecutors (Toho) NEW
02 (01) ¥369,000,000 ($3.3 million), -30%, ¥1,715,000,000 ($15.5 million), Gintama 2 (Warner Bros.) WK2
03 (02) ¥289,000,000 ($2.6 million), -32%, ¥7,665,000,000 ($68.9 million), Code Blue (Toho) WK5
04 (04) ¥224,000,000 ($2.0 million), -21%, ¥4,010,000,000 ($36.3 million), Incredibles 2 (Disney) WK4
05 (08) ¥204,000,000 ($1.8 million), +35%, ¥1,235,000,000 ($11.2 million), One Cut of the Dead (Asmik Ace) WK10
06 (03) ¥199,000,000 ($1.8 million), -36%, ¥3,895,000,000 ($35.3 million), Mission: Impossible - Fallout (Toho-Towa) WK4
07 (---) ¥160,000,000 ($1.4 million), 0, ¥215,000,000 ($1.9 million), Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again (Toho-Towa) NEW
08 (06) ¥118,000,000 ($1.1 million), -33%, ¥7,650,000,000 ($68.5 million), Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (Toho-Towa) WK7
09 (07) ¥99,000,000 ($890,000), -39%, ¥1,270,000,000 ($11.6 million), Ocean's 8 (Warner Bros.) WK3
10 (05) ¥78,000,000 ($700,000), -60%, ¥410,000,000 ($3.8 million), The Seven Deadly Sins: Prisoner of the Sky (Toei) WK2
11 (09) ¥61,000,000 ($545,000), -34%, ¥2,625,000,000 ($24.0 million), Mirai of the Future (Toho) WK6
12 (10) ¥58,000,000 ($520,000), -36%, ¥245,000,000 ($2.2 million), Penguin Highway (Toho VIdeo Division) WK2

 

>Killing for the Prosecutors is aiming to debut atop the box-office on the last weekend of Summer, and looks to do so with a pretty good opening based on its Friday performance and Saturday pre-sales. 

>Gintama 2 still has a shot at retaining its #1 position in its second weekend, especially since it's possible its first week may have been deflated a bit (due to the typhoons), resulting in a possible strong second weekend hold. 

>Code Blue will likely overtake Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom on Sunday to become the second-biggest film of 2018, and will then set its sights on Detective Conan: Zero the Enforcer to become the #1 film of the year. I believe it will claim the 2018 yearly crown, but it can't afford any mishaps over the next few weeks.

>Incredibles 2 should reach the ¥4 billion milestone on Sunday (or be barely shy), proving that lower than expected opening weekends doesn't always spell doom. It's almost at a 10 multiplier after four weeks! Mission: Impossible - Fallout has been falling a bit behind the Incredibles sequel in recent days, and may also fall behind it over the weekend as well. I had the sixth Mission: Impossible as the favorite, if only slightly, in their very close race, but I'm not sure now. It's 50/50 as both films aim for blockbuster status -- ¥5 billion.

>Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again doesn't appear to be attracting many who turned out for the first film based on Friday and its Saturday pre-sales. Perhaps it'll improve over the weekend, but if it debuts around the weekend forecast, it's looking at a potential 50%+ decline versus the original film. I can't think of any other live-action musical sequels, so this may set a precedent.

>One Shot of the Dead continues to expand, and will be in wide release (131 locations) for the first time this weekend -- its tenth weekend of release. As the incredible WOM spreads, and more people have access to the film due to it expanding, it's impossible to know where this one is headed. Early ticket sales are suggesting an increase over 30%, but I'm going to be a little conservative.

Note: Due to a couple typhoons affecting the country this past week, and probably deflating the box-office a tad, it's possible weekend holds could end up a bit stronger than expected.

Mostly expected numbers all-around, so I'm going to take this time to talk about the film you see above that just increased over 30% in its tenth weekend of release...That film is the indie zombie-comedy film called One Cut of the Dead, directed by Shinichiro Ueda. 

