China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30

[cdsacken]

Wow awesome news for rest if the week!

[Andreas]

21 minutes ago, HouseOfTheSun said:

570+ happening?

If the next days go as predicted by Maoyan, 600+ is happening imo

[pepsa]

34 minutes ago, firedeep said:

210m will be a 68% increase—in terms of Friday increase and pre-holiday increase— the biggest for live action in recent memories, topping A Dog's Journey 66% and Dangle 61%. RPO managde 50%.

 

Normally 30-40% is considered good.

 

I think the range should be 200m-210m.

Yeah this would mean a bit worse PS multi then Sunday and with Holiday comming up I could seet he PS multi getting lower. 

[POTUS 2020]

Over a 50% bump for a Fri for an SH I haven't seen but PS are indicating that possible

 

here is 2015 and 2016. the calendar isn't the same but you can see the bumps.  FF plays stronger on weekdays and has smaller weekend bumps. not sure if EG will bump 50 or 75% tomorrow but i'm still looking for a 200%+ bump from mon to wed

May Day

FF7			D1 to D3 %
Day 1	24
Day 2	31	29.17%
Day 3	70	125.81%	191.67%
TJB
Day 1	19
Day 2	51	168.42%
Day 3	70	37.25%	268.42%

 

still see $600m happening

		EG				XR 6.73	IW				XR 6.35
	Day	Yn	DoD	WoW	Tot	$Tot	Yn	DoD	WoW	Tot	$Tot
	Wed	535			725	108
	Thur	316	-40.9%		1041	155
	Fri	424	34.2%		1465	218	387			447	70
	Sat	551	30.0%		2016	300	493	27.5%		940	148
Workday	Sun	208	-62.3%		2224	330	332	-32.8%		1272	200
	Mon	124	-40.4%		2348	349	109	-67.1%		1381	217
Pre Holi Bump	Tues	199	60.5%		2547	378	81	-25.7%		1462	230
Holiday	Wed	375	88.4%		2922	434	65	-20.0%		1526	240
Holiday	Thur	280	-25.3%		3202	476	53	-19.0%		1579	249
Holiday	Fri	238	-15.0%	-43.9%	3440	511	72	36.4%	-81.5%	1650	260
Holiday	Sat	170	-28.6%	-69.1%	3610	536	142	98.2%	-71.2%	1792	282
Workday	Sun	72	-57.6%	-65.4%	3682	547	132	-7.0%	-60.2%	1924	303
	Mon	45	-37.5%	-63.7%	3727	554	31.6	-76.1%	-71.0%	1956	308
	Tue	38	-15.6%	-80.9%	3765	559	25.2	-20.3%	-68.9%	1981	312
	Wed	33	-13.2%	-91.2%	3798	564	21.1	-16.3%	-67.4%	2002	315
	Thu	29	-12.1%	-89.6%	3827	569	18.6	-11.8%	-64.6%	2021	318
	Fri	29	0.0%	-87.8%	3856	573	23.1	24.2%	-67.7%	2044	322
	Sat	58	100.0%	-65.9%	3914	582	50.8	119.9%	-64.2%	2095	330
	Sun	43	-25.9%	-40.3%	3957	588	39.9	-21.5%	-69.8%	2135	336
	Mon	14	-67.4%	-68.9%	3971	590	12.0	-69.9%	-62.0%	2147	338
	Tue	12	-14.3%	-68.4%	3983	592	11.1	-7.5%	-56.0%	2158	340
	Wed	11	-12.5%	-68.2%	3994	593	10.5	-5.9%	-50.5%	2168	341
	Thu	9	-12.4%	-68.3%	4003	595	12.1	15.8%	-34.9%	2180	343
							35.2	190.9%	52.4%	2215	349
							31.6	-10.2%	-37.8%	2247	354
							23.2	-26.6%	-41.9%	2270	358
							7.8	-66.4%	-35.0%	2278	359
							8.5	9.0%	-23.4%	2287	360
							8.9	4.1%	-15.3%	2295	361
							7.8	-11.9%	-35.5%	2303	363
							8.5	9.5%	-75.7%	2312	364
							18.4	115.5%	-41.8%	2330	367
							15.5	-15.8%	-33.2%	2346	369
										2390	376

Edited April 29, 2019 by POTUS 2020

[POTUS 2020]

Tuesday PS at 82m  

Wed PS at 98m, heading to 140-150m

[john2000]

8 minutes ago, POTUS 2020 said:

Tuesday PS at 82m  

Wed PS at 98m, heading to 140-150m

good ?

[ZeeSoh]

17 minutes ago, john2000 said:

good ?

Very good. Let's put it this way, no SH movie other than IW and perhaps AoU has had 82m in their opening day presale let alone their 7th day of the run. 

[XXR vs XXR]

26 minutes ago, American Pie is better said:

"Maoyan presales for Endgame suggest a huge comeback, even bigger than expected, Wednesday presales could go as high as Friday presales and Tuesday presales are up by more than 100% from Monday, should end over Sunday presales with ease. $600M seem very likely to me the giving presales."

 

Not sure the source of the quote, but hopefully it comes to pass.

[HouseOfTheSun]

600m is a good benchmark, but I hope nobody starts sayin “easily” about it and then freak out if it stops at 580 or 590. This performance is incredible and frankly I thought impossible it could scale into the 500s even prior to release 

[VanillaSkies]

1 hour ago, HouseOfTheSun said:

600m is a good benchmark, but I hope nobody starts sayin “easily” about it and then freak out if it stops at 580 or 590. This performance is incredible and frankly I thought impossible it could scale into the 500s even prior to release 

Very good point. Anything above 500m is gravy really..

[Godzilla]

On 4/28/2019 at 1:58 PM, HouseOfTheSun said:

Nobody should use runtime as a reason for a low prediction again for this movie. It simply doesn’t not matter in any market. 

Totally agree! 

[A Marvel Fanboy]

5 hours ago, VenomXXR said:

 

Not sure the source of the quote, but hopefully it comes to pass.

the thread

[XXR vs XXR]

23 hours ago, SURAJ said:

39.97 @ 10:30

 

96.1m @ 10:30am - April 29

I know the math isn't linear, but if it follows the same path then we'd be looking at 290m today....

[A Marvel Fanboy]

13 minutes ago, VenomXXR said:

 

96.1m @ 10:30am - April 29

I know the math isn't linear, but if it follows the same path then we'd be looking at 290m today....

210 lock

 

cant believe it's increasing this much

[XXR vs XXR]

6 minutes ago, firedeep said:

210 lock

 

cant believe it's increasing this much

 

210m would be 11m over @POTUS 2020 chart number for Tuesday. Interesting to see the finish.

[Legion Again]

It’s the movie of the decade, and audiences everywhere know it. Outrageous repeat viewings, commence!

[keysersoze123]

its already at 101m and its just 1120AM. Is the midpoint so early that we are seeing only 210m. Only reason could be that evening shows are sold out and so BO stops moving after some point.

[druv10]

Congrats to Endgame, it has passed the lifetime gross of IW in China and did it in 7 days.

[HouseOfTheSun]

I’m done trying to predict numbers for this thing. Just enjoy the ride now 

[SURAJ]

113.8 @ 1 PM

Edited April 30, 2019 by SURAJ