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Thursday #s - (Asgard2) R1 16.8m, Sing 15.3m

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21 minutes ago, CelestialFairyIX said:

I'm just hapy Moana's going to jump back to No.3 in the Top 10 ahead of Passengers after falling to No.6 during the last weekend.

 

Why?? Lol not happening at best it will be #6 this weekend more than likely #7. Or are you referring to weekdays? 

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1 hour ago, druv10 said:

Having read comments, Sing has no shot at winning the weekend, none. Kids movies barely jump on Friday, with decent size drop Saturday followed with slight uptick on Sunday. RO is easily winning the weekend.  58-60M vs 40-42M

 

You are correct.  I am in vacation mode and not watching as closely as usual.  

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40 minutes ago, JB33 said:

 

I figure next weekend will be a bit more than that. $33M to $36M.

 

Maybe you are right.

 

Looking back to 2011, I would say a 35-40% drop is in play. Both SH2 and MI4 had nice holds.

 

But that would mean R1 will be only 6-9M behind TFA 4th weekend gross. I prefer to be conservative

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18 minutes ago, narniadis said:

 

Why?? Lol not happening at best it will be #6 this weekend more than likely #7. Or are you referring to weekdays? 

 

Honestly 4-7 is all close enough that I could see as high as 4 and as low as 7. Weekdays have been phenomenal so far that even with no little to no jump today it could stave off some of the films

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If Sing follows Alvin 3's trajectory from 2011, it would be up from last weekend but still missing $40m. It's been having better weekend holds and slower weekdays, however, so I do think it goes over. Meanwhile, Rogue One should end up with low 50s based on a trajectory similar to MI4 and SH2. 

 

I don't see how Sing gets ahead of Rogue One this weekend. I can see it taking the lead by late January though. All bets are off when LEGO Batman opens, but Sing would be on its last leg anyway. No one's gonna see Monster Trucks. 

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is January 2017 more packed than usual? I counted and it will have 18 wide releases/expansions. I don't know how "wide" they are talking about tho. I assume 2000+? or maybe 1000+.

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in case you wonder, the wide titles slotted in Jan are: Underworld, Hidden Figures, A Monster Calls, The Bye Bye Man, Monster Trucks, Sleepless, Live By Night, Silence, Patriots Day, The Founder, The Resurrection of Gavin Stone, Split, xXx, 20th Century Women, Bastards, A Dog's Purpose, Gold and Resident Evil

Edited by yjs
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Just now, yjs said:

is January 2017 more packed than usual? I counted and it will have 18 wide releases/expansions. I don't know how "wide" they are talking about tho. I assume 2000+?

Wide just means 600+. But most will be much more than that. Don't think a lot of the releases will be much of a threat to the holdovers. Oscar movies expanding, on the other hand, will.

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1 minute ago, Jayhawk said:

Wide just means 600+. But most will be much more than that. Don't think a lot of the releases will be much of a threat to the holdovers. Oscar movies expanding, on the other hand, will.

ah gotcha, it doesn't seem too crowded then. 

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estimates from Deadline

 

http://deadline.com/2016/12/rogue-one-sing-20th-century-women-passengers-wednesday-box-office-1201876732/

 

Here’s the chart; the percentage changes are differences from its day before:

1). Rogue One: A Star Wars Story (DIS), 4,157 theaters (0) / $16.7M Thurs. (-7%) / Total cume: $375.4M / Wk 2

2). Sing (UNI), 4,022 theaters (0) / $15.1M Thurs. (-3%) / Total cume: $123.6M / Wk 1

3). Passengers  (SONY/VR), 3,478 theaters (0) / $4.6M Thurs. (-1%) /Total cume:$45.25M / Wk 1

4). Moana  (DIS), 2,687 Theaters (-803) / $4.4M (0%) Thurs. / Total cume: $194.9M / Wk 5

5). Why Him?  (FOX), 2,917 theaters (0) / $2.7M Thurs. (-4%) / Total cume:$24.5M / Wk 1

6). Assassin’s Creed  (FOX), 2,970 theaters (+68) / $2.5M Thurs. (-4%) /Total cume: $31M / Wk 1

7). La La Land (Lionsgate), 740 theaters (+534) / $2.5M Thurs. (-5%) / Total cume:$24.7M / Wk 3

8). Fences (PAR) 2,233 theaters (+2,229) / $2.3M (-4%) Thurs. / Total cume: $119.69M / Wk 2

9).  Fantastic Beasts …  (WB), 1,966 theaters (-1,070) / $1.3M Thurs. (-2%) / Total cume: $219.9M / Wk 6

10). Collateral Beauty  (WB/NL), 3,028 theaters (0) / $1.29M Thurs. (-1%) / Total cume: $21.6M / Wk 2

Limited:

Patriot’s Day  (CBS/LG), 7 theaters / $47,558 Thurs. (-7%) / Per screen average: $6,794 / Total  cume: $480K / Wk 2

20th Century Women (AP/A24), 4 theaters / $27K Thurs. (-33%) / Per screen: $6,770 / Total cume: $67K / Wk 1

Silence (PAR), 4 theaters / $21K Thurs. (+11%) / Per screen: $5,443 / Total cume:$227K / Wk 1

Live by Night (WB), 4 theaters / $8K Thurs. (-10%) / Per screen: $2,062 / Total cume: $74K / Wk 1

A Monster Calls (FOC), 4 theaters / $4K Thurs. (-3%) / Per screen: $1,034 / Total cume: $51K / Wk 1

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3 minutes ago, yjs said:

in case you wonder, the wide titles slotted in Jan are: Underworld, Hidden Figures, A Monster Calls, The Bye Bye Man, Monster Trucks, Sleepless, Live By Night, Silence, Patriots Day, The Founder, The Resurrection of Gavin Stone, Split, xXx, 20th Century Women, Bastards, A Dog's Purpose, Gold and Resident Evil

Most of these are gonna flop.

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1). Rogue One: A Star Wars Story (DIS), 4,157 theaters (0) / $16.7M Thurs. (-7%) / Total cume: $375.4M / Wk 2

2). Sing (UNI), 4,022 theaters (0) / $15.1M Thurs. (-3%) / Total cume: $123.6M / Wk 1

3). Passengers  (SONY/VR), 3,478 theaters (0) / $4.6M Thurs. (-1%) /Total cume: $45.25M / Wk 1

4). Moana  (DIS), 2,687 Theaters (-803) / $4.4M (0%) Thurs. / Total cume: $194.9M / Wk 5

5). Why Him?  (FOX), 2,917 theaters (0) / $2.7M Thurs. (-4%) / Total cume: $24.5M / Wk 1

6). Assassin’s Creed  (FOX), 2,970 theaters (+68) / $2.5M Thurs. (-4%) /Total cume: $31M / Wk 1

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