After opening at 1 location on an 84 seat screen in June, the film continues to surge and may have broke into the Top 5 in its tenth weekend. The film still has a lot of potential to expand further, as it only just reached wide-release this weekend by playing in 131 locations. Again, it's difficult to project where it's headed, but it seems that ¥2 billion (~$20 million) is likely at this point, at the very least. 

It only cost ¥3 million ($27,000) to make, so it's going to gross over 700 times its budget, minimum. Probably over 800 times its budget.

The film is only 37 minutes (a single take), but I'm unsure if that includes any credits. I'm curious if, perhaps, Japan will select it as their Best Foreign-Language Picture entry for the Academy Awards this year if it would qualify, or if it could receive a Best Short Film nomination instead. It certainly seems like a bizarre choice, but reviews are incredible -- audience reception in particular has been amazing -- and it's been a hit at award shows internationally already, so... maybe? 

Distribution rights have also been sold to China, the U.K., South Korea, Germany, and other major markets, as well.

[UserHN]

Can someone familiar with the Japanes BO predict if there will be a Yuzuru Hanyu effect on Disney's Christopher Robin? 

[CoolK]

weekend actuals from corpse:

 

Re: Japan Box Office: Weekend Actuals (08/25-26)

(C)2018 TOHO/JStorm

Weekend Actuals (08/25-26)
01 (---) ¥415,616,000 ($3.8 million), 0, ¥580,636,800 ($5.2 million), Killing for the Prosecutors (Toho) NEW
02 (01) ¥371,130,700 ($3.3 million), -30%, ¥1,741,487,200 ($15.7 million), Gintama 2 (Warner Bros.) WK2
03 (02) ¥285,484,800 ($2.6 million), -33%, ¥7,733,812,300 ($69.5 million), Code Blue (Toho) WK5
04 (04) ¥220,827,400 ($2.0 million), -22%, ¥4,030,281,200 ($36.5 million), Incredibles 2 (Disney) WK4
05 (03) ¥195,742,200 ($1.8 million), -37%, ¥3,936,193,500 ($35.6 million), Mission: Impossible - Fallout (Toho-Towa) WK4
06 (08) ¥190,120,930 ($1.7 million), +26%, ¥1,257,121,010 ($11.4 million), One Cut of the Dead (Asmik Ace) WK10
07 (---) ¥160,000,000 ($1.4 million), 0, ¥215,000,000 ($1.9 million), Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again (Toho-Towa) NEW
08 (06) ¥122,572,100 ($1.1 million), -31%, ¥7,685,172,000 ($68.8 million), Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (Toho-Towa) WK7
09 (07) ¥101,217,400 ($910,000), -38%, ¥1,304,476,400 ($11.9 million), Ocean's 8 (Warner Bros.) WK3
10 (05) ¥85,164,700 ($766,000), -57%, ¥427,180,300 ($3.9 million), The Seven Deadly Sins: Prisoner of the Sky (Toei) WK2
11 (09) ¥63,174,900 ($568,000), -34%, ¥2,634,550,700 ($24.1 million), Mirai of the Future (Toho) WK6
12 (10) ¥61,472,400 ($552,000), -33%, ¥307,322,300 ($2.8 million), Penguin Highway (Toho VIdeo Division) WK2

>Killing for the Prosecution, the latest film from acclaimed director Masato Harada, debuted atop the last weekend of the Summer Box-Office Season. The mystery film adapted from the novel of the same name sold a solid 317,807 admissions over the weekend frame across 335 screens, and reached 446,853 admissions since opening on Friday. Overall, a good start for the film, and it should finish around the ¥2.5 billion ($20-25 million) mark.

>Gintama 2 slips to second place, but delivered a solid hold, and has set itself up for a likely ¥3-3.5 billion ($30 million) performance. 

