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Shawn Robbins

Weekend Discussion: IM3 @ 175.3m wknd est

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"in theory" yeah.... but midnights are not as popular as they were 1 year earlier.I was referring more to the Saturday hold though. Should see an increase IMO (from Friday minus previews).70m Friday would be indeed very good but I can see it getting 170m from there.

 

But we're also not even talking about midnights anymore. More than likely, the majority of the money came from 9pm shows.

 

I agree about the Saturday increase from Friday sans previews.

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I think my $175m prediction is looking pretty decent right now. IM3's Thursday/midnight total was 83.42% of Avengers' midnight total. That would give it a $173m total after Sunday if the trend continues.

 

Still feeling $157-160m until we see some Friday reports. That's just 1% over Avengers' previews-to-weekend ratio.

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FRIDAY AM, 4TH UPDATEThe Summer 2013 movie season officially opened today with a much-anticipated tentpole from Disney and Marvel. The North American theater count for Iron Man 3 is a whopping 4,253 venues. But there were fewer theaters for its late night run which started at 9 PM Thursday and continued  through well after Friday midnight and made a non-record $15.6M. Hard to talk about midnight comps because the sneaky studios keep starting their weekend previews earlier and earlier and then fold in those Thursday/Friday totals to pad first-day numbers. But for your reference, The Avengers did $18.7M and Warner Bros’ Harry Potter And The Deathly Hallows Part 2 did $43.5M. Iron Man 3 now has a global box office total of $361M, setting new opening day records in Russia and Ukraine. Internationally, the film has already passed the total international box office of Captain America ($192M), Iron Man ($267M),Thor ($268M) and Iron Man 2 ($312M). Even rival studios tell me that Iron Man 3this weekend is “looking more like Avengers which opened at $207M than Iron Man 2 which opened at $128M. Avengers helped them get much more of the family audience. This should continue that trend.” So the expectations are for $165M-$180M in North America through Sunday for the Robert Downey Jr starring/Shane Black-directed actioner. So far Iron Man 3 has $307M international in the till going into Friday. With the second overseas weekend of Avengersmaking $156.1M. it’s very possible that Iron Man 3 could come up with a worldwide total of $650M through Sunday.

 

lol

Edited by kayumanggi
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But we're also not even talking about midnights anymore. More than likely, the majority of the money came from 9pm shows.

 

I agree about the Saturday increase from Friday sans previews.

 

I expect a 2-1 split, $10m previews, $5m midnight.  

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Still feeling $157-160m until we see some Friday reports. That's just 1% over Avengers' previews-to-weekend ratio.

 

165 I think, at it's best.

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I think your all underestimating Friday business by a good margin...

 

Why would this be well down from IM2 day business with 3D of 51 million???

 

$15.6m

$63m

$50m

$36m

 

$149m

 

 

 

 

I think your all underestimating Friday business by a good margin...

 

Why would this be well down from IM2 day business with 3D of 51 million???

 

 

The arguement will be previews guess we will see.

Edited by Lordmandeep
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"in theory" yeah.... but midnights are not as popular as they were 1 year earlier.I was referring more to the Saturday hold though. Should see an increase IMO (from Friday minus previews).70m Friday would be indeed very good but I can see it getting 170m from there.

 

I doubt it will do as well as Avengers without a midnight. That had a crazy run and I think IM3 wont have that good a WOM(I liked IM3 more).

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FRIDAY AM, 4TH UPDATEThe Summer 2013 movie season officially opened today with a much-anticipated tentpole from Disney and Marvel. The North American theater count for Iron Man 3 is a whopping 4,253 venues. But there were fewer theaters for its late night run which started at 9 PM Thursday and continued  through well after Friday midnight and made a non-record $15.6M. 

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I think your all underestimating Friday business by a good margin...

 

Why would this be well down from IM2 day business with 3D of 51 million???

 

Did you do the math? He is predicting it to reach $164.6m through Sunday, which would be bigger than IM2 adjusted for 3D and inflation. His point was that the $15.6m (or at least a good portion of it) should not be counted in the weekend gross.

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Did you do the math? He is predicting it to reach $164.6m through Sunday, which would be bigger than IM2 adjusted for 3D and inflation. His point was that the $15.6m (or at least a good portion of it) should not be counted in the weekend gross.

 

 

 

I was refering to Telemachos prediction...

 

 

 

 

Anyways I am seeing 160 million max + 10, min -5...

Edited by Lordmandeep
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I think your all underestimating Friday business by a good margin...

 

Why would this be well down from IM2 day business with 3D of 51 million???

 

The arguement will be previews guess we will see.

 

 

Yea... The answer is the previews. People that usually went Friday moved a day before, to Thursday, therefore the Friday gross decreasing. It'll still do good, that's no problem.

 

I say

 

Friday: 65

Saturday: 58.5

Sunday: 42

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