JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW

[Corpse]

A big drop in admissions for Guardians is expected.  Its tickets were greatly discounted during its first 3 days in release by Disney, and last Sunday was also a discount day at Toho cinemas.  

 

And overall drops aren't as bad as the 4 usual chains suggest either.  Toho's discount day last Sunday has to be taken into account, and that's why I didn't really bother with weekend estimates this weekend since discount days have really thrown them off ever since the tax hike increase in April.  

 

Rise of the Planet of the Apes definitely underwhelmed, though.

[sfran43]

Corpse, can you upload the weekend ranking please?

[catlover]

Rise of the Planet of the Apes definitely underwhelmed, though.

 

You mean, Dawn of the Planet of the Apes . Anyway, that's too bad. I was really hoping it could at least match Rise's number in yen. Could it?

[Olive]

2-day OW in Japan

Rise  :318k adimissions  404M yen

Dawn :149K admissions  210M yen

 

I think 3D turns people away.

[Fake]

What's more, Yen has depreciated by 30% since 2011. So the fall in opening in dollar terms is even worse. What is the 3-day gross? And how much did GotG do in its 2nd weekend?

[Quigley]

2-day OW in Japan

Rise  :318k adimissions  404M yen

Dawn :149K admissions  210M yen

 

I think 3D turns people away.

 

Avatar, Alice, Pirates 4, HP7 - P2, Frozen and Toy Story 3 were all in 3D. 3D isn't a problem when the movie is appealing.

[Cynosure]

Most of those films were released during the very short-lived 3D craze in Japan. Frozen was available in 2D and did most of its business in that format.

[Corpse]

Well, most of those were in 2010/2011 where 3D shares were over 70% for about every film.  Since then, 3D shares are lucky to hit 20/30% for anything.  

 

So if a film is playing primary in 3D, and there isn't a reason to attend it (like with Gravity for example), people just don't go to see it.  That probably explains a lot of Dawn of the Planet of the Apes' problem this weekend.  

[Corpse]

 

 

Weekend Ranking (09/20-21)

 

 

01 (01) Rurouni Kenshin: The Legend Ends (Warner Bros.) Week 2

02 (--) Dawn of the Planet of the Apes (Fox) DEBUT

03 (02) Stand By Me, Doraemon (Toho) Week 7

04 (04) Lupin III (Toho) Week 4

05 (03) Guardians of the Galaxy (Disney) Week 2

06 (--) Revenge of the Pomegranate Tree Hill (Shochiku) DEBUT

07 (05) Lady Maiko (Toho) Week 2

08 (07) Rurouni Kenshin: Kyoto Inferno (Warner Bros.) Week 8

09 (06) Hot Road (Shochiku) Week 6

10 (08) Lucy (Toho-Towa) Week 4

 

>Rurouni Kenshin: The Legend Ends drops a hefty 54% in its second weekend after delivering the biggest opening weekend of the year, taking in ¥418,846,200 ($3.9 million) on 320,949 admissions.  The drop is alarming, but after an abnormal large opening weekend over a 3-dau holiday weekend, perhaps it's not too unexpected.  After 9-days in release, the film has exceeded ¥2.2 billion ($20 million) and 1.76 million admissions, tracking 15% ahead of the last film right now.  

 

>Dawn of the Planet of the Apes... almost bombed honestly.  It only earned ¥210,925,300 ($2.0 million) on 149,354 screens on 712 screens.  This is down almost 50% from the opening weekend of Rise of the Planet of the Apes.  Dawn had previews last weekend which deflated the opening weekend, but this is still a huge drop.  It'll probably earn only make ¥1.5 billion ($14 million) or a little more.  

 

>Revenge of the Pomegranate Tree Hill had an okay debut, grossing ¥100,389,900 ($0.94 million) on 86,646 admissions on 255 screens.  It actually ranked 4th for the weekend in admissions, but its low avg. ticket price brings it down to 6th in gross.  