>Code Blue rounds out the top 3 in its fifth-weekend of release, and exceeded 6 million admissions as well. It's now the second biggest film of 2018, and is likely to outgross and sell more tickets than Detective Conan: Zero the Enforcer (¥8.69 billion) to become the #1 film of 2018. The last time a domestic live-action film topped the yearly box-office was in 2012 -- Umizaru: Brave Hearts. Expect a total north of ¥9 billion ($80 million+) and over 7 million admissions.

>Incredibles 2 continues its excellent performance, exceeding the ¥4 billion milestone over its fourth-weekend of release. It still has one week of Summer Vacation left to boost its box-office, so unless it collapses when school starts back, it should comfortably exceed the ¥5 billion ($45 million) blockbuster milestone and finish with a similar total as its predecessor (¥5.26 billion).

>Mission: Impossible - Fallout finishes off the top 5 in its fourth-weekend of release, and is right on the cusp of exceed the ¥4 billion milestone. It's trailing Mission: Impossible - Rogue Nation by 2.9% after four weeks, but with an extra week in August, it should be just about even with it next week. Every film in the Mission: Impossible franchise has achieved blockbuster-status (¥5 billion), and the sixth-entry should do the same once again -- although much closer than anticipated following its opening weekend.

>One Cut of the Dead keeps on doing its thing, once again seeing a double digit increase following another expansion. The indie-zombie flick has grossed 434 times its budget now. As I mentioned, it's really impossible to project where it's heading given it can still expand and demand/buzz remains very high. A total over ¥2 billion ($20 million) is at least guaranteed.

>Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again, strangely, hasn't had its weekend or 3-day total released yet. This is very unusual since it's a wide-release that definitely grossed over ¥100 million ($1 million), that also ranked in the top 10. It did only rank in seventh place. The figure above remains an estimate, and I'll update it when its actual is finally released.

[Viktor Vilotijevic]

So, Jurassic World 2 became the highest grossing US release in Japan this year. Nice! I guess it will stay like that till the end of the year.

[CoolK]

from corpse:

 

Daily Estimates (08/27-31)

Monday (08/27)
¥100 million ($900,000), 0, ¥680.0 million ($6.1 million), Killing for the Prosecutors (Day 04)
¥x80 million ($720,000), -39%, ¥1.820 billion ($16.4 million), Gintama 2 (Day 11)
¥x70 million ($630,000), -38%, ¥7.805 billion ($70.1 million), Code Blue (Day 32)
¥x60 million ($540,000), -35%, ¥4.090 billion ($37.0 million), Incredibles 2 (Day 27)
¥x40 million ($360,000), -41%, ¥3.975 billion ($36.0 million), Mission: Impossible - Fallout (Day 25)
¥x35 million ($315,000), -06%, ¥1.290 billion ($11.7 million), One Cut of the Dead (Day 66)
¥x35 million ($315,000), 0, ¥250.0 million ($2.2 million), Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again (Day 04)
¥x25 million ($225,000), -42%, ¥7.710 billion ($69.0 million), Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (Day 46)
¥x20 million ($180,000), -50%, ¥1.325 billion ($12.1 million), Ocean's 8 (Day 18)
¥x15 million ($135,000), -57%, ¥440.0 million ($4.0 million), The Seven Deadly Sins: Prisoner of the Sky (Day 11)
¥x15 million ($135,000), -46%, ¥2.650 billion ($24.2 million), Mirai of the Future (Day 39)
¥x15 million ($135,000), -46%, ¥1.055 billion ($9.6 million), Sensei Kunshu (Day 27)

