Tuesday #s | 'Ninja Turtles' beats 'Guardians of the Galaxy' by $2,303

[WhiskeyTangoFoxtrot]

Good to see Turtles back on top.  

 

Turtle Loonie

 

(just kidding, B!  )

[Jack Nevada]

This thread is some hot shit. 

[terrestrial]

 

“If I Stay” is the latest attempt to capture this coveted demographic, and while the low-budget weepy won’t hit the lofty numbers of “The Fault in Our Stars,” it’s shaping up to sell a lot of tickets along with Kleenex.

“It looks like it could be a breakout based on the reactions on Facebook and Twitter,” said Phil Contrino, vice president and chief analyst of BoxOffice.com. “It seems to be connecting with the same crowds that lined up for ‘Fault in Our Stars.’ This month has had a lot of male-skewing action pictures, so the timing is good.”

 

Look for “If I Stay,” which is being backed by Warner Bros./New Line and Metro-Goldwyn-Mayer and is based on a best-seller by Gayle Forman, to make $18 million to $20 million when it debuts in 2,902 locations this weekend. If tracking holds, that would represent a nice return for the $11 million production. The film centers on a young girl (Chloë Grace Moretz) who finds herself in a coma after a car accident kills her parents and brother — in that state, she’s forced to choose between living or dying. It’s a premise tailor made to send viewers into paroxysms of grief.

...

Sin City.....

It is on pace to make $15 million when it debuts.

...

“When the Game Stands Tall” should make between $8 million and $10 million when it debuts in 2,670 locations in North America.

...

The biggest challenge to “If I Stay’s” supremacy will be the continued strength of “Guardians and the Galaxy” and “Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles,” which should bring in between $14 million and $15 million in their fourth and third weeks in theaters.

....

 

August 17% plus => will sooth a bit the bad earlier month

 

http://variety.com/2014/film/news/box-office-chloe-moretz-tearjerker-if-i-stay-to-overshadow-sin-city-2-1201286968/

[terrestrial]

BOM

 

Forecast (August 22-24)

1. If I Stay - $21.5 million
2. Sin City - $16.5 million
3. Guardians of the Galaxy - $15.1 million (-40%)
4. Ninja Turtles - $14.8 million (-48%)
5. When the Game Stands Tall - $9 million

[baumer]

Curious as to why Turtles would fall that much.

[miketheavenger]

Curious as to why Turtles would fall that much.

And Guardians as well. Ray seems to be pretty conservative on those drops.

[James]

Curious as to why Turtles would fall that much.

Because Ray Subers can't predict?

[Blankments]

Stunning upset for the ages

I remember when Nikki first posted that about Gatsby beating IM3 in the dailies for Gatsby's first Wednesday

[Warhorse]

 

BOM

 

Forecast (August 22-24)

1. If I Stay - $21.5 million

2. Sin City - $16.5 million

3. Guardians of the Galaxy - $15.1 million (-40%)

4. Ninja Turtles - $14.8 million (-48%)

5. When the Game Stands Tall - $9 million

 

Wow, they think If I Stay can get that much? I thought Moretz's star was starting to dim ( which I hope not, because she is my favorite out of all of the young actors coming out right now.)

[Wrath]

Curious as to why Turtles would fall that much.

 

That does seem steep.  Its drops have been in the ballpark of GotG's drops so far, and I'd think that with school starting they at least wouldn't get worse.  Seems like 40-42% would seem more reasonable, right?

[ladyevenstar22]

if i stay sounds dumb! i say this as a huge sucker for the fault in our stars but then that had augustus waters in it aka dreamiest bf ever !!!!

 

this reminds me of that reese witherspoon film based on a french novel that was a huge hit in france but the movie didnt exactly make a splash , some stuff just doesnt translate well onscreen!

 

go GUARDIANS OF THE GALAXY!!!!

[eXtacy]

 

BOM

 

Forecast (August 22-24)

1. If I Stay - $21.5 million

2. Sin City - $16.5 million

3. Guardians of the Galaxy - $15.1 million (-40%)

4. Ninja Turtles - $14.8 million (-48%)

5. When the Game Stands Tall - $9 million

 

 

Thats early prediction, they usually wait to Wednesday numbers are out

[terrestrial]

Thats early prediction, they usually wait to Wednesday numbers are out

 

I was also wondering a bit

 

 

Do we already know how many theaters TMNT will have at the weekend? Might that be the reason for the estimates by Variety and BOM

[terrestrial]

BO.com also released their weekend prediction

 

If I Stay	Aug 22, 2014	Warner Bros. / New Line	$19,500,000	$19,500,000
Guardians of the Galaxy	Aug 1, 2014	Disney	$16,000,000	$250,000,000
Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles (2014)	Aug 8, 2014	Paramount	$15,500,000	$144,400,000
Frank Miller's Sin City: A Dame To Kill For	Aug 22, 2014	Weinstein / Dimension	$15,000,000	$15,000,000
When the Game Stands Tall	Aug 22, 2014	Sony / TriStar	$11,000,000	$11,000,000
Let's Be Cops	Aug 13, 2014	Fox	$10,800,000	$45,000,000
The Expendables 3	Aug 15, 2014	Lionsgate	$6,500,000	$27,500,000
The Giver	Aug 15, 2014	Weinstein Company	$6,200,000	$23,500,000
The Hundred-Foot Journey	Aug 8, 2014	Disney / DreamWorks	$4,800,000	$31,900,000
Into the Storm	Aug 8, 2014	Warner Bros. / New Line	$3,900,000	$38,400,000

 

[Rthmessiah]

Wed looking like

GOTG 2.6,TMNT 2.4,LBC 1.9, EX3 1.1

[Moviefanatic]

Wed looking like

GOTG 2.6,TMNT 2.4,LBC 1.9, EX3 1.1

Thanks. GOTG and Turtles keep flip flopping. 

[Johnny Wiseau]

Wow, they think If I Stay can get that much? I thought Moretz's star was starting to dim ( which I hope not, because she is my favorite out of all of the young actors coming out right now.)

dim? she's only 17..she's great..she's a future star with no doubt..why dim?