Weekend Estimates: TLR - 13.5M; Furious 7 - 60.5M; Home - 19M [F7 - 63M OD in China!]

[Mojoguy]

I think I heard it mentioned on Scriptnotes as well as read it on Forbes a while ago. Will see if I can find where it said so, I remember reading that the licensing to networks is based on box office gross which is in bands like 200-225M, which is why we constantly see movies pushed above 100M as opposed to ending their run in the 99 millions and so on.

coughDisney'sHerculescough.

[vc2002]

Woah fantastic Fridays numbers

[DAJK]

I sure hope they hold! 6M for Home would be great, I really want that movie to make as much money as it possibly can, given DWA's state and all.

[The Futurist]

Well, no competion and an ending that makes old men cry.

Good legs.

Simple.

[ecstasy]

coughDisney'sHerculescough.

 

Oh so Hercules didn't get the milestone push? Interesting. Let me look at the numbers or do you care to provide?  Thanks

Edited April 11, 2015 by Ecstasy

[Spidey Freak]

Oh so Hercules didn't get the milestone push? Interesting. Let me look at the numbers or do you care to provide?  Thanks

 

I think the 2 movies Grim mentioned to be in the range of 99-100 were both Disney distributed animations, Hercules and Gnomeo & Juliet. Herc bowed at $99,112,101 while Gnomeo had the most excruciating total ever: $99,967,670! Have no clue why Disney didn't make the slightest effort there.

Edited April 11, 2015 by Spidey Freak

[grim22]

I think the 2 movies Grim mentioned to be in the range of 99-100 were both Disney distributed animations, Hercules and Gnomeo & Juliet. Herc bowed at $99,112,101 while Gnomeo had the most excruciating total ever: $99,967,670! Have no clue why Disney didn't make the slightest effort there.

 

It does seem somewhat crazy that Gnomeo number. Literally one expansion on a weekend would have got it there. The disparity between the number of movies ending between 100-101M and 99-100M is amazing

 

591	Collateral	DW	$101,005,703	2004
592	Contact	WB	$100,920,329	1997
593	Charlie's Angels: Full Throttle	Sony	$100,830,111	2003
594	The Pelican Brief	WB	$100,768,056	1993
595	Vanilla Sky	Par.	$100,618,344	2001
596	Due Date	WB	$100,539,043	2010
597	The Rugrats Movie	Par.	$100,494,675	1998
598	Million Dollar Baby	WB	$100,492,203	2004
599	Airport	Uni.	$100,489,151	1970
600	Jumanji	Sony	$100,475,249	1995

 

 

601	Step Brothers	Sony	$100,468,793	2008
602	Evan Almighty	Uni.	$100,462,298	2007
603	Casper	Uni.	$100,328,194	1995
604	Shakespeare in Love	Mira.	$100,317,794	1998
605	Bad Teacher	Sony	$100,292,856	2011
606	Yogi Bear	WB	$100,246,011	2010
607	Cowboys & Aliens	Uni.	$100,240,551	2011
608	Edge of Tomorrow	WB	$100,206,256	2014
609	The Hunchback of Notre Dame	BV	$100,138,851	1996
610	Seven	NL	$100,125,643	1995
611	Parenthood	Uni.	$100,047,830	1989
612	You Don't Mess with the Zohan	Sony	$100,018,837	2008
613	Die Hard: With A Vengeance	Fox	$100,012,499	1995
614	Gnomeo and Juliet	BV	$99,967,670	2011
615	Hercules	BV	$99,112,101	1997
616	Olympus Has Fallen	FD	$98,925,640	2013

[Spidey Freak]

Ooh, interesting. I was always of the impression that Hunchback had a much lower gross than Hercules. I also thought Jumanji and Million Dollar Baby had made much more.

[Mojoguy]

Ooh, interesting. I was always of the impression that Hunchback had a much lower gross than Hercules.

Nope. Hunchback was a bigger hit OS than Hercules, making 70m more.

 

Hunchback made 325m WW. Pocahontas made 346m.

Edited April 11, 2015 by Mojoguy

[Icicle]

Is there still anyone who thinks Furious 7 won't make it to $350M?

[Blankments]

Wonder if Daredevil will hurt Furious 7

 

#ThingsMarvelitesSay

[picores]

Is there still anyone who thinks Furious 7 won't make it to $350M?

 

If Friday hits 18m, 350 will surely happen. Something close to 20m puts 370m in play imo.

[seduh]

a $18 Friday would be HUGE, a $58 second weekend, a 60,5% drop coming from a massive OW (an with a holiday) is simply amazing. Not expected at all.

I will expect for estimates to see if it's true, I was expecting a $16 Friday (which would have been great)

[Rthmessiah]

Fri looking like

ff7 18.5, TLR 5-6, Home 5.4,GH 2.6, Cin 2.3

[La Binoche]

Anyone know how many screens While We're Young is on?

[BadAtGender]

Nice. 125% increase.

[Accursed Arachnid!™]

Please bear with me, I may be a tad rusty...

 

Wed: 9.25m (-30%)

Thurs: 8.60m (-7%)

 

Fri: 19.35m (+125%)

Sat: 24.20m (+25%)

Sun: 14.50m (-40%)

 

Weekend: 58.05m (-60.6%) (250.3m cume)

 

So predicting the grosses through the week, I'd wager:

 

Wed: 10.0 (-24%)

Thurs: 9.5 (-5%)

 

Fri: 19.0 (+100%)

Sat: 26.6 (+40%)

Sun: 16.0 (-40%)

 

Weekend: 61.6m (255m+ cume)

 

Going with Fake.

 

 

So far, I was closer...

 

Overall anyway...

Edited April 11, 2015 by Accursed Arachnid!™

[picores]

18.5

24.9 (+35%)

16.2 (-35%)

 

59.7 (-59.5 %)

 

2nd weekend drops of Fast and Furious sequels (I'm not counting Tokyo Drift):

 

Fast and Furious: -61.6%

Fast Five: -62.4 %

2 Fast 2 Furious: -63.0%

Fast and Furious 6: -63.9%

[Blankments]

Fri looking like

ff7 18.5, TLR 5-6, Home 5.4,GH 2.6, Cin 2.3

 

All are second weekends - 

 

Fast and Furious

 

Fri: 18.5M

Sat: 18.1M

Sun: 10.6M

Total: 47.2M

 

Fast Five

 

Fri: 18.5M

Sat: 22.2M

Sun: 15.7M

Total: 55.4M

 

Fast and Furious 6

 

Fri: 18.5M

Sat: 24.2M

Sun: 17.9M

Total: 60.6M

 

Captain America 2

 

Fri: 18.5M

Sat: 27.6M

Sun: 18.2M

Total: 64.3M

 

Clash of the Titans

 

Fri: 18.5M

Sat: 24.5M

Sun: 16.1M

Total: 59.1M

 

G.I. Joe 2

 

Fri: 18.5M

Sat: 25.8M

Sun: 16.1M

Total: 60.4M

 

So somewhere in the 50s I guess.

[Claire of Themyscira]

I saw Woman in Gold, y'all. Lmfao, I was hoping to see It Follows or Furious 7. Oh, well...

 

It was pretty good though. And Ryan Reynolds. And Max Irons.