Tuesday (08/28)
¥80 million ($720,000), 0, ¥760.0 million ($6.8 million), Killing for the Prosecutors (Day 05)
¥60 million ($540,000), -32%, ¥1.880 billion ($16.9 million), Gintama 2 (Day 12)
¥55 million ($495,000), -32%, ¥7.860 billion ($70.6 million), Code Blue (Day 33)
¥50 million ($450,000), -33%, ¥4.140 billion ($37.5 million), Incredibles 2 (Day 28)
¥30 million ($270,000), -36%, ¥4.005 billion ($36.3 million), Mission: Impossible - Fallout (Day 26)
¥30 million ($270,000), -07%, ¥1.320 billion ($12.0 million), One Cut of the Dead (Day 67)
¥30 million ($270,000), 0, ¥280.0 million ($2.5 million), Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again (Day 05)
¥20 million ($180,000), -37%, ¥7.730 billion ($69.2 million), Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (Day 47)
¥20 million ($180,000), -41%, ¥1.345 billion ($12.3 million), Ocean's 8 (Day 19)
¥12 million ($110,000), -55%, ¥452.0 million ($4.1 million), The Seven Deadly Sins: Prisoner of the Sky (Day 12)
¥12 million ($110,000), -44%, ¥2.662 billion ($24.3 million), Mirai of the Future (Day 40)
¥11 million ($100,000), -48%, ¥1.066 billion ($9.7 million), Sensei Kunshu (Day 28)

Wednesday (08/29)
¥120 million ($1.1 million), 0, ¥880.0 million ($7.9 million), Killing for the Prosecutors (Day 06)
¥x90 million ($810,000), -35%, ¥1.970 billion ($17.7 million), Gintama 2 (Day 13)
¥x85 million ($735,000), -34%, ¥7.945 billion ($71.3 million), Code Blue (Day 34)
¥x60 million ($540,000), -41%, ¥4.200 billion ($38.0 million), Incredibles 2 (Day 29)
¥x55 million ($495,000), 0, ¥335.0 million ($3.0 million), Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again (Day 06)
¥x45 million ($405,000), -36%, ¥4.050 billion ($36.7 million), Mission: Impossible - Fallout (Day 27)
¥x45 million ($405,000), -06%, ¥1.365 billion ($12.4 million), One Cut of the Dead (Day 68)
¥x30 million ($270,000), -43%, ¥7.760 billion ($69.5 million), Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (Day 48)
¥x30 million ($270,000), -44%, ¥1.375 billion ($12.6 million), Ocean's 8 (Day 20)
¥x15 million ($135,000), -48%, ¥2.678 billion ($24.4 million), Mirai of the Future (Day 41)
¥x15 million ($135,000), -50%, ¥1.081 billion ($9.8 million), Sensei Kunshu (Day 29)
¥x13 million ($115,000), -58%, ¥465.0 million ($4.2 million), The Seven Deadly Sins: Prisoner of the Sky (Day 13)

[Olive]

Ant-man 2 OW 322M yen , +61% over first one

[a2k]

I2 should cross $40 over the weekend.

[fastclock]

Weekend Forecast (09/01-02)
01 (01) ¥328,000,000 ($3.0 million), -21%, ¥1,360,000,000 ($12.2 million), Killing for the Prosecutors (Toho) WK2
02 (02) ¥304,000,000 ($2.7 million), -18%, ¥2,400,000,000 ($21.6 million), Gintama 2 (Warner Bros.) WK3
03 (---) ¥300,000,000 ($2.7 million), 0, ¥420,000,000 ($3.8 million), Ant-Man and the Wasp (Disney) NEW
04 (03) ¥251,000,000 ($2.3 million), -12%, ¥8,300,000,000 ($74.6 million), Code Blue (Toho) WK6
05 (06) ¥205,000,000 ($1.8 million), +08%, ¥1,625,000,000 ($14.7 million), One Cut of the Dead (Asmik Ace) WK11
06 (04) ¥185,000,000 ($1.7 million), -16%, ¥4,465,000,000 ($40.4 million), Incredibles 2 (Disney) WK5
07 (05) ¥153,000,000 ($1.4 million), -22%, ¥4,270,000,000 ($38.7 million), Mission: Impossible - Fallout (Toho-Towa) WK5
08 (07) ¥120,000,000 ($1.1 million), -19%, ¥515,000,000 ($4.7 million), Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again (Toho-Towa) WK2
09 (---) ¥110,000,000 ($1.0 million), 0, ¥145,000,000 ($1.3 million), Sunny: Strong Mind, Strong Love (Toho) NEW
10 (---) ¥100,000,000 ($900,000), 0, ¥100,000,000 ($900.000), Let Me Eat Your Pancreas (Aniplex) NEW
11 (08) ¥x90,000,000 ($810,000), -26%, ¥7,885,000,000 ($70.6 million), Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (Toho-Towa) WK8
12 (09) ¥x81,000,000 ($730,000), -20%, ¥1,490,000,000 ($13.5 million), Ocean's 8 (Warner Bros.) WK4

