Catching Fire Monday: 12.3m | #2 Doctor Who 3D $4.8m, OKAY FOR CHRISSAKES?

[baumer]

CF Monday 12.1-3m

 

[baumer]

So a 65% drop for the first Monday.

 

Just to compare, here are other similar films:

 

New Moon:  -62%

BD1:  -62%

BD2:  -64.5%

DH1:  -65%

[baumer]

The first Monday drop means nothing anyway.  You can't haggle over 2 or 3% difference in drop.  It really means nothing.  It's the second weekend drop that will give us a better indication as to whether it hits 360 or 400.

[Noctis]

Still a good number.

[kitik]

Reminder to folks: its Thanksgiving week, so expect both a Tuesday increase AND a Wednesday increase

[Fake]

No surprises there.

 

I am projecting these for the week:

 

Mon: 12.2

Tue: 14.5

Wed: 17.0

Thurs: 13.0

Fri: 24.0

Sat: 22.0

Sun: 11.0

[baumer]

Reminder to folks: its Thanksgiving week, so expect both a Tuesday increase AND a Wednesday increase

 

I don't think the Wednesday increase will be that much though.  It'll increase for sure, but maybe 8-10%.  That seems reasonable, doesn't it?

[Accursed Arachnid!™]

I don't think the Wednesday increase will be that much though.  It'll increase for sure, but maybe 8-10%.  That seems reasonable, doesn't it?

 

New Moon increased 25% and DH1 increased over 40. I think 8-10% is too small.

[baumer]

New Moon increased 25% and DH1 increased over 40. I think 8-10% is too small.

 

2008 and 2010 didn't have cheap Canadian Tuesdays.  

[Accursed Arachnid!™]

2008 and 2010 didn't have cheap Canadian Tuesdays.  

 

 

OK, so a bigger Tues increase and smaller increase on Wed should cancel each other out when comparing to a Thanksgiving 2010 or older film.

[baumer]

OK, so a bigger Tues increase and smaller increase on Wed should cancel each other out when comparing to a Thanksgiving 2010 or older film.

 

Yes, there should be a bigger Tuesday increase.

[Heretic]

12.2

14.2 (+16%)

15.9 (+12%)

11.9 (-25%)

25 (+110%)

23 (-8%)

12.4 (-46%)

 

272.7m total.

[stripe]

That's a good number. It will do around 90M for the long Thanksgiving holiday. +270M DOM after 10 days.

 

Looking at the multiplier after 10days.

 

If it follows Twilight saga (78%): 355M

If it follows DH1 (74%): 370M

If it follows GOF(69%): 400M

[Ariadne]

Mon 12.2

Tue 14.5 (+19%)

Wed 16.5 (+14%)

Thu 15.3 (-7%)

Fri 32.9 (+115%)

[JohnnyGossamer]

Mon 12.2

Tue 14.5 (+19%)

Wed 16.5 (+14%)

Thu 15.3 (-7%)

Fri 32.9 (+115%)

Whoa! That's be something... You're Friday projection would put CF on pace for $75M+ second frame.

[kayumanggi]

Excited for the numbers!

[LexJoker]

Mon 12.2

Tue 14.5 (+19%)

Wed 16.5 (+14%)

Thu 15.3 (-7%)

Fri 32.9 (+115%)

With that Friday number CF will be on track for 450+

[stripe]

Mon 12.2

Tue 14.5 (+19%)

Wed 16.5 (+14%)

Thu 15.3 (-7%)

Fri 32.9 (+115%)

 

 

That drop for Thursday seems too low

 

Hope you're right, though

[narniadis]

Yeah! Crunching numbers last night and I like bring right lol . It should have around a 35% drop on Thursday though

[baumer]

Sorry guys, it's not making 450 mill.  It would need a better multiplier than the original.