Wednesday #s: ANCHORMAN 2 8.1M/ It's in a glass case of emotion / Hobbit (4.855m) / CF (1.243m)

[rockNrollaDIM]

To me, the only other competitor for MJ1 in 2014 DOM is HTTYD2. I see MJ1 making 365-380M and HTTYD2 320M.

Say wut. Where's your faith?

[Mango]

Yep, it's a juggernaut.    

 

Assuming American Hustle or Wallstreet don't end up somehow doing like $200 million, when all is said and done I think Frozen's run will be the box office story of the holiday season. Not to downplay Catching Fire's incredible run (probably increasing over the first one) but a lot of people were expecting that, or at least something close to it. Frozen, on the otherhand, wasn't even expected to top Tangled yet here we are talking about how it's tracking $50+ million ahead at the same point.

[grim22]

Theater counts for this weekend

 

Rank	LW	Title	Distributor	Theater Count	Change	% Change	Week #
> NEW RELEASES
3	4	Anchorman: The Legend Continues	Paramount	3,507	-	-	1
4	-	Walking with Dinosaurs	Fox	3,231	-	-	1
22	-	Dhoom 3	Yash Raj	236	-	-	1
38	58	Her (2013)	Warner Bros.	6	-	-	1
40	-	The Past	Sony Classics	3	-	-	1
41	-	The Selfish Giant	IFC	3	-	-	1
> EXPANDING
1	1	The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug	Warner Bros.	3,928	+25	+0.6%	2
6	57	American Hustle	Sony / Columbia	2,500	+2,494	+41,566.7%	2
8	52	Saving Mr. Banks	Buena Vista	2,110	+2,095	+13,966.7%	2
18	24	Nebraska	Paramount	310	+60	+24.0%	6
26	50	Inside Llewyn Davis	CBS Films	148	+133	+886.7%	3
> NO CHANGE
7	6	Tyler Perry's A Madea Christmas	Lionsgate	2,194	-	-	2
39	63	Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom	Weinstein Company	4	-	-	4
> DECLINING
2	2	Frozen (2013)	Buena Vista	3,540	-176	-4.7%	5
5	3	The Hunger Games: Catching Fire	Lionsgate	2,949	-614	-17.2%	5
9	5	Thor: The Dark World	Buena Vista	1,116	-1,148	-50.7%	7
10	12	Philomena	Weinstein Company	738	-97	-11.6%	5
11	8	Out of the Furnace	Relativity	728	-1,373	-65.3%	3
12	10	The Book Thief	Fox	680	-478	-41.3%	7
13	7	Homefront	Open Road Films	675	-1,428	-67.9%	4
14	9	Delivery Man	Buena Vista	663	-1,378	-67.5%	5
15	11	The Best Man Holiday	Universal	347	-575	-62.4%	6
16	13	Last Vegas	CBS Films	333	-393	-54.1%	8
17	14	Dallas Buyers Club	Focus Features	330	-244	-42.5%	8
19	15	Gravity	Warner Bros.	302	-201	-40.0%	12
20	16	12 Years a Slave	Fox Searchlight	301	-196	-39.4%	10
21	17	Jackass Presents: Bad Grandpa	Paramount	278	-178	-39.0%	9
23	25	Despicable Me 2	Universal	197	-26	-11.7%	25
24	18	Ender's Game	Lionsgate/Summit	187	-144	-43.5%	8
25	21	Free Birds	Relativity	184	-99	-35.0%	8
27	28	Escape Plan	Lionsgate/Summit	138	-29	-17.4%	10
28	30	About Time	Universal	97	-46	-32.2%	8
29	22	All Is Lost	Roadside Attractions	81	-180	-69.0%	10
30	36	Lee Daniels' The Butler	Weinstein Company	43	-18	-29.5%	19
31	33	Don Jon	Relativity	32	-60	-65.2%	13
32	39	The Family (2013)	Relativity	29	-27	-48.2%	15
33	20	Blue Jasmine	Sony Classics	26	-276	-91.4%	22
34	29	Oldboy (2013)	FilmDistrict	21	-130	-86.1%	4
35	42	Kill Your Darlings	Sony Classics	20	-20	-50.0%	10
36	41	The Armstrong Lie	Sony Classics	16	-30	-65.2%	7
37	48	Wadjda (U.S. only)	Sony Classics	15	-4	-21.1%	15

 

[CJohn]

Catching Fire will suffer a massive bleeding on Christmas day.

[spizzer]

Frozen now 12.6% ahead of Frozen's OD multiplier.  Staying at 12.6% would yield a final total of 289.1M.  Needs 17% to hit 300M.