This weekend is tricky to predict. Saturday is going to be a very, very busy day, thanks to it being the first of the month (national discount day) and the last completely free day before schools/universities start back on Monday. And Sunday will likely be very weak since Saturday will greatly deflate it, and the evening/night showings, in particular, will probably be very slow. 

So... expect some great holds across the board, and while Saturday pre-sales do suggest a couple films (other than One Cut of the Dead) could experience a weekend increase, I really think Sunday will be weak enough to lower the overall weekend to probably prevent increases. Still, this weekend is generally very strong every year, and this year's will be no different.

Ant-Man and the Wasp will be aiming to debut atop the box-office, and while it has a fair chance, its pre-sales for Saturday just don't look strong enough to do so despite leading the pack. Marvel films typically have some degree of frontloading to them, so I think it'll fall just shy.

Also, this weekend will likely secure that Code Blue will go on to outgross Detective Conan: Zero the Enforcer to become the highest-grossing, and most-attended, film of 2018. If it has a sixth-weekend similar to the forecast above, it's likely to exceed ¥9 billion ($81/82 million). It'll become only the fourth domestic live-action to ever exceed ¥9 billion, and it'll be the first domestic live-action film to top a year since 2012.

[Quigley]

3 hours ago, fastclock said:

Weekend Forecast (09/01-02)
01 (01) ¥328,000,000 ($3.0 million), -21%, ¥1,360,000,000 ($12.2 million), Killing for the Prosecutors (Toho) WK2
02 (02) ¥304,000,000 ($2.7 million), -18%, ¥2,400,000,000 ($21.6 million), Gintama 2 (Warner Bros.) WK3
03 (---) ¥300,000,000 ($2.7 million), 0, ¥420,000,000 ($3.8 million), Ant-Man and the Wasp (Disney) NEW
04 (03) ¥251,000,000 ($2.3 million), -12%, ¥8,300,000,000 ($74.6 million), Code Blue (Toho) WK6
05 (06) ¥205,000,000 ($1.8 million), +08%, ¥1,625,000,000 ($14.7 million), One Cut of the Dead (Asmik Ace) WK11
06 (04) ¥185,000,000 ($1.7 million), -16%, ¥4,465,000,000 ($40.4 million), Incredibles 2 (Disney) WK5
07 (05) ¥153,000,000 ($1.4 million), -22%, ¥4,270,000,000 ($38.7 million), Mission: Impossible - Fallout (Toho-Towa) WK5
08 (07) ¥120,000,000 ($1.1 million), -19%, ¥515,000,000 ($4.7 million), Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again (Toho-Towa) WK2
09 (---) ¥110,000,000 ($1.0 million), 0, ¥145,000,000 ($1.3 million), Sunny: Strong Mind, Strong Love (Toho) NEW
10 (---) ¥100,000,000 ($900,000), 0, ¥100,000,000 ($900.000), Let Me Eat Your Pancreas (Aniplex) NEW
11 (08) ¥x90,000,000 ($810,000), -26%, ¥7,885,000,000 ($70.6 million), Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (Toho-Towa) WK8
12 (09) ¥x81,000,000 ($730,000), -20%, ¥1,490,000,000 ($13.5 million), Ocean's 8 (Warner Bros.) WK4

 

ACTUALS?

Edited September 3, 2018 by Quigley

[Tower]

3 hours ago, Quigley said:

 

ACTUALS?