Edited September 22, 2014 by Corpse

[Blackout]

TW	LW	Movie	Studio	Weekend Gross	Change	Screens	Change / Avg.		Gross-to-Date	Week
1	1	Rurôni Kenshin: Densetsu no saigo-hen	WB	$3,841,218	-55.2%	434	+100	$8,851	$20,723,877	2
2	N	Dawn of the Planet of the Apes	Fox	$1,934,385	-	712	-	$2,717	$3,610,793	1
3	2	Stand by Me Doraemon	Toho	$1,338,409	-41.3%	329	-	$4,068	$69,660,397	7
4	4	Lupin III (2014)	Toho	$992,172	-40.5%	307	-	$3,232	$17,018,221	4
5	3	Guardians of the Galaxy	Disney	$987,831	-52.7%	595	-	$1,660	$5,246,453	2
6	N	Zakurozaka no adauchi	Shochiku	$920,671	-	255	-	$3,610	$990,455	1
7	5	Maiko Ha Lady	Toho	$552,475	-46.2%	300	-	$1,842	$3,103,060	2
8	6	Rurôni Kenshin: Kyôto Taika-hen	WB	$403,193	-47.2%	334	-	$1,207	$48,138,378	8
9	7	Hotto rôdo (Hot Road)	Shochiku	$369,009	-50.1%	301	-	$1,226	$21,794,465	6
10	8	Lucy	Toho-Towa	$289,899	-54.6%	205	-	$1,414	$8,443,542	4
11	9	Non-Stop	n/a	$256,231	-56.4%	198	-	$1,294	$3,917,929	3
12	11	Omoide no Marnie	Toho	$125,496	-49.5%	351	-	$358	$33,068,148	10
13	N	Deliver Us From Evil	Sony	$94,705	-	58	-	$1,633	$94,705	1

 

[sfran43]

No news on the weekend ranking? I wonder how well (or not) Apes is doing? And far is GOTG going to gross, over/under $10 million?

[K1stpierre]

Rurouni Kenshin? Is this the second movie?

[catlover]

Rurouni Kenshin? Is this the second movie?

 

It's the third movie. The second one was released a couple of months ago.

[catlover]

Btw from Corpse at WOKJ

 

Weekend Ranking (09/27-28)

01 (01) Rurouni Kenshin: The Legend Ends (Warner Bros.) Week 3
02 (02) Dawn of the Planet of the Apes (Fox) Week 2
03 (03) Stand By Me, Doraemon (Toho) Week 8
04 (04) Lupin III (Toho) Week 5
05 (05) Guardians of the Galaxy (Disney) Week 3
06 (06) Revenge of the Pomegranate Hill Tree (Shochiku) Week 2
07 (--) Jersey Boys (Warner Bros.) DEBUT
08 (07) Lady Maiko (Toho) Week 3
09 (09) Rurouni Kenshin: Kyoto Inferno (Warner Bros.) Week 9
10 (--) Zero the Movie (Kadokawa) DEBUT

>Rurouni Kenshin: The Legend Ends stays on top without any significant new competition, dropping 34% to take in ¥277,466,900 ($2.5 million) with 209,034 admissions. After 3-weeks in release, it has earned ¥3.05 billion ($28.7 million) with 2.38 million admissions. It'll have little trouble exceeding ¥4 billion (about $40 million), but I doubt it reaches the ¥5 billion mark that its predecessor managed to do this past week.

>Stand By Me, Doraemon remains strong, achieving 8-consecutive weeks in the Top 3 (5 of which were consecutive weeks at #1). After 8-weeks, it's exceeded ¥7.5 billion ($73 million) and 5.68 million admissions. It'll become the Highest-Grossing non-Ghibli/Disney Animated film any day now, most-likely on Wednesday. Pokemon: Mewtwo Strikes Back! has held that record since 1998, so this is an amazing achievement from Doraemon.

>Lupin III exceeded ¥2 billion ($19 million) after 5-weeks in release.

>Jersey Boys was the weekend's top openers, grossing a weak ¥54,002,700 ($500,000) with 42,773 admissions on 143 screens. This is by far one of Clint Eastwood's worst showings, but it's also one that probably was expected to do poorly.