 

CF now 17.6% ahead of DH1's OD multiplier.  Staying at 17.6% would yield 407.8M.  Needs 18% to take the domestic crown and top IM3, which is looking like a done deal as of now.  It looks on pace for 425-430M as of now (23-25%), though competition will stifle it in the next few weeks..

Edited December 19, 2013 by spizzer

[Mango]

Frozen might stay above 3000 theaters next week.

[a2k]

If Harry Potter can go from SS's 317mil to CoS's 267mil despite good reviews, normal running time and as strong/increasing fan-base i don't see why Hobbit's drop from 303mil to 250-260mil should be considered a failure. I do think they left some money on the table because of how AUJ was received, but DoS is doing as expected. If it has been genuinely well received, it will show in DoS's dvd/blu-ray and TABA's box office.

[junkshop36]

My wife is going off on Saturday to have a girls day with her sister and cousins. Sounds like a good day for my son and I to go see AM2!  

[Dark 33Legend of the Sith]

If Harry Potter can go from SS's 317mil to CoS's 267mil despite good reviews, normal running time and as strong/increasing fan-base i don't see why Hobbit's drop from 303mil to 250-260mil should be considered a failure. I do think they left some money on the table because of how AUJ was received, but DoS is doing as expected. If it has been genuinely well received, it will show in DoS's dvd/blu-ray and TABA's box office.

 

I think there is a bit of spillover effect from AUJ.  Correct me if I'm wrong, but the average predict of AUJ was around $400 million. To see the franchise fall to where it is domestically (headed for 250-60) is extremely disappointing to many.

[a2k]

HTTYD2 is 2014's KUNG FU PANDA 2.

Hopefully not.

I think unlike Kung Fu Panda, HTTYD's charm/novelty does not start and end(to a significant degree) with a handful of characters. It's has a much larger and extensive universe with potential of new stories, the burden of which can be shared by many characters apart from the lead.

Edited December 19, 2013 by a2knet

[DeeCee]

By the hymen of Olivia Newton-John!  It is kind of a big deal.

 

Anchorman 2 is going to out gross Anchorman in about 2 days down under.

[mahnamahna]

Frozen now 12.6% ahead of Frozen's OD multiplier.  Staying at 12.6% would yield a final total of 289.1M.  Needs 17% to hit 300M.

 

CF now 17.6% ahead of DH1's OD multiplier.  Staying at 17.6% would yield 407.8M.  Needs 18% to take the domestic crown and top IM3, which is looking like a done deal as of now.  It looks on pace for 425-430M as of now (23-25%), though competition will stifle it in the next few weeks..

Frozen is going to get 25% by the end of Christmas and New Year's  it's nearly a foregone conclusion that Frozen's heading to $300 million with holiday legs 

[K1stpierre]

Say wut.Where's your faith?

Huh?

[#ED]

This week was full of teasers eh?

[baumer]

 

By the hymen of Olivia Newton-John!  It is kind of a big deal.

 

Anchorman 2 is going to out gross Anchorman in about 2 days down under.

 

 

Now which one of you Australian convicts will pass me the popcorn with some shrimp on the barbie?

[baumer]

I have no idea if this means anything in the whole scheme of things but my 1:30pm show of AM2 today was 90% full.

[Cmasterclay]

This is probably irrelevant, but only like three people on the board saw Anchorman 2 yesterday, including myself, and I know for a fact that most of this board plans to see it. So maybe it just isn't an OD movie.

[lab276]

This is probably irrelevant, but only like three people on the board saw Anchorman 2 yesterday, including myself, and I know for a fact that most of this board plans to see it. So maybe it just isn't an OD movie.

I've gotta watch the first one first.

[Mango]

This is probably irrelevant, but only like three people on the board saw Anchorman 2 yesterday, including myself, and I know for a fact that most of this board plans to see it. So maybe it just isn't an OD movie.

 

Exactly. Anchorman 2 will definitely be a weekend warrior.

[Harpospoke]

Shelly Duvall was perfect for that role.  Danny was awesome.  Jack is brilliant.  Kubrick knocked it out of the park.  Tele saying Shining isn't that good is about as absurd as me saying that DOS is Plan 9 bad.  

Agreed.   I think a lot of people were reacting to the fact that her character is stupid and unlikable. (And maybe the fact that she is not attractive....we are effected by that)   But I thought she was brilliant.   Just the stairway scene by itself is amazing.  She slowly morphs from hopeless terror at the bottom of the stairs to determined aggression at the top of the stairs.  She carries that entire scene...not Jack.

 

For me The Shining is the best horror movie of all time (tied for #1 with Let Me In) and Kubrick's best.