(C)2018 TOHO/JStorm

Weekend Actuals (09/01-02)
01 (01) ¥339,473,500 ($3.1 million), -19%, ¥1,426,453,600 ($12.8 million), Killing for the Prosecutors (Toho) WK2
02 (---) ¥322,210,000 ($2.9 million), 0, ¥434,265,200 ($3.9 million), Ant-Man and the Wasp (Disney) NEW
03 (02) ¥308,185,600 ($2.8 million), -17%, ¥2,439,728,700 ($22.0 million), Gintama 2 (Warner Bros.) WK3
04 (03) ¥219,930,200 ($2.0 million), -23%, ¥8,328,302,500 ($74.8 million), Code Blue (Toho) WK6
05 (04) ¥171,841,400 ($1.6 million), -22%, ¥4,468,382,400 ($40.5 million), Incredibles 2 (Disney) WK5
06 (06) ¥164,503,900 ($1.5 million), -13%, ¥1,628,798,370 ($14.7 million), One Cut of the Dead (Asmik Ace) WK11
07 (---) ¥154,000,000 ($1.0 million), 0, ¥198,857,300 ($1.3 million), Sunny: Strong Mind, Strong Love (Toho) NEW
08 (05) ¥136,351,800 ($1.2 million), -30%, ¥4,283,176,800 ($38.8 million), Mission: Impossible - Fallout (Toho-Towa) WK5
09 (07) ¥110,734,000 ($1.0 million), -28%, ¥531,762,700 ($4.8 million), Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again (Toho-Towa) WK2
10 (---) ¥106,999,080 ($963,000), 0, ¥106,999,080 ($963,000), Let Me Eat Your Pancreas (Aniplex) NEW
11 (08) ¥x78,570,600 ($707,000), -36%, ¥7,895,469,700 ($70.7 million), Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (Toho-Towa) WK8
12 (09) ¥x63,978,500 ($576,000), -20%, ¥1,487,686,100 ($13.5 million), Ocean's 8 (Warner Bros.) WK4

>Killing for the Prosecutors defends its position atop the box-office, delivering a great second weekend hold. Director Masato Harada's latest is proving to be a success early in its run, and could make a real play at the ¥3 billion ($25-30 million) milestone.

>Ant-Man and the Wasp debuts in second place, selling a solid 238,979 admissions over the weekend frame across 656 screens. While it was unable to open atop the weekend box-office (and ranked third in admissions...), its debut is an impressive 67% higher than its predecessor. Marvel/DC films are often frontloaded in the market, but a total just above ¥1.5 billion ($14/15 million) should be doable.

>Gintama 2 slips to third place in its third weekend (though it ranked second place in admissions), posting an excellent hold before heading into the Fall box-office season. Sequels to domestic live-action films rarely come close to matching the success of their predecessors, but the well-known loyal fanbase of the Gintama franchise has been turning out once again, so expect a total around ¥3.5 billion ($31/32 million). 

>Code Blue comes in fourth place in its sixth weekend of release, and is well on track on becoming the highest-grossing, most-attended, film of 2018. After six weeks, the film adaptation of the popular TV drama has sold almost 6.5 million admissions. Expect a total above ¥9 billion ($81/82 million), making it only the fourth domestic live-action film to ever reach the milestone.

>Incredibles 2 rounds out the Top 5. As I've mentioned multiple times, the Pixar sequel got off to a slow start, and really turned this around. It wasn't the breakout hit, or really the turnaround, that Pixar would have wanted in the market, but an expected total a bit over ¥5 billion ($45/46 million) is still impressive; and depending on where it finishes, will either be just shy, on par, or a bit higher than its predecessor.

>Sunny: Strong Mind, Strong Love debuted in seventh place, selling a decent 128,412 admissions over the weekend frame on 318 screens. I doubt it'll reach the ¥1 billion ($10 million) milestone, but the opening is high enough to put the mark in play.