>Rurouni Kenshin: Kyoto Inferno remains in the Top 10 even with The Legend Ends still atop the box-office. It has exceeded ¥5 billion ($48 million) now, making it only 6th domestic live-action film to reach the mark that hasn't been released by Toho. It joins Antarctica (1983), Heaven and Earth (1990), Yamato (2005), Death Note: The Last Name (2006), and Departures (2008).

>Zero the Movie rounds out the Top 10 with a debut of just ¥27,265,200 ($252,000) with 20,659 admissions on 133 screens. I wasn't following this one, so maybe it wasn't expected to do much, but this is pretty terrible.

Edited September 30, 2014 by catlover

[edroger3]

This thread is really changed at the end of Frozen era:

 

Before: 5 pages in a day

After: 5 days for a page

[Quigley]

This is pretty pathetic, I know, but GotG (¥783M) has earned more than Thor 2 (¥612M) and Cap 2 (¥673M) - according to BOM. It could even reach ¥1B I think.

[Melvin Frohike]

Tangled did NOT do well at domestic boxoffice. It barely passed $200 million, while the budget itself was $260 million + over $100 million for marketing.

$200 million domestic is right about at the benchmark for a successful release of this type of movie. I know that you're looking at this with the published budget in mind, but that wasn't the intention at all--Disney threw away a lot of work when they restarted this movie as a full CGI animated feature, and I think that's why the "budget" is so high (it's how they chose to account for the money spent), but the actual budget for what we see on the screen is probably more like $150 million.

The fact that all the wasted work amounts to a loss based on theatrical revenue alone doesn't mean as much to Disney as the fact that they proved that they could turn a profit with movies like this on $150 million budgets, and that the movie achieved a satisfactory level of popularity (for decent merchandise sales and so forth).

 

 

Big Hero Six might not do as well as Frozen in Japan, considering the many factors that went into play during Frozen's release.

Yeah...it just might not....

 

However, I do believe it'll be another global smash that will really bring into light this so called - deemed - "New Renaissance" for Disney.

I prefer "Disney Enlightenment" which parallels the historical period that followed the Renaissance. I think that Big Hero 6 will be a hit domestically and worldwide, but I don't know about Japan specifically--could go either way.

 

 

BH6 will be lucky to make 1/5 of Frozen's business in Japan...

I would be quite satisfied with $50 million, which is generally a pretty decent hit in Japan, I think, and more than all but two of Disney's animated features have ever made, if I recall correctly (Frozen and Dinosaur). $100 million would be sweet, but that's only if it really catches on, Frozen has made Japanese audiences crazy for WDAS animated features in general, and there is no backlash against its quasi-Japanese elements. If the latter were to have a significant effect, though, then maybe $10 million wouldn't be a total loss. I'm just hoping for $30-50 million, if the movie is any good.

[Natsu Lian]

I believe Big Hero 6, as Melvin stated initially, with it's quasi-Japanese themes/elements and thus far, entertaining main characters (from what I can dissect in the trailers), it will at least be a semi, if not a Box Office success in Japan.  However, with the release of Frozen, more evidence has stemmed and points towards "inconclusive Japan" as they are consistent nor inconsistent with Western movies: They stay in the grey margin.  If Big Hero 6 does indeed match Frozen's popularity, I will be more than glad to say Disney has truly entered a new era which will be brimming with Box Office mega-hits.  (They've already been doing it since Princess and the Frog).

[Natsu Lian]

Big Hero Six, WW hit: 

~ $50 million in Japan

~ $200 - 250 million domestically

~ WW gross of around $650 - 700 million 

 

Big Hero Six, Frozen-tier Success:

~ $100 million in Japan

~ $300 - 350 million domestically

~ WW gross of around $850 - 950 million or even 1B

Edited October 3, 2014 by PokeHex

[kayumanggi]

I enjoyed Rurôni Kenshin: Densetsu no saigo-hen a lot. It's doing well here in the Philippines.