Weekend Estimates: JW: 102 IO 91...RTH: Sun JW 38.3 | IO 25.3 with possible upsides PG 287, possible 107M for JW weekend

[MovieMan89]

Wow, a legit shot at two 100m grossers in the same weekend.

 

Although to be fair the rest of the top 12 is pretty dead.

[DAJK]

It just occurred to me that IO may not in fact break TDAT's record...

[keysersoze123]

There's a 2:45am Inside Out showing for a theater an hour away from me showing up on Fandango...

 

That is crazy. I dont think there will be anyone for that show. I dont think the core audience would want to watch it on at that time.

[grim22]

The industry’s top 10 films as of 11PM Friday night:

1). Jurassic World (UNI), 4,291 theaters (+17)/ $30.7M Fri. (-63%)/ 3-day cume: $106.8M (-49%)/Total Cume: $405.1M / Wk 2

2). Inside Out (DIS), 3,946 theaters / $32.8M Fri. / 3-day cume: $83M / Wk 1

3). Spy (FOX), 3,558 theaters (-157)/ $2.9M Fri. (-38%)/ 3-day cume: $9.7M (-38%) / Total cume: $73.7M / Wk 3

4). San Andreas (WB), 3,177 theaters (-358) / $2.1M Fri. (-34%) / 3-day cume: $7.3M (-33%) / Total cume: $131.2M/ Wk 4

5). Dope (OPRD), 2,002 theaters / $2.1M Fri. / 3-day cume: $5.9M / Wk 1

6). Insidious Chapter 3 (FOC), 2,553 theaters (-461)/ $1.4M Fri. (-46%) / 3-day cume: $4.2M (-43%) / Total cume: $45.5M / Wk 3

7). Pitch Perfect 2 (UNI), 2,146 theaters (-531) / $1.3M Fri. (-39%)/ 3-day cume: $3.9M (-39%)/ Total cume: $178M / Wk 6

8). Mad Max: Fury Road (WB), 1,424 theaters (-810) / $701K Fri. (-%) / 3-day cume: $2.5M (-38%) / Total cume: $143.3M / Wk 6

9). Avengers: Age of Ultron (DIS), 1,662 theaters (-494) / $615K Fri. (-42%) / 3-day cume: $2.3M (-38%) / Total cume: $448.9M / Wk 8

10). Entourage (WB), 1,304 theaters (-1,804) / $559K Fri. (-60%)/ 3-day cume: $1.7M (-59%) / Total cume: $29.4M/ Wk 3

[BadAtGender]

Any guesses on how big the drop for Home is going to be?

[KATCH-2D2]

Both IO and JW should be well above $100m OW.

 

I'll be happy as long as JW comes out on top and stays above 100m...

 

Sorry but I'm greedy.  

[DavidBrennan]

 

The industry’s top 10 films as of 11PM Friday night:

1). Jurassic World (UNI), 4,291 theaters (+17)/ $30.7M Fri. (-63%)/ 3-day cume: $106.8M (-49%)/Total Cume: $405.1M / Wk 2

2). Inside Out (DIS), 3,946 theaters / $32.8M Fri. / 3-day cume: $83M / Wk 1

3). Spy (FOX), 3,558 theaters (-157)/ $2.9M Fri. (-38%)/ 3-day cume: $9.7M (-38%) / Total cume: $73.7M / Wk 3

4). San Andreas (WB), 3,177 theaters (-358) / $2.1M Fri. (-34%) / 3-day cume: $7.3M (-33%) / Total cume: $131.2M/ Wk 4

5). Dope (OPRD), 2,002 theaters / $2.1M Fri. / 3-day cume: $5.9M / Wk 1

6). Insidious Chapter 3 (FOC), 2,553 theaters (-461)/ $1.4M Fri. (-46%) / 3-day cume: $4.2M (-43%) / Total cume: $45.5M / Wk 3

7). Pitch Perfect 2 (UNI), 2,146 theaters (-531) / $1.3M Fri. (-39%)/ 3-day cume: $3.9M (-39%)/ Total cume: $178M / Wk 6

8). Mad Max: Fury Road (WB), 1,424 theaters (-810) / $701K Fri. (-%) / 3-day cume: $2.5M (-38%) / Total cume: $143.3M / Wk 6

9). Avengers: Age of Ultron (DIS), 1,662 theaters (-494) / $615K Fri. (-42%) / 3-day cume: $2.3M (-38%) / Total cume: $448.9M / Wk 8

10). Entourage (WB), 1,304 theaters (-1,804) / $559K Fri. (-60%)/ 3-day cume: $1.7M (-59%) / Total cume: $29.4M/ Wk 3

 

 

JW deserves to be the top story again, after all!

[superduperm]

The industry’s top 10 films as of 11PM Friday night:

1). Jurassic World (UNI), 4,291 theaters (+17)/ $30.7M Fri. (-63%)/ 3-day cume: $106.8M (-49%)/Total Cume: $405.1M / Wk 2

2). Inside Out (DIS), 3,946 theaters / $32.8M Fri. / 3-day cume: $83M / Wk 1

3). Spy (FOX), 3,558 theaters (-157)/ $2.9M Fri. (-38%)/ 3-day cume: $9.7M (-38%) / Total cume: $73.7M / Wk 3

4). San Andreas (WB), 3,177 theaters (-358) / $2.1M Fri. (-34%) / 3-day cume: $7.3M (-33%) / Total cume: $131.2M/ Wk 4

5). Dope (OPRD), 2,002 theaters / $2.1M Fri. / 3-day cume: $5.9M / Wk 1

6). Insidious Chapter 3 (FOC), 2,553 theaters (-461)/ $1.4M Fri. (-46%) / 3-day cume: $4.2M (-43%) / Total cume: $45.5M / Wk 3

7). Pitch Perfect 2 (UNI), 2,146 theaters (-531) / $1.3M Fri. (-39%)/ 3-day cume: $3.9M (-39%)/ Total cume: $178M / Wk 6

8). Mad Max: Fury Road (WB), 1,424 theaters (-810) / $701K Fri. (-%) / 3-day cume: $2.5M (-38%) / Total cume: $143.3M / Wk 6

9). Avengers: Age of Ultron (DIS), 1,662 theaters (-494) / $615K Fri. (-42%) / 3-day cume: $2.3M (-38%) / Total cume: $448.9M / Wk 8

10). Entourage (WB), 1,304 theaters (-1,804) / $559K Fri. (-60%)/ 3-day cume: $1.7M (-59%) / Total cume: $29.4M/ Wk 3

I pray that the JW Friday number is on target. That would all but guarantee the second weekend record.

Hopefully the IO number can go back up into Rth's range.

[Mango]

That is crazy. I dont think there will be anyone for that show. I dont think the core audience would want to watch it on at that time.

Well, it sold out according to Fandango. I'm on my phone and I have no idea how to show the screenshot I took, but yes, a 2:45am showing of Inside Out just sold out.

[spizzer]

 

The industry’s top 10 films as of 11PM Friday night:

1). Jurassic World (UNI), 4,291 theaters (+17)/ $30.7M Fri. (-63%)/ 3-day cume: $106.8M (-49%)/Total Cume: $405.1M / Wk 2

2). Inside Out (DIS), 3,946 theaters / $32.8M Fri. / 3-day cume: $83M / Wk 1

3). Spy (FOX), 3,558 theaters (-157)/ $2.9M Fri. (-38%)/ 3-day cume: $9.7M (-38%) / Total cume: $73.7M / Wk 3

4). San Andreas (WB), 3,177 theaters (-358) / $2.1M Fri. (-34%) / 3-day cume: $7.3M (-33%) / Total cume: $131.2M/ Wk 4

5). Dope (OPRD), 2,002 theaters / $2.1M Fri. / 3-day cume: $5.9M / Wk 1

6). Insidious Chapter 3 (FOC), 2,553 theaters (-461)/ $1.4M Fri. (-46%) / 3-day cume: $4.2M (-43%) / Total cume: $45.5M / Wk 3

7). Pitch Perfect 2 (UNI), 2,146 theaters (-531) / $1.3M Fri. (-39%)/ 3-day cume: $3.9M (-39%)/ Total cume: $178M / Wk 6

8). Mad Max: Fury Road (WB), 1,424 theaters (-810) / $701K Fri. (-%) / 3-day cume: $2.5M (-38%) / Total cume: $143.3M / Wk 6

9). Avengers: Age of Ultron (DIS), 1,662 theaters (-494) / $615K Fri. (-42%) / 3-day cume: $2.3M (-38%) / Total cume: $448.9M / Wk 8

10). Entourage (WB), 1,304 theaters (-1,804) / $559K Fri. (-60%)/ 3-day cume: $1.7M (-59%) / Total cume: $29.4M/ Wk 3

 

 

JW looking at 105-110M with that number.

 

IO will have a stronger IM than what DL is projecting.  90M is probably happening.  We're going to need Rth's bullish 35M+ range for 100M.

 

3.7M Previews

29.1M Friday

32.1.M Saturday

25.6M Sunday

 

90.5M OW

[scoobysaurus]

So according to that, JW's Friday gross would be higher than IO's pure Friday. Amazing

[Krissykins]

I really wanted Spy to have a small drop. I don't see it getting to $100m if it keeps falling 40%.

[sfran43]

Any guesses on how big the drop for Home is going to be?

 

 

[MovieMan89]

Yeah, IO will do more than 83m with a 33m OD and Father's Day.

[Cedarpoint1111]

Inside out: 101.66m

Friday 36m

Saturday 34.56m -4%

Sunday 31.1m -10%

JW: 106m

Friday 30m

Saturday 38.4m +28%

Sunday 37.6m -2%

Looking likely that this will be the first weekend ever where we get 2 triple digit grossers.

[DAJK]

Wait, but how would JW's internal multiplier he better than Inside Out? (which is a family animated film)

[BoxOfficeZ]

So according to that, JW's Friday gross would be higher than IO's pure Friday. Amazing

 

Still great for IO, assuming that number is correct.  

 

Plus Deadline lol, with a 32m OD, its doing way more then 83m OW. 

[DavidBrennan]

So according to that, JW's Friday gross would be higher than IO's pure Friday. Amazing

 

"Amazing" is too tired.  We've literally exhausted superlatives to talk about JW's performance.

 

>TA is a done deal.  AVTR is in play.

 

Whew, I finally said it.

[picores]

Conservative extrapolation:

 

Jurassic World

 

Fri: 30.7

Sat: 38.3 (+25%)

Sun: 32.6 (-15%)

 

Wknd: 101.6m

 

 

Inside Out

 

Fri: 32.8

Sat: 31.1 (-5%)

Sun: 28.0 (-10%)

 

Wknd: 91.9m

[Cedarpoint1111]

I think Rth's numbers will be closer than deadlines.