>Mission: Impossible - Fallout drops to eighth place in its fifth weekend of release. The sixth entry in the blockbuster franchise is performing very well, but it hasn't been holding quite as well as its predecessor, and while it should still reach the ¥5 billion ($45 million) milestone, it's going to do so at a slower pace than expected after its opening weekend.

[John Marston]

wonder why the Japanese didn't like MI Fallout

[a2k]

11 (08) ¥x78,570,600 ($707,000), -36%, ¥7,895,469,700 ($70.7 million), Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (Toho-Towa) WK8

 

Will JW:FK make it to $75 total? I think it will cross $73 at least.

[catlover]

4 hours ago, John Marston said:

wonder why the Japanese didn't like MI Fallout

What a weird question. If the Japanese didn't like MI:Fallout, it wouldn't have gotten close to MI:RN and 5b yen to become one of the biggest movies of the year. If you're talking about legs, they're fine. Nothing indicates that the Japanese didn't like it. Just a little bit shorter than expected thanks to crowded summer and Code Blue overperforming.

[Tower]

Weekend Forecast (09/08-09)
01 (---) ¥225,000,000 ($2.0 million), 0, ¥295,000,000 ($2.7 million), The Meg (Warner Bros.) NEW
02 (01) ¥217,000,000 ($1.9 million), -36%, ¥1,925,000,000 ($17.2 million), Killing for the Prosecutors (Toho) WK3
03 (03) ¥191,000,000 ($1.7 million), -38%, ¥2,800,000,000 ($25.2 million), Gintama 2 (Warner Bros.) WK4
04 (02) ¥187,000,000 ($1.7 million), -42%, ¥805,000,000 ($7.2 million), Ant-Man and the Wasp (Disney) WK2
05 (04) ¥132,000,000 ($1.2 million), -40%, ¥8,585,000,000 ($77.1 million), Code Blue (Toho) WK7
06 (06) ¥115,000,000 ($1.0 million), -30%, ¥1,870,000,000 ($16.8 million), One Cut of the Dead (Asmik Ace) WK12
07 (05) ¥102,000,000 ($925,000), -41%, ¥4,625,000,000 ($41.9 million), Incredibles 2 (Disney) WK6
08 (07) ¥100,000,000 ($905,000), -35%, ¥425,000,000 ($3.8 million), Sunny: Strong Mind, Strong Love (Toho) WK2
09 (08) ¥x87,000,000 ($785,000), -34%, ¥4,450,000,000 ($40.3 million), Mission: Impossible - Fallout (Toho-Towa) WK6
10 (---) ¥x75,000,000 ($680,000), 0, ¥100,000,000 ($905,000), Kasane (Toho) NEW

Weekend drops are likely to be on the harsher side this weekend since last Saturday was boosted slightly from being the first of the month (national discount day). 

It's going to be a close race for the #1 spot between the debut of The Meg and holdover Killing for the Prosecutors. I'm leaning toward The Meg having the slight advantage due to its decent lead in pre-sales, and likely higher average ticket price, but I wouldn't be surprised if it comes in second place over the weekend.

Code Blue experienced a bit of a post-summer decline over the past week, but it's holding well-enough to ensure it surpasses Detective Conan: Zero the Enforcer to become the #1 film of 2018. It should claim the crown next weekend.

The crawl to the ¥5 billion blockbuster milestone now begins for Incredibles 2 and Mission: Impossible - Fallout. If Silver Week wasn't coming up soon (Sept. 17th-24th), I might be predicting both films may actually fall short of the mark, but the holiday week (the last major holiday frame until New Year) should still get both films there.

Unfortunately, Japan has had to endure an absurd, relentless onslaught of terrible weather/disasters this entire summer; from deadly record heat, landslides, floods, major earthquakes, record winds, typhoons (one being the worst in 25 years this past week), and just about everything else on a daily/weekly basis... As a result, while the summer box-office was strong, there is some evidence (weaker than normal legs for most films) that suggests it may have deterred some moviegoers from going to the cinema.