GiantCALBears Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 $200 million OW $550 million DOM total (reasonable since the first got a 3x. A 2.75x is achieveable... especially since Mad Max and Tomorrowland are about as strong as Battleship/MIB 3 combined) $1.25 billion OS total $1.8 billion WW total I think Marvel/Disney will be satisfied regardless of the DOM decline They were always going to be happy lol durrrrrrrrrrrr 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahnamahna Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 Boxoffice.com still thinking around 210m That would require: $69.5 million Saturday $57 million Sunday Why is BoxOffice projecting that much?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mango Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 Spizzer adjusted for all that TDK is still king in tickets sold and likely will be for a long time, but I'm pretty sure Avengers sold more than 65 million tickets. It's pretty much on par with SM1 in terms of tickets. The 3D share wasn't THAT big. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmscholar Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 Silver Lining. Increased 4.5 million from Avengers 1 opening day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 $200 million OW $550 million DOM total (reasonable since the first got a 3x. A 2.75x is achieveable... especially since Mad Max and Tomorrowland are about as strong as Battleship/MIB 3 combined) $1.25 billion OS total $1.8 billion WW total I think Marvel/Disney will be satisfied regardless of the DOM decline Nah. if you take out previews it would need legs almost as good as 1st one to make that much. This one is received lot weaker than last one. Plus movies are getting more frontloaded. I doubt it will even crack 500m. In fact if saturday underperforms I will join AOU < TDKR club. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAR Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 <script async src="//platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script> But clearly one of of those is a huge disappointment. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
spizzer Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 Well, TDK had IMAX so I think it's more like 71-72 million. Avengers had $68-69 million. No I accounted for IMAX on TDK's part and 3D, IMAX, and other premium formats for TA. It's 73 and 65. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
James Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 $200 million OW $550 million DOM total (reasonable since the first got a 3x. A 2.75x is achieveable... especially since Mad Max and Tomorrowland are about as strong as Battleship/MIB 3 combined) $1.25 billion OS total $1.8 billion WW total I think Marvel/Disney will be satisfied regardless of the DOM decline This will barely hit 1B OS. Let alone 1.8B WW and 550M DOM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Founder / Operator Shawn Robbins Posted May 2, 2015 Founder / Operator Share Posted May 2, 2015 (edited) Aside from the discrepancies in last night's numbers, I still have to look at the history of Marvel movies holding better than expected over the course of the weekend because of their insane family appeal. Not just Avengers, but Iron Man 3, Spider-Man 3, etc. all had strong Saturdays and/or Sundays. I'd be slightly surprised if it fell below $200m for the weekend, and I still think the record's definitely in play. That being said... nothing wrong with lowering expectations! Edit: For whatever it's worth, Disney is also still projecting $200-210 million. They're generally pretty accurate, but we'll see. Edited May 2, 2015 by ShawnMR 19 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eXtacy Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 Those of you with hopes of 200M will need Saturday to hit 70M+ to gaurantee it. 85 70 45 No, 66-67m would do Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 Exactly. Once you go so high, there s just one way but down. Titanic 2 would have made less than the first one, lol Lol, true..considering Titanic 1 got rid of the ship. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 Can one of y'all tell me what the first Spider-Man made at midnight in 2002? I want to say $7.5m but I can't find any sources on Google. BOM's report doesn't mention it either. 7m. it was mentioned in Sith report. http://www.boxofficemojo.com/news/?id=1823&p=s.htm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GiantCALBears Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 It's generally a good indicator of word of mouth. Who are the people that rush on to sites like that & IMDB to rate movies that just came out? Think about it. Almost all fanboys. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moviedweeb Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 QUESTION: Do you guys take Forbes' Scott Mendelson's box-office thoughts and extrapolations seriously or is he a Nikki Finke type? I'm just reading an article he just published about his thoughts on AOU's Friday numbers. I like him. He is reasonable with his numbers while still laying out the absolute low and high ends based on precedent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redfirebird2008 Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 But SM2 opened in the middle of the week. It would likely have broken the OW record had it opened on a Friday and it still made ~93% of the original's gross. SM2 had a huge opening, though it was partially inflated by the July 4th holiday. After 6 days it was at $180m compared to $144m for SM1. TA2 is more likely to be way under TA1 after the same amount of time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GiantCALBears Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 Silver Lining. Increased 4.5 million from Avengers 1 opening day. Take out the midnights/Thursday previews, how did TA2 do vs TA? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Marston Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 Can it still reach 200m over the weekend 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Futurist Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 B-but Avatar... Not Titanic 2, exactly, but there were a lot of skeptics that Cameron could make the biggest movie ever, again. With the Marvel movies doing so well I did think Avengers 2 would benefit and finish pretty close to the first one. Maybe it will pull a Catching Fire and surprise us with the multiplier. Avatar is a dwarf in attendance next to Titanic. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avatree Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 Would have beaten opening weekend record if it didn't have blacks and women in the movie. They make every film worse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sfran43 Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 No offense but every time I read this I laugh - this fight while huge doesn't hold a candle to the Ali/Frazier fights I grew up with but I guess this is a new century I wasn't around during the Ali-Frazier fight, so I have nothing to add except i'm sure it was massive. But as far as this fight, judging from how much money both HBO and Showtime are reporting to be making off of Pay-per-view, plus the Derby, NBA playoffs, and the NFL Draft, I expect AOU Saturday's numbers to be